Matt Wilkes
@mattwilkes.bsky.social
I post a lot of useless stats and the occasional useful one, usually about the Cincinnati Reds.
Reposted by Matt Wilkes
It's getting tougher to believe that the Cincinnati #Reds will ever commit to winning.
It wasn't the lack of signing Kyle Schwarber that leads us here, but the reasoning that they were willing to sign him that is actually a part of the problem
www.redlegnation.com/2025/12/09/i...
It wasn't the lack of signing Kyle Schwarber that leads us here, but the reasoning that they were willing to sign him that is actually a part of the problem
www.redlegnation.com/2025/12/09/i...
It's getting tougher to believe the Reds will ever commit to winning - Redleg Nation
The Cincinnati Reds failure to sign Kyle Schwarber was an indirect line to the thought process of the front office and the problems with it.
www.redlegnation.com
December 9, 2025 at 10:30 PM
It's getting tougher to believe that the Cincinnati #Reds will ever commit to winning.
It wasn't the lack of signing Kyle Schwarber that leads us here, but the reasoning that they were willing to sign him that is actually a part of the problem
www.redlegnation.com/2025/12/09/i...
It wasn't the lack of signing Kyle Schwarber that leads us here, but the reasoning that they were willing to sign him that is actually a part of the problem
www.redlegnation.com/2025/12/09/i...
Reposted by Matt Wilkes
Grossly misleading. There’s wealth and there’s annual operating income. Reds ownership gets wealthier as their shares appreciate by 10% annually. Their conservative “break even” budgeting regards operating income. They won’t/don’t put a penny of their new wealth (> +$1billion) ‘back into’ the team.
Krall: “Our ownership group puts everything back into the team every year. They try to figure out how to break even every year. That’s how we budget. We’re trying to figure out how to best utilize that budget for the big league club.”
Nick Krall and Terry Francona weren’t divulging much about the Reds efforts to land free agent Kyle Schwarber. www.mlb.com/reds/news/ni...
December 9, 2025 at 1:54 AM
Grossly misleading. There’s wealth and there’s annual operating income. Reds ownership gets wealthier as their shares appreciate by 10% annually. Their conservative “break even” budgeting regards operating income. They won’t/don’t put a penny of their new wealth (> +$1billion) ‘back into’ the team.
We're gonna get Lane Thomas on a one-year, prove-it deal and we're gonna like it!
Jeff Passan says that the Cincinnati #Reds signing Kyle Schwarber would be a perfect move
www.redlegnation.com/2025/11/11/e...
www.redlegnation.com/2025/11/11/e...
Cincinnati Reds signing Kyle Schwarber would be a perfect move - Redleg Nation
The Cincinnati Reds signing Kyle Schwarber? ESPN describes it as the perfect move for the club to move them into contention in 2026.
www.redlegnation.com
November 12, 2025 at 2:06 AM
We're gonna get Lane Thomas on a one-year, prove-it deal and we're gonna like it!
Reposted by Matt Wilkes
me when someone mentions the Reds potentially signing Kyle Schwarber
August 29, 2025 at 1:52 AM
me when someone mentions the Reds potentially signing Kyle Schwarber
Reds offensive ranks in 2025:
AVG: .245 (19th)
OBP: .315 (16th)
SLG: .391 (21st)
HR: 162 (21st)
ISO: .146 (24th)
wOBA: .309 (19th)
wRC+: 92 (24th)
Avg. EV: 88.6 mph (27th)
Hard-hit rate: 38.2% (28th)
Let's run it back!
AVG: .245 (19th)
OBP: .315 (16th)
SLG: .391 (21st)
HR: 162 (21st)
ISO: .146 (24th)
wOBA: .309 (19th)
wRC+: 92 (24th)
Avg. EV: 88.6 mph (27th)
Hard-hit rate: 38.2% (28th)
Let's run it back!
All of the Reds coaches on manager Terry Francona’s staff have been invited back for next season, Nick Krall said.
October 6, 2025 at 4:04 PM
Reds offensive ranks in 2025:
AVG: .245 (19th)
OBP: .315 (16th)
SLG: .391 (21st)
HR: 162 (21st)
ISO: .146 (24th)
wOBA: .309 (19th)
wRC+: 92 (24th)
Avg. EV: 88.6 mph (27th)
Hard-hit rate: 38.2% (28th)
Let's run it back!
