Ryan D. Edwards
@ryandedwards.bsky.social
Health Economics, Macro, Labor, Demography @UCSF and @UCBerkeley @berkeleyecon Former faculty @CUNY and @NBERpubs. 2002 Econ Ph.D. & Oakland fan. He/him
Pinned
Ryan D. Edwards
@ryandedwards.bsky.social
· May 22
Commencement remarks by Governor Kugler at the Economics Commencement Ceremony, University of California, Berkeley
Thank you, Stefano, and before I say anything else, congratulations to the Class of 2025! 1 My family is here today, so let me acknowledge my husband Igna
www.federalreserve.gov
Inspiring words from Fed Governor Adriana Kugler from Tuesday's ECON commencement at the Greek.
In person, "impatient" and "stubborn" struck me as perfect for this moment in history. On paper, they're less pronounced, but in an address they absolutely slapped
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
In person, "impatient" and "stubborn" struck me as perfect for this moment in history. On paper, they're less pronounced, but in an address they absolutely slapped
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
Reposted by Ryan D. Edwards
Even if you don't have time to read all 83 pages of Judge Reyes's opinion barring the Trump administration from rescinding Temporary Protected Status for 350,000+ Haitians, please at least check out the four-page introduction.
It's a tour de force:
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
It's a tour de force:
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
!["On December 2, 1783, then-Commander-in-Chief George Washington penned: “America is open to receive not only the Opulent & respected Stranger, but the oppressed & persecuted of all Nations & Religions.”1
More than two centuries later, Congress reaffirmed President Washington’s vision by establishing the Temporary Protected Status (TPS) program. See 8 U.S.C. § 1254a (TPS statute). It provides humanitarian relief to foreign nationals in the United States who come from disaster-stricken countries. It also brings in substantial revenue, with TPS holders generating $5.2 billion in taxes annually. See Part VI.
Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary Kristi Noem has a different take. [screenshot of tweet].](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:nwnlnixtjh3qhkwpz2uy5uwv/bafkreicrroq5taft777rmau2ffjlsphbcatlxnwwigf2yekoke533yycim@jpeg)
![has terminated every TPS country designation to have reached her desk—twelve countries up,
twelve countries down. See Section IV.A.2. Her conclusion that Haiti (a majority nonwhite
country) faces merely “concerning” conditions cannot be squared with the “perfect storm of
suffering” and “staggering” “humanitarian toll” described in page-after-page of the Certified
Administrative Record (CAR). See Section IV.A.3.a. She ignored Congress’s requirement that
she “review the conditions” in Haiti only “after” consulting “with appropriate agencies.” 8
U.S.C. § 1254a(b)(3)(A); see Section IV.A.1. Indeed, she did not consult other agencies at all.
See id. Her “national interest” analysis focuses on Haitians outside the United States or here
illegally, ignoring that Haitian TPS holders already live here, and legally so. See Section
IV.A.3.b. And though she states that the analysis must include “economic considerations,” she
ignores altogether the billions Haitian TPS holders contribute to the economy. See id.
The Government’s primary response is that the TPS statute gives the Secretary
unbounded discretion to make whatever determination she wants, any way she wants. And, yes,
the statute does grant her some discretion. But not unbounded discretion. To the contrary,
Congress passed the TPS statute to standardize the then ad hoc temporary protection system—to
replace executive whim with statutory predictability. See Section I.A.
As to irreparable harm, the Government contends that, at most, the harms to Haitian TPS
holders are speculative. But the Department of State (State) warns [screenshot]](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:nwnlnixtjh3qhkwpz2uy5uwv/bafkreid3cmawech25ummuj2tjvgxsrvufma2kmrijlfpglalwddd3qkikq@jpeg)
February 3, 2026 at 1:06 AM
Even if you don't have time to read all 83 pages of Judge Reyes's opinion barring the Trump administration from rescinding Temporary Protected Status for 350,000+ Haitians, please at least check out the four-page introduction.
