Sebastian Carl
@mrcaseb.com
Football 🏈 in the #nflverse | #rstats | #dataviz | #engineering | Justin Herbert is Elite
https://mrcaseb.com/
https://mrcaseb.com/
Pinned
Sebastian Carl
@mrcaseb.com
· Oct 30
Since many new users are looking at my profile I summarize some of my more recent #rstats dataviz here.
Thanks for following and/or sharing!
Thanks for following and/or sharing!
Today's update of the 2026 head coach tracker. No Steelers yet, for obvious reasons.
Data per AroundTheNFL and various other sources
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
Data per AroundTheNFL and various other sources
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
January 13, 2026 at 7:54 PM
Today's update of the 2026 head coach tracker. No Steelers yet, for obvious reasons.
Data per AroundTheNFL and various other sources
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
Data per AroundTheNFL and various other sources
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
Today's update of the 2026 head coach interview tracker.
Data per AroundTheNFL and @cbssports.bsky.social
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
Data per AroundTheNFL and @cbssports.bsky.social
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
January 12, 2026 at 7:06 PM
Today's update of the 2026 head coach interview tracker.
Data per AroundTheNFL and @cbssports.bsky.social
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
Data per AroundTheNFL and @cbssports.bsky.social
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
Today's update of the 2026 head coach interview tracker.
Data per AroundTheNFL and @cbssports.bsky.social
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
Data per AroundTheNFL and @cbssports.bsky.social
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
January 11, 2026 at 7:58 PM
Today's update of the 2026 head coach interview tracker.
Data per AroundTheNFL and @cbssports.bsky.social
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
Data per AroundTheNFL and @cbssports.bsky.social
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
Reposted by Sebastian Carl
-- 2025 NFL 🏈 Playoff Geo-Rooting Map --
Geo-Rooting is the concept of rooting for the geographically closest team to the current location.
This map shows closest team (stadium location) by county in contiguous U.S.
Enjoy the playoffs!
Geo-Rooting is the concept of rooting for the geographically closest team to the current location.
This map shows closest team (stadium location) by county in contiguous U.S.
Enjoy the playoffs!
January 9, 2026 at 7:45 PM
-- 2025 NFL 🏈 Playoff Geo-Rooting Map --
Geo-Rooting is the concept of rooting for the geographically closest team to the current location.
This map shows closest team (stadium location) by county in contiguous U.S.
Enjoy the playoffs!
Geo-Rooting is the concept of rooting for the geographically closest team to the current location.
This map shows closest team (stadium location) by county in contiguous U.S.
Enjoy the playoffs!
-- 2025 NFL 🏈 Playoff Geo-Rooting Map --
Geo-Rooting is the concept of rooting for the geographically closest team to the current location.
This map shows closest team (stadium location) by county in contiguous U.S.
Enjoy the playoffs!
Geo-Rooting is the concept of rooting for the geographically closest team to the current location.
This map shows closest team (stadium location) by county in contiguous U.S.
Enjoy the playoffs!
January 9, 2026 at 7:45 PM
-- 2025 NFL 🏈 Playoff Geo-Rooting Map --
Geo-Rooting is the concept of rooting for the geographically closest team to the current location.
This map shows closest team (stadium location) by county in contiguous U.S.
Enjoy the playoffs!
Geo-Rooting is the concept of rooting for the geographically closest team to the current location.
This map shows closest team (stadium location) by county in contiguous U.S.
Enjoy the playoffs!
Today's update of the 2026 head coach and general manager interview trackers.
Data per AroundTheNFL and @cbssports.bsky.social
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
Data per AroundTheNFL and @cbssports.bsky.social
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
January 9, 2026 at 7:27 PM
Today's update of the 2026 head coach and general manager interview trackers.
Data per AroundTheNFL and @cbssports.bsky.social
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
Data per AroundTheNFL and @cbssports.bsky.social
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
Today's update of the 2026 #NFL head coach and general manager interview trackers.
Data per AroundTheNFL
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
Data per AroundTheNFL
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
January 8, 2026 at 7:14 PM
Today's update of the 2026 #NFL head coach and general manager interview trackers.
Data per AroundTheNFL
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
Data per AroundTheNFL
(Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)
Interview season might be the fastest-evolving news landscape in the NFL year.
I love it - even though I don't wish anyone to lose their job.
I love it - even though I don't wish anyone to lose their job.
January 8, 2026 at 3:56 PM
Interview season might be the fastest-evolving news landscape in the NFL year.
I love it - even though I don't wish anyone to lose their job.
I love it - even though I don't wish anyone to lose their job.
It's NFL job interview season, and I'll be posting daily updates on the current status.
Data per AroundTheNFL
Data per AroundTheNFL
January 7, 2026 at 6:55 PM
It's NFL job interview season, and I'll be posting daily updates on the current status.
Data per AroundTheNFL
Data per AroundTheNFL
Reposted by Sebastian Carl
Each NFL team's regular season point differential in the Super Bowl era through the 2025 season.
