Alexander Lanoszka
@lanoszka.bsky.social
Associate professor at the University of Waterloo (Canada); visiting professor at the College of Europe in Natolin (Poland); and author of Military Alliances in the Twenty-First Century (Polity, 2022).
www.alexlanoszka.com
www.alexlanoszka.com
I recently participated in an expert panel organized at Carleton University that examined how Canada and Europe have reacted to the Russia-China strategic axis.
I posted the transcript of my presentation on my Substack.
alanoszka.substack.com/p/nato-and-t...
I posted the transcript of my presentation on my Substack.
alanoszka.substack.com/p/nato-and-t...
NATO and the Russia-China Partnership
Remarks from a recent Carleton University panel.
alanoszka.substack.com
November 27, 2025 at 3:05 PM
I recently participated in an expert panel organized at Carleton University that examined how Canada and Europe have reacted to the Russia-China strategic axis.
I posted the transcript of my presentation on my Substack.
alanoszka.substack.com/p/nato-and-t...
I posted the transcript of my presentation on my Substack.
alanoszka.substack.com/p/nato-and-t...
"The American-built F-35 fighter jet dominated its Swedish rival Gripen in terms of technical and military capabilities during a competition held by the Defence Department in 2021." www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
F-35 beat Gripen fighter jet 'by a mile' in 2021 Defence Department competition | CBC News
The American-built F-35 fighter jet dominated its Swedish rival Gripen in terms of technical and military capabilities during a competition held by the Defence Department in 2021, according to data ob...
www.cbc.ca
November 26, 2025 at 12:37 PM
"The American-built F-35 fighter jet dominated its Swedish rival Gripen in terms of technical and military capabilities during a competition held by the Defence Department in 2021." www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
I contributed some thoughts and observations to a piece in El País about Russia's campaign of sabotage and subversion in Poland and across Europe. En español y detrás de un muro de pago. elpais.com/internaciona...
Polonia, primera línea del frente en la zona gris del Kremlin
Moscú intensifica la presión sobre Varsovia con tácticas de guerra híbrida de difícil respuesta. El uso de explosivos en el último sabotaje muestra la tendencia hacia la escalada
elpais.com
November 25, 2025 at 8:02 PM
I contributed some thoughts and observations to a piece in El País about Russia's campaign of sabotage and subversion in Poland and across Europe. En español y detrás de un muro de pago. elpais.com/internaciona...
My own thoughts on Trump’s peace plan for Ukraine.
Regardless of how I feel, I don’t see it bringing about a durable peace. However, it could be something that the Trump administration has devised to find its own off-ramp, and that might be what matters the most. open.substack.com/pub/alanoszk...
Regardless of how I feel, I don’t see it bringing about a durable peace. However, it could be something that the Trump administration has devised to find its own off-ramp, and that might be what matters the most. open.substack.com/pub/alanoszk...
On Trump's Peace Plan
It could be much, much better for Ukraine, but it could also be worse.
open.substack.com
November 21, 2025 at 3:51 PM
My own thoughts on Trump’s peace plan for Ukraine.
Regardless of how I feel, I don’t see it bringing about a durable peace. However, it could be something that the Trump administration has devised to find its own off-ramp, and that might be what matters the most. open.substack.com/pub/alanoszk...
Regardless of how I feel, I don’t see it bringing about a durable peace. However, it could be something that the Trump administration has devised to find its own off-ramp, and that might be what matters the most. open.substack.com/pub/alanoszk...
"The federal government, in particular Industry Minister Mélanie Joly, has made clear the Liberals want to leverage defence spending to help build the Canadian economy."