It's a tour de force:
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
It's a tour de force:
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
Greg Mankiw's Blog: Congrats to President Trump and Kevin Warsh
gregmankiw.blogspot.com
February 2, 2026 at 3:12 AM
The argument that tariffs only increase prices (once) and not inflation strikes me as extremely dumb given the experience of the oil shocks of the 1970s
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/31/o...
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/31/o...
Opinion | ‘I Have Been Dismayed About Warsh’s Tone’: Three Economists Debate Trump’s Pick for the Fed
www.nytimes.com
January 31, 2026 at 10:04 PM
The argument that tariffs only increase prices (once) and not inflation strikes me as extremely dumb given the experience of the oil shocks of the 1970s
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/31/o...
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/31/o...
Reposted by Ryan D. Edwards
NEVER VOTE REPUBLICAN
January 31, 2026 at 5:39 PM
NEVER VOTE REPUBLICAN
“…you can deal with far more dangerous situations with far less force than we’re seeing. I know this. I’ve seen this with my own eyes, and when you see these videos and you have experience dealing with more dangerous situations, trust me, it’s more shocking.”
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/31/o...
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/31/o...
Opinion | Is the ICE Crackdown Finally Backfiring on Trump?
www.nytimes.com
January 31, 2026 at 5:43 PM
“…you can deal with far more dangerous situations with far less force than we’re seeing. I know this. I’ve seen this with my own eyes, and when you see these videos and you have experience dealing with more dangerous situations, trust me, it’s more shocking.”
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/31/o...
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/31/o...
And Streets is in D. Perfect key, just lays well for most of us
Streets of Minneapolis speak for themselves
Don’t miss Tom Joad
Now Tom said,
“Ma, wherever there's a cop beating a guy
Wherever a hungry newborn baby cries
Where there's a fight against the blood and hatred in the air
Look for me, Mom, I'll be there”
Don’t miss Tom Joad
Now Tom said,
“Ma, wherever there's a cop beating a guy
Wherever a hungry newborn baby cries
Where there's a fight against the blood and hatred in the air
Look for me, Mom, I'll be there”
January 31, 2026 at 5:32 PM
And Streets is in D. Perfect key, just lays well for most of us
State attorneys general, get those statements. File those lawsuits. RNs would probably line up volunteering to testify against ICE
DHS doesn’t even bother trying to lie well. The man whose skull was shattered told the hospital he’d been struck by ICE officers, an ICE officer told hospital staff the guy “got his sh*t rocked,” then when it became clear how badly he was injured, they claimed he deliberately ran into a wall.
January 31, 2026 at 5:32 PM
State attorneys general, get those statements. File those lawsuits. RNs would probably line up volunteering to testify against ICE
Reposted by Ryan D. Edwards
Streets of Minneapolis speak for themselves
Don’t miss Tom Joad
Now Tom said,
“Ma, wherever there's a cop beating a guy
Wherever a hungry newborn baby cries
Where there's a fight against the blood and hatred in the air
Look for me, Mom, I'll be there”
Don’t miss Tom Joad
Now Tom said,
“Ma, wherever there's a cop beating a guy
Wherever a hungry newborn baby cries
Where there's a fight against the blood and hatred in the air
Look for me, Mom, I'll be there”
January 31, 2026 at 3:27 AM
Streets of Minneapolis speak for themselves
Don’t miss Tom Joad
Now Tom said,
“Ma, wherever there's a cop beating a guy
Wherever a hungry newborn baby cries
Where there's a fight against the blood and hatred in the air
Look for me, Mom, I'll be there”
Don’t miss Tom Joad
Now Tom said,
“Ma, wherever there's a cop beating a guy
Wherever a hungry newborn baby cries
Where there's a fight against the blood and hatred in the air
Look for me, Mom, I'll be there”
I’m sorry but it’s appalling to me that Justice Alito would repeat the false claim in late December after DOJ filed to dismiss with prejudice in November
He’s got plenty of law clerks to fact check but apparently has little interest in facts
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/29/o...
He’s got plenty of law clerks to fact check but apparently has little interest in facts
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/29/o...
