John Horvick
@horvick.bsky.social
DHM Research, Senior Vice President
61% of Oregonians agree they can achieve the American Dream, while 34% disagree, and 5% don't know.
From a September 2025 DHM Research survey.
From a September 2025 DHM Research survey.
November 25, 2025 at 7:35 PM
61% of Oregonians agree they can achieve the American Dream, while 34% disagree, and 5% don't know.
From a September 2025 DHM Research survey.
From a September 2025 DHM Research survey.
Update on Oregon House of Representatives candidate filings.
There are 68 candidates. 35 Democrats and 33 Republicans.
There are 31 districts with no Democrat and 31 districts with no Republican.
There are 11 districts with neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
There are 68 candidates. 35 Democrats and 33 Republicans.
There are 31 districts with no Democrat and 31 districts with no Republican.
There are 11 districts with neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
November 25, 2025 at 4:48 PM
Update on Oregon House of Representatives candidate filings.
There are 68 candidates. 35 Democrats and 33 Republicans.
There are 31 districts with no Democrat and 31 districts with no Republican.
There are 11 districts with neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
There are 68 candidates. 35 Democrats and 33 Republicans.
There are 31 districts with no Democrat and 31 districts with no Republican.
There are 11 districts with neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
The history of party registration in Oregon counties since 2000. In alphabetical order.
1. Baker
1. Baker
November 23, 2025 at 4:17 PM
The history of party registration in Oregon counties since 2000. In alphabetical order.
1. Baker
1. Baker
Update on the number of candidates for Oregon governor.
Christine Drazan filed for the Republican primary election today.
Another Democrat also joined the race, and one Republican withdrew.
Christine Drazan filed for the Republican primary election today.
Another Democrat also joined the race, and one Republican withdrew.
November 21, 2025 at 8:36 PM
Update on the number of candidates for Oregon governor.
Christine Drazan filed for the Republican primary election today.
Another Democrat also joined the race, and one Republican withdrew.
Christine Drazan filed for the Republican primary election today.
Another Democrat also joined the race, and one Republican withdrew.
Here are changes in chronic absence from 2018-2019 to 2024-2025 by grade level and student demographics.
Chronic absences increased across all groups.
Chronic absences increased across all groups.
November 21, 2025 at 4:39 PM
Here are changes in chronic absence from 2018-2019 to 2024-2025 by grade level and student demographics.
Chronic absences increased across all groups.
Chronic absences increased across all groups.
Updated consumer sentiment numbers from the University of Michigan. Here are the changes by party.
Democrats 32.4 (-3.5)
Independents 46.7 (-2.8)
Republicans 86.6 (-10.6)
Democrats are now lower than Republicans were at any point of Biden's term. Independents are also below their Biden lows.
Democrats 32.4 (-3.5)
Independents 46.7 (-2.8)
Republicans 86.6 (-10.6)
Democrats are now lower than Republicans were at any point of Biden's term. Independents are also below their Biden lows.
November 21, 2025 at 3:10 PM
Updated consumer sentiment numbers from the University of Michigan. Here are the changes by party.
Democrats 32.4 (-3.5)
Independents 46.7 (-2.8)
Republicans 86.6 (-10.6)
Democrats are now lower than Republicans were at any point of Biden's term. Independents are also below their Biden lows.
Democrats 32.4 (-3.5)
Independents 46.7 (-2.8)
Republicans 86.6 (-10.6)
Democrats are now lower than Republicans were at any point of Biden's term. Independents are also below their Biden lows.
Today, the Oregon Department of Education released the annual report on school attendance.
This shows the change in % of chronically absent students (i.e., "non-regular attenders") from 2018-2019 to 2024-2025 in Oregon's thirty largest school districts.
This shows the change in % of chronically absent students (i.e., "non-regular attenders") from 2018-2019 to 2024-2025 in Oregon's thirty largest school districts.
November 20, 2025 at 5:57 PM
Today, the Oregon Department of Education released the annual report on school attendance.
