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ecfrpower.bsky.social
ECFR European Power
@ecfrpower.bsky.social
380 followers 29 following 25 posts
@ecfr.bsky.social European Power. For everything on #European foreign policy strategy, instruments and cohesion.
https://ecfr.eu/privacy/#bluesky-social
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Most European citizens realise the US can no longer be considered a reliable ally. In Switzerland, 21% view the US as an adversary. On the other hand, 30% of citizens in Poland still see the US as an ally.
Read @celiabelin.bsky.social and @pawelzerka.bsky.social's analysis:🔗 https://bit.ly/4aHAs5k
February 15, 2026 at 5:15 PM
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🎧 Is the transatlantic relationship entering a new phase? Did Europe show unity or fragmentation? And what does the mood in Munich reveal about the future of security in 2026? #MSC2026

https://ecfr.eu/podcasts/episode/live-from-msc-2026-transatlantic-turning-point/
Live from MSC 2026: Transatlantic turning point – European Council on Foreign Relations
Mark Leonard welcomes Jeremy Cliffe, Ulrike Franke, Janka Oertel and Majda Ruge live from the Munich Security Conference to unpack its biggest moments
ecfr.eu
February 16, 2026 at 8:03 AM
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One year into the second Trump presidency, a major ECFR poll finds that most Europeans no longer see the US as an ally and believe that greater defence spending is needed, write @celiabelin.bsky.social and @pawelzerka.bsky.social.

👇 Read the full report: https://bit.ly/4aHAs5k
February 13, 2026 at 10:18 AM
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1/🧵 Nine of our experts are on the ground at #MSC2026, sharing insights on the future of European security. Meet our team in Munich:
@jeremycliffe.bsky.social, @matsengstrom.bsky.social, @rikefranke.bsky.social, @markhleonard.bsky.social,
February 13, 2026 at 2:00 PM
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As American leadership wanes, middle powers are stitching a patchwork order through new approaches to conflict mediation, connectivity and development, write Anthony Dworkin, @rafaelloss.bsky.social, and @jpuglierin.bsky.social. @stiftungmercator.bsky.social

👇 Full text: https://bit.ly/4ay7SC9
BRICS and pieces: Middle powers and the construction of new order – European Council on Foreign Relations
As American leadership wanes, middle powers are stitching a patchwork order through new approaches to conflict mediation, connectivity and development. Although
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February 12, 2026 at 12:42 PM
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📢 New polling report!
@pawelzerka.bsky.social and@celiabelin.bsky.social argue, "In the second Trump era, Europe urgently needs to secure its autonomy. Leaders must therefore link together different islands of European public opinion to establish strong majorities for action" https://bit.ly/4aHAs5k
The European archipelago: Building bridges in a post-Western Europe – European Council on Foreign Relations
In the second Trump era, Europe urgently needs to secure its autonomy. Leaders must therefore link together different islands of European public opinion to esta
bit.ly
February 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM
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Talks between the US and Iran took place on Friday, aimed at avoiding a new round of military conflict. Nevertheless, the question of the legality of any military action has been disturbingly absent from the European debate over possible US strikes, writes Anthony Dworkin.
👇 https://bit.ly/4ts9EgG
European silence on US-Iran tensions exposes cracks in UN Charter defence
www.brusselstimes.com
February 11, 2026 at 2:26 PM
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Giorgos Verdi writes, "AI middle powers could pool the costs of frontier AI development and collaborate more closely to acquire homegrown capabilities. The EU should kickstart a 'club' of AI middle powers, with a focus on three main pillars." @ecfrpower.bsky.social
Full text👉 https://bit.ly/4rN7qqQ
Capability club: How the EU can lead the fight for AI middle powers – European Council on Foreign Relations
India’s AI Impact Summit is an opportunity for the EU to seek new partnerships with other middle powers on AI development and infrastructure
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February 11, 2026 at 10:49 AM
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After nearly 16 years of Fidesz rule, the centre-right Tisza party stands a chance of winning Hungary’s April election. Under their rule, Budapest would work with Europe, not against it, writes Zsuzsanna Végh. @ecfrpower.bsky.social

🔍Check out the situation in Hungary: https://bit.ly/3Mf4Evj
Tisza’s foreign policy offer: Plans for a post-Orban Hungary     – European Council on Foreign Relations
After nearly 16 years of Fidesz rule, the centre-right Tisza party stands a chance of winning Hungary’s April election. Under their rule, Budapest would work wi
bit.ly
February 11, 2026 at 11:31 AM
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"The new right has exploited the 'polycrisis' context in notable ways that help it stand out from mainstream forces", writes @markhleonard.bsky.social. He unpacks the new right’s policy agenda and its communication and mobilisation strategy in the recent report.
👉Find out more https://bit.ly/4bycLNK
February 10, 2026 at 8:20 AM
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Some dismiss the right-wing forces as mere nostalgists; resentment-merchants peddling a better yesterday. In fact, research reveals them to be strikingly modern—even post-modern—and well-suited to current times. They truly are the “new” right, writes @markhleonard.bsky.social

https://bit.ly/4bycLNK
February 8, 2026 at 4:45 PM
ecfrpower.bsky.social
This year's Munich Security Report cites Susi Dennison & @matsengstrom.bsky.social's policy brief from July as food for thought. Read about how Europeans must drive climate action through building stronger partnerships with countries across the globe ⬇️ bit.ly/4kxpWPE
The power of partnerships: European climate leadership with less America – European Council on Foreign Relations
In a Trumpian world, Europeans must drive climate action through stronger climate partnerships with countries across the globe. Here’s how they can act.
bit.ly
February 9, 2026 at 11:08 AM
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🎧 New Week, New episode!

