Rob Seaman
@robseaman.bsky.social
350 followers 660 following 230 posts
Data scientist, archivist, and temporal engineer with the Catalina Sky Survey. CSS has discovered about half of all known near-Earth asteroids, including several small impactors, many comets, and a couple of mini-moons. https://catalina.lpl.arizona.edu
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robseaman.bsky.social
Of course, this is still better than many humans manage.
astrokatie.com
Chatbots — LLMs — do not know facts and are not designed to be able to accurately answer factual questions. They are designed to find and mimic patterns of words, probabilistically. When they’re “right” it’s because correct things are often written down, so those patterns are frequent. That’s all.
robseaman.bsky.social
Bad news, good news:

"The asteroid’s probability of impacting the Moon has slightly increased from 3.8% to 4.3%. In the small chance that the asteroid were to impact, it would not alter the Moon’s orbit."

#PlanetSci #K24Y04R #LunarRealEstateValuations
NASA’s Webb Observations Update Asteroid 2024 YR4’s Lunar Impact Odds - NASA Science
While asteroid 2024 YR4 is currently too distant to detect with telescopes from Earth, NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope collected one more observation of the
science.nasa.gov
robseaman.bsky.social
The 2025 Catalina Sky Survey Monsoon Workshop will be held in Tucson, August 1-5, as a splinter session of the ADASSx Summer Software Workshop, immediately following the Rubin Community Workshop.

Registration (free) and abstract submission are now open.

#PlanetSci #AstroMethods #PlanetaryDefense
Monsoon Workshop 2025 | Catalina Sky Survey
catalina.lpl.arizona.edu
robseaman.bsky.social
Happy bee in a prickly pear bloom in the Sonoran desert. Not sure if either species is native.

#Pollinators #Insects #Angiosperms #Arizona
robseaman.bsky.social
I wanted to call this "Agave and Adobe", but alas, the neighbor's house is stucco. The Century Plant, a rare modern example of truth in advertising, is a member of the Asparagaceae family.

#CenturyPlant #PatienceSometimesPaysOff
Century plant.
robseaman.bsky.social
Where's Kosmos 482? To put the current NASA shenanigans into perspective, this Venus lander outlasted the country that launched it, and is landing on another planet entirely.

#PlanetSci
COSMOS 482 DESCENT CRAFT (ID 6073) | The Aerospace Corporation
aerospace.org
robseaman.bsky.social
Yeah, but likely also deep dish pizza. I guess that's what qualifies as "dignified middle of the road" these days.
robseaman.bsky.social
The future Leo XIV graduated with a BS in mathematics from Villanova, my alma mater, in 1977, the same year I matriculated with a joint major including math and astro/physics. VU math professors were some of the best I've ever had. (I ended up an agnostic with a math minor)

#LeoXIV #Villanova #Math
robseaman.bsky.social
Here's a second glimpse at Murderbot from Apple. They appear to be steering the production in a direction that understands the character.

youtu.be/wSCDyYOQgQA?...
Murderbot — An Inside Look | Apple TV+
YouTube video by Apple TV
youtu.be
robseaman.bsky.social
"To stop the flow of music would be like the stopping of time itself, incredible and inconceivable." – Aaron Copland

#peace #love #music

#Heraclitus_and_Parmenides_are_unit_vectors_of_philosophy
Playing For Change | Official Website
Playing For Change entire library of Songs Around The World, Live Outside, PFC Band, Mark's Park videos. Featuring artists like Slash, Carlos Santana, John Paul Jones, Keith Richards, Sara Bareilles, ...
playingforchange.com
robseaman.bsky.social
The production team and a broad swath of projects supported by NASA's Planetary Defense Coordination Office and the international near-Earth asteroid community did a great job with this documentary.

#PlanetSci
Planetary Defenders (NASA+ Original)
YouTube video by NASA
www.youtube.com
robseaman.bsky.social
Starlink and other megaconstellations are photobombing ground-based telescopes. And they are photobombing remote-sensing Earth-imaging satellites in higher orbits.

#astronomy
#space
#downinfront
#privilegeknowsnobounds
#didanybodyfigureoutthisstuffbeforegrantingthemalaunchpermit
Here’s how a satellite ended up as a ghostly apparition on Google Earth
Zoom in over rural North Texas for a spacey surprise.
arstechnica.com
robseaman.bsky.social
Cautiously optimistic. Cast looks great. Hoping it's not a sitcom. No sign on IMDB that we meet ART in the first season. I think I see how they plan to minimize the first-person narrator. I don't think it can work if they create entirely new narratives.

#Pleasedonotmurdermurderbot #SanctuaryMoon
robseaman.bsky.social
I should have refreshed the feed before posting.
robseaman.bsky.social
Observations from JWST and Cerro Paranal have narrowed the uncertainties for that pesky asteroid 2024 YR4 to hit the Moon on December 22, 2032. The estimated impact probability is now 3.8%. The risk for the Earth on the same date is now too low to report. Near Earth = Near Moon.

#PlanetSci #MoonSci
NASA Update on the Size Estimate and Lunar Impact Probability of Asteroid 2024 YR4  - NASA Science
Since near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4 was first discovered in December 2024, NASA and the worldwide planetary defense community have continued to observe the asteroid, which was ruled out as a significan...
science.nasa.gov
robseaman.bsky.social
The Franklin Mint sold America in Space mini-coins in the 1970s. At the time, my father, Lew Seaman, was the Nimbus & Landsat Program Manager at the GE Space Technology Center. Dad managed four out of the 18 robotic missions in Series 2 & 3. All these spacecraft remain in orbit.

#Space #Satellites
The Franklin Mint's series of shiny space medallions were sold on a subscription basis, two at a time, with matching crewed and robotic missions. They also released a series of mini-coins in silver. These are four of the 18 robotic missions.
robseaman.bsky.social
I could wish Bluesky did better with animations.
robseaman.bsky.social
ESA's NEO Coordination Centre (NEOCC) computes impact probabilities (tmp link: neo.ssa.esa.int/-/latest-news) including animations of the uncertainty shrinking as more observations of 2024 YR4 were reported. Note the difference between missing along-track (Earth) and cross-track (Moon).

#PlanetSci
ESA Planetary Defence Office’s NEO Coordination Centre (NEOCC) has released v5 of its Aegis software. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10569-024-10225-z
robseaman.bsky.social
Revised a bit for clarity.
robseaman.bsky.social
Changing the definition of UTC will certainly require changes to astronomical software, the astronomical almanac, etc.

The could have left UTC alone and simply recommended the use of TAI (and variations) for their own use cases.
robseaman.bsky.social
Earth's rotation is being slowed by the tides. Length of the day increases about one second every 50,000 years while the Moon recedes about a mile to carry off its angular momentum. Over human timescales, the Earth's rotation follows a random walk and sometimes speeds up.

#Astronomy #Science #Time
Plot of Solar Time minus Atomic Time with leap seconds indicated by jumps in the y-axis. Tenth-second calibrations are published by the International Earth Rotation Service (IERS). The Earth has recently been spinning up a bit, though the long term trend is tidal slowing causing the day to lengthen a few milliseconds per century.