Scott Lincicome
@scottlincicome.bsky.social
13K followers 190 following 2.1K posts
@CatoInstitute Vice President (Econ/Trade), @DukeLaw adjunct, @TheDispatch newsletter-er. CH❤️RTS. You didn't read the article, did you?
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scottlincicome.bsky.social
🚨NEW🚨 The Cato Institute docuseries, Faces of Globalization, follows real people here and abroad whose lives depend on the global economy in ways that challenge the current conventional wisdom. You can watch all the videos here: www.cato.org/video-series...
scottlincicome.bsky.social
I just told you I already liked the shutdown, Harry, you don't have to sell it to me 😏 www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
scottlincicome.bsky.social
I know the term "millionaire" ain't what it used to be, but it still amazes me that in 2023 almost 18% of US households - 24M in all - were worth at least $1M. www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
scottlincicome.bsky.social
Next week the US will impose 25% tariffs on cabinets & sofas - for "national security." It's insane (& costly & ineffective), but, sadly, par for the course.

My latest:

"Trump’s New Furniture Tariffs Are (Almost) Everything Wrong with U.S. Trade Policy Today" thedispatch.com/newsletter/c...
Trump’s New Furniture Tariffs Are (Almost) Everything Wrong with U.S. Trade Policy Today
There is no ‘national security’ basis for them, and they won’t accomplish the administration’s stated goals.
thedispatch.com
scottlincicome.bsky.social
Well well well: "Trump Excludes Generics From Big Pharma Tariff Plan" www.wsj.com/health/pharm...
Good news for American consumers (patients), but a major Trump reversal on generics and an admission that his tariffs do, in fact, raise US prices
scottlincicome.bsky.social
GOOD: "Privatize NC’s liquor sales? DOGE-style group wants to explore the cost" www.wral.com/story/privat...
scottlincicome.bsky.social
"Retail Prices Were Heading in the Right Direction—Then Tariffs Hit"
www.library.hbs.edu/working-know...

Great dataviz:
scottlincicome.bsky.social
Interesting new paper on the EITC: "tax credit targeted at low-wage (and low-skilled) workers reduces the relative return to schooling, thereby generating a powerful disincentive to pursue long-term studies." 🤔 marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevo...
scottlincicome.bsky.social
Finally: "Raleigh gives go ahead to 30-story tower at Peace and West streets" www.axios.com/local/raleig...
www.axios.com
scottlincicome.bsky.social
"Unexpected fees come with the end of de minimis, surprising consumers" www.latimes.com/business/sto...
“Until this tariff thing started, I’ve never, ever had a bill on top of my purchase.” 🤣
scottlincicome.bsky.social
Fascinating: "How Din Tai Fung Became America’s Top-Earning Restaurant Chain" www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...

Also: Cheesecake Factory more like money factory amirite
scottlincicome.bsky.social
Predictable distortion of US capital markets: "Investors Place Bets on Trump Team’s Next Investment Target" www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
"All of a sudden, you’re going to have investors front-running the potential for the government to come in"
scottlincicome.bsky.social
"the Ivanpah facility's decommissioning comes from its use of a now-obsolete solar technology that's both more expensive and less efficient in generating energy." www.slashgear.com/1986261/cali...
scottlincicome.bsky.social
"A Country-Specific View of Tariffs" via @NewYorkFed libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2025/10/a-co...
"the bulk of cross-country differences in tariff rates is explained by two factors: the U.S.-Canada-Mexico free trade agreement and differing sales shares in tariff-exempt categories"
scottlincicome.bsky.social
"Turns out economic data *does* matter for stock traders" www.ft.com/content/87f4...

Especially US jobs & inflation data:
scottlincicome.bsky.social
Uh oh; "A fire at Novelis’s Oswego, N.Y., plant, which supplies about 40% of U.S. auto industry aluminum, will disrupt automakers for months"
www.wsj.com/business/aut...

Fortunately, imported aluminum can fill the void and mitigate this massive domestic supply chain disrupti-

Oh.
scottlincicome.bsky.social
The Trump administration just took yet another equity stake in yet another private company, this time 10% in Alaskan miner Trilogy Metals. Sheesh. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
scottlincicome.bsky.social
"US spirits exports tumble as drinkers shun American brands" www.reuters.com/business/us-...
"steep drops across major markets including the European Union, Canada, Britain and Japan, which together represent 70% of total exports"
www.reuters.com
scottlincicome.bsky.social
New @nberpubs: "The Past and Future of U.S. Structural Change: Compositional Accounting and Forecasting" www.nber.org/papers/w34338