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National Institute of Economic and Social Research
@niesrorg.bsky.social
Founded in 1938, NIESR is Britain’s longest established independent research institute focusing on macroeconomics and social policy.
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#Chancellor, fix the roof!🏚️

"We need to call time on fiscal wishful thinking.

The sun may not be shining, but it’s still the moment to fix the roof – before the next storm hits" 🌦️🌩️

Ahead of the #Budget our Director's piece for Comment Central is a must read 👇
The sun might not be shining, but it’s time to fix the roof
Within the space of a week, the Chancellor has delivered a pre-Budget signal, rowed back from it, and left the impression of a government unsure of its fiscal bearings. One could be forgiven for…
commentcentral.co.uk
'Chancellor let's stop paying a credibility #tax'!

Our Director David Aikman setting the scene ahead of the #Budget2025

Follow our live reactions here ⚡️

#Budget #UKeconomy
November 26, 2025 at 11:49 AM
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
#Budget week is (finally) here! But what should we be really looking out for on Wednesday? 💼

Our Peter Dixon answers four key questions in the latest #MondayInterview, just published 👇

#Budget2025 #Chancellor #UKeconomy
@resmedia.bsky.social

niesr.ac.uk/blog/four-ke...
November 24, 2025 at 10:49 AM
Tomorrow is #Budget Day - And the day after tomorrow is our event presenting our analysis on it and discussing all the various announcements with PGIM and CBI, chaired by @teraallas.bsky.social

💻Online ⏰ 1-2pm

Signed up here👇

#Budget2025 #UKeconomy #Chancellor

niesr.ac.uk/event/discus...
November 25, 2025 at 5:05 PM
#Budget week is (finally) here! But what should we be really looking out for on Wednesday? 💼

Our Peter Dixon answers four key questions in the latest #MondayInterview, just published 👇

#Budget2025 #Chancellor #UKeconomy
@resmedia.bsky.social

niesr.ac.uk/blog/four-ke...
November 24, 2025 at 10:49 AM
#Chancellor, fix the roof!🏚️

"We need to call time on fiscal wishful thinking.

The sun may not be shining, but it’s still the moment to fix the roof – before the next storm hits" 🌦️🌩️

Ahead of the #Budget our Director's piece for Comment Central is a must read 👇
The sun might not be shining, but it’s time to fix the roof
Within the space of a week, the Chancellor has delivered a pre-Budget signal, rowed back from it, and left the impression of a government unsure of its fiscal bearings. One could be forgiven for…
commentcentral.co.uk
November 24, 2025 at 8:53 AM
*NEW* pre-#Budget video with our Deputy Director @econstevem.bsky.social

What is trend growth? Why it matters? What can the #Government do about it?

Worth a watch ahead of next week ⬇️🎥

#Budget2025 #AutumnBudget #UKeconomy #Chancellor
November 23, 2025 at 6:12 PM
#WeekendReading 🔖 Our latest #CPI Tracker suggesting that, despite the expected fall in the latest numbers earlier in the week, #inflation will remain above 3% over the next 6 months 📈

Here is why 👇

#UKeconomy #interestrates #Budget2025

niesr.ac.uk/publications...
November 23, 2025 at 1:44 PM
#WeekendReading🔖 The latest #DirectorView

The 'Dean Trench' Weekly Memo from explores explores the channels through which the #Budget can impact borrowing costs and shows how a credible fiscal plan could potentially lower gilt yields and earn a ‘credibility dividend’

niesr.ac.uk/blog/how-mig...
November 23, 2025 at 9:28 AM
#WeekendWatching🔖 Our pre-#Budget video with Director David Aikman outlining where the actual issues lie, how to address the fiscal gap in the public finances, and the role of #fiscalrules ⬇️🎥

#Budget #AutumnBudget #UKeconomy #Chancellor
November 22, 2025 at 4:12 PM
#WeekendReading🔖 Forget MAGA... what matters in the UK is MOBA!

*Make the OBR Boring Again*

Our Director David Aikman explains why in his latest piece for @cityam.bsky.social
👇👇👇
Make the OBR boring again
The OBR should be independent, trusted and uncontroversial - so it needs a rules-based framework in which to operate, otherwise it will continue to come under attack
www.cityam.com
November 22, 2025 at 11:30 AM
#WeekendReading🔖 What is fiscal sustainability? How to define it?

