Noah Goodall
@noahgoodall.bsky.social
Transportation researcher. Pre-prints on personal site. Views are my own, not Commonwealth's. https://profile.virginia.edu/njg2q
The Trump Accounts are weird. You're taxed going in and going out, no withdrawals before age 18, not even for emergencies. So you want to be doing pretty well to contribute, e.g. maxed 401k, Roth IRAs, 529s, emergency fund. The $5k no-income-limit contribution helps the wealthy, though.
February 12, 2026 at 9:25 PM
The Trump Accounts are weird. You're taxed going in and going out, no withdrawals before age 18, not even for emergencies. So you want to be doing pretty well to contribute, e.g. maxed 401k, Roth IRAs, 529s, emergency fund. The $5k no-income-limit contribution helps the wealthy, though.
Can we slow this train down please? h/t gamblingharm.org/polymarket-g...
February 11, 2026 at 1:14 AM
Can we slow this train down please? h/t gamblingharm.org/polymarket-g...
Reposted by Noah Goodall
Bank of America: the top 30 customers could be making up ~35% of total volume on Kalshi so far in 2026
(I get that the 80/20 rule is a thing, but still unsettling to see it be this extreme and apply to zero/negative sum outcome biz)
(I get that the 80/20 rule is a thing, but still unsettling to see it be this extreme and apply to zero/negative sum outcome biz)
February 9, 2026 at 4:50 PM
Bank of America: the top 30 customers could be making up ~35% of total volume on Kalshi so far in 2026
(I get that the 80/20 rule is a thing, but still unsettling to see it be this extreme and apply to zero/negative sum outcome biz)
(I get that the 80/20 rule is a thing, but still unsettling to see it be this extreme and apply to zero/negative sum outcome biz)
Waymo admits that some portion of their remote operators are based in the Philippines. The video is illustrative as you can see that Waymo really does not want to answer this question. I would love to know whether they got back to @markey.senate.gov with numbers, and what those were.
February 6, 2026 at 6:51 PM
Waymo admits that some portion of their remote operators are based in the Philippines. The video is illustrative as you can see that Waymo really does not want to answer this question. I would love to know whether they got back to @markey.senate.gov with numbers, and what those were.
Waymo tells the Senate one thing, California regulators another. So do remote operators ever take control of the vehicle? When has this happened? In what circumstances will it happen again? bsky.app/profile/noah...
February 6, 2026 at 6:34 PM
Waymo tells the Senate one thing, California regulators another. So do remote operators ever take control of the vehicle? When has this happened? In what circumstances will it happen again? bsky.app/profile/noah...
The claim in this article is not supported by the data. SGO and NHTSA general public data have different reporting thresholds, and the authors also seems to have used raw gen. pub. crash counts, instead of total vehicles INVOLVED in crashes. Better benchmark is around 50-100k miles b/w crashes.
January 30, 2026 at 5:13 PM
The claim in this article is not supported by the data. SGO and NHTSA general public data have different reporting thresholds, and the authors also seems to have used raw gen. pub. crash counts, instead of total vehicles INVOLVED in crashes. Better benchmark is around 50-100k miles b/w crashes.
Reposted by Noah Goodall
Waymo is telling UK their telops can't do what they told CPUC they can do:
“Waymo does not use remote driving or teleoperation where a human takes control of the vehicle....They cannot drive the car,” George Ivanov, Head of International Policy and Government Affairs
zagdaily.com/featured/way...
“Waymo does not use remote driving or teleoperation where a human takes control of the vehicle....They cannot drive the car,” George Ivanov, Head of International Policy and Government Affairs
zagdaily.com/featured/way...
January 30, 2026 at 1:29 AM
Waymo is telling UK their telops can't do what they told CPUC they can do:
“Waymo does not use remote driving or teleoperation where a human takes control of the vehicle....They cannot drive the car,” George Ivanov, Head of International Policy and Government Affairs
zagdaily.com/featured/way...
“Waymo does not use remote driving or teleoperation where a human takes control of the vehicle....They cannot drive the car,” George Ivanov, Head of International Policy and Government Affairs
zagdaily.com/featured/way...
Kalshi loves to talk about how they're a market, not a dirty little sportsbook that sets their own odds. Yet you can only bet "Yes" on NBA player scoring prop bets. There's no "No" option. So who's taking the other side?
No one knows! Probably Kalshi or a sportsbook partner. Nice.
No one knows! Probably Kalshi or a sportsbook partner. Nice.
January 24, 2026 at 10:05 PM
Kalshi loves to talk about how they're a market, not a dirty little sportsbook that sets their own odds. Yet you can only bet "Yes" on NBA player scoring prop bets. There's no "No" option. So who's taking the other side?
