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Sebastian Carl

@mrcaseb.com

1.4K followers 270 following 430 posts

Football 🏈 in the #nflverse | #rstats | #dataviz | #engineering | Justin Herbert is Elite https://mrcaseb.com/

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Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · Oct 30

Since many new users are looking at my profile I summarize some of my more recent #rstats dataviz here.
Thanks for following and/or sharing!

A table of implied NFL betting market probabilities of season outcomes, team ratings and strength of schedule after the 2024 preseason.

NFL point differential by game second of NFC North teams after their hot start into the 2024 season.

Win probability over the course of the 2024 week 6 NFL game Commanders @ Ravens

Does unit investment pay off? How much #NFL teams spend on their units (in 2024) vs. their respective PFF grades through week 2.
What stands out to me here is that the average defense grade is lower than the average offense grade although we see a decline in offensive performance so far

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 8h

dwight schrute is wearing glasses and a suit and tie .

ALT: dwight schrute is wearing glasses and a suit and tie .

media.tenor.com

Reposted by Sebastian Carl

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 1d

Has Chase Daniel already complained that the Chiefs lost because the kickoff landed half a yard short of a made-up landing zone?

Brian Floyd @brianmfloyd.bsky.social · 1d

don’t want that hilarious game-winning drive to overshadow that harrison butker booting the ball out of bounds set the whole thing up

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 1d

Has Chase Daniel already complained that the Chiefs lost because the kickoff landed half a yard short of a made-up landing zone?

Brian Floyd @brianmfloyd.bsky.social · 1d

don’t want that hilarious game-winning drive to overshadow that harrison butker booting the ball out of bounds set the whole thing up

Reposted by Sebastian Carl

Ben Baldwin @rbsdm.com · 2d

Updated the look of the box score site (with thanks to @mrcaseb.com)

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 3d

Whoops I have some ties in there for games about to start soon, sorry. Doesn't affect point differential tho

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 3d

The Indianapolis Colts currently lead the league with a point differential of +77 points

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 3d

And most of them haven't had 17 regular season games or 7 playoff spots per conference

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 3d

Stroud having a day against the Ravens backup defense?

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 3d

Testing new styles in boxscore app

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 4d

Oh nice, thank you! I swear I searched Github without result. Which means I have to work on my GH search skills haha.

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 4d

@davisvaughan.bsky.social I see that you use {cross} in PRs for benchmarks across branches. Is that an internal posit package? I would love to use this for performance PRs but I have trouble finding the source.

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 6d

Haha I ran some sims today as well because I was wondering what draft pick the Falcons will hand out to the Rams. Close to 30% a top-10 pick…

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 8d

Yes, I planned to update the strings and forgot it. I can use it as synonym, can I?

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 8d

Same! It's a white watercolor paper texture.
unsplash.com/photos/white...

The closest I could find to a fluid watercolor paper that I saw from @minakimes.bsky.social

Photo by Olga Thelavart on Unsplash

White watercolor paper texture – Download this photo by Olga Thelavart on Unsplash

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 8d

Absolutely agree. Sometimes we do see offenses where epa is heavily inflated by big plays, though.

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 8d

Continuously moving the ball is just as important in the NFL as explosive plays.
This chart shows offensive EPA per play (x-axis) and success rate (plays where EPA > 0) split by dropback and rushing.

Imagine the Patriots fixing their rushing game!

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 10d

But the broadcast told me the kick was "a 1000% the right decision", Seth

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 11d

I have a package that exports a method for a ggplot2 generic. ggplot2 v4 made me look up and parse the call stack to identify from where the method is called because I couldn’t figure out a better way to solve a problem.

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 11d

There’s nothing wrong about that

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 11d

I always/ use "We" because it’s me and the person reading the comment

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 13d

Yeah that’s fair. I guess it’s just a matter of time to get used to the way the code looks. I never felt the urge to try it but I understand the idea.

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 13d

I think almost all tidyverse functions ignore empty arguments (i.e. trailing commas) in dots. So at least when dots are evaluated with rlang, this approach has no value over trailing commas.

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 13d

While I agree that pak is great, I would like to note that `install.packages()` also performs parallel downloads. This was introduced in R 4.5.0.
cran.r-project.org/doc/manuals/...

Bullet point from the R 4.5.0 changelog saying:

install.packages() and download.packages() download packages simultaneously using libcurl, significantly reducing download times when installing or downloading multiple packages.

Reposted by Sebastian Carl

Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 14d

Brian Thomas Jr. has a 46.7% catchable target rate this season, the lowest among wide receivers with 12 or more targets per @sportsinfosolutions.com.

Only 1 other receiver is even below 60%.

Reposted by Sebastian Carl

Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 14d

Thanks to @ftnfantasy.com, I can renew this old graphic I call Pillboxes.

Each tick is one snap. Upticks are passes, downticks are runs. See all 11 players on the field at the same time!

Pacheco and B.Smith sticking with mostly early down work, Kareem getting most of the 3rds.