This shows the change in % of chronically absent students (i.e., "non-regular attenders") from 2018-2019 to 2024-2025 in Oregon's thirty largest school districts.
This shows the change in % of chronically absent students (i.e., "non-regular attenders") from 2018-2019 to 2024-2025 in Oregon's thirty largest school districts.
Today, the Oregon Department of Education released the annual report on school attendance. In the 2024-2025 school year, 33.5% of K-12 students were "non-regular attenders," i.e., chronically absent.
This is 13 points more than pre-Covid.
This is 13 points more than pre-Covid.
November 20, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Today, the Oregon Department of Education released the annual report on school attendance. In the 2024-2025 school year, 33.5% of K-12 students were "non-regular attenders," i.e., chronically absent.
This is 13 points more than pre-Covid.
This is 13 points more than pre-Covid.
Oregon registration by age and party
November 19, 2025 at 7:40 PM
Oregon registration by age and party
As of today, 14 candidates for governor have filed for the 2026 primary election in Oregon.
This does not include Tina Kotek or Christine Drazan, who have not yet filed.
There are now 11 Republicans and 3 Democrats.
This does not include Tina Kotek or Christine Drazan, who have not yet filed.
There are now 11 Republicans and 3 Democrats.
November 19, 2025 at 12:41 AM
As of today, 14 candidates for governor have filed for the 2026 primary election in Oregon.
This does not include Tina Kotek or Christine Drazan, who have not yet filed.
There are now 11 Republicans and 3 Democrats.
This does not include Tina Kotek or Christine Drazan, who have not yet filed.
There are now 11 Republicans and 3 Democrats.
Updated local funding measure tracking.
Since election night, one measure has changed from failing to passing. Now, 19 of 30 local funding measures are passing.
Since election night, one measure has changed from failing to passing. Now, 19 of 30 local funding measures are passing.
November 13, 2025 at 5:08 PM
Updated local funding measure tracking.
Since election night, one measure has changed from failing to passing. Now, 19 of 30 local funding measures are passing.
Since election night, one measure has changed from failing to passing. Now, 19 of 30 local funding measures are passing.
The share of the total Democratic vote for governor in the counties won by Tina Kotek: 1930 to 2022.
Washington County is darker orange.
Washington County is darker orange.
November 11, 2025 at 10:59 PM
The share of the total Democratic vote for governor in the counties won by Tina Kotek: 1930 to 2022.
Washington County is darker orange.
Washington County is darker orange.
Percent of veterans by Oregon House of Representatives district
November 11, 2025 at 5:35 PM
Percent of veterans by Oregon House of Representatives district
President Trump's approval ratings from the big poll aggregators. A clear turn for the worse since the shutdown.
November 7, 2025 at 3:33 PM
President Trump's approval ratings from the big poll aggregators. A clear turn for the worse since the shutdown.
The partisan changes in consumer sentiment this month are more the result of declines in perceptions of current conditions (top) than expectations about the future (bottom).
On all these measures, Independents now look much more like Democrats than Republicans.
On all these measures, Independents now look much more like Democrats than Republicans.
November 7, 2025 at 3:21 PM
The partisan changes in consumer sentiment this month are more the result of declines in perceptions of current conditions (top) than expectations about the future (bottom).
On all these measures, Independents now look much more like Democrats than Republicans.
On all these measures, Independents now look much more like Democrats than Republicans.
The partisan changes in consumer sentiment this month are more the result of declines in perceptions of current conditions (top) than expectations about the future (bottom).
On all these measures, Independents now look much more like Democrats than Republicans.
On all these measures, Independents now look much more like Democrats than Republicans.
November 7, 2025 at 3:20 PM
The partisan changes in consumer sentiment this month are more the result of declines in perceptions of current conditions (top) than expectations about the future (bottom).
On all these measures, Independents now look much more like Democrats than Republicans.
On all these measures, Independents now look much more like Democrats than Republicans.
Updated consumer sentiment numbers from the University of Michigan are out today.
Here are the monthly changes by party.
