Patrick De Haan
@gasbuddyguy.bsky.social
๐ Head of Petroleum Analysis @ GasBuddy
๐บ CNBC โข CNN โข Fox News
๐๏ธ Cited by multiple White House administrations
๐ฏ Mythbuster. Data over politics.
๐บ CNBC โข CNN โข Fox News
๐๏ธ Cited by multiple White House administrations
๐ฏ Mythbuster. Data over politics.
INDIANA- beware- you'll likely see gas prices cycle/jump in the next few days after MI, OH and FL recently did.
February 10, 2026 at 6:20 PM
INDIANA- beware- you'll likely see gas prices cycle/jump in the next few days after MI, OH and FL recently did.
WTI crude oil fetching $64.61/bbl, while WCS fetching $52.01. Meanwhile, the most unwanted hyrdocarbon- gasoline- is fetching a measly $64.42/bbl for refiners in the Plains today.
February 10, 2026 at 2:29 PM
WTI crude oil fetching $64.61/bbl, while WCS fetching $52.01. Meanwhile, the most unwanted hyrdocarbon- gasoline- is fetching a measly $64.42/bbl for refiners in the Plains today.
the discounts now stand at over 40c/gal (vs NYMEX) for the Plains and over 25c/gal for the Great Lakes- retailers the beneficiaries to this winter gasoline clearance sale, but once it's gone- prepare for slingshot!
The winter gasoline clearance sale is starting in the Plains states and some of the Great Lakes- discounts (basis) down 6-10c/gal for high RVP 13.5-15psi material, which will need to clear out in the next ~3 weeks
February 10, 2026 at 2:25 PM
the discounts now stand at over 40c/gal (vs NYMEX) for the Plains and over 25c/gal for the Great Lakes- retailers the beneficiaries to this winter gasoline clearance sale, but once it's gone- prepare for slingshot!
Wholesale gasoline is $1/gal more in the Bay area today than it is in the Plains states (and fyi, it's not quite the same spec). Less supply with imminent shutdown of Valero's Benicia refinery.
February 10, 2026 at 2:18 PM
Wholesale gasoline is $1/gal more in the Bay area today than it is in the Plains states (and fyi, it's not quite the same spec). Less supply with imminent shutdown of Valero's Benicia refinery.
CO, CA, WA, NV, UT, FL, OR, AZ and ID have seen the largest increase in average #gasprices over the last month, while NY, AK, GA, NH, ME, CT have seen the smallest. Check the full list: fuelinsights.gasbuddy.com/biggestmovers
GasBuddy Media Website
fuelinsights.gasbuddy.com
February 10, 2026 at 1:38 PM
CO, CA, WA, NV, UT, FL, OR, AZ and ID have seen the largest increase in average #gasprices over the last month, while NY, AK, GA, NH, ME, CT have seen the smallest. Check the full list: fuelinsights.gasbuddy.com/biggestmovers
The national average price of gasoline has reached $2.92/gal, and stands 14c/gal higher than a month ago. Biggest monthly increases:
CO +45c/gal
CA +27c/gal
WA +27c/gal
NV +25c/gal
WY +25c/gal
UT +23c/gal
FL +21c/gal
OR +21c/gal
AZ +18c/gal
ID +16c/gal
CO +45c/gal
CA +27c/gal
WA +27c/gal
NV +25c/gal
WY +25c/gal
UT +23c/gal
FL +21c/gal
OR +21c/gal
AZ +18c/gal
ID +16c/gal
February 10, 2026 at 1:37 PM
The national average price of gasoline has reached $2.92/gal, and stands 14c/gal higher than a month ago. Biggest monthly increases:
CO +45c/gal
CA +27c/gal
WA +27c/gal
NV +25c/gal
WY +25c/gal
UT +23c/gal
FL +21c/gal
OR +21c/gal
AZ +18c/gal
ID +16c/gal
CO +45c/gal
CA +27c/gal
WA +27c/gal
NV +25c/gal
WY +25c/gal
UT +23c/gal
FL +21c/gal
OR +21c/gal
AZ +18c/gal
ID +16c/gal
ALERT: #GasPrices appear to be rising to $2.99/gal in #Florida today. This is a routine price cycle.
