Robin Hawkes
@robhawkes.bsky.social
860 followers 68 following 210 posts
🐙 DataViz at @octopus.energy ⚡️ Obsessed with maps and energy ✨ Creator of ViziCities 👨‍💻 Previously Wood Mackenzie & devrel at Mozilla
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robhawkes.bsky.social
Wind output and curtailment in Scotland during Storm Floris
robhawkes.bsky.social
Experimenting with the styling of the wind particles as well as the colour ramp for the wind speed layer.

Kinda loving how much detail you can see now from the Meteomatics EURO1k weather model
robhawkes.bsky.social
Probably as we still turned up a lot of gas that day to make up the curtailed wind energy
robhawkes.bsky.social
"The renewables outturn values are underestimated in this report because they exclude embedded generation and wind farms which do not have Operational Meters. As of 2025, NESO estimates this representation of wind farms with Operational Meters to be approximately 82%."
robhawkes.bsky.social
Got it. I don't include embedded wind generation whereas Kate does as far as I can tell.

My source data is here if you're curious.

bmrs.elexon.co.uk/generation-b...
bmrs.elexon.co.uk
robhawkes.bsky.social
I don't know how much solar is in Scotland but the wind curtailment was due to the boundary constraints more than anything else (it's marked as such in the source data).
robhawkes.bsky.social
What figure on my site and hers are you referring to exactly?

There's many reasons there might be a difference, most likely is that I don't know if Kate removes wind curtailment, and also if she's including (or estimating) embedded wind generation.
robhawkes.bsky.social
Super excited to explore more with this weather data as it allows me unprecedented insight into hyper-local conditions around individual wind farms, perhaps even individual wind turbines.

Much more coming soon…
robhawkes.bsky.social
This time I'm using high resolution wind speed data from Meteomatics using their EURO1k model [1], visualised using WeatherLayers [2].

[1] www.meteomatics.com/en/weather-m...
[2] weatherlayers.com
robhawkes.bsky.social
A zoomed in view of wind farm curtailment in Scotland during Storm Floris…

The yellow rings are showing the curtailed volume at each wind farm as a proportion of their installed capacity.
robhawkes.bsky.social
Are the @neso-energy.bsky.social Operational Forums recorded anywhere? I'm unable to take part live and so keep missing out of them 😢

Some recordings are on the website but not all of them. For example, July 16th has slides but is missing a recording…

www.neso.energy/what-we-do/s...
Operational Transparency Forum | National Energy System Operator
Join our weekly forum to find out more about ENCC actions.
www.neso.energy
robhawkes.bsky.social
I have star ratings at the end of each bar, though admittedly quite tiny and not easy to read ✨
robhawkes.bsky.social
Spot the moment I lost momentum picking up a book that I couldn't get into and ultimately avoided reading…

I haven't given up on that book but I've accepted that I needed to stop reading it for now as it was stopping me reading anything at all.
robhawkes.bsky.social
That's solving a different problem but ultimately yes, enough houses with batteries can absolutely make a difference.

Even without batteries though, consumer demand flexibility has already proven to be a practical tool in the box.

www.neso.energy/industry-inf...
Demand Flexibility Service explained | National Energy System Operator
Find out why we have introduced the service, how you can take part and more in this DFS explainer.
www.neso.energy
robhawkes.bsky.social
Individually a home battery isn't going to help much but en-masse at a regional level they can absolutely make a difference.

The problem is that the batteries would need to be centrally controlled in some way, which isn't impossible and is already being experimented with (EVs are great for this).
robhawkes.bsky.social
I've never read as many books in a single year and I don't plan on stopping…

I also don't plan on stopping keeping track and making pointless data visualisations from my reading data 🤓
robhawkes.bsky.social
Many things to work on but it's a start…
robhawkes.bsky.social
To be completely clear, this is only showing the accepted gas offers and isn't showing the gas output prior to balancing.

The wind and gas scales are slightly different too, I need to work on a better way of comparing all the curtailment and turn-up using a consistent scale.
robhawkes.bsky.social
Experimenting with adding gas power plants on the map so you can see turn-up in the south in response to wind curtailment in the north.

The red rings show gas turn-up scaled to the capacity of each power plant. I'm currently showing all gas offers so it still needs work.
robhawkes.bsky.social
It's not daft at all!

The tiny purple circles that don't move are wind farms not curtailed (hence Hornsea showing 0MW).

The larger / animated circles show the wind farms with curtailment, as a % of installed capacity.

I imagine there are ways that I can improve on the visuals going forward.
robhawkes.bsky.social
Grid upgrades will eventually improve this, though it's going to get worse before it gets better.

Check my live renewables map here:

renewables-map.robinhawkes.com
GB Renewables Map
Live map showing realtime renewable energy generation in Great Britain
renewables-map.robinhawkes.com
robhawkes.bsky.social
The result means that we pay wind farms to switch off when it's windy and then pay again (a lot more) to replace the energy using gas generation.

In total that day cost over £18million, including £11million for the replacement energy.
robhawkes.bsky.social
We had plenty of available wind to run the wind farms, but what we didn't have was enough capacity on the grid to get that energy where it was needed.