Democrat 33.2 (-2,7)
Independent 45.0 (-4.5)
Republican 91.9 (-5.3)
Here are the monthly changes by party.
Democrat 33.2 (-2,7)
Independent 45.0 (-4.5)
Republican 91.9 (-5.3)
November 7, 2025 at 3:07 PM
Updated consumer sentiment numbers from the University of Michigan are out today.
Here are the monthly changes by party.
Democrat 33.2 (-2,7)
Independent 45.0 (-4.5)
Republican 91.9 (-5.3)
Here are the monthly changes by party.
Democrat 33.2 (-2,7)
Independent 45.0 (-4.5)
Republican 91.9 (-5.3)
Oregon's November registration totals are out today from the Secretary of State.
Here are the monthly changes by party.
Total +6,917
Non-affiliated +6,268
Ind. Party of Oregon +638
Other +232
Republican -19
Democrat -202
Here are the monthly changes by party.
Total +6,917
Non-affiliated +6,268
Ind. Party of Oregon +638
Other +232
Republican -19
Democrat -202
November 5, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Oregon's November registration totals are out today from the Secretary of State.
Here are the monthly changes by party.
Total +6,917
Non-affiliated +6,268
Ind. Party of Oregon +638
Other +232
Republican -19
Democrat -202
Here are the monthly changes by party.
Total +6,917
Non-affiliated +6,268
Ind. Party of Oregon +638
Other +232
Republican -19
Democrat -202
By my count, 18 of 30 local funding measures in Oregon are passing as of election night.
November 5, 2025 at 5:09 AM
By my count, 18 of 30 local funding measures in Oregon are passing as of election night.
Since 1983, the president's party has lost the VA governor's election 10 of 11 times.
November 5, 2025 at 4:42 AM
Since 1983, the president's party has lost the VA governor's election 10 of 11 times.
The Portland parks levy is currently passing with 53% yes.
In 2020, it passed with 64% yes.
Here are precinct comparisons for the current results (left) vs. 2020 (right).
In 2020, it passed with 64% yes.
Here are precinct comparisons for the current results (left) vs. 2020 (right).
November 5, 2025 at 4:22 AM
The Portland parks levy is currently passing with 53% yes.
In 2020, it passed with 64% yes.
Here are precinct comparisons for the current results (left) vs. 2020 (right).
In 2020, it passed with 64% yes.
Here are precinct comparisons for the current results (left) vs. 2020 (right).
The Major Cities Chiefs Association today released its violent crime comparisons for the first three quarters of 2025 vs. 2024.
Violent crime declined in most cities. It declined 5% in Portland.
Violent crime declined in most cities. It declined 5% in Portland.
November 4, 2025 at 1:32 AM
The Major Cities Chiefs Association today released its violent crime comparisons for the first three quarters of 2025 vs. 2024.
Violent crime declined in most cities. It declined 5% in Portland.
Violent crime declined in most cities. It declined 5% in Portland.
Some recent history for those watching the Portland parks levy vote.
Support for local tax measures and progressive candidates and issues has increased from the first ballot counts to the final results.
Support for local tax measures and progressive candidates and issues has increased from the first ballot counts to the final results.
November 3, 2025 at 11:56 PM
Some recent history for those watching the Portland parks levy vote.
Support for local tax measures and progressive candidates and issues has increased from the first ballot counts to the final results.
Support for local tax measures and progressive candidates and issues has increased from the first ballot counts to the final results.
Percent of households receiving food stamps/Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) by Oregon House of Representatives district (2025)
November 1, 2025 at 4:07 PM
Percent of households receiving food stamps/Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) by Oregon House of Representatives district (2025)
Precinct results for the 2020 Portland parks levy.
An increase of the parks levy is on the ballot this election.
An increase of the parks levy is on the ballot this election.
October 31, 2025 at 8:25 PM
Precinct results for the 2020 Portland parks levy.
An increase of the parks levy is on the ballot this election.
An increase of the parks levy is on the ballot this election.