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The Analyst

@militaryanalyst.bsky.social

4.6K followers 91 following 7.1K posts

Military analyst, economist, historian, enemy of dictators everywhere. Advisor to governments. ‘Devils Advocate Services’. 🇺🇦🏳️‍🌈🇬🇧 AVAILABLE ON: TheMilitaryAnalyst.com Originated on Telegram: https://t.me/militarystrategyanalysis

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 3d

The situation in Russia is changing and I believe the war is now lost. They must now be convinced they've been defeated, and bring it to an end.

SOMETHING IS CHANGING AND RUSSIA IS LOSING

The situation in Russia is changing and I believe the war is now lost. They must now be convinced they've been defeated, and bring it to an end.

themilitaryanalyst.com

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 4h

It was given to some Venezuelan woman - so expect so Trumpian feedback!

The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 7h

Quite atrocious.

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 7h

The horrors at home will magnify - he has plenty of lieutenants to carry out that program. Ukraine won’t be at peace until Putin is gone. Not long now.

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 8h

The Norwegians are bracing themselves for a heap of criticism today - so I doubt it’s Trump.

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 8h

Now perhaps people will understand how the SS and the Gestapo came to have so many willing members - many of them highly educated.

The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 9h

most important aspect of this is the political change, translating into diplomatic and military policy to create action.
It can and is being done.
Russia has been warned of the consequences of air incursions, it’s now up to them if their aircraft are to remain intact.

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 9h

nuisance of themselves.
Like it or not they need to learn a lesson too.
We have been too slow for too long letting Russia test us and our internal tolerance of drone operators who are basically hobbyists- many decent people - others without a brain cell for the implications - has to be faced.
The

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 9h

NATO states develop anti-drone strategies and use technologies to detect and bring down Russian drones in its air space.
There is a powerful commitment across NATO states to ensure Russia can’t just fly these drones with impunity- though there is an element of it that’s just useful idiots making a

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 9h

EUROPE STIFFENS ITS RESOLVE

The EU voted a resolution to defend its airspace against Russian intrusions. Governments along with NATO are planning changes to the rules of engagement that will not require visual identification of air intruders before a shoot down order is issued. Ukraine is helping

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 9h

successfully disarmed in Lebanon - despite Iran trying to prevent the Lebanese Army from doing so, Syria keeps on the right side of its peace progress and rebuilding after the destruction Russia helped bring, then the region finally has a chance.

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 9h

rebuild Gaza - properly - and somehow Hamas has to be kept out of it, or we’ll be back to square one in a decade. Israel now has to learn that only a two state solution is ever going to bring peace long term, they have to stop settling in the West Bank and give real peace a chance. If Hezbollah can

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 9h

it seems Trump has pulled off a diplomatic coup.
Meanwhile Gaza is a pile of rubble. Thousands of civilians have died, and Israel has effectively achieved its goal- otherwise they wouldn’t have stopped.
The Gulf Monarchies now need to come up with the billions in cash they’ve been sitting on to

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 9h

every President since Clinton told me that like it or not Trump is the only president who has ever managed to press an Israeli leader into doing anything remotely near this level. He described Biden as ‘simply incapable of ever being able to do it even if he wanted to’.
So wether we like it or not

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 9h

are genuinely saying that the back channel efforts put in plenty of work but it was Netanyahu’s attack on Hamas leaders in Qatar that galvanised Trump. He was so angry at being manipulated by Bibi he made him apologise to the Qataris in public in the White House, and one diplomat who has worked with

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 9h

GAZA - PEACE?

The fact that the Gaza deal was completed just one day before this morning’s announcement of the winner of the Nobel Peace Prize is no coincidence.
Israel is pressing for Trump to win it. So are many others. There has been genuine comment from
several diplomats and people I know who

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 19h

You obviously know nothing about the cars.

The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 22h

I’ve always thought she was brilliant. Not everyone’s cup of tea but who is?

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 1d

auction. I’ve heard it a 1,000 times, used to play it in my Citroen CX25 Pallas IE and later in the CX25 GTi Turbo-2, on my Edison Continental tape deck and now 42 years later is sounds beyond anything they might have imagined.
Have to recommend.

The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 1d

OFF TOPIC - AirPods Pro 3.

Huge fan of the 2’s but whatever they’ve done the 3’s are awesome. The bass and depth, the spatial fidelity, it’s a genuine landscape of sound.
Just played Grace Jones Slave to the Rhythm, a complex landscape piece mixed in 1983 on a cutting edge deck that’s now up for

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 1d

A fascist supporter of a pig ugly regime that’s so corrupt and deluded it’s dragged you here to infest our lives with your hatred. We despise you for what you have done and support. Nobody wants you.

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 1d

Not even close. Propaganda man, you live in delusion, your vile nation is about to be defeated by the people YOU invaded. What will you do when it all falls apart around you? Your war is a crime against humanity and is so deeply wrong on every level you will lose. Regimes like Putin’s never last.

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 1d

quite how far this has come and how far it has to go.

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 1d

level of intensity - Russia is reactive, Ukraine holds the initiative. More drones against more Russian targets - especially the drone factories. One recent Ukrainian strike used 300 networked drones on one refinery attack. We’re entering new ground. Frankly I don’t think many in the West comprehend

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 1d

well ahead of where Russia is and it’s the fact that they’re reaching further and deeper and overwhelming the whole system.
And it’s affecting the front - we can see it in how Russia has failed to move forward and struggles ever more intensely to seize any initiative.The drone war is reaching a new

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 1d

The pace of change, the pace of defence and interception, the increasing destructiveness of each new generation is frankly frightening. Both sides are capable of huge destruction but I still think it’s Ukraine who will win this conflict at the strategic level. They’re way ahead on the economic war,

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