Jacob
@jcb.bsky.social
number crunching
formerly msc @ lse stats, surveys @ us census
formerly msc @ lse stats, surveys @ us census
In response to this follow up from Kaufmann, I updated my post today to clarify that I don’t think the weighted or unweighted estimates are a good answer to this question
October 16, 2025 at 10:14 PM
In response to this follow up from Kaufmann, I updated my post today to clarify that I don’t think the weighted or unweighted estimates are a good answer to this question
Reposted by Jacob
16 million views and a bunch of media write-ups for a claim that falls apart if you actually use the survey weights like you are taught to do in undergrad. I would say the University of Buckingham is not sending their best but realistically they probably are
October 15, 2025 at 6:06 PM
16 million views and a bunch of media write-ups for a claim that falls apart if you actually use the survey weights like you are taught to do in undergrad. I would say the University of Buckingham is not sending their best but realistically they probably are
There are a number of issues with this analysis but I found one that I haven't seen anyone else mention: Kaufmann estimates gender ID from the FIRE data without using the survey weights
When the weights are used as designed, the evidence for his core claim disappears
When the weights are used as designed, the evidence for his core claim disappears
October 15, 2025 at 5:12 AM
There are a number of issues with this analysis but I found one that I haven't seen anyone else mention: Kaufmann estimates gender ID from the FIRE data without using the survey weights
When the weights are used as designed, the evidence for his core claim disappears
When the weights are used as designed, the evidence for his core claim disappears
Reposted by Jacob
The world is much more complex than we can individually comprehend. If systems don't have ways of simplifying that ("attenuating variety" per Stafford Beer) then the variety will still be attenuated, just in a completely arbitrary way that leads to us prioritising completely the wrong information.
February 25, 2025 at 2:54 PM
The world is much more complex than we can individually comprehend. If systems don't have ways of simplifying that ("attenuating variety" per Stafford Beer) then the variety will still be attenuated, just in a completely arbitrary way that leads to us prioritising completely the wrong information.
Reposted by Jacob
developing a sort of descriptive thesis that there is a growing anti-civilization movement coalescing around destroying the pillars of modernity: pharmaceuticals, efficient agriculture, and education and their assumptions are widely culturally accepted
February 17, 2025 at 5:22 PM
developing a sort of descriptive thesis that there is a growing anti-civilization movement coalescing around destroying the pillars of modernity: pharmaceuticals, efficient agriculture, and education and their assumptions are widely culturally accepted
Reposted by Jacob
Not. Permitted. Under the Law.
December 8, 2024 at 2:21 PM
Not. Permitted. Under the Law.
Reposted by Jacob
Pentametron was one of the great web art projects, retweeting couplets of accidentally iambic tweets. Thanks to Bluesky's open feed, I have resurrected the concept..
Behold @iambic.bot!
Behold @iambic.bot!
November 30, 2024 at 3:26 PM
Pentametron was one of the great web art projects, retweeting couplets of accidentally iambic tweets. Thanks to Bluesky's open feed, I have resurrected the concept..
Behold @iambic.bot!
Behold @iambic.bot!
You can’t fathom the difference between 0.002 and 1. This chart is to scale.
November 27, 2024 at 11:39 PM
You can’t fathom the difference between 0.002 and 1. This chart is to scale.