And what can the #Chancellor do in the upcoming #Budget to achieve it?

Our latest #MondayInterview by @econstevem.bsky.social tries to provide some answers👇

#FiscalPolicy #Budget2025

niesr.ac.uk/blog/what-ar...
November 22, 2025 at 9:07 AM
"We need to call time on fiscal wishful thinking.

What’s needed in the #AutumnBudget is a credible plan to reduce #debt – not just over this Parliament but over the decade ahead."

Our Director David Aikman's latest piece for Comment Central is out now!

commentcentral.co.uk/the-sun-migh...
The sun might not be shining, but it’s time to fix the roof
Within the space of a week, the Chancellor has delivered a pre-Budget signal, rowed back from it, and left the impression of a government unsure of its fiscal bearings. One could be forgiven for feel...
commentcentral.co.uk
November 21, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
The UK bond market is highly sensitive as it approaches next week’s #Budget. This blog explores the channels through which the #Budget can impact borrowing costs and shows how a credible fiscal plan could potentially lower gilt yields and earn a ‘credibility dividend’.

niesr.ac.uk/blog/how-mig...
November 21, 2025 at 10:37 AM
*NEW* pre-#Budget video with our Deputy Director @econstevem.bsky.social

What is trend growth? Why it matters? What can the #Government do about it?

Worth a watch ahead of next week ⬇️🎥

#Budget2025 #AutumnBudget #UKeconomy #Chancellor
@resmedia.bsky.social
November 20, 2025 at 4:35 PM
What to make of today's #inflation figures? They suggest a mixed picture...

Our Huw Dixon digs deep into the numbers and provide some insights in his #blog, just published
👇👇

@cu-cardiffbusiness.bsky.social
niesr.ac.uk/blog/inflati...
November 19, 2025 at 5:17 PM
🚨OUT NOW🚨 Our latest #CPI Tracker suggests that, despite the expected fall today, #inflation will remain above 3% over the next 6 months 📈

Here is why 👇

niesr.ac.uk/publications...
November 19, 2025 at 10:46 AM
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
With the budget happening next week, I was able to discuss the links between the budget and productivity on this podcast hosted by @bartvanark.bsky.social together with the excellent @teraallas.bsky.social and Louise Hellem. Well worth a listen! @niesrorg.bsky.social @jagjitchadha.bsky.social
November 18, 2025 at 11:34 AM
⚡️Our reaction to the latest #inflation figures is out now⚡️

#UKeconomy
#InterestRates
@resmedia.bsky.social
November 19, 2025 at 7:27 AM
⚡️Latest forecast paints a gloomy picture for #inflation well into 2026 📈

Ahead of tomorrow's latest ONS monthly data on inflation read our Huw Dixon's blog 👇

#UKeconomy
@cu-cardiffbusiness.bsky.social
niesr.ac.uk/blog/latest-...
November 18, 2025 at 9:58 AM
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
What is fiscal sustainability? How to define it?

And what the #Chancellor do in the upcoming #Budget to achieve it?

Read our latest #MondayInterview by @econstevem.bsky.social , just published 👇

#FiscalPolicy #UKeconomy
@resmedia.bsky.social

niesr.ac.uk/blog/what-ar...
November 17, 2025 at 10:51 AM
What is fiscal sustainability? How to define it?

And what the #Chancellor do in the upcoming #Budget to achieve it?

Read our latest #MondayInterview by @econstevem.bsky.social , just published 👇

#FiscalPolicy #UKeconomy
@resmedia.bsky.social

niesr.ac.uk/blog/what-ar...
November 17, 2025 at 10:51 AM
"We can, and should, have two #OBR forecasts a year but one #Budget"

The way to avoid short-termism is not to silence the OBR but to build more headroom into the fiscal rules"

Our Director David Aikman's letter in the @financialtimes.com today is worth a read 📨👇

www.ft.com/content/dcf9...
Letter: The OBR’s problem is not a lack of transparency
From David Aikman, Director, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, London SW1, UK
www.ft.com
November 17, 2025 at 10:09 AM
#WeekendReading 🔖 Our latest #GDP Tracker suggesting the UK economy is running out of steam ahead of the #Budget and is now expected to grow by 0.2% in the last quarter of the year 📈

Read more here 👇

niesr.ac.uk/publications...
November 16, 2025 at 1:45 PM