Scott Lucas
@scottlucas.bsky.social
7.8K followers 510 following 7.4K posts

Professor, journalist, political analyst, cynical optimist

Political science 48%
History 23%
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs

scottlucas.bsky.social
13-minute analysis

How and why #Orban 's #Hungary tried to obtain classified info and to turn European Commission staffer into secret agent

Soviet-era approach by Hungary to intell ops, rule of PM #Orbán, & conflict tween Budapest & #EU

Possible challenge to Orban rule from opposition Tisza Party

scottlucas.bsky.social
Interviews w outlets in Ireland, Canada, India, and Pakistan

Ceasefire "is a start, but there is a long, long road ahead" re restoration of aid, #Israel withdrawal, #Hamas disarmament, and governance and security in #Gaza

"After hostage-for-detainee exchange, that is when the rubber hits the road"

scottlucas.bsky.social
12 injured in #Kyiv w power cuts & disruptions to water on east bank of Dnipro River

#Russia murders 7-yr-old boy & wounds 3 in #Zaporizhzhia

#Kremlin goal “to break our spirit”: “This has nothing to do with military needs, none of these assets have any military value at all"

#Ukraine #UkraineWar

scottlucas.bsky.social
W Canada's CBC:

"On one hand, we all need to say, 'Thank goodness, we have a pause to killing in #Gaza and finally the hostages are being freed.'

But we are really only back to January, when we had a six-week ceasefire and #Israel pulled out at end of Phase 1.

The hard work begins now"

#Hamas

scottlucas.bsky.social
Proposed freeing of #Israel hostages for release of #Palestine detainees just beginning of demanding process

#Trump “sketch” vague about arrangements beyond return of aid to #Gaza: withdrawal of Israeli forces, disarmament of #Hamas, and governance and security of Strip

Will there be guarantees?

scottlucas.bsky.social
#Russia strikes in past week disable almost 60% of #Ukraine gas production

#Kyiv 's officials called meetings with international partners to inform them of the situation

"We need billions of cubic metres of gas more during the heating season"

#UkraineWar

scottlucas.bsky.social
Why did #CatherineConnolly not carry out “due diligence” check on either militia commander Saed Abd al-Aal or high-ranking Assadist Fares al-Shehabi?

At best, lack of judgement -- At worst, effective support for propaganda of a murderous regime in #Syria

#Aras25 #Ireland

(3/3)

scottlucas.bsky.social
Now we learn that #CatherineConnolly guide in #Yarmouk camp was Saed Abd al-Aal, military commander of “Free Palestine Movement”, militia working w #Assad regime

Did she know that al-Aal was head of militia accused of mass killing of civilians?

#Syria #Ireland #Aras25

(2/3)

scottlucas.bsky.social
Thread: Serious questions for Presidential candidate #CatherineConnolly re 2018 trip - funded by #Ireland taxpayers - to #Assad regime’s #Syria

She finally said her guide in #Aleppo was high-ranking Assadist Fares al-Shehabi but claimed she did not know his role

#Aras25

(1/3)
syriairl.bsky.social
Dear
@catherinegalway.bsky.social

You have spoken a lot in your campaign about your honesty and your dislike of hypocrisy. You have also claimed to support the Palestinian people. We, the Irish Syria Solidarity Movement, have questions.

telegra.ph/Open-Letter-...

scottlucas.bsky.social
5+ civilians murdered and 19 injured by #Russia attacks across #Ukraine over past day

Air defenses down 87 of 112 drones --- 22 hit 12 locations

#UkraineWar #RussiaWarCrimes

scottlucas.bsky.social
#Zelensky: #Ukraine carries out “very difficult but very timely...and successful" counter-offensive in #Donetsk region

Most intense fighting remains around #Pokrovsk and Dobropillia: “This operation derailed Russia’s summer offensive campaign"

#Ukraine #UkraineWar

scottlucas.bsky.social
Video: Aftermath of #Russia attack that injured 5 people and damaged port and energy infrastructure in Odesa region in southern #Ukraine

#UkraineWar

scottlucas.bsky.social
36-min deep dive on latest in #authoritarianism from #Trump & Co.

Taking apart #PamBondi disinfo, insults, & evasions from #EpsteinFiles to Nat'l Guard on streets to #CapitolAttack

Plus: How #Trump threw away an alliance w #India and #NarendraModi

scottlucas.bsky.social
US sanctions on #Serbia ’s #Russia -owned NIS oil company come into force

US blacklisted Serbia’s sole refinery in January

#Ukraine #UkraineWar

scottlucas.bsky.social
#Zelensky re #Ukraine strikes on #Russia infrastructure supporting invasion, “We believe that they’ve lost up to 20% of their gasoline supply – directly as a result of our strikes.”

Ukraine strikes gas processing plant and oil transport infrastructure in #Volgograd region

scottlucas.bsky.social
#Zelensky re #Ukraine strikes on #Russia infrastructure supporting invasion, “We believe that they’ve lost up to 20% of their gasoline supply – directly as a result of our strikes.”

Ukraine strikes gas processing plant and oil transport infrastructure in #Volgograd region

scottlucas.bsky.social
#Zelensky: " #Russia task is to create chaos & apply psychological pressure on population thru strikes on energy facilities & railways"

"Heavy pressure” & more attacks could force further increase in imports

Overnight attack injures 5 and damages port and energy infrastructure in #Odesa

#Ukraine

scottlucas.bsky.social
On air soon w Heather Hiscox on Canada's CBC to analyze what Phase 1 of #Gaza ceasefire means --- and the obstacles to be cleared for a lasting halt to the mass killing and security for all in #Palestine and #Israel

scottlucas.bsky.social
#Zelensky: "Right now, it is important to send signal that #Ukraine will be strengthened by all means possible. And this is one of those means that is important to me — Tomahawks.

All such things can strengthen Ukraine and force the Russians to sober up a little, sit down at the negotiating table"

scottlucas.bsky.social
On air soon w Claire Byrne on RTE Radio 1 to analyze Phase 1 of #Gaza ceasefire --- and why the hard work begins now.....

#Palestine #Israel #Hamas #Netanyahu

www.rte.ie/radio/radio1/
RTÉ Radio 1
Ireland's Number One. News, arts, drama, music, documentary and debate on 88-90FM, LW252, online, digital radio, satellite, iOS and Android.
www.rte.ie

Reposted by Scott Lucas

syriairl.bsky.social
Dear
@catherinegalway.bsky.social

You have spoken a lot in your campaign about your honesty and your dislike of hypocrisy. You have also claimed to support the Palestinian people. We, the Irish Syria Solidarity Movement, have questions.

telegra.ph/Open-Letter-...

scottlucas.bsky.social
5 questions and answers w The Conversation:

1. How is this different to previous ceasefire agreements?

2. What are possible sticking points?

3. How much of this is due to pressure from Arab States?

4. Is there a future for #Palestine civilians in #Gaza?

5. Nobel Peace Prize for #Trump?

#Israel

scottlucas.bsky.social
36-min deep dive on latest in #authoritarianism from #Trump & Co.

Taking apart #PamBondi disinfo, insults, & evasions from #EpsteinFiles to Nat'l Guard on streets to #CapitolAttack

Plus: How #Trump threw away an alliance w #India and #NarendraModi