February 10, 2026 at 12:58 PM
ALERT: #GasPrices appear to be rising to $2.99/gal in #Florida today. This is a routine price cycle.
The winter gasoline clearance sale is starting in the Plains states and some of the Great Lakes- discounts (basis) down 6-10c/gal for high RVP 13.5-15psi material, which will need to clear out in the next ~3 weeks
February 9, 2026 at 9:22 PM
The winter gasoline clearance sale is starting in the Plains states and some of the Great Lakes- discounts (basis) down 6-10c/gal for high RVP 13.5-15psi material, which will need to clear out in the next ~3 weeks
ALERT: #GasPrices appear to be rising to $2.99/gal in areas of #Ohio today. This is a routine price cycle.
February 9, 2026 at 3:52 PM
ALERT: #GasPrices appear to be rising to $2.99/gal in areas of #Ohio today. This is a routine price cycle.
ALERT: #GasPrices appear to be rising to $3.19/gal in #Michigan today. This is a routine price cycle enhanced by Michigan's shift in gasoline tax January 1st.
February 9, 2026 at 3:51 PM
ALERT: #GasPrices appear to be rising to $3.19/gal in #Michigan today. This is a routine price cycle enhanced by Michigan's shift in gasoline tax January 1st.
National Average Inches Up as West Coast Prices Seasonally Swell, by @GasBuddyGuy open.substack.com/pub/gasprice...
National Average Inches Up as West Coast Prices Seasonally Swell
The nationโs average price of gasoline has risen 1.2 cents over the last week and stands at $2.84 per gallon, according to GasBuddyยฎ data compiled from more than 12 million individual price reports co...
open.substack.com
February 9, 2026 at 2:26 PM
National Average Inches Up as West Coast Prices Seasonally Swell, by @GasBuddyGuy open.substack.com/pub/gasprice...
Average diesel prices have jumped double digits in six states over the last week with now 27 states seeing diesel prices over 10 cents higher than a month ago, while 7 are seeing averages up over 25c/gal from a month ago.
February 9, 2026 at 1:29 PM
Average diesel prices have jumped double digits in six states over the last week with now 27 states seeing diesel prices over 10 cents higher than a month ago, while 7 are seeing averages up over 25c/gal from a month ago.
The national average price of gasoline inched back up in the last week, as oil prices remain elevated as the U.S. and Iran talk about a potential nuclear deal. Big jumps to average diesel prices due to the cold weather in late January.
February 9, 2026 at 1:28 PM
The national average price of gasoline inched back up in the last week, as oil prices remain elevated as the U.S. and Iran talk about a potential nuclear deal. Big jumps to average diesel prices due to the cold weather in late January.
BP WHITING: Keeping a close eye on union contract talks at the BP refinery in Whiting, IN, the largest in the region after the 3-year contract expired last Friday. 98% of union workers voted to strike. I don't believe a strike would immediately impact operations at this time.
February 6, 2026 at 2:24 PM
BP WHITING: Keeping a close eye on union contract talks at the BP refinery in Whiting, IN, the largest in the region after the 3-year contract expired last Friday. 98% of union workers voted to strike. I don't believe a strike would immediately impact operations at this time.
What happens when you chase political dreams instead of reality... Stellantis has admitted to losing touch with the โreal-worldโ needs of drivers and revealed a โฌ22bn charge tied to its aggressive expansion into EVs, sending shares in the carmaker down by the most on record.
February 6, 2026 at 2:16 PM
What happens when you chase political dreams instead of reality... Stellantis has admitted to losing touch with the โreal-worldโ needs of drivers and revealed a โฌ22bn charge tied to its aggressive expansion into EVs, sending shares in the carmaker down by the most on record.