No one knows! Probably Kalshi or a sportsbook partner. Nice.
No one knows! Probably Kalshi or a sportsbook partner. Nice.
It's already been corrected online, but the @newyorker.com print edition has this insane fact. I suspect they got this from the US Sentencing Commission, but that's because sex crimes involving Native Americans and occurring on reservations go to federal court. When including state courts, it's <1%.
January 22, 2026 at 10:41 PM
It's already been corrected online, but the @newyorker.com print edition has this insane fact. I suspect they got this from the US Sentencing Commission, but that's because sex crimes involving Native Americans and occurring on reservations go to federal court. When including state courts, it's <1%.
@aniccia.bsky.social reminded me that Waymo does teledrive in limited circumstances. This is done by the Event Response Team, who I assume are US-based since they speak directly with 1st responders, as opposed to the remote assist who use pre-recorded messages.
www.cpuc.ca.gov/-/media/cpuc...
www.cpuc.ca.gov/-/media/cpuc...
January 19, 2026 at 9:14 PM
@aniccia.bsky.social reminded me that Waymo does teledrive in limited circumstances. This is done by the Event Response Team, who I assume are US-based since they speak directly with 1st responders, as opposed to the remote assist who use pre-recorded messages.
www.cpuc.ca.gov/-/media/cpuc...
www.cpuc.ca.gov/-/media/cpuc...
Ed's correct. Waymos get occasional assistance but I doubt they teledrive ("mechanical turk"). Partly because Waymo has consistently said this AND because there are significant technical limitations - latency would be too high and too variable. But I would love NHTSA to deep dive this.
just so you know, the spectrum between "requires some human intervention at some point in the operational cycle" and "mechanical turk" is as vast and diverse as the field of robotics itself
I'm late, but this is the first confirmation I've seen of Waymo using foreign-based remote operators. Prior, there was only a rumored podcast ep, immediately cease-and-desisted.
www.telegraph.co.uk/business/202...
www.telegraph.co.uk/business/202...
January 19, 2026 at 2:43 AM
Ed's correct. Waymos get occasional assistance but I doubt they teledrive ("mechanical turk"). Partly because Waymo has consistently said this AND because there are significant technical limitations - latency would be too high and too variable. But I would love NHTSA to deep dive this.
Reposted by Noah Goodall
NHTSA closed their year+ investigation of Waymo. Waymo's 2 recalls re to this investigation were for crashing into a utility pole and roadway barriers. Evidently, robots repeatedly driving on the wrong side of the road into traffic and disobeying traffic control devices is ok in USA. Scale that.
July 25, 2025 at 5:17 PM
NHTSA closed their year+ investigation of Waymo. Waymo's 2 recalls re to this investigation were for crashing into a utility pole and roadway barriers. Evidently, robots repeatedly driving on the wrong side of the road into traffic and disobeying traffic control devices is ok in USA. Scale that.
I'm late, but this is the first confirmation I've seen of Waymo using foreign-based remote operators. Prior, there was only a rumored podcast ep, immediately cease-and-desisted.
www.telegraph.co.uk/business/202...
www.telegraph.co.uk/business/202...
January 19, 2026 at 12:35 AM
I'm late, but this is the first confirmation I've seen of Waymo using foreign-based remote operators. Prior, there was only a rumored podcast ep, immediately cease-and-desisted.
www.telegraph.co.uk/business/202...
www.telegraph.co.uk/business/202...
Kalshi loves this argument, but it's BS because they have an "independent" trading division who can effectively set prices, so they very much are the house.
November 28, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Kalshi loves this argument, but it's BS because they have an "independent" trading division who can effectively set prices, so they very much are the house.
File this under things no one asked for: yet another prediction "market" to inside trade on manipulable and/or uninvestable-for-a-reason BS events. We're gonna look back on this time like smoking in the 1950s. We know all the risks but there are dimes to squeeze.
November 25, 2025 at 8:27 PM
File this under things no one asked for: yet another prediction "market" to inside trade on manipulable and/or uninvestable-for-a-reason BS events. We're gonna look back on this time like smoking in the 1950s. We know all the risks but there are dimes to squeeze.
Seeing some small errors in the Tesla safety report for no-active-safety (the 2008-2013 "baseline" vehicles) minor crashes. Here's North America. It looks like similar errors in worldwide, so probably something wrong with their counts.
November 15, 2025 at 8:28 PM
Seeing some small errors in the Tesla safety report for no-active-safety (the 2008-2013 "baseline" vehicles) minor crashes. Here's North America. It looks like similar errors in worldwide, so probably something wrong with their counts.