How about we leverage defence spending to build, I don't know, the Canadian Armed Forces? www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
How about we leverage defence spending to build, I don't know, the Canadian Armed Forces? www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
Canada’s instructions to submarine contract bidders highlight sustainment, economic benefits | CBC News
Canada has formally issued firm bidding instructions to the two companies vying to build the navy’s new submarines, CBC News has learned.
www.cbc.ca
November 20, 2025 at 4:07 PM
"The federal government, in particular Industry Minister Mélanie Joly, has made clear the Liberals want to leverage defence spending to help build the Canadian economy."
How about we leverage defence spending to build, I don't know, the Canadian Armed Forces? www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
How about we leverage defence spending to build, I don't know, the Canadian Armed Forces? www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
My International Theory article on non-aggression pacts is finally indexed. Available open-access, I show that the literature to date has coded various international agreements erroneously as non-aggression pacts and missed the unique historical context in which they first emerged.
bit.ly/4o8k94W
bit.ly/4o8k94W
November 20, 2025 at 3:24 PM
My International Theory article on non-aggression pacts is finally indexed. Available open-access, I show that the literature to date has coded various international agreements erroneously as non-aggression pacts and missed the unique historical context in which they first emerged.
bit.ly/4o8k94W
bit.ly/4o8k94W
Out of frustration with the neverending story that is Canada's Future Fighter Capability Project, I gathered my objections in one place to the notion of a mixed fleet for the RCAF, the potential acquisition of Gripens, and SAAB's absurd economic arguments.
alanoszka.substack.com/p/canadas-f-...
alanoszka.substack.com/p/canadas-f-...
Canada's F-35 Saga
The fifth sequel is usually the worst.
alanoszka.substack.com
November 19, 2025 at 1:52 PM
Out of frustration with the neverending story that is Canada's Future Fighter Capability Project, I gathered my objections in one place to the notion of a mixed fleet for the RCAF, the potential acquisition of Gripens, and SAAB's absurd economic arguments.
alanoszka.substack.com/p/canadas-f-...
alanoszka.substack.com/p/canadas-f-...
The Canadian government seems to be walking into a massive procurement disaster, as Saab is dangling non-existent economic benefits to bait Cabinet interest. Both Harper and Trudeau ultimately agreed that the F-35 was the best option for Canada to replace the CF-18 ... globalnews.ca/news/1153100...
Canada ‘interested’ in Swedish firm Saab’s Gripen fighter jets, Joly says - National | Globalnews.ca
Canada did not get enough industrial benefit out of its F-35 deal with U.S. weapons maker Lockheed Martin, Industry Minister Melanie Joly said.
globalnews.ca
November 19, 2025 at 1:24 AM
The Canadian government seems to be walking into a massive procurement disaster, as Saab is dangling non-existent economic benefits to bait Cabinet interest. Both Harper and Trudeau ultimately agreed that the F-35 was the best option for Canada to replace the CF-18 ... globalnews.ca/news/1153100...
"All companies lobby ... However, Saab’s overall strategy goes far beyond that—it is actively introducing disinformation into the Canadian market to sell its products." thehub.ca/2025/11/18/c...
Canada is shopping for new fighter jets—and on the verge of making a disastrous decision
The consequences will be severe if the government goes with Swedish fighter jets over American-made F-35s
thehub.ca
November 18, 2025 at 6:21 PM
"All companies lobby ... However, Saab’s overall strategy goes far beyond that—it is actively introducing disinformation into the Canadian market to sell its products." thehub.ca/2025/11/18/c...
"Two Ukrainian citizens who long worked for Russian intelligence have been identified as the suspects behind two acts of sabotage on Poland's rail network, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said." www.bbc.com/news/article...
Two Ukrainians working for Russia behind rail sabotage, Polish PM says
Donald Tusk said the two suspects had entered Poland from Belarus and had long worked for Russia.
www.bbc.com
November 18, 2025 at 5:24 PM
"Two Ukrainian citizens who long worked for Russian intelligence have been identified as the suspects behind two acts of sabotage on Poland's rail network, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said." www.bbc.com/news/article...
