Kevin Erdmann
@kevinerdmann.bsky.social
2.9K followers 580 following 1.8K posts
I discovered the surprising story of what really happened in 2008 (not enough housing) and accidentally became a housing policy guy. https://kevinerdmann.substack.com/ https://www.amazon.com/stores/Kevin-Erdmann/author/B099P7SN1G
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Reposted by Kevin Erdmann
jakevig.bsky.social
Other people Homeland Security has arrested in addition to the girlfriend of the founder of Antifa:

- the mistress of the King of Gumdrop Mountain
- the Bride of Frankenstein
- Pepper Potts
Reposted by Kevin Erdmann
atherton.bsky.social
Every legal story now is either

Ancient Circuit Judge Delivers Crystal Clear 100 Page Rebuke To Trumpist Overreach

or

In Unsigned Shadow Docket Decision, 6-3 Majority Declares Trump Can Hunt People For Sport
Reposted by Kevin Erdmann
maxdubler.com
Anyway you can convert a single family house into 3 units and rent them all out without any owner occupancy requirement now.
Reposted by Kevin Erdmann
maxdubler.com
This bill I wrote is now law.
cayimby.bsky.social
[VICTORY ALERT] Governor Newsom has signed AB 1154, which will make it faster, cheaper, and easier to add small accessory dwelling units to existing homes.

Our statement: cayimby.org/news-events/...
California Law Makes it Easier to Build Small, In-Home ADUs
New Law Signed by Gov. Gavin Newsom Removes Barriers, Imposes Standards
cayimby.org
Reposted by Kevin Erdmann
bbkogan.bsky.social
Three key points:
1) The admin has been planning mass firings to begin in October since February
2) The work necessary to carry out mass firings is illegal during a shutdown, violating the Antideficiency Act, which carries a criminal penalty
3) This harms America, ridding us of talent and expertise
Russ Vought v @russvought
The RIFs have begun.
12:27 PM • 10/10/25 • 15K Views
Reposted by Kevin Erdmann
resnikoff.bsky.social
UPDATE: Newsom has signed SB 79 into law!!

This is a great day for anyone who cares about ending California's housing and homelessness crisis, getting the state to net zero emissions, and recovering American democracy.
resnikoff.bsky.social
If you live in California, please call @gavinnewsom.bsky.social at (916) 445-2841 and urge him to sign SB 79. Here's my post about why the bill is so important: publiccomment.blog/p/newsom-s-f...
Newsom's Fateful Choice
Why the governor needs to sign SB 79
publiccomment.blog
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
Every time I go to the doctor and I need to spend 20 minutes filling out multiple forms that all amount to “I understand that the provider can bankrupt me with bills for $500 aspirins without my prior consent.” I go full socialist.
crampell.bsky.social
Republicans have had 15 years to come up with an Obamacare replacement plan. They still haven’t
atrupar.com
Thune: "The president would like to overhaul Obamacare and give people health insurance that is higher quality and more affordable."
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
All of the events shown in "The Big Short", the movie about an out-of-control financial sector fueling unsustainable homeownership, take place in the circled time period.
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
It really is bizarre how there is an entire industry based on using buzz word terms of art to describe a pretend monster in a world of abstractions.
areidross.bsky.social
The amount of critical academic literature that's just [Hatred of Neoliberalism] is nuts. Neoliberalism hasn't been a driving economic force for ten years, why does everyone in academia still blame it for literally everything?
Reposted by Kevin Erdmann
davidl206.city
We knew they would be cruel, and we knew they’d be bigoted, and we knew they’d be destructive. But I’ll confess I wasn’t prepared, even after the first time, for how staggeringly *stupid* they are. We are in a period defined by no brainpower in power: rule of the dimmest.
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
This is mostly behind the paywall, but here I explain how we would be in the recovery phase of a recession that started 2 years ago, but the housing shortage tames the business cycle.

The New Business Cycle: The 2024 Recession
open.substack.com/pub/kevinerd...
The New Business Cycle: Just-So Stories
Recently, I wrote a series of posts about how a housing shortage changes the business cycle.
open.substack.com
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
I think this is the case. The process itself has turned the public against housing. The only way to express power is to imagine objections. We’ve been nudging the public to object. When the process is removed, they will actually feel less objectionable.
eastbayforeveryone.bsky.social
Ultimately the crowd was a lot less hostile than they would have been in previous years because there's nothing they can do to stop the proposal
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
The best way to help home buyers is to help renters. And, the best way to help renters is to let a lot more families get mortgages!

Follow Up to "With prawns like these..."
open.substack.com/pub/kevinerd...
Follow Up to "With prawns like these..."
Two more charts that might be enlightening.
open.substack.com
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
You can guarantee that when The Supreme Court is ruling on whether the tariffs were legal, Trumps lawyers will argue that the tariffs have to be legal because they’ve already spent the revenues.
carlquintanilla.bsky.social
“.. there is the question of how the bond market will react to tariff revenue being redirected away from lowering the deficit.”

@barrons.com
www.barrons.com/articles/tru...
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
For the foreseeable future, housing affordability and homeownership rates will be negatively correlated. Higher prices will be associated with fewer renting households and vice versa. If the model you use for the housing market can't foresee this, then your model is not useful.
Reposted by Kevin Erdmann
atrupar.com
Schiff gets Bondi so flustered that she starts blurting things out while he details what a farce this "oversight" hearing has been and the Republican members' lack of interest in doing their jobs
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
"There is a great deal of ruin in a nation." has never been more amply demonstrated in my lifetime.
Reposted by Kevin Erdmann
chrismurphyct.bsky.social
Understand what they are doing: using the massive power of the state - including military power and the power to imprison - to carry out a campaign to eliminate their political opposition.

It's growing in seriousness by the hour.
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
We are going to see rising construction and purchase activity that will lead to more inventory and moderating prices, but if you have the causation wrong, it will look like more inventory caused prices to moderate.
And that will cause you to miss out on the building boom.
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
Having causation backwards is a really tricky way to get off course.
For instance, both rising construction and purchase activity and moderating prices can cause inventory of homes for sale to rise. But, many people seem to think inventory causes price moderation.

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