Pinecone Macro Research
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pineconemacro.bsky.social
Pinecone Macro Research
@pineconemacro.bsky.social
Nerd on markets and all that impacts them
November 20, 2025 at 8:34 PM
I think this Chinese proverb applies rather well to markets:

"One dog barks because it sees something; a hundred dogs bark because they heard the first dog bark."
November 20, 2025 at 7:01 PM
We have now lost 58K manufacturing jobs since Liberation Day
November 20, 2025 at 6:23 PM
This reminds me of that scene from Black Sheep where Chris Farley says "thank you little roots, please stay strong"

www.youtube.com/watc...
November 20, 2025 at 6:05 PM
Napier IMO accidentally wrote a profound warning for those investing in American Asset Price Exceptionalism with the discussions of the systems, mechanics, and feedback loops that inflated Asian markets in the 90s - the parallels are stark
November 20, 2025 at 12:33 AM
November 20, 2025 at 12:04 AM
Naturally...
November 19, 2025 at 11:55 PM
Media narrative on NVDA Earnings - great earnings and strong guidance means no AI bubble.

Stop and think about it - the better NVDA does - the bigger the AI bubble is.
November 19, 2025 at 10:00 PM
First tariff rebates (granted...probably cannot pass) and now ACA subsidy extensions

The one thing that is always bipartisan is being unserious about the deficit

November 19, 2025 at 7:12 PM
November 19, 2025 at 6:29 PM
November 19, 2025 at 12:57 AM
Since we hit extreme fear a few % ago - what comes after that?
November 19, 2025 at 12:00 AM
BESSENT: MAYBE WE CAN PERSUADE AMERICANS TO SAVE TARIFF CHECKS

So I guess it is not just the tax cut LMAO

Godspeed with that persuasion!
November 18, 2025 at 11:18 PM
NatGas traders reading Bloomberg today
November 18, 2025 at 8:56 PM
I was told nobody would need Google anymore...weird
November 18, 2025 at 8:44 PM
Who says trees cannot grow to the sky
November 18, 2025 at 8:28 PM
November 18, 2025 at 8:09 PM
Great Gavekal (LVG) piece - wrote about a lot of the same themes in our recent Electricity Era piece...

https://https://t.ly/kA5J7
November 17, 2025 at 7:55 PM
Ratio Rodeo - A lot of breakouts and potential breakouts versus the $SPY - including many countries and commodities
https://t.ly/GZZwS
November 16, 2025 at 1:27 AM
The Fed has been taking comfort in market based inflation expectations/pricing but...
November 14, 2025 at 9:11 PM
Must Read
Reading Schmitt in Beijing
How China’s rise provoked America’s illiberal turn.
www.foreignaffairs.com
November 14, 2025 at 12:38 AM
The EM Launch Pad
A 2yr base then up into space?
https://t.ly/oNyCd
November 14, 2025 at 12:17 AM
"Those who know how to win are more numerous than those who know how to make proper use of their victories."
-Polybius
November 13, 2025 at 10:48 PM
Reposted by Pinecone Macro Research
The US equity mania is global. Mag7 & meme stocks in particular.

www.ft.com/content/833b...
November 13, 2025 at 6:13 PM