Opinion | What MAGA Sees in the Minnesota Mirror
www.nytimes.com
January 30, 2026 at 6:46 AM
I’m sorry but it’s appalling to me that Justice Alito would repeat the false claim in late December after DOJ filed to dismiss with prejudice in November
He’s got plenty of law clerks to fact check but apparently has little interest in facts
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/29/o...
He’s got plenty of law clerks to fact check but apparently has little interest in facts
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/29/o...
“The bureau’s bloody-mindedness even after Mr. Guan’s case was widely publicized is further proof that DHS needs new leadership.”
www.wsj.com/opinion/guan...
www.wsj.com/opinion/guan...
Opinion | Guan Heng Gets U.S. Asylum
A judge grants refuge to a worthy dissident, no thanks to DHS.
www.wsj.com
January 29, 2026 at 3:10 PM
“The bureau’s bloody-mindedness even after Mr. Guan’s case was widely publicized is further proof that DHS needs new leadership.”
www.wsj.com/opinion/guan...
www.wsj.com/opinion/guan...
Reposted by Ryan D. Edwards
Jay Powell just described the Supreme Court case about whether Trump can fire Lisa Cook as "perhaps the most important legal case in the Fed's 113 year history."
January 28, 2026 at 8:05 PM
Jay Powell just described the Supreme Court case about whether Trump can fire Lisa Cook as "perhaps the most important legal case in the Fed's 113 year history."
Reposted by Ryan D. Edwards
In Printz v. United States, #SCOTUS held that the Constitution bars the federal government from forcing or otherwise compelling local or state governments to enforce federal law.
The liberal squish who wrote the majority opinion in that case? Justice Antonin Scalia:
tile.loc.gov/storage-serv...
The liberal squish who wrote the majority opinion in that case? Justice Antonin Scalia:
tile.loc.gov/storage-serv...
January 28, 2026 at 1:41 PM
In Printz v. United States, #SCOTUS held that the Constitution bars the federal government from forcing or otherwise compelling local or state governments to enforce federal law.
The liberal squish who wrote the majority opinion in that case? Justice Antonin Scalia:
tile.loc.gov/storage-serv...
The liberal squish who wrote the majority opinion in that case? Justice Antonin Scalia:
tile.loc.gov/storage-serv...
Reposted by Ryan D. Edwards
I wrote this song on Saturday, recorded it yesterday and released it to you today in response to the state terror being visited on the city of Minneapolis. It’s dedicated to the people of Minneapolis, our innocent immigrant neighbors and in memory of Alex Pretti and Renee Good.
Stay free
Stay free
Bruce Springsteen - Streets Of Minneapolis (Official Audio)
YouTube video by Bruce Springsteen
youtu.be
January 28, 2026 at 5:02 PM
I wrote this song on Saturday, recorded it yesterday and released it to you today in response to the state terror being visited on the city of Minneapolis. It’s dedicated to the people of Minneapolis, our innocent immigrant neighbors and in memory of Alex Pretti and Renee Good.
Stay free
Stay free
Reposted by Ryan D. Edwards
To all my fellow 2nd Amendment-loving former friends and supporters. Just wanted you to see this.👇
January 27, 2026 at 6:51 PM
To all my fellow 2nd Amendment-loving former friends and supporters. Just wanted you to see this.👇
Bronze plans are high deductible health plans (HDHPs) with full coverage of some preventive care
And zero coverage of anything else before the high deductible is met.
= One way ticket to no use of care beyond the ACA preventive care mandates
www.nbcnews.com/health/healt...
And zero coverage of anything else before the high deductible is met.
= One way ticket to no use of care beyond the ACA preventive care mandates
www.nbcnews.com/health/healt...
ACA sign-ups fall as higher premiums push people off plans
Nationally, sign-ups are down more than 800,000 from last year.
www.nbcnews.com
January 27, 2026 at 3:56 PM
Bronze plans are high deductible health plans (HDHPs) with full coverage of some preventive care
And zero coverage of anything else before the high deductible is met.
