Mo Hossain
mohossain.bsky.social
Mo Hossain
@mohossain.bsky.social
Investor. I take advice. Sharing things I'm learning. re(Post) ≠ E
SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic are preparing IPOs that could raise tens of billions—SpaceX implied ~$800B, OpenAI discussing ~$750B+, Anthropic >$300B; even one listing would eclipse 2025’s ~$30B US IPO total ..a new record.

Would you consider allocating to pre-IPO now?
x.com/mohossain/st...
January 1, 2026 at 4:53 PM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
Recession odds are dropping, but so is our wiggle room.
December 27, 2025 at 6:10 PM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
After years on ice, the US housing market may finally be thawing.

x.com/mohossain/st...
December 27, 2025 at 8:55 PM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
Where the Jobs Are Isn’t Where the Value Is: 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧, 𝐞𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧, 𝐠𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭, 𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐥𝐭𝐡𝐜𝐚𝐫𝐞, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐜𝐡 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐡𝐢𝐭 𝐚 𝐰𝐚𝐥𝐥.

𝑊𝑖𝑙𝑙 𝐴𝐼 𝑓𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑦 𝑑𝑒𝑙𝑖𝑣𝑒𝑟 𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑙 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑑𝑢𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑔𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑠 𝑛𝑒𝑥𝑡 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟. 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑙𝑖𝑓𝑡 𝐴𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑛𝑠’ 𝑙𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑟𝑑𝑠 𝑠𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑦?

x.com/mohossain/st...
December 27, 2025 at 10:00 PM
🇺🇸𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟓: 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐢𝐠𝐧 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐬 𝐃𝐨𝐮𝐛𝐥𝐞 𝐃𝐨𝐰𝐧 𝐨𝐧 𝐀𝐦𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐄𝐱𝐜𝐞𝐩𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐦

Even with April’s volatility and geopolitics wobble, foreign demand for U.S. assets climbed. Equities, bonds, and total flows all moved higher. America’s capital markets remain a global anchor — global capital still trusts the U.S.
December 28, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Creative Destruction at Work?

717 corporate bankruptcies through Nov (+14% YoY), peak since 2010. Shift from retail to industrials signals broader cash‑flow stress. Should investors prioritize balance sheets, …. and monitor large restructurings for value plays?

x.com/mohossain/st...
December 27, 2025 at 10:19 PM
Where the Jobs Are Isn’t Where the Value Is: 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧, 𝐞𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧, 𝐠𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭, 𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐥𝐭𝐡𝐜𝐚𝐫𝐞, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐜𝐡 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐡𝐢𝐭 𝐚 𝐰𝐚𝐥𝐥.

𝑊𝑖𝑙𝑙 𝐴𝐼 𝑓𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑦 𝑑𝑒𝑙𝑖𝑣𝑒𝑟 𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑙 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑑𝑢𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑔𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑠 𝑛𝑒𝑥𝑡 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟. 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑙𝑖𝑓𝑡 𝐴𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑛𝑠’ 𝑙𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑟𝑑𝑠 𝑠𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑦?

x.com/mohossain/st...
December 27, 2025 at 10:00 PM
After years on ice, the US housing market may finally be thawing.

x.com/mohossain/st...
December 27, 2025 at 8:55 PM
Recession odds are dropping, but so is our wiggle room.
December 27, 2025 at 6:10 PM
EU Chemicals Industry: Will 2026 be a recovery — or a clearing?

Europe’s €635bn chemicals sector is entering its forced-marriage era.
📉 Share of global output: 27% → 13%
⚡ Energy costs: 2–5x US
🌍 Carbon costs Europe-only
📦 China now at 46% of global supply

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
December 27, 2025 at 5:48 PM
M&A - Easy financing, regulators blinking, antitrust relaxing — suddenly CEOs are “transforming industries,” ambition inflates, and advisors smile ear-to-ear.

$4.5tn in deals. 68 megadeals. $135bn in fees. Yet total deal count hits a 9-year low. Size > volume.

www.ft.com/content/46b8...
December 27, 2025 at 12:52 AM
31,000+ unsold PE assets. High rates. Frozen exits. Paper gains ≠ liquidity. Fees are real. Markets always settle the bill — eventually
#Privateequity workaround? Continuation funds, firms selling companies to themselves
Paper IRRs look great… until cash exits matter
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/24/b...
December 25, 2025 at 2:56 AM
𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐞𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐲’𝐬 𝐧𝐞𝐰 𝐥𝐢𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐝𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐩𝐥𝐚𝐲: … sell the roof, keep the tenants. 77% of GPs plan minority stake sales in 24 months, GP‑stake deals rebounded to $3.5B YTD — but buyers want trophies, not the middle.