The Seahawks and Texans have reached new high points, while the Raiders and Jets have nearly matched their worst seasons ever.
The Seahawks and Texans have reached new high points, while the Raiders and Jets have nearly matched their worst seasons ever.
January 5, 2026 at 7:09 PM
Each NFL team's regular season point differential in the Super Bowl era through the 2025 season.
The Seahawks and Texans have reached new high points, while the Raiders and Jets have nearly matched their worst seasons ever.
The Seahawks and Texans have reached new high points, while the Raiders and Jets have nearly matched their worst seasons ever.
Each NFL team's regular season point differential in the Super Bowl era through the 2025 season.
The Seahawks and Texans have reached new high points, while the Raiders and Jets have nearly matched their worst seasons ever.
The Seahawks and Texans have reached new high points, while the Raiders and Jets have nearly matched their worst seasons ever.
January 5, 2026 at 7:09 PM
Each NFL team's regular season point differential in the Super Bowl era through the 2025 season.
The Seahawks and Texans have reached new high points, while the Raiders and Jets have nearly matched their worst seasons ever.
The Seahawks and Texans have reached new high points, while the Raiders and Jets have nearly matched their worst seasons ever.
I'm sure Steelers fans won't have any problem with the record being broken in Week 18.
Myles Garrett made history by recording 23 sacks in a single season. Here is the list of games and how he arrived at the number 23.
January 4, 2026 at 9:25 PM
I'm sure Steelers fans won't have any problem with the record being broken in Week 18.
Myles Garrett made history by recording 23 sacks in a single season. Here is the list of games and how he arrived at the number 23.
January 4, 2026 at 9:07 PM
Myles Garrett made history by recording 23 sacks in a single season. Here is the list of games and how he arrived at the number 23.
With the 14 remaining #NFL 🏈 games, there are
2^14 = 16,384 Week 18 outcome combinations (ignoring ties). If we calculate playoff seeds for all combinations, we get the following results.
It was only today that I realized the Jaguars could still get any seed except #4.
2^14 = 16,384 Week 18 outcome combinations (ignoring ties). If we calculate playoff seeds for all combinations, we get the following results.
It was only today that I realized the Jaguars could still get any seed except #4.
January 4, 2026 at 4:40 PM
With the 14 remaining #NFL 🏈 games, there are
2^14 = 16,384 Week 18 outcome combinations (ignoring ties). If we calculate playoff seeds for all combinations, we get the following results.
It was only today that I realized the Jaguars could still get any seed except #4.
2^14 = 16,384 Week 18 outcome combinations (ignoring ties). If we calculate playoff seeds for all combinations, we get the following results.
It was only today that I realized the Jaguars could still get any seed except #4.
-- WEEK 17 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game,
and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game,
and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
December 23, 2025 at 3:44 PM
-- WEEK 17 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game,
and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game,
and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
-- WEEK 16 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
December 17, 2025 at 3:49 PM
-- WEEK 16 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
-- WEEK 16 #NFL 🏈 Seeding Probabilities --
For many teams, it is practically certain that they will play in the playoffs. This makes the question of possible seeds more interesting.
The following table shows seed probabilities based on 50k simulations of the remaining season.
For many teams, it is practically certain that they will play in the playoffs. This makes the question of possible seeds more interesting.
The following table shows seed probabilities based on 50k simulations of the remaining season.
December 16, 2025 at 3:29 PM
-- WEEK 16 #NFL 🏈 Seeding Probabilities --
For many teams, it is practically certain that they will play in the playoffs. This makes the question of possible seeds more interesting.
The following table shows seed probabilities based on 50k simulations of the remaining season.
For many teams, it is practically certain that they will play in the playoffs. This makes the question of possible seeds more interesting.
The following table shows seed probabilities based on 50k simulations of the remaining season.
Thought experiment:
Imagine the Chargers and the Rams make it to the championship game and have home field advantage. What would the NFL do then? Schedule one of the two games on Saturday or Monday?
Imagine the Chargers and the Rams make it to the championship game and have home field advantage. What would the NFL do then? Schedule one of the two games on Saturday or Monday?
December 14, 2025 at 11:19 PM
Thought experiment:
Imagine the Chargers and the Rams make it to the championship game and have home field advantage. What would the NFL do then? Schedule one of the two games on Saturday or Monday?
Imagine the Chargers and the Rams make it to the championship game and have home field advantage. What would the NFL do then? Schedule one of the two games on Saturday or Monday?
-- WEEK 15 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
December 10, 2025 at 3:00 PM
-- WEEK 15 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
-- WEEK 14 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
December 2, 2025 at 3:04 PM
-- WEEK 14 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Reposted by Sebastian Carl
-- WEEK 13 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
November 25, 2025 at 3:56 PM
-- WEEK 13 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
-- WEEK 13 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
November 25, 2025 at 3:56 PM
-- WEEK 13 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
-- WEEK 12 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
November 19, 2025 at 3:12 PM
-- WEEK 12 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
-- WEEK 11 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.
Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.
November 12, 2025 at 2:55 PM
-- WEEK 11 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.
Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.