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dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers
@dowell66.bsky.social
21 followers 22 following 17 posts

Demography underlies housing and economics, but narratives reach decision makers; hard data on generational well-being and succession; grandpa and blues lover

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Dowell Myers is a professor of urban planning and demography in the School of Policy, Planning, and Development, at the University of Southern California (USC). He directs the school's Population Dynamics Research Group, whose recent projects have been funded by the National Institute of Health, the Haynes Foundation, Fannie Mae Foundation, and the Ford Foundation. .. more

Economics 33%
Sociology 27%
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dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Sep 7
Just in time for the Housing Emergency! A little more housing data please, so solutions don’t backfire—VERY BIG— like last time.

dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Sep 7
When will their “bad luck” finally run out?
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dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Aug 1
Astute assessments by a leading housing supply expert…
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
Kevin Erdmann @kevinerdmann.bsky.social · Jul 21
“We don’t have a marginal or arguable housing shortage. We have a ridiculous housing shortage, and the patterns in rent and price inflation that it creates could only appear under ridiculous conditions.“

kevinerdmann.substack.com/p/supply-has...
Supply has to be ridiculously low to create our peculiar affordability problem.
Maybe this is a repeat of some things I have written recently, but I think it can serve as a sort of summary statement of our problem.
kevinerdmann.substack.com
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dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Aug 1
Who’s victim of our housing shortage?
ohtheurbanity.bsky.social
Oh The Urbanity! @ohtheurbanity.bsky.social · Jul 24
The housing shortage isn’t just about homelessness.

It’s also the young person who can’t afford to move out. It’s the couple who can’t get a place big enough to have children. It’s the people stuck with roommates (or even in abusive relationships) because they can’t get a place of their own.
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dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Aug 1
Just dumb policy or lack of forethought. Hope they don’t wait too long to figure it out.

Reposted by Dowell Myers

ohtheurbanity.bsky.social
Oh The Urbanity! @ohtheurbanity.bsky.social · Jul 24
The housing shortage isn’t just about homelessness.

It’s also the young person who can’t afford to move out. It’s the couple who can’t get a place big enough to have children. It’s the people stuck with roommates (or even in abusive relationships) because they can’t get a place of their own.
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dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Jul 24
Agree with Jens on this simple housing stock based definition of filtering; direction is set by shortages relative to demand
jensvb.bsky.social
Jens von Bergmann @jensvb.bsky.social · Jul 24
Housing is always “filtering”, but the direction of filtering is a policy choice. Old housing filters up if housing does not keep up with demand, and down if it does. And it filters down faster if we make up for past shortfalls.
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
Kevin Erdmann @kevinerdmann.bsky.social · Jul 24
The absence of downward filtering is, definitionally, rent inflation that systematically pushes families out of their housing so that wealthier families can move into it.

Anyone who dismisses "trickle down" housing policy is necessarily supporting that bc that IS the alternative.
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Reposted by Dowell Myers

jensvb.bsky.social
Jens von Bergmann @jensvb.bsky.social · Jul 24
Housing is always “filtering”, but the direction of filtering is a policy choice. Old housing filters up if housing does not keep up with demand, and down if it does. And it filters down faster if we make up for past shortfalls.
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
Kevin Erdmann @kevinerdmann.bsky.social · Jul 24
The absence of downward filtering is, definitionally, rent inflation that systematically pushes families out of their housing so that wealthier families can move into it.

Anyone who dismisses "trickle down" housing policy is necessarily supporting that bc that IS the alternative.
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Reposted by Dowell Myers

kevinerdmann.bsky.social
Kevin Erdmann @kevinerdmann.bsky.social · Jul 21
“We don’t have a marginal or arguable housing shortage. We have a ridiculous housing shortage, and the patterns in rent and price inflation that it creates could only appear under ridiculous conditions.“

kevinerdmann.substack.com/p/supply-has...
Supply has to be ridiculously low to create our peculiar affordability problem.
Maybe this is a repeat of some things I have written recently, but I think it can serve as a sort of summary statement of our problem.
kevinerdmann.substack.com
3 23 100

dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Jul 15
No kidding about the beer — how could I forget that!
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dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Jul 15
Most white family heritages are pretty bland. So what does English and German get you? Not the food, aside from turkey and hot dogs. No brave explorer stories or grand heroes. But after 6 gens you have 300 direct ancestors, plus 100s of cousins, aunts and uncles. We pick out 1 to brag about.
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dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Jul 13
Different customs in each state. I remember when I bought my first house, in Austin, and I saw deed descriptions (including racial restrictions) that mentioned possible intensity of development 5 or 10 times our SF lot. Realtor laughed it off. They just had a very high potential ceiling.
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dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Jul 13
The famed Morrow graph tells one powerful story! Wish we had it for more metros.
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dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Jun 18
Here’s a practical question: is Edmonton expecting less employment growth in the coming 5 years? Local leaders often want more employment, and so the housing growth should be made to match.
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dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Jun 18
Nice temporal visualization. I like the second version with the baseline for NB women.
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dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Apr 28
Saw good quotes in the NYT. Births started to recover after the Great Recession but curiously started declining again in 2016. Wonder why?? Acrimony and uncertainty do not make a hopeful environment for planning babies. (Yeah, but also housing prices ran away too.) Are deferred births mostly lost?

dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Apr 28
Such a scholarly range! Gans began as an urban planner, then urban ethnographer of inner city and suburbs. Followed my sociology of the news media! Then poverty… and he kept going for a long career…. RIP
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dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Apr 28
And now the number of NBA players who also have at least 1 40 point playoff game after age 40:

LeBron James

He’s got it coming and going!

Reposted by Dowell Myers

coralcitycamera.bsky.social
Coral City Camera @coralcitycamera.bsky.social · Apr 13
We spent some quality time with a color changing squid today #caribbeanreefsquid #reefsquid #squid #colorchanging #chromatophores #cephalopod #coral #coralcitycamera #miami #portmiami #biscaynebay #bfi #noaa #aoml #coralcity #civicpridethroughbiodiversity #glennnevis #coralcityfoundation #ccf #kbcf
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dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Mar 13
What caused such severe #housing shortages in America? It’s a saga with deep intrigue in the bubble, financial crisis, and policy misdirections.

Solutions anyone?
“Misalignment of Housing Growth and Population Trends”

Dowell Myers, Hyojung Lee, JungHo Park
doi.org/10.7758/RSF....
Misalignment of Housing Growth and Population Trends: Cohort Size and Lagging Measurements Through Recession and Recovery
Population and housing growth are closely linked in the U.S. Census, less so in analysis. Overlooked changes in cohort size and lagged measurements have misled about current housing preferences, and q...
doi.org
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dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Jan 5
New refugee from that twit
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