Neil D
@nsdtrading.bsky.social
#Algo stock trader for 5 years, other trading for 28 years.
Other interests photography with my Fuji #X100S.
Barefoot runner of some 16 years.
Guitar strummer
Other interests photography with my Fuji #X100S.
Barefoot runner of some 16 years.
Guitar strummer
Reposted by Neil D
The Shape of What Remains
Read the full article here: atstradingsolutions.com/the-shape-of...
#ComplexSystems #FineTuning #Emergence #Physics #Philosophy #SystemsThinking
Read the full article here: atstradingsolutions.com/the-shape-of...
#ComplexSystems #FineTuning #Emergence #Physics #Philosophy #SystemsThinking
December 18, 2025 at 12:22 AM
The Shape of What Remains
Read the full article here: atstradingsolutions.com/the-shape-of...
#ComplexSystems #FineTuning #Emergence #Physics #Philosophy #SystemsThinking
Read the full article here: atstradingsolutions.com/the-shape-of...
#ComplexSystems #FineTuning #Emergence #Physics #Philosophy #SystemsThinking
The weakness in Australia's shares can be seen in the 2 charts.
The longer term 52wk NHNL is still green while the 13wk NHNL has now turned negative.
Only positive sectors are.
■ Energy
■ Resources
■ Consumer Staples (barely)
Active portfolios 50% cash.
The longer term 52wk NHNL is still green while the 13wk NHNL has now turned negative.
Only positive sectors are.
■ Energy
■ Resources
■ Consumer Staples (barely)
Active portfolios 50% cash.
December 16, 2025 at 10:30 PM
The weakness in Australia's shares can be seen in the 2 charts.
The longer term 52wk NHNL is still green while the 13wk NHNL has now turned negative.
Only positive sectors are.
■ Energy
■ Resources
■ Consumer Staples (barely)
Active portfolios 50% cash.
The longer term 52wk NHNL is still green while the 13wk NHNL has now turned negative.
Only positive sectors are.
■ Energy
■ Resources
■ Consumer Staples (barely)
Active portfolios 50% cash.
After the mass shooting in Australia at Bondi the government has come out with a novel idea, reduce the number of guns in the society.
Not that hard really.
All they can do in the U.S is offer prayers, again and again and again and again and again.
Not that hard really.
All they can do in the U.S is offer prayers, again and again and again and again and again.
December 15, 2025 at 8:16 AM
After the mass shooting in Australia at Bondi the government has come out with a novel idea, reduce the number of guns in the society.
Not that hard really.
All they can do in the U.S is offer prayers, again and again and again and again and again.
Not that hard really.
All they can do in the U.S is offer prayers, again and again and again and again and again.
I wonder how many people will be reconsidering travel to the USA now that big brother wants to pry into your emails and social media accounts.
All the hot air about free speech has now been revealed to be a lie.
I can see it being the death of the tourist industry.
All the hot air about free speech has now been revealed to be a lie.
I can see it being the death of the tourist industry.
December 11, 2025 at 7:40 AM
I wonder how many people will be reconsidering travel to the USA now that big brother wants to pry into your emails and social media accounts.
All the hot air about free speech has now been revealed to be a lie.
I can see it being the death of the tourist industry.
All the hot air about free speech has now been revealed to be a lie.
I can see it being the death of the tourist industry.
3 more stocks sold today and another to sell tomorrow.
Im getting pretty light on equities at present.
Im getting pretty light on equities at present.
December 10, 2025 at 9:07 AM
3 more stocks sold today and another to sell tomorrow.
Im getting pretty light on equities at present.
Im getting pretty light on equities at present.
My systems have been slowly selling down on the Aussie market, all through September and November as the weakness started hitting stocks.
Im getting close to 50% of my portfolio holdings now.
No buying until the index filter will allow it.
The index would have to rally past 9100 before any buys.
Im getting close to 50% of my portfolio holdings now.
No buying until the index filter will allow it.
The index would have to rally past 9100 before any buys.
December 9, 2025 at 5:57 AM
My systems have been slowly selling down on the Aussie market, all through September and November as the weakness started hitting stocks.
Im getting close to 50% of my portfolio holdings now.
No buying until the index filter will allow it.
The index would have to rally past 9100 before any buys.
Im getting close to 50% of my portfolio holdings now.
No buying until the index filter will allow it.
The index would have to rally past 9100 before any buys.
Reposted by Neil D
Stigmergy and the Secret Life of Markets
Read the full essay and see how the colony builds the trail: atstradingsolutions.com/stigmergy-an...