www.wsj.com/articles/mor...
December 24, 2025 at 7:37 PM
Private equity promised a 2025 comeback and delivered a $3.7T backlog of 31,000 companies while LPs wait for cash and distributions dry up.
…fundraising pain, and assets nobody wants to mark down.

x.com/mohossain/st...

www.nytimes.com/2025/12/23/b... Ennovance mohossain
December 24, 2025 at 7:29 PM
𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐜𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐭 𝐣𝐮𝐬𝐭 𝐘𝐎𝐋𝐎’𝐝 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐨 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐬𝐞𝐡𝐨𝐥𝐝 𝐛𝐚𝐥𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐬𝐡𝐞𝐞𝐭:
Private credit firms bought $136bn of unsecured consumer loans in 2025 vs $10bn in 2024—huge push into credit cards & BNPL that lifts yields but heightens underwriting, delinquency and concentration risks

www.ft.com/content/1583...
December 24, 2025 at 6:59 PM
…𝐚 𝐧𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐳𝐞𝐝 𝐣𝐨𝐛 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭?

Another leg down in the Conference Board labor differential — now the weakest since Feb ’21. The “jobs plentiful vs. hard to get” spread is normalizing fast. Not a recession signal, …but does this give the Fed the cover to go dovish in 2025?

x.com/mohossain/st...
December 23, 2025 at 5:41 PM
Secondaries used to be the back door. Now they’re the liquidity runway.

$210B+ proj in 2025, fueled by record fundraises and LP/GP demand. VC secondaries? Still early innings. Only ~2% of unicorn value has traded.

x.com/mohossain/st...
December 23, 2025 at 5:22 PM
Strong Q3 print: 4.3% GDP, with consumers accelerating and businesses still investing in equipment + IP (including AI). Slower capex, yes — but still positive. Innovation + steady demand = constructive setup for long‑term growth.

www.wsj.com/economy/us-g...
December 23, 2025 at 3:14 PM
🇺🇸 While global unemployment hovers below 25-year norms, the U.S. leads the pack—low joblessness, strong consumer demand, and resilient credit. Moody’s sees stability even into 2026. American labor isn’t just surviving, it’s outperforming.

#gdp #growth #Unemployment #job $ #
x.com/mohossain/st...
December 23, 2025 at 5:51 AM
In today’s housing market, people don’t buy homes — they buy mortgage rates. And nobody’s trading a 3% treasure for a 6% headache.

Home prices move every month; the real anchor is the rate you locked in. ~ 30mil HH, or 54% of primary mortgage-holders, have mortgage rates at or below 4%

ht: wsj
December 23, 2025 at 5:39 AM
𝐀𝐈 𝐢𝐬𝐧’𝐭 𝐣𝐮𝐬𝐭 𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐦𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐬, 𝐢𝐭’𝐬 𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐛𝐨𝐧𝐝 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭𝐬.

$1.7tn of IG debt sold in 2025, nearly a Covid record, with ~30% funding data centers and power grids. Spreads were tight, now they’re widening as the AI capex bill lands.

…next credit cycle or CF?

x.com/mohossain/st...
December 23, 2025 at 5:18 AM
Banks flush with cash + PE desperate for exits = $15B of deals and counting. PE exits now make up ~20% of PE deal value …“PE-to-bank pipeline” is the quietest boom in Europe.

M&A hack: if politicians block bank‑on‑bank deals, just buy from someone even less popular.

x.com/mohossain/st...
December 23, 2025 at 5:02 AM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
BofA FMS shows investors fully positioned for a 2026 profit boom—PMI and EPS acceleration powered by rate, tax, and tariff cuts.

But: …no Fed QE, no weaker oil, no affordability boost = CPI, yields, and the USD squeeze real returns.

x.com/mohossain/st... @ennovance #investments
December 20, 2025 at 6:20 PM
Hotels in the Red

RYG score for hotels fell to Red 33 in Q3 2025.
RevPAR growth negative YoY. Inflation-adjusted benchmarks slipping.
If supply/demand is “positive,” why is performance deteriorating? … or structurally reset? Is the recovery narrative overstated?

x.com/mohossain/st...
December 23, 2025 at 4:28 AM
Student loan delinquencies are rising fast—approaching GFC levels.

45M Americans restarted student loan payments in 2023, creating a budget squeeze.
Watch retail, housing, and credit card delinquencies.
x.com/mohossain/st...
December 23, 2025 at 4:01 AM