Though written with DOD in mind, this essay matters for allied debates about defence spending. Misunderstanding 'cost-per-effect'--comparing acquisition costs between consummables and platforms in a direct but facile manner--can lead to bad procurement decisions. warontherocks.com/2025/11/the-...
The Hidden Cost of a Missile: Why the Headlines Get Cost Wrong
Since late 2023, the U.S. Navy has fired nearly $1 billion worth of munitions to protect ships in the Red Sea from low-cost Houthi drones and missiles.
warontherocks.com
November 18, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Though written with DOD in mind, this essay matters for allied debates about defence spending. Misunderstanding 'cost-per-effect'--comparing acquisition costs between consummables and platforms in a direct but facile manner--can lead to bad procurement decisions. warontherocks.com/2025/11/the-...
Reposted by Alexander Lanoszka
Greece and Ukraine will jointly produce advanced naval drones at Greek shipyards, likely at Skaramanga, according to Kathimerini. The drones, upgraded versions of Ukraine’s proven models, will be built with Greek and Ukrainian tech, including optics, electronics, and potentially munitions.
November 18, 2025 at 2:45 PM
Greece and Ukraine will jointly produce advanced naval drones at Greek shipyards, likely at Skaramanga, according to Kathimerini. The drones, upgraded versions of Ukraine’s proven models, will be built with Greek and Ukrainian tech, including optics, electronics, and potentially munitions.
A big but under-the-radar news story from last week: Ukraine becoming an 'Enhanced Partner' to the UK-Joint Expeditionary Force, with the promise of closer collaboration on protecting critical underwater infrastructure and UAV development. The JEF comes to the Black Sea. euro-sd.com/2025/11/majo...
Joint Expeditionary Force launches enhanced partnership with Ukraine - European Security & Defence
Ukraine received Enhanced Partnership status with the Joint Expeditionary Force as its defence ministers met in Norway on 5 November 2025.
euro-sd.com
November 18, 2025 at 2:28 PM
A big but under-the-radar news story from last week: Ukraine becoming an 'Enhanced Partner' to the UK-Joint Expeditionary Force, with the promise of closer collaboration on protecting critical underwater infrastructure and UAV development. The JEF comes to the Black Sea. euro-sd.com/2025/11/majo...
For this month's Policy Forum Politique, we asked four experts to discuss Canada's Africa Strategy.
Despite the continent's growth in the world economy, the strategy was not resourced upon release earlier this year and receives no mention in the latest budget. ras-nsa.ca/how-should-c...
Despite the continent's growth in the world economy, the strategy was not resourced upon release earlier this year and receives no mention in the latest budget. ras-nsa.ca/how-should-c...
How should Canada deploy, support, and expand its new strategy for Africa? - Network for Strategic Analysis (NSA)
Policy Forum Politique is a new publication format that aims to stimulate debate by presenting a wide range of expert opinion on a topic of national security significance to Canada. For this third edi...
ras-nsa.ca
November 17, 2025 at 5:45 PM
For this month's Policy Forum Politique, we asked four experts to discuss Canada's Africa Strategy.
Despite the continent's growth in the world economy, the strategy was not resourced upon release earlier this year and receives no mention in the latest budget. ras-nsa.ca/how-should-c...
Despite the continent's growth in the world economy, the strategy was not resourced upon release earlier this year and receives no mention in the latest budget. ras-nsa.ca/how-should-c...
"The Nexperia saga ... reveals a new reality: Europe’s once-vaunted neutrality and industrial sovereignty are eroding, while China’s foundational role in manufacturing has become too large to fail and too complex to legally unwind." www.scmp.com/tech/tech-wa...
How Nexperia saga exposes Europe’s waning influence in US-China chip war
The dispute around the Dutch chipmaker shows the erosion of Europe’s geopolitical neutrality in the face of escalating US-China rivalry.
www.scmp.com
November 17, 2025 at 4:59 PM
"The Nexperia saga ... reveals a new reality: Europe’s once-vaunted neutrality and industrial sovereignty are eroding, while China’s foundational role in manufacturing has become too large to fail and too complex to legally unwind." www.scmp.com/tech/tech-wa...