AVG: .245 (19th)
OBP: .315 (16th)
SLG: .391 (21st)
HR: 162 (21st)
ISO: .146 (24th)
wOBA: .309 (19th)
wRC+: 92 (24th)
Avg. EV: 88.6 mph (27th)
Hard-hit rate: 38.2% (28th)
Let's run it back!
Worst win percentage in the postseason since 1996:
Reds (.167)
Twins (.231)
Pirates (.375)
Not only have the Reds failed to advance in the postseason since 1995, but they've only made the playoffs five times since then — and each appearance has been miserable.
Reds (.167)
Twins (.231)
Pirates (.375)
Not only have the Reds failed to advance in the postseason since 1995, but they've only made the playoffs five times since then — and each appearance has been miserable.
October 2, 2025 at 4:44 AM
Worst win percentage in the postseason since 1996:
Reds (.167)
Twins (.231)
Pirates (.375)
Not only have the Reds failed to advance in the postseason since 1995, but they've only made the playoffs five times since then — and each appearance has been miserable.
Reds (.167)
Twins (.231)
Pirates (.375)
Not only have the Reds failed to advance in the postseason since 1995, but they've only made the playoffs five times since then — and each appearance has been miserable.
The Reds have lost their 7th straight postseason game, tied for the second-longest active streak in MLB. Only the Orioles currently have a longer losing streak (10).
October 1, 2025 at 4:28 AM
The Reds have lost their 7th straight postseason game, tied for the second-longest active streak in MLB. Only the Orioles currently have a longer losing streak (10).
Before that last inning, Todd Frazier had the only bases-loaded walk in Reds postseason history.
Sal Stewart and Elly De La Cruz join the prestigious club.
Sal Stewart and Elly De La Cruz join the prestigious club.
October 1, 2025 at 4:00 AM
Before that last inning, Todd Frazier had the only bases-loaded walk in Reds postseason history.
Sal Stewart and Elly De La Cruz join the prestigious club.
Sal Stewart and Elly De La Cruz join the prestigious club.
Reposted by Matt Wilkes
The Reds just standing there while the Dodgers walk their way out of an eight-run lead would be an amusing microcosm for how the Reds got here in the first place
October 1, 2025 at 3:52 AM
The Reds just standing there while the Dodgers walk their way out of an eight-run lead would be an amusing microcosm for how the Reds got here in the first place
This is now the most runs the Reds have scored in a playoff game since their 9-0 win against the Giants in game two of the 2012 NLDS.
October 1, 2025 at 3:50 AM
This is now the most runs the Reds have scored in a playoff game since their 9-0 win against the Giants in game two of the 2012 NLDS.
Don't worry — Tito's magic fairy dust will kick in any time now.
a man wearing a hat with the letter c on it is giving the middle finger
ALT: a man wearing a hat with the letter c on it is giving the middle finger
media.tenor.com
October 1, 2025 at 3:21 AM
Don't worry — Tito's magic fairy dust will kick in any time now.
The Reds have scored a run in the playoffs for the first time since an 8th inning solo home run by Shin-Soo Choo in the 2013 Wild Card game.
a man in a suit and bow tie is sitting at a desk in front of a national geographic sign
ALT: a man in a suit and bow tie is sitting at a desk in front of a national geographic sign
media.tenor.com
October 1, 2025 at 3:09 AM
The Reds have scored a run in the playoffs for the first time since an 8th inning solo home run by Shin-Soo Choo in the 2013 Wild Card game.
The Dodgers scored 5 runs in the first 3 innings tonight.
The Reds have scored 6 runs... in their last 48 postseason innings.
The Reds have scored 6 runs... in their last 48 postseason innings.
October 1, 2025 at 2:32 AM
The Dodgers scored 5 runs in the first 3 innings tonight.
The Reds have scored 6 runs... in their last 48 postseason innings.
The Reds have scored 6 runs... in their last 48 postseason innings.
Matt McLain is the first Reds player with a hit in the postseason since Freddy Galvis on October 1, 2020.
October 1, 2025 at 1:43 AM
Matt McLain is the first Reds player with a hit in the postseason since Freddy Galvis on October 1, 2020.