Manifesting works
November 21, 2024 at 11:55 PM
Manifesting works
Reposted by Jacob
a guy like that doesn’t worship god, he worships power
November 8, 2023 at 7:24 PM
a guy like that doesn’t worship god, he worships power
Reposted by Jacob
The current water level is 4189.5 ft above mean sea level
which compared with
1 year ago today is 0.91 ft higher ⬆️
2 years ago today is 0.38 ft lower ⬇️
10 years ago today is 4.51 ft lower ⬇️
as of Wednesday, October 25, 2023 at 06:15:00 PM MT
which compared with
1 year ago today is 0.91 ft higher ⬆️
2 years ago today is 0.38 ft lower ⬇️
10 years ago today is 4.51 ft lower ⬇️
as of Wednesday, October 25, 2023 at 06:15:00 PM MT
October 26, 2023 at 1:13 AM
The current water level is 4189.5 ft above mean sea level
which compared with
1 year ago today is 0.91 ft higher ⬆️
2 years ago today is 0.38 ft lower ⬇️
10 years ago today is 4.51 ft lower ⬇️
as of Wednesday, October 25, 2023 at 06:15:00 PM MT
which compared with
1 year ago today is 0.91 ft higher ⬆️
2 years ago today is 0.38 ft lower ⬇️
10 years ago today is 4.51 ft lower ⬇️
as of Wednesday, October 25, 2023 at 06:15:00 PM MT
It’s so dark to see people grind all of this into content of the same flavor as everything else. “Laughing til my head comes off, who’s in a bunker,” etc
October 12, 2023 at 1:22 AM
It’s so dark to see people grind all of this into content of the same flavor as everything else. “Laughing til my head comes off, who’s in a bunker,” etc
Reposted by Jacob
The current water level is 4189.1 ft above mean sea level
which compared with
1 year ago today is 0.31 ft higher ⬆️
2 years ago today is 1.03 ft lower ⬇️
10 years ago today is 5.02 ft lower ⬇️
as of Monday, October 09, 2023 at 06:15:00 PM MT
which compared with
1 year ago today is 0.31 ft higher ⬆️
2 years ago today is 1.03 ft lower ⬇️
10 years ago today is 5.02 ft lower ⬇️
as of Monday, October 09, 2023 at 06:15:00 PM MT
October 10, 2023 at 1:14 AM
The current water level is 4189.1 ft above mean sea level
which compared with
1 year ago today is 0.31 ft higher ⬆️
2 years ago today is 1.03 ft lower ⬇️
10 years ago today is 5.02 ft lower ⬇️
as of Monday, October 09, 2023 at 06:15:00 PM MT
which compared with
1 year ago today is 0.31 ft higher ⬆️
2 years ago today is 1.03 ft lower ⬇️
10 years ago today is 5.02 ft lower ⬇️
as of Monday, October 09, 2023 at 06:15:00 PM MT
tired of seeing videos of people dying on twitter, dragging my feet back over here
October 8, 2023 at 4:01 AM
tired of seeing videos of people dying on twitter, dragging my feet back over here
Reposted by Jacob
instead of a "severe thunderstorm warning," why not try a "gentle thunderstorm reminder"
August 14, 2023 at 8:39 PM
instead of a "severe thunderstorm warning," why not try a "gentle thunderstorm reminder"
Reposted by Jacob
To everybody who just joined bluesky, please remember some of the culture here is different. For instance, I'm the most blocked person. Don't try to get more blocks than I have, That's appropriation
July 2, 2023 at 4:15 PM
To everybody who just joined bluesky, please remember some of the culture here is different. For instance, I'm the most blocked person. Don't try to get more blocks than I have, That's appropriation
Reposted by Jacob
The current water level is 4189.1 ft above mean sea level
which compared with
1 year ago today is 0.69 ft lower ⬇️
2 years ago today is 2.07 ft lower ⬇️
10 years ago today is 6.31 ft lower ⬇️
as of Monday, July 10, 2023 at 07:15:00 PM MT
which compared with
1 year ago today is 0.69 ft lower ⬇️
2 years ago today is 2.07 ft lower ⬇️
10 years ago today is 6.31 ft lower ⬇️
as of Monday, July 10, 2023 at 07:15:00 PM MT
July 11, 2023 at 1:47 AM
The current water level is 4189.1 ft above mean sea level
which compared with
1 year ago today is 0.69 ft lower ⬇️
2 years ago today is 2.07 ft lower ⬇️
10 years ago today is 6.31 ft lower ⬇️
as of Monday, July 10, 2023 at 07:15:00 PM MT
which compared with
1 year ago today is 0.69 ft lower ⬇️
2 years ago today is 2.07 ft lower ⬇️
10 years ago today is 6.31 ft lower ⬇️
as of Monday, July 10, 2023 at 07:15:00 PM MT
May 17, 2023 at 2:38 PM
Reposted by Jacob
what mysteries lie behind the Big Mac's cavernous facade. as i stare into the carceral void, i ask myself what happenings have filled this vessel, what mythologies we might unearth-
May 9, 2023 at 7:39 PM
what mysteries lie behind the Big Mac's cavernous facade. as i stare into the carceral void, i ask myself what happenings have filled this vessel, what mythologies we might unearth-
Reposted by Jacob
reading this to myself in werner herzog voice
there were playgrounds in the 80s at McD's that had the characters as playground equipment. Officer Big Mac was a jail (that eats children)
May 9, 2023 at 7:32 PM
reading this to myself in werner herzog voice