Jordan Nafa
@jordannafa.bsky.social
1.3K followers 310 following 2.2K posts
Bayesian Statistician and Data Scientist in the Gaming/Entertainment Industry | Bayesian Statistics, Causal Inference, R, Python, Stan, Decision Theory, Guitar | Former Political Scientist
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jordannafa.bsky.social
Are you interested in Bayesian Optimization? Do you think multi-arm bandits are cool? Do you like donating to good causes? We'll, I'm super excited to say I'll be hosting a charity workshop on Bayesian Optimization with Multi-Arm Bandits on October 23rd.

sites.google.com/view/dariia-...
Dariia Mykhailyshyna - Workshops for Ukraine
Feedback on the past workshops (if you want to learn how to make wordclouds, check out Text Data Analysis workshop below)
sites.google.com
Reposted by Jordan Nafa
seanpmackinnon.bsky.social
Fine-tuning a ggplot's aesthetic sensibilities is a time-honoured way to procrastinate from doing something you'd hate even more
jordannafa.bsky.social
As an aside, I learned today that the only thing worse than Costco on a Saturday is HEB on a Friday afternoon
jordannafa.bsky.social
It says a lot about me as a person that I bought a house that's like a 3 minute drive/15 minute walk from all the shopping/food/entertainment in the area and didn't actually realize that until we were moving stuff into the house
jordannafa.bsky.social
The response to shit like this from Democrats should be something along the lines of "If Mr. Johnson believes that peaceful protests in opposition to dictatorial monarchy are un-American, he is a traitor to every principle the country was founded on"
atrupar.com
Mike Johnson: "We're so angry about it. I mean, I'm a very patient guy, but I've had it with these people. The theory we have right now -- they have a hate America rally that's scheduled for October 18 on the National Mall. It's the pro-Hamas wing and antifa people ... "
jordannafa.bsky.social
Sure, but ideological positions like "the colored folk are inferior and don't deserve equal rights" or "we shouldn't vaccinate children against preventable illnesses" have no place in polite society, much less academia
jordannafa.bsky.social
The entire concept of "ideological diversity" is mostly nonsense because it carries no intrinsic value for any meaningful scientific endeavor. A person's opinions on the civil rights act or taxation ought to be irrelevant to basically any legitimate form of scientific research.
opinionhaver.bsky.social
This is why I’m extremely skeptical of any attempt to add ‘ideological diversity’ to academia, despite thinking that there are fields where some version of it would genuinely epistemologically healthy: I simply do not believe that modern conservatism actually can supply people who are not this:
mtsw.bsky.social
Thiessen having a good chuckle about his fired liberal colleagues - some of whom he worked with for 15 years - is a good reminder that token conservatives at mainstream news outlets are/were there to destroy them, not to contribute to them.
jordannafa.bsky.social
i.e., 𝘋𝘦𝘮𝘰𝘤𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘴' 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘱𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘦 𝘵𝘰 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘷𝘰𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘢𝘯 𝘢𝘶𝘵𝘰𝘤𝘳𝘢𝘵 𝘩𝘢𝘴 𝘣𝘦𝘦𝘯 𝘮𝘪𝘭𝘲𝘶𝘦𝘵𝘰𝘢𝘴𝘵 𝘢𝘵 𝘣𝘦𝘴𝘵
jordannafa.bsky.social
Yeah, but slightly more negative.
jordannafa.bsky.social
As a noun or an adjective? In the case of the latter, 𝘔𝘦𝘥𝘪𝘰𝘤𝘳𝘦 𝘰𝘳 𝘭𝘢𝘤𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘯 𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘢𝘭 𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘪𝘵𝘶𝘥𝘦
jordannafa.bsky.social
Play stupid games, win stupid prizes
economist.com
For American farmers, China’s retaliatory tariffs are just the start of the problem. They are being squeezed from both sides, with falling commodity prices and rising input costs
Agriculture faces a MAGA reckoning
Tariffs, higher costs and Chinese retaliation hit hard
econ.st
jordannafa.bsky.social
We did these bedrooms in engineered hardwood with a totally different wood pattern than the high-end laminate that's in the hallway but they actually match pretty well.
jordannafa.bsky.social
Yup, it does both types of ice.
jordannafa.bsky.social
To my dismay, I have reached the age where I am excited by kitchen appliances.
jordannafa.bsky.social
Finally got to see the new fridge today and it is lit 🔥
Reposted by Jordan Nafa
andycraig.bsky.social
Like, "Donald Trump is disqualified by the 14th Amendment" isn't a crazy fringe position when 232 members of the House and 57 members of the Senate explicitly voted yes to that assertion.
jordannafa.bsky.social
The fact that Democrats are wholesale refusing to condition any deal to fund the government on the removal of NG forces from American cities should be the scandal of the century.
jordannafa.bsky.social
We haven't crossed that second bar, but if were going to the early warning signs would look a lot like what we're currently seeing in terms of the use of the legal system to harrass and prosecute critics of the regime and the deployment of armed military personnel into opposition-controlled cities.
jordannafa.bsky.social
Once you've crossed into the latter category, there aren't a lot of cases of getting out of it without some kind of violent revolt that topples the regime. So if you cross that second bar, there just aren't a lot of options that aren't "time to start shooting back."
jordannafa.bsky.social
Logically, a government may be illegitimate (i.e., extremely corrupt, disregard for rule of law or selective enforcement) without resorting to the violent suppression of dissent (i.e., forced disappearances, extreme brutality against dissidents).
jordannafa.bsky.social
This would also work as the name of general contractor
jordannafa.bsky.social
Pitch: A general purpose software engineering and data science/statistics consultancy called 𝘋𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘵 𝘙𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘍𝘪𝘳𝘴𝘵 𝘛𝘪𝘮𝘦.
jordannafa.bsky.social
In contrast, the business model here would be 𝘋𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘵 𝘙𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘍𝘪𝘳𝘴𝘵 𝘛𝘪𝘮𝘦 and getting recurring customers (or getting aquired) because who else is going to do it right the first time 🤷‍♂️
jordannafa.bsky.social
Ignore the fact that this is in some ways antithetical to the idea of a consultancy since the goal is often to extract as much money as possible from the client while also creating a mountain of tech debt you then try to get them to pay you to resolve.
jordannafa.bsky.social
Pitch: A general purpose software engineering and data science/statistics consultancy called 𝘋𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘵 𝘙𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘍𝘪𝘳𝘴𝘵 𝘛𝘪𝘮𝘦.