Mo Hossain
mohossain.bsky.social
Mo Hossain
@mohossain.bsky.social
Investor. I take advice. Sharing things I'm learning. re(Post) ≠ E
𝐅𝐞𝐝 𝐅𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐬 𝐉𝐨𝐛 𝐆𝐫𝐨𝐰𝐭𝐡 𝐒𝐥𝐨𝐰𝐝𝐨𝐰𝐧 𝐈𝐬 𝐚 𝐒𝐮𝐩𝐩𝐥𝐲 𝐒𝐡𝐨𝐜𝐤, 𝐃𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐧 𝐛𝐲 𝐅𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐈𝐦𝐦𝐢𝐠𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧, 𝐍𝐨𝐭 𝐖𝐞𝐚𝐤 𝐃𝐞𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐝

Unauthorized Immigration Effects on Local Labor Markets

www.frbsf.org/research-and... #
#job #unemployment #economy #growth investment
February 18, 2026 at 8:32 PM
Germany’s private pension assets barely register next to peers. Years of relying on the public pillar left funded savings thin.

Reforms now aim for cheaper, simpler, equity‑heavy products. Early estimates: >€8bn/yr into European equities.

Small flow, big narrative. … most underrated growth story.
February 17, 2026 at 1:28 PM
Higher rates broke the PE flywheel.

The golden goose may not be dead — but the golden age? Endowments are learning: illiquidity ≠ immunity.

PE returned 7.4% (3 yrs) vs 19.7% for the S&P 500.

40%+ allocations. Slower exits. 31,000+ unsold companies.

x.com/mohossain/st...
February 15, 2026 at 10:51 PM
𝐀𝐈 𝐅𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐒𝐡𝐨𝐰𝐬 𝐔𝐩 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐃𝐚𝐭𝐚 — 𝐁𝐮𝐭 𝐇𝐞𝐚𝐥𝐭𝐡𝐜𝐚𝐫𝐞, 𝐄𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐀𝐫𝐞 𝐒𝐭𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐃𝐫𝐚𝐠𝐠𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐂𝐮𝐫𝐯𝐞

AI’s Solow Paradox moment may finally be cracking. BLS revisions cut 403k jobs from payrolls even as Q4 GDP held at 3.7% a clean sign of rising productivity
x.com/mohossain/st...
#AI #Ennovance
February 15, 2026 at 9:09 PM
@AnthropicAI CEO Dario Amodei has recently argued that 𝑪𝒉𝒊𝒏𝒆𝒔𝒆 𝑨𝑰 𝒎𝒐𝒅𝒆𝒍𝒔 𝒂𝒓𝒆 𝒉𝒆𝒂𝒗𝒊𝒍𝒚 𝒐𝒑𝒕𝒊𝒎𝒊𝒛𝒆𝒅 𝒇𝒐𝒓 𝒃𝒆𝒏𝒄𝒉𝒎𝒂𝒓𝒌𝒔 𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒉𝒆𝒓 𝒕𝒉𝒂𝒏 𝒓𝒆𝒂𝒍-𝒘𝒐𝒓𝒍𝒅 𝒖𝒕𝒊𝒍𝒊𝒕𝒚.

x.com/mohossain/st...
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#artificial_intelligence #investments
February 15, 2026 at 8:37 PM
𝐀𝐝𝐬 𝐇𝐢𝐭 𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐭𝐆𝐏𝐓—𝐅𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐚 𝐓𝐞𝐜𝐡 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐌𝐨𝐧𝐞𝐭𝐢𝐳𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐎𝐩𝐞𝐧, 𝐍𝐨𝐭 𝐁𝐞𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐝 𝐚 “𝐃𝐨‑𝐆𝐨𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐫” 𝐂𝐮𝐫𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧

OpenAI finally flips the switch: ads are coming to ChatGPT’s free/Go tiers. When 95% of your 900M WAUs pay nothing $1.4T in capex, “mission‑aligned ads” like mission reality.
x.com/mohossain/st...
February 15, 2026 at 8:34 PM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
🇺🇸US equities: same earnings, 40% pricier. Turns out the real American exceptionalism is the P/E multiple.

x.com/mohossain/st...
February 15, 2026 at 1:44 PM
𝐆𝐥𝐨𝐰‑𝐮𝐩 𝐩𝐨𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐚𝐥? 𝐏𝐡𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐃𝐞𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐢𝐭 𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐥𝐝 𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧 “𝐦𝐨𝐬𝐭 𝐬𝐞𝐠𝐫𝐞𝐠𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝” 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐨 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐛𝐢𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐞𝐛𝐚𝐜𝐤 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲.