"A final word for America’s allies: engage the United States not as a source of stability, but as a system in motion ... The most credible alliances anticipate volatility and design for endurance. Waiting for Washington to “return to normal” is a strategic error." warontherocks.com/2025/11/when...
When Trust Becomes Strategy: Rethinking America's Innovation Posture
U.S. allies have long balanced between leaning on American leadership and resisting its immense gravitational pull: political, economic, and structural.
warontherocks.com
November 16, 2025 at 7:04 PM
"A final word for America’s allies: engage the United States not as a source of stability, but as a system in motion ... The most credible alliances anticipate volatility and design for endurance. Waiting for Washington to “return to normal” is a strategic error." warontherocks.com/2025/11/when...
This rollback on food tariffs is probably the closest we will ever get to the Trump administration conceding a policy failure. www.bbc.com/news/article...
Trump rolls back tariffs on dozens of food products
The executive order allowing products like coffee and bananas to escape tariffs comes as the Trump administration faces mounting pressure over rising prices.
www.bbc.com
November 15, 2025 at 2:34 PM
This rollback on food tariffs is probably the closest we will ever get to the Trump administration conceding a policy failure. www.bbc.com/news/article...
"Saudi Arabia has long desired to match the military and nuclear capabilities of its regional rivals — Iran and Israel. In the aftermath of the 12-Day War it now seems to be doubling down on a policy of nuclear ambiguity." warontherocks.com/2025/11/saud...
Saudi Nuclear Posture After the 12-Day War
Israel’s short but destructive summer war against Iran and its brazen military strikes on Doha in September have reignited a debate across the Middle East
warontherocks.com
November 14, 2025 at 5:08 PM
"Saudi Arabia has long desired to match the military and nuclear capabilities of its regional rivals — Iran and Israel. In the aftermath of the 12-Day War it now seems to be doubling down on a policy of nuclear ambiguity." warontherocks.com/2025/11/saud...
Worth reading:
"Growing evidence reveals that Putin has instead built a global trafficking pipeline that externalises casualties to the Global South ... luring desperate men with false promises of construction work, warehouse jobs, or any legitimate opportunity." engelsbergideas.com/notebook/the...
"Growing evidence reveals that Putin has instead built a global trafficking pipeline that externalises casualties to the Global South ... luring desperate men with false promises of construction work, warehouse jobs, or any legitimate opportunity." engelsbergideas.com/notebook/the...
The trafficking networks sustaining Russia’s war of attrition
As Putin seeks to avoid another politically damaging mobilisation, the temptation to draw on Moscow's extensive global trafficking networks will only grow.
engelsbergideas.com
November 14, 2025 at 3:05 PM
Worth reading:
"Growing evidence reveals that Putin has instead built a global trafficking pipeline that externalises casualties to the Global South ... luring desperate men with false promises of construction work, warehouse jobs, or any legitimate opportunity." engelsbergideas.com/notebook/the...
"Growing evidence reveals that Putin has instead built a global trafficking pipeline that externalises casualties to the Global South ... luring desperate men with false promises of construction work, warehouse jobs, or any legitimate opportunity." engelsbergideas.com/notebook/the...
I'm delighted to be alongside an impressive group of experts, brought together by @congeostrategy.bsky.social, weighing on this question. I write that the term 'cold war' suggests that we are taking Russia and China seriously enough when arguably we are not. www.britainsworld.org.uk/p/the-big-as...
Are we in a new cold war?
The Big Ask | No. 46.2025
www.britainsworld.org.uk
November 14, 2025 at 2:28 PM
I'm delighted to be alongside an impressive group of experts, brought together by @congeostrategy.bsky.social, weighing on this question. I write that the term 'cold war' suggests that we are taking Russia and China seriously enough when arguably we are not. www.britainsworld.org.uk/p/the-big-as...