@markhleonard.bsky.social welcomes @leaypi.bsky.social to discuss her latest book on indignity—and how lessons from the past can help the left counter the new right. What does a revitalised left look like in Europe and beyond?

👉Full episode: https://bit.ly/4qVONRn
Indignity with Lea Ypi – European Council on Foreign Relations
Mark Leonard welcomes Lea Ypi to discuss her latest book on indignity—and how lessons from the past can help the left counter the new right
bit.ly
February 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM
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France’s G7 presidency coincides with an American-led G20. Paris will not find it easy to collaborate with the Trump administration, but it can still find meaningful areas for G7-G20 cooperation, writes @agathedemarais.com.

Read the full commentary here: bit.ly/3OnL7cx
Calling Paris and Washington: Three areas for G7-G20 collaboration in 2026 – European Council on Foreign Relations
France's G7 presidency coincides with an American-led G20. Paris will not find it easy to collaborate with the Trump administration, but it can still find meani
bit.ly
February 5, 2026 at 10:36 AM
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📢 New report!
“The new right: Anatomy of a global political revolution”, authored by @markhleonard.bsky.social, ECFR’s co-founder and Director, unpacks the new right’s policy agenda and its communication and mobilisation strategy.
📌Read the full text: https://bit.ly/4a8rWLe
February 5, 2026 at 8:01 AM
Reposted by ECFR European Power
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"Though EU policymakers are presenting the bloc’s growing energy dependence on the US as a growing challenge, there are three reasons why Europeans shouldn’t panic", writes @szymonkardas.bsky.social from @ecfrpower.bsky.social.

👉 Read Szymon's recent commentary here: https://bit.ly/4rotVlr
Avoiding gas panic: Why Europe should remain calm about US energy supply – European Council on Foreign Relations
American gas supplies are helping Europe’s move away from Russian energy. Despite trade tensions under Donald Trump, reliance on the US carries fewer risks than
bit.ly
February 3, 2026 at 3:30 PM
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The India-EU trade deal this week is the best embodiment of the kind of “pragmatism” the moment really requires and proves that a like-minded approach to China can provide economic and strategic payoffs, write @ajwsmall.bsky.social and Janka Oertel.

Read the full text 👇
https://bit.ly/4qPesv9
Band of brothers: Why like-minded powers need to hold the line on China – European Council on Foreign Relations
Like-minded countries are starting to protect themselves from US unpredictability and Chinese dominance by forging new coalitions. This will only work if they l
bit.ly
February 2, 2026 at 1:33 PM
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The India-EU trade deal this week is the best embodiment of the kind of “pragmatism” the moment really requires and proves that a like-minded approach to China can provide economic and strategic payoffs, writes @ajwsmall.bsky.social and Janka Oertel.

Read the full text 👇
https://bit.ly/4qPesv9
January 29, 2026 at 6:54 PM
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jeremycliffe.bsky.social
Europe needs green tech.
Europe needs to be resilient against Chinese coercion.

Two imperatives, two camps. How to reconcile them? @byfordt.bsky.social just published the definitive study for @ecfr.eu. Read it ⬇️

ecfr.eu/publication/...
Don’t look down: How Europeans can escape China’s clean-tech gravity – European Council on Foreign Relations
China’s manufacturing surge and trade tactics are dampening Europe’s clean-tech goals. Europeans need to forge coalitions across wary member states to secure th
ecfr.eu
January 28, 2026 at 7:37 PM
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"Even if the events of January 2026 were to add to Trump’s unpopularity across Europe, his warmongering could still help his ideological allies. A successful culture war does not require Trump sycophancy", writes @pawelzerka.bsky.social. @ecfrpower.bsky.social

https://bit.ly/45NBdXV
Trump’s culture war on Europe is far from over – European Council on Foreign Relations
While unpopular in Europe, Trump’s new penchant for waging war could still help his ideological allies across the continent
bit.ly
January 24, 2026 at 8:19 AM
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noaasm.bsky.social
In light of the latest Trump’s tariff news, it is good time to revisit this article by @tobiasgehrke.bsky.social in @ecfrpower.bsky.social blog
ecfr.eu/publication/...
Brussels hold’em: European cards against Trumpian coercion – European Council on Foreign Relations
Faced with an aggressive United States, Europe has more leverage than it realises. Across trade, technology, infrastructure, finance and people-to-people relati
ecfr.eu
January 18, 2026 at 5:59 AM
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sylviekauffmann.bsky.social
Yes, Europe has cards on Greenland. Here are 10 of them. @ecfr.eu
Arctic hold‘em: Ten European cards in Greenland – European Council on Foreign Relations
Europeans have real leverage in the face of Donald Trump’s threats towards Greenland—and time on their side. They must use it to raise the prospective costs of
ecfr.eu
January 18, 2026 at 6:50 PM
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“There is no such thing as an ideal version of free trade. Our best bet is as-free-as-possible trade.”, writes @jankaoertel.bsky.social. As China undercuts industry worldwide, it’s time to refresh the open market story. @ecfrpower.bsky.social

https://bit.ly/4sQYZft
EU-Mercosur deal: Take the win, but change the tune  – European Council on Foreign Relations
With the EU-Mercosur deal signed after 25 years of negotiations, free trade advocates in Europe may feel triumphant. But their narrative is no longer convincing
ecfr.eu
January 16, 2026 at 4:50 PM