Scott Lincicome
@scottlincicome.bsky.social
13K followers 190 following 2.1K posts
@CatoInstitute Vice President (Econ/Trade), @DukeLaw adjunct, @TheDispatch newsletter-er. CH❤️RTS. You didn't read the article, did you?
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scottlincicome.bsky.social
🚨NEW🚨 The Cato Institute docuseries, Faces of Globalization, follows real people here and abroad whose lives depend on the global economy in ways that challenge the current conventional wisdom. You can watch all the videos here: www.cato.org/video-series...
scottlincicome.bsky.social
Fascinating: "How Din Tai Fung Became America’s Top-Earning Restaurant Chain" www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...

Also: Cheesecake Factory more like money factory amirite
scottlincicome.bsky.social
Predictable distortion of US capital markets: "Investors Place Bets on Trump Team’s Next Investment Target" www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
"All of a sudden, you’re going to have investors front-running the potential for the government to come in"
scottlincicome.bsky.social
"the Ivanpah facility's decommissioning comes from its use of a now-obsolete solar technology that's both more expensive and less efficient in generating energy." www.slashgear.com/1986261/cali...
scottlincicome.bsky.social
"A Country-Specific View of Tariffs" via @NewYorkFed libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2025/10/a-co...
"the bulk of cross-country differences in tariff rates is explained by two factors: the U.S.-Canada-Mexico free trade agreement and differing sales shares in tariff-exempt categories"
scottlincicome.bsky.social
"Turns out economic data *does* matter for stock traders" www.ft.com/content/87f4...

Especially US jobs & inflation data:
scottlincicome.bsky.social
Uh oh; "A fire at Novelis’s Oswego, N.Y., plant, which supplies about 40% of U.S. auto industry aluminum, will disrupt automakers for months"
www.wsj.com/business/aut...

Fortunately, imported aluminum can fill the void and mitigate this massive domestic supply chain disrupti-

Oh.
scottlincicome.bsky.social
The Trump administration just took yet another equity stake in yet another private company, this time 10% in Alaskan miner Trilogy Metals. Sheesh. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
scottlincicome.bsky.social
"US spirits exports tumble as drinkers shun American brands" www.reuters.com/business/us-...
"steep drops across major markets including the European Union, Canada, Britain and Japan, which together represent 70% of total exports"
www.reuters.com
scottlincicome.bsky.social
New @nberpubs: "The Past and Future of U.S. Structural Change: Compositional Accounting and Forecasting" www.nber.org/papers/w34338
scottlincicome.bsky.social
New @nberpubs: "Trade War and the Dollar Anchor" www.nber.org/papers/w34332
"Introducing a trade war that isolates U.S. goods markets from the world erodes the U.S. dollar's safety premium, raises U.S. interest rates, and lowers the world market value of U.S. firms."
scottlincicome.bsky.social
New @nberpubs: "Financial Value of Nature: Coastal Housing Markets, Mangroves, and Climate Resilience" www.nber.org/papers/w34329
scottlincicome.bsky.social
New @nberpubs: "How Immigration is Changing the Black-White Earnings Gap" www.nber.org/papers/w34327
"Results reveal remarkable earnings advances among 2nd-generation Black immigrants" 👀
scottlincicome.bsky.social
New @nberpubs: "Capital Reallocation and Private Firm Dynamics" www.nber.org/papers/w34319
"capital gains taxes are most distortionary, primarily by discouraging entry and reallocation of capital, whereas income taxes are least distortionary."
scottlincicome.bsky.social
"Staying put in Vietnam, furniture exporters bet US consumers will absorb tariff blow" share.google/WJZT18474rKs...
share.google
scottlincicome.bsky.social
Excellent @JosephPolitano look at how tariff exemptions fuel the US AI Boom & economic growth in 2025: www.apricitas.io/p/the-tariff...
"The US is at the technological forefront of a rapidly expanding industry because of the free trade policies that this administration ostensibly despises.$
scottlincicome.bsky.social
Very good piece from The Economist on how Europe's sclerotic, century-old labor regulations throttle innovation and fuel broader economic stagnation: www.economist.com/europe/2025/...
Reposted by Scott Lincicome
cachobweeney.bsky.social
This is a great read... so why ARE we trying to copy China anyway? 👇👇👇
scottlincicome.bsky.social
With the US pursuing "state capitalism," my new Capitolism
@thedispatchmedia.bsky.social checks on Washington's main motivation - China's version of the same.

Spoiler: it's not going well (for them).

"Chinese Industrial Policy Is an Anchor, Not an Engine"
thedispatch.com/newsletter/c...
Chinese Industrial Policy Is an Anchor, Not an Engine
There are zero reasons for the U.S. to adopt similar policies.
thedispatch.com
scottlincicome.bsky.social
"Dollar Doubts Are Showing Up in the Corporate Bond Market" www.bloomberg.com/news/newslet...
"the US seems to be retrenching from the global system at precisely the same time it says it’s concerned about funding its debt"
scottlincicome.bsky.social
UBS: "we now estimate the total tariff impact on the cost to construct an average home at approximately $8.9K,” seekingalpha.com/news/4500367...