If you’re looking for “evenly mixed,” Philly and Detroit won’t top the list—but hey, every great American comeback story starts with a chart that says “room to grow.

x.com/mohossain/st...
ht FT
February 15, 2026 at 5:17 PM
🇺🇸US equities: same earnings, 40% pricier. Turns out the real American exceptionalism is the P/E multiple.

x.com/mohossain/st...
February 15, 2026 at 1:44 PM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
𝐒𝐢𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞 𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭, 𝐛𝐢𝐠 𝐦𝐨𝐨𝐝
: U.S. energy majors quietly entering their ‘revenge of the dinosaurs’ era. Turns out the fossils still lift when rates stay high and capex stays shy.

ht:GS
#shalegas #energysecurity #oott #oilprice #chemicals investment Ennovance OPEC gasprice
x.com/mohossain/st...
February 8, 2026 at 5:26 PM
𝐖𝐡𝐨’𝐬 𝐟𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐀𝐦𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐰𝐭𝐡?
𝐋𝐨𝐨𝐤 𝐚𝐭 𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐜𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐭.

In 2023, manufacturing led originations.
By 2025, cloud computing took the crown.

Private debt funds now function as a parallel lending system rivaling banks.

This isn’t ‘alternative’ anymore — it is the credit market.
x.com/mohossain/st...
February 8, 2026 at 10:03 PM
𝐌𝐚𝐧𝐮𝐟𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐆𝐞𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐃𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐓𝐨𝐧𝐞 𝐖𝐡𝐢𝐥𝐞 𝐁𝐚𝐧𝐤𝐬 𝐂𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐭 𝐋𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐍𝐞𝐰𝐬 𝐁𝐥𝐨𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐫𝐬, 𝐏𝐮𝐦𝐩 𝐓𝐚𝐱𝐩𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐫‑𝐁𝐚𝐜𝐤𝐞𝐝 𝐑𝐞𝐚𝐥 𝐄𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐒𝐪𝐮𝐞𝐞𝐳𝐞 𝐋𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫‑𝐈𝐧𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐞 𝐂𝐚𝐫𝐝𝐡𝐨𝐥𝐝𝐞𝐫𝐬.

Banks keep saying they’re ‘open for business,’ but C&I is only 8.4% of assets Feels like ‘press 1 to be redirected to private credit.
x.com/mohossain/st...
February 8, 2026 at 6:32 PM
𝐒𝐢𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞 𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭, 𝐛𝐢𝐠 𝐦𝐨𝐨𝐝
: U.S. energy majors quietly entering their ‘revenge of the dinosaurs’ era. Turns out the fossils still lift when rates stay high and capex stays shy.

ht:GS
#shalegas #energysecurity #oott #oilprice #chemicals investment Ennovance OPEC gasprice
x.com/mohossain/st...
February 8, 2026 at 5:26 PM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
𝐁𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐤𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧 𝐏𝐚𝐲𝐫𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐬 𝐂𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐩𝐬𝐞 𝐚𝐬 𝐔.𝐒. 𝐏𝐨𝐩𝐮𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐆𝐫𝐨𝐰𝐭𝐡 𝐇𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐏𝐨𝐬𝐭‑𝐏𝐚𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐦𝐢𝐜 𝐋𝐨𝐰

…breakeven payrolls are falling off a cliff.
Why? Population growth just hit a post-pandemic low.
Immigration slowdown = labor supply crunch.
Investors: recalibrate your hiring and wage assumptions.
x.com/mohossain/st...
January 28, 2026 at 12:14 AM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
Over 3 years UC’s index fund ≈ 15% annualized; Yale ≈ 6.2%.