= One way ticket to no use of care beyond the ACA preventive care mandates
www.nbcnews.com/health/healt...
And zero coverage of anything else before the high deductible is met.
= One way ticket to no use of care beyond the ACA preventive care mandates
www.nbcnews.com/health/healt...
Dislocations of trained workers in sciences matter a lot too. It’s not as if labs and other employers can just magically conjure up workers to run it, Zoom can’t do that yet.
Further, a geographic breakdown would help reveal to key folks like Sen Britt (R-AL) just how much of a hit their state took
Further, a geographic breakdown would help reveal to key folks like Sen Britt (R-AL) just how much of a hit their state took
I guess I don’t count since I don’t have a PhD 🙃
The US government lost more than 10,000 STEM PhDs last year, according to an analysis by Science of newly released OPM data, with 11 departures for every hire. And many OPM calls "voluntary" separations were probably pushed. www.science.org/content/arti...
January 27, 2026 at 2:27 PM
Dislocations of trained workers in sciences matter a lot too. It’s not as if labs and other employers can just magically conjure up workers to run it, Zoom can’t do that yet.
Further, a geographic breakdown would help reveal to key folks like Sen Britt (R-AL) just how much of a hit their state took
Further, a geographic breakdown would help reveal to key folks like Sen Britt (R-AL) just how much of a hit their state took
Those top losers of STEM science: NIH and FDA
True, these folks likely didn’t “de-res” into their constituent molecules, especially if they’re midcareer or beyond. They might be deployed in industry or at think tanks
But the big losses come if folks fresh out must shift away and if others retire
True, these folks likely didn’t “de-res” into their constituent molecules, especially if they’re midcareer or beyond. They might be deployed in industry or at think tanks
But the big losses come if folks fresh out must shift away and if others retire
How many STEM Ph.D.s were lost from the U.S. federal government last year?
My colleagues @mghersher.bsky.social and @policyhound.bsky.social dug into a recent data release to find the answer. A @science.org exclusive.
www.science.org/content/arti...
My colleagues @mghersher.bsky.social and @policyhound.bsky.social dug into a recent data release to find the answer. A @science.org exclusive.
www.science.org/content/arti...
January 27, 2026 at 2:22 PM
Those top losers of STEM science: NIH and FDA
True, these folks likely didn’t “de-res” into their constituent molecules, especially if they’re midcareer or beyond. They might be deployed in industry or at think tanks
But the big losses come if folks fresh out must shift away and if others retire
True, these folks likely didn’t “de-res” into their constituent molecules, especially if they’re midcareer or beyond. They might be deployed in industry or at think tanks
But the big losses come if folks fresh out must shift away and if others retire
Opinion | This Is the Best Legal Path for Justice in the Minneapolis Shootings
www.nytimes.com
January 26, 2026 at 2:21 PM
“It’s the biggest fraud anyone has seen,” Trump said in the interview. “We actually think California is going to be much bigger.”
Ominous words.
www.wsj.com/politics/pol...
Ominous words.
www.wsj.com/politics/pol...
Exclusive | Trump Says Administration Is ‘Reviewing Everything’ About Minneapolis Shooting
In an interview, the president says immigration-enforcement officers will “at some point” leave the area.
www.wsj.com
January 26, 2026 at 12:59 AM
“It’s the biggest fraud anyone has seen,” Trump said in the interview. “We actually think California is going to be much bigger.”
Ominous words.
www.wsj.com/politics/pol...
Ominous words.
www.wsj.com/politics/pol...
Kaiser may itself have broken free of the gaming between doctors and insurance, with its vertically integrated structure, but when Medicare Advantage is the payer, suddenly we're back to the games.
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/14/h...
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/14/h...
Kaiser Permanente Settles Medicare Fraud Claims for $556 Million
www.nytimes.com
January 23, 2026 at 7:13 PM
Kaiser may itself have broken free of the gaming between doctors and insurance, with its vertically integrated structure, but when Medicare Advantage is the payer, suddenly we're back to the games.
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/14/h...
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/14/h...