Saab's courtship of Canada is becoming absurd. 10,000 jobs in Canada? That's more than how many work on the Gripen in Sweden. The Government of Canada should also ask why no other Nordic country has the Gripen in its arsenal. What was Finland's reasoning for the F-35?
www.ctvnews.ca/politics/art...
www.ctvnews.ca/politics/art...
10,000 new jobs could soon come to Canada, Swedish manufacturer says
The Swedish manufacturer of the Gripen fighter jet, SAAB, says ten thousand manufacturing and research jobs could land in Canada if Ottawa adds the aircraft to its military fleet.
www.ctvnews.ca
November 14, 2025 at 12:39 PM
Saab's courtship of Canada is becoming absurd. 10,000 jobs in Canada? That's more than how many work on the Gripen in Sweden. The Government of Canada should also ask why no other Nordic country has the Gripen in its arsenal. What was Finland's reasoning for the F-35?
www.ctvnews.ca/politics/art...
www.ctvnews.ca/politics/art...
"Sources said the fact that Michael Sabia, the clerk of the Privy Council, made room in his tight agenda on Oct. 31 to meet with Micael Johansson highlights Canada's interest in acquiring European military equipment, as well as beefing up its domestic production capacity." www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
Swedish king’s visit highlights growing Canadian interest in Saab military aircraft | CBC News
A few days before the federal budget was tabled, the CEO of Swedish industrial giant Saab flew to Ottawa to meet with the country's top bureaucrat, fuelling the sense a deal is brewing between the Can...
www.cbc.ca
November 12, 2025 at 1:37 PM
"Sources said the fact that Michael Sabia, the clerk of the Privy Council, made room in his tight agenda on Oct. 31 to meet with Micael Johansson highlights Canada's interest in acquiring European military equipment, as well as beefing up its domestic production capacity." www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
Congratulations to @smetanamichal.bsky.social, @laurensukin.bsky.social. @herzogsm.bsky.social, and @mvranka.bsky.social on their new article! They address address the central question: can public opinion influence decision-makers’ views on nuclear weapon use?
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
November 12, 2025 at 1:37 AM
Congratulations to @smetanamichal.bsky.social, @laurensukin.bsky.social. @herzogsm.bsky.social, and @mvranka.bsky.social on their new article! They address address the central question: can public opinion influence decision-makers’ views on nuclear weapon use?
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
"Although partisan polarization continues to complicate consensus on China policy, Warsaw’s overall trajectory now reflects a deliberate and measured shift toward balancing and de-risking vis-à-vis Beijing." www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-res...
Poland’s policy on China: From partnership to skepticism
Unmet economic promises and Beijing’s alignment with Moscow have shifted Warsaw’s view of China from economic partner to systemic challenger.
www.atlanticcouncil.org
November 11, 2025 at 6:42 PM
"Although partisan polarization continues to complicate consensus on China policy, Warsaw’s overall trajectory now reflects a deliberate and measured shift toward balancing and de-risking vis-à-vis Beijing." www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-res...
"NATO’s new Alliance Maritime Strategy ... re-centers maritime hard power within collective defense, integrates digital transformation and industrial strength, and reframes the oceans as the decisive arena of strategic competition." www.fpri.org/article/2025...
Collective Seapower: NATO’s New Maritime Strategy - Foreign Policy Research Institute
NATO has finally unveiled its new Alliance Maritime Strategy, refreshing a document that had not been publicly updated since 2011. While high-level strategy
www.fpri.org
November 10, 2025 at 9:15 PM
"NATO’s new Alliance Maritime Strategy ... re-centers maritime hard power within collective defense, integrates digital transformation and industrial strength, and reframes the oceans as the decisive arena of strategic competition." www.fpri.org/article/2025...