Big endowments face taxes, liquidity needs, and crowded alternatives, rethink allocation, not just managers.

⏩More by @JanetLorin
via BBG
www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
#privateequity #Fed #InterestRates #LBO
x.com/mohossain/st...
January 28, 2026 at 12:48 AM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
𝐂𝐨𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐠𝐢𝐧𝐬 𝐃𝐢𝐩, 𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐥𝐮𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐒𝐩𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐑𝐢𝐬𝐞𝐬: 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐎𝐥𝐝 𝟏–𝟐% 𝐅𝐢𝐱.
𝐒𝐨 𝐰𝐡𝐨’𝐬 𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐟𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐤𝐧𝐢𝐟𝐞?

Insurers shed $96B after Medicare held 2027 rates flat — but patients shouldn’t pay for the panic.
🤔: … there’s still time for a 1–2% charm through lobbyists, NGOs,
📰

x.com/mohossain/st...
January 28, 2026 at 3:07 AM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
China’s deflation isn’t a mystery: weak household demand + chronic overcapacity = falling margins, falling wages, and forced price cuts. Exports keep headline GDP afloat, but the domestic engine is stalling.
www.wsj.com/world/china/...
January 28, 2026 at 3:40 AM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
Consumer confidence just cratered to a 12‑year low. Households are flashing stress: job fears rising, borrowing costs biting, and discretionary spending rolling over. ..should investors wait to see if actual spending cracks before ….?

What People Do, Not What They Say??
x.com/mohossain/st...
January 28, 2026 at 4:01 AM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
The signal isn’t “anti‑MA”; it’s “no free multiple for gaming risk scores” and a tilt toward leveling the field between national giants and smaller or nonprofit plans.

Isn’t MA shifting from a political‑beta trade to an execution‑ and cost‑control story?
x.com/mohossain/st...
January 28, 2026 at 11:22 PM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
✅The #GDPNow model by @AtlantaFed nowcast of real GDP growth in Q42025 is 5.4%

📰Investors bet on ‘hot’ US economy…
“.. American workers.. expects $440bn will be returned to US households through tax refunds this year.”

www.ft.com/content/8cbb...
#stimulus #economy #growth #Investor
January 29, 2026 at 12:19 AM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
U.S. life expectancy just hit a record 79 years, powered by a 26% drop in overdose deaths and post‑COVID gains. But the U.S. still lags other rich countries sitting in the low‑to‑mid 80s — a reminder that health outcomes track policy, inequality, and place as much as personal bio‑hacking.
January 31, 2026 at 2:19 AM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
Home sales are at a 30‑year low, but 62% of buyers paid below list last year—the highest share since 2019, with average discounts hitting 8%, the biggest since 2012—and home‑purchase cancellations just reached a record high.

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#home #realestate #mortgage #
February 3, 2026 at 3:33 AM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
𝐃𝐞𝐦𝐨𝐠𝐫𝐚𝐩𝐡𝐢𝐜𝐬 𝐃𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥: 𝐀𝐦𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚’𝐬 𝐆𝐫𝐨𝐰𝐭𝐡 𝐄𝐧𝐠𝐢𝐧𝐞 𝐇𝐚𝐬 𝐌𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐝 𝐒𝐨𝐮𝐭𝐡 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐖𝐞𝐬𝐭

Long‑duration implications for housing, retail, infrastructure, and muni spreads.

#migration #growth #muni #population $ #philadelphia Pennsylvania investment
x.com/mohossain/st...
February 3, 2026 at 4:10 PM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
𝐅𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐫𝐞𝐡𝐚𝐛 𝐢𝐧 𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐥 𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐞: small progress but a big directional shift — deficits have tightened from ~7% to ~5% of GDP and are slowly grinding higher from here. Term premium, risk premia, equity multiples are just starting to reprice this new discipline.

x.com/mohossain/st...
February 3, 2026 at 4:20 PM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
The share of Chinese exports going to the US has declined to 10%, down from 20% in 2018

#manufacturing #IPTheft #investment #China #realestate #EB5
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February 3, 2026 at 4:31 PM