The national average price of gasoline has reached $2.90/gal, according to GasBuddy data, the highest level of 2026. The top 10 largest movers over the last week are all increases. Leaders: CO +14c, UT +12c, OH +12c, WY +11c, WA +11c
February 6, 2026 at 2:08 PM
The national average price of gasoline has reached $2.90/gal, according to GasBuddy data, the highest level of 2026. The top 10 largest movers over the last week are all increases. Leaders: CO +14c, UT +12c, OH +12c, WY +11c, WA +11c
Here's your reminder that while the U.S. is the largest oil producer in the world, we also *imported* 43.4 million barrels of oil over the last week. (EIA)
February 4, 2026 at 3:43 PM
Here's your reminder that while the U.S. is the largest oil producer in the world, we also *imported* 43.4 million barrels of oil over the last week. (EIA)
Current PADD distillate inventories vs a year ago:
PADD 1 +4.7%
PADD 2 -7.8%
PADD 3 +26.3%
PADD 4 -7.0%
PADD 5 +1.7%
PADD 1 +4.7%
PADD 2 -7.8%
PADD 3 +26.3%
PADD 4 -7.0%
PADD 5 +1.7%
February 4, 2026 at 3:39 PM
Current PADD distillate inventories vs a year ago:
PADD 1 +4.7%
PADD 2 -7.8%
PADD 3 +26.3%
PADD 4 -7.0%
PADD 5 +1.7%
PADD 1 +4.7%
PADD 2 -7.8%
PADD 3 +26.3%
PADD 4 -7.0%
PADD 5 +1.7%
Current PADD gasoline inventories vs a year ago:
PADD 1 +2.2%
PADD 2 +3.3%
PADD 3 +3.9%
PADD 4 +1.2%
PADD 5 -0.3%
PADD 1 +2.2%
PADD 2 +3.3%
PADD 3 +3.9%
PADD 4 +1.2%
PADD 5 -0.3%
February 4, 2026 at 3:37 PM
Current PADD gasoline inventories vs a year ago:
PADD 1 +2.2%
PADD 2 +3.3%
PADD 3 +3.9%
PADD 4 +1.2%
PADD 5 -0.3%
PADD 1 +2.2%
PADD 2 +3.3%
PADD 3 +3.9%
PADD 4 +1.2%
PADD 5 -0.3%
PADD 1a saw distillate inventories plummet over 20% in the last week as demand surged due to natural gas supply constraints and frigid weather, with PADD 1b falling nearly 12%.
February 4, 2026 at 3:34 PM
PADD 1a saw distillate inventories plummet over 20% in the last week as demand surged due to natural gas supply constraints and frigid weather, with PADD 1b falling nearly 12%.
Unsurprisingly, PADD 1 saw a 9.3% drop in distillate inventories last week as frigid temps and natural gas supply halts boosted HO consumption with inventories falling 3.2 million barrels. Refinery utilization also fell 8.4% in PADD 1.
February 4, 2026 at 3:33 PM
Unsurprisingly, PADD 1 saw a 9.3% drop in distillate inventories last week as frigid temps and natural gas supply halts boosted HO consumption with inventories falling 3.2 million barrels. Refinery utilization also fell 8.4% in PADD 1.
The national average price of gasoline has increased 15c/gal from its mid-January low and stands at $2.89/gal today- this is likely just the tip of the iceberg. Expect increases to ramp up moreso in March as the transition to summer gasoline for most of the country begins then.
February 4, 2026 at 3:15 PM
The national average price of gasoline has increased 15c/gal from its mid-January low and stands at $2.89/gal today- this is likely just the tip of the iceberg. Expect increases to ramp up moreso in March as the transition to summer gasoline for most of the country begins then.
While it's not hard to find some stations at nearly these prices today, I'm referring to the average price- it will not come remotely close to the $8-$10 figures- imports of gasoline will help make ends meet and prevent average prices from doubling.
February 4, 2026 at 3:12 PM
While it's not hard to find some stations at nearly these prices today, I'm referring to the average price- it will not come remotely close to the $8-$10 figures- imports of gasoline will help make ends meet and prevent average prices from doubling.
As Valero begins the process to shut down its Benicia, CA refinery, some continue to share the false alarm of a (wrong) opinion piece that $8-$10 gas prices could happen in the state. Gas prices will not surge to $8-$10 in California, even with the shutdown.
February 4, 2026 at 3:11 PM
As Valero begins the process to shut down its Benicia, CA refinery, some continue to share the false alarm of a (wrong) opinion piece that $8-$10 gas prices could happen in the state. Gas prices will not surge to $8-$10 in California, even with the shutdown.