#Stigmergy #TrendFollowing #MarketStructure #SystematicTrading
Read the full essay and see how the colony builds the trail: atstradingsolutions.com/stigmergy-an...
#Stigmergy #TrendFollowing #MarketStructure #SystematicTrading
Stigmergy and the Secret Life of Markets – Traders Outpost
“Trends are not chosen. They form where the traces gather.” How order emerges when no one is in charge An ant follows a scent along the ground. It does not know where the trail leads. It has no map…
atstradingsolutions.com
December 6, 2025 at 10:20 PM
Stigmergy and the Secret Life of Markets
Read the full essay and see how the colony builds the trail: atstradingsolutions.com/stigmergy-an...
#Stigmergy #TrendFollowing #MarketStructure #SystematicTrading
Read the full essay and see how the colony builds the trail: atstradingsolutions.com/stigmergy-an...
#Stigmergy #TrendFollowing #MarketStructure #SystematicTrading
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12...
The Handmaid's Tale becoming a reality is the Autocratic States of America.
The Handmaid's Tale becoming a reality is the Autocratic States of America.
'This was a wanted pregnancy': The mothers facing prosecution in Trump's America
In the wake of widespread abortion bans, US prosecutors launch hundreds of cases charging people with crimes related to their pregnancy, miscarriage, stillbirth or birth.
www.abc.net.au
December 7, 2025 at 4:35 AM
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12...
The Handmaid's Tale becoming a reality is the Autocratic States of America.
The Handmaid's Tale becoming a reality is the Autocratic States of America.
Reposted by Neil D
This Week in Trend – Strength Without Conviction
Read the report here: atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...
#trendfollowing #managedfutures #systematictrading #CTAperformance #futuresmarkets #quantitativefinance #outlierhunting
Read the report here: atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...
#trendfollowing #managedfutures #systematictrading #CTAperformance #futuresmarkets #quantitativefinance #outlierhunting
This Week in Trend – Strength Without Conviction: 5th December 2025 – Traders Outpost
“Prices rise, but conviction refuses to follow” The first week of December delivered another round of strength on the surface. Equities drifted higher, natural gas exploded again and meats continue…
atstradingsolutions.com
December 6, 2025 at 8:43 AM
This Week in Trend – Strength Without Conviction
Read the report here: atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...
#trendfollowing #managedfutures #systematictrading #CTAperformance #futuresmarkets #quantitativefinance #outlierhunting
Read the report here: atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...
#trendfollowing #managedfutures #systematictrading #CTAperformance #futuresmarkets #quantitativefinance #outlierhunting
Reposted by Neil D
Thanksgiving Week: High Risk Volatility Expected, ZM Earnings + Defensive Names could be nice hedge for your portfolio. www.tmad.net/p/thanksgivi...
Thanksgiving Week: High Risk Volatility Expected, ZM Earnings + Defensive Names
$RL $ZM $VSCO $PG $SPX $NDX
www.tmad.net
November 24, 2025 at 1:30 AM
Thanksgiving Week: High Risk Volatility Expected, ZM Earnings + Defensive Names could be nice hedge for your portfolio. www.tmad.net/p/thanksgivi...
Reposted by Neil D
Why does the “smartest” trade often fail when everyone else is smart too?
Dive into the full essay here → atstradingsolutions.com/the-optimisa...
#SystemicRisk #AdaptiveMarkets #ReflexiveFinance #ComplexityThinking
Dive into the full essay here → atstradingsolutions.com/the-optimisa...
#SystemicRisk #AdaptiveMarkets #ReflexiveFinance #ComplexityThinking
The Optimisation Trap: Why Markets Break When Too Many People Try To Be Smart – Traders Outpost
Markets do not usually fail because participants behave irrationally.They fail because many participants behave intelligently in the same way.When intelligence converges, resilience disappears and …
atstradingsolutions.com
November 22, 2025 at 12:24 AM
Why does the “smartest” trade often fail when everyone else is smart too?
Dive into the full essay here → atstradingsolutions.com/the-optimisa...
#SystemicRisk #AdaptiveMarkets #ReflexiveFinance #ComplexityThinking
Dive into the full essay here → atstradingsolutions.com/the-optimisa...
#SystemicRisk #AdaptiveMarkets #ReflexiveFinance #ComplexityThinking
Lucky the Orange idiot wasnt in power during WW2 or else he would have handed Europe over to the Nazis.
November 22, 2025 at 7:33 AM
Lucky the Orange idiot wasnt in power during WW2 or else he would have handed Europe over to the Nazis.