Tesla now publishing crash counts and mileage. Better yet, they have re-introduced "without FSD/AP, with active safety features" which has been, as far as I could tell, simply deleted entirely since Q2 2021. Mini thread on first impressions. www.tesla.com/fsd/safety
November 14, 2025 at 10:59 PM
Tesla now publishing crash counts and mileage. Better yet, they have re-introduced "without FSD/AP, with active safety features" which has been, as far as I could tell, simply deleted entirely since Q2 2021. Mini thread on first impressions. www.tesla.com/fsd/safety
As a former shitty hs kicker, here's what I want: designate a target like an end zone pylon. The further away the ball lands, the better the starting position. That's high drama!
From @theathletic.com: The NFL’s new kickoff rules have reinvigorated the game: Big plays are up, and so is excitement. But so are the injuries, including a surge in concussions.
The NFL’s boom in kickoff returns is coming at a cost: Rising injury rates
With more returns have come more injuries, including a surge in concussions that could prompt another look at how to manage player safety.
nyti.ms
November 12, 2025 at 7:04 PM
As a former shitty hs kicker, here's what I want: designate a target like an end zone pylon. The further away the ball lands, the better the starting position. That's high drama!
Always fascinated by policies that have 99% approval yet don't happen, more so by those taken away. Politically, this is like banning direct deposit.
Thanks to the Trump admin, the IRS’s FREE Direct File tool will not be available next tax season.
This tool lets Americans file taxes without paying an expensive service.
This is just another way that Trump is helping big corporations profit by screwing over working people.
This tool lets Americans file taxes without paying an expensive service.
This is just another way that Trump is helping big corporations profit by screwing over working people.
November 10, 2025 at 6:29 PM
Always fascinated by policies that have 99% approval yet don't happen, more so by those taken away. Politically, this is like banning direct deposit.
Thread on the Virginia Lottery Board meeting held October 30. Full video available. www.youtube.com/watch?v=TRzD...
Virginia Lottery Board Meeting - October 30, 2025
YouTube video by Virginia Lottery
www.youtube.com
November 3, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Thread on the Virginia Lottery Board meeting held October 30. Full video available. www.youtube.com/watch?v=TRzD...
Virginia's iLottery state-run casino app sales up 28% over Q1 last year. They still have not found the top with this thing.
October 30, 2025 at 1:44 PM
Virginia's iLottery state-run casino app sales up 28% over Q1 last year. They still have not found the top with this thing.
Revealing Nunes quote about "control" of prediction markets. Clearly he thinks that Truth Social's markets will be more accurate, and therefore any Republican ahead in the markets but losing the election is a victim of voter fraud. Nice.
October 29, 2025 at 5:03 PM
Revealing Nunes quote about "control" of prediction markets. Clearly he thinks that Truth Social's markets will be more accurate, and therefore any Republican ahead in the markets but losing the election is a victim of voter fraud. Nice.
Truth Social has announced that they are entering prediction markets, powered by crypto dot com.
Prediction markets are sportsbooks in disguise, as political events are few and far between. Gee, which button is the biggest?
(h/t @matt-levine.bsky.social)
www.reuters.com/business/med...
Prediction markets are sportsbooks in disguise, as political events are few and far between. Gee, which button is the biggest?
(h/t @matt-levine.bsky.social)
www.reuters.com/business/med...
October 28, 2025 at 9:23 PM
Truth Social has announced that they are entering prediction markets, powered by crypto dot com.
Prediction markets are sportsbooks in disguise, as political events are few and far between. Gee, which button is the biggest?
(h/t @matt-levine.bsky.social)
www.reuters.com/business/med...
Prediction markets are sportsbooks in disguise, as political events are few and far between. Gee, which button is the biggest?
(h/t @matt-levine.bsky.social)
www.reuters.com/business/med...
Calls to Virginia's gambling helpline are through the roof. I actually heard the Lottery Board try to explain this as a result of their efforts to promote the helpline LOL. Meanwhile state-run gambling has doubled, particularly the highly-addictive casino-style iLottery.
October 23, 2025 at 8:54 PM
Calls to Virginia's gambling helpline are through the roof. I actually heard the Lottery Board try to explain this as a result of their efforts to promote the helpline LOL. Meanwhile state-run gambling has doubled, particularly the highly-addictive casino-style iLottery.
Reposted by Noah Goodall
As seen in the release notes of ChatGPT Atlas. Cool cool cool
October 22, 2025 at 10:07 AM
As seen in the release notes of ChatGPT Atlas. Cool cool cool