The last 20 Reds hitters to step to the plate in the postseason have been retired.
October 1, 2025 at 1:29 AM
The last 20 Reds hitters to step to the plate in the postseason have been retired.
Best K/BB ratio by Reds starting pitchers:
3.48 (2025)
3.18 (2020)
3.17 (2019)
3.15 (2013)
3.13 (2012)
Reds SP have some nasty stuff, but they also limit walks. Only two teams (Phillies, Mariners) had a better K/BB from their rotations this season.
3.48 (2025)
3.18 (2020)
3.17 (2019)
3.15 (2013)
3.13 (2012)
Reds SP have some nasty stuff, but they also limit walks. Only two teams (Phillies, Mariners) had a better K/BB from their rotations this season.
September 29, 2025 at 5:57 PM
Best K/BB ratio by Reds starting pitchers:
3.48 (2025)
3.18 (2020)
3.17 (2019)
3.15 (2013)
3.13 (2012)
Reds SP have some nasty stuff, but they also limit walks. Only two teams (Phillies, Mariners) had a better K/BB from their rotations this season.
3.48 (2025)
3.18 (2020)
3.17 (2019)
3.15 (2013)
3.13 (2012)
Reds SP have some nasty stuff, but they also limit walks. Only two teams (Phillies, Mariners) had a better K/BB from their rotations this season.
Teams to make the postseason with fewer than 85 wins:
1984 Royals (lost in ALCS)
1997 Astros (lost in ALDS)
2005 Padres (lost in NLDS)
2008 Dodgers (lost in ALCS)
2023 Marlins (lost in NLWC)
2023 Diamondbacks (lost in World Series)
2025 Reds (TBD)
1984 Royals (lost in ALCS)
1997 Astros (lost in ALDS)
2005 Padres (lost in NLDS)
2008 Dodgers (lost in ALCS)
2023 Marlins (lost in NLWC)
2023 Diamondbacks (lost in World Series)
2025 Reds (TBD)
September 28, 2025 at 11:14 PM
Teams to make the postseason with fewer than 85 wins:
1984 Royals (lost in ALCS)
1997 Astros (lost in ALDS)
2005 Padres (lost in NLDS)
2008 Dodgers (lost in ALCS)
2023 Marlins (lost in NLWC)
2023 Diamondbacks (lost in World Series)
2025 Reds (TBD)
1984 Royals (lost in ALCS)
1997 Astros (lost in ALDS)
2005 Padres (lost in NLDS)
2008 Dodgers (lost in ALCS)
2023 Marlins (lost in NLWC)
2023 Diamondbacks (lost in World Series)
2025 Reds (TBD)
UPDATED PLAYOFF ODDS:
100%
100%
Reds postseason chances entering the final series of the season:
FanGraphs: 19.5%
Baseball Reference: 26.6%
Implied betting odds (FD): 23.8%
Feels kinda fitting that they need to overcome a Milwaukee team they've been dominated by for years to get in the playoffs.
FanGraphs: 19.5%
Baseball Reference: 26.6%
Implied betting odds (FD): 23.8%
Feels kinda fitting that they need to overcome a Milwaukee team they've been dominated by for years to get in the playoffs.
September 28, 2025 at 10:36 PM
UPDATED PLAYOFF ODDS:
100%
100%
The Reds are in a playoff spot through 160 games.
a man wearing an orange hat with the word talladega on it
ALT: a man wearing an orange hat with the word talladega on it
media.tenor.com
September 27, 2025 at 2:43 AM
The Reds are in a playoff spot through 160 games.
Man, Connor Phillips has been so good. Given the Reds a much-needed boost in the bullpen over the last month.
Since he rejoined the team on August 17:
18.2 IP, 1.45 ERA, 26 K, 7 BB
Since he rejoined the team on August 17:
18.2 IP, 1.45 ERA, 26 K, 7 BB
September 27, 2025 at 1:58 AM
Man, Connor Phillips has been so good. Given the Reds a much-needed boost in the bullpen over the last month.
Since he rejoined the team on August 17:
18.2 IP, 1.45 ERA, 26 K, 7 BB
Since he rejoined the team on August 17:
18.2 IP, 1.45 ERA, 26 K, 7 BB