Reposted by Neil D
Have we misunderstood intelligence?
Read the full piece here: atstradingsolutions.com/have-we-misu...
#ComplexAdaptiveSystems #FractalThinking #EmergentIntelligence #MarketStructure
Read the full piece here: atstradingsolutions.com/have-we-misu...
#ComplexAdaptiveSystems #FractalThinking #EmergentIntelligence #MarketStructure
Have We Misunderstood Intelligence? The Real Force Behind Self Organization – Traders Outpost
“Nature is not thinking. It is remembering.” Look carefully at the world and a strange pattern reveals itself.Everything seems to organise without a mind. Birds ripple across the sky in liquid wave…
atstradingsolutions.com
November 19, 2025 at 10:28 PM
Have we misunderstood intelligence?
Read the full piece here: atstradingsolutions.com/have-we-misu...
#ComplexAdaptiveSystems #FractalThinking #EmergentIntelligence #MarketStructure
Read the full piece here: atstradingsolutions.com/have-we-misu...
#ComplexAdaptiveSystems #FractalThinking #EmergentIntelligence #MarketStructure
Reposted by Neil D
Trump vs The BBC.
Love or loathe the BBC, recent events have put the UK's journalistic sovereignty in peril.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=iCMn...
Love or loathe the BBC, recent events have put the UK's journalistic sovereignty in peril.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=iCMn...
Trump vs The BBC
YouTube video by Jonathan Pie
www.youtube.com
November 18, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Trump vs The BBC.
Love or loathe the BBC, recent events have put the UK's journalistic sovereignty in peril.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=iCMn...
Love or loathe the BBC, recent events have put the UK's journalistic sovereignty in peril.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=iCMn...
Reposted by Neil D
While banks tap a record $50 billion from the emergency repo facility and the Fed flies blind on inflation data, these commodity signals could be your only warning before your portfolio bleeds deeper. open.substack.com/pub/tradingm...
Commodities + Selloff Roadmap for SPX and Highly Speculative Stocks: HIMS, TEM, QBTS
$GLD $USO $SLV $URA $HIMS $ONDS $TEM $IONQ $QBTS $TSLA $DOW
open.substack.com
November 13, 2025 at 11:05 PM
While banks tap a record $50 billion from the emergency repo facility and the Fed flies blind on inflation data, these commodity signals could be your only warning before your portfolio bleeds deeper. open.substack.com/pub/tradingm...
Reposted by Neil D
In this month’s Turtle Talk, we discuss our brand new book, The Aussie Turtles Trend Following Guide.
Amazon: amazon.com.au/Aussie-Turtl...
Listen to the podcast: aussieturtles.com/episode-008-...
#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #AussieTurtles #BookLaunch
Amazon: amazon.com.au/Aussie-Turtl...
Listen to the podcast: aussieturtles.com/episode-008-...
#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #AussieTurtles #BookLaunch
November 4, 2025 at 11:55 PM
In this month’s Turtle Talk, we discuss our brand new book, The Aussie Turtles Trend Following Guide.
Amazon: amazon.com.au/Aussie-Turtl...
Listen to the podcast: aussieturtles.com/episode-008-...
#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #AussieTurtles #BookLaunch
Amazon: amazon.com.au/Aussie-Turtl...
Listen to the podcast: aussieturtles.com/episode-008-...
#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #AussieTurtles #BookLaunch
The small end of the All Ords index has hit a bit of an air pocket today.
Down she goes.
Down she goes.
November 5, 2025 at 2:07 AM
The small end of the All Ords index has hit a bit of an air pocket today.
Down she goes.
Down she goes.
Between 1946 to 1960 Australia's population was increasing by 2.7% P.A.
Currently the population is increasing by approximately 1% P.A.
How come now we have a housing crisis and back then we didn't?
Were we better at building?
Or have we now turned a home into a speculative financial asset
Currently the population is increasing by approximately 1% P.A.
How come now we have a housing crisis and back then we didn't?
Were we better at building?
Or have we now turned a home into a speculative financial asset
November 1, 2025 at 9:11 PM
Between 1946 to 1960 Australia's population was increasing by 2.7% P.A.
Currently the population is increasing by approximately 1% P.A.
How come now we have a housing crisis and back then we didn't?
Were we better at building?
Or have we now turned a home into a speculative financial asset
Currently the population is increasing by approximately 1% P.A.
How come now we have a housing crisis and back then we didn't?
Were we better at building?
Or have we now turned a home into a speculative financial asset
Reposted by Neil D
Why Your Drawdowns and Opportunities Are Always Ahead of You
"The market doesn’t reward prediction. It rewards endurance."
Read the full article: atstradingsolutions.com/why-your-dra...
#FractalFinance #TrendFollowing #ComplexSystems #RiskManagement
"The market doesn’t reward prediction. It rewards endurance."
Read the full article: atstradingsolutions.com/why-your-dra...
#FractalFinance #TrendFollowing #ComplexSystems #RiskManagement
Why Your Drawdowns and Opportunities Are Always Ahead of You – Traders Outpost
In a fractal world, survival is not about predicting what happens next. It is about staying long enough to meet what inevitably will. “Every branch began as a risk. Every trunk is what survived.” T…
atstradingsolutions.com
November 1, 2025 at 3:00 AM
Why Your Drawdowns and Opportunities Are Always Ahead of You
"The market doesn’t reward prediction. It rewards endurance."
Read the full article: atstradingsolutions.com/why-your-dra...
#FractalFinance #TrendFollowing #ComplexSystems #RiskManagement
"The market doesn’t reward prediction. It rewards endurance."
Read the full article: atstradingsolutions.com/why-your-dra...
#FractalFinance #TrendFollowing #ComplexSystems #RiskManagement
Reposted by Neil D
Clearly, the secret’s out, even the turtles know this book moves faster than the market!
Grab your copy of The Aussie Turtles Trend Following Guide before they finish the next chapter!
www.aussieturtles.com/turtle-tracks/
Grab your copy of The Aussie Turtles Trend Following Guide before they finish the next chapter!
www.aussieturtles.com/turtle-tracks/
October 31, 2025 at 7:34 AM
Clearly, the secret’s out, even the turtles know this book moves faster than the market!
Grab your copy of The Aussie Turtles Trend Following Guide before they finish the next chapter!
www.aussieturtles.com/turtle-tracks/
Grab your copy of The Aussie Turtles Trend Following Guide before they finish the next chapter!
www.aussieturtles.com/turtle-tracks/
Im glad to see the back of October and another 12 months before we have to see it again.
My longer portfolio was down by -4.5% over the month.
The shakeout occurred in the small/mid cap miners as gold/silver had a breather.
I picked up a few iron ore miners in their place.
My longer portfolio was down by -4.5% over the month.
The shakeout occurred in the small/mid cap miners as gold/silver had a breather.
I picked up a few iron ore miners in their place.
October 31, 2025 at 10:28 AM
Im glad to see the back of October and another 12 months before we have to see it again.
My longer portfolio was down by -4.5% over the month.
The shakeout occurred in the small/mid cap miners as gold/silver had a breather.
I picked up a few iron ore miners in their place.
My longer portfolio was down by -4.5% over the month.
The shakeout occurred in the small/mid cap miners as gold/silver had a breather.
I picked up a few iron ore miners in their place.
The NASDAQ might be hitting all time highs but the rally is built on sandy unstable ground.
The Cap weighted index has gone up 34% in the last 6 months versus the Equal weighted move of 18.6%.
A small handful of bubble mega stocks driving it.
The emperors new clothes will be revealed to be hot air
The Cap weighted index has gone up 34% in the last 6 months versus the Equal weighted move of 18.6%.
A small handful of bubble mega stocks driving it.
The emperors new clothes will be revealed to be hot air
October 29, 2025 at 8:39 PM
The NASDAQ might be hitting all time highs but the rally is built on sandy unstable ground.
The Cap weighted index has gone up 34% in the last 6 months versus the Equal weighted move of 18.6%.
A small handful of bubble mega stocks driving it.
The emperors new clothes will be revealed to be hot air
The Cap weighted index has gone up 34% in the last 6 months versus the Equal weighted move of 18.6%.
A small handful of bubble mega stocks driving it.
The emperors new clothes will be revealed to be hot air
My longest held gold stock finally gets shaken out in the recent volatility.
#BC8.ax got sold, sad as I was hoping it would go higher. As soon as the news reports are all talking about the gold price you know a top is in.
#BC8.ax got sold, sad as I was hoping it would go higher. As soon as the news reports are all talking about the gold price you know a top is in.
October 29, 2025 at 6:40 AM
My longest held gold stock finally gets shaken out in the recent volatility.
#BC8.ax got sold, sad as I was hoping it would go higher. As soon as the news reports are all talking about the gold price you know a top is in.
#BC8.ax got sold, sad as I was hoping it would go higher. As soon as the news reports are all talking about the gold price you know a top is in.