Susan Crawford
@scrawford.bsky.social
10K followers 1.3K following 100 posts
Writing about intersection between climate adaptation and finance. Substack https://susanpcrawford.substack.com Author of Charleston: Race, Water, and the Storms to Come. Learning all the time.
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Reposted by Susan Crawford
beanjammin.bsky.social
We are all going to miss property insurance when it's gone. Mortgage? Not without insurance. Just like that your property value goes up in smoke even if it's not literally burning.
scrawford.bsky.social
California’s FAIR Plan seeks 36% rate increase as wildfire risk and insurer exits surge. With $650B in exposure but just $1.5B cash on hand, the math no longer works. Homeowners face costly coverage, rising assessments, and a volatile market going forward. open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...
California's insurer of last resort seeks 36% rate hike
As authorities solve one mystery—who set the fire that devastated Pacific Palisades—another deepens: how to make the math work for home insurance in California
open.substack.com
scrawford.bsky.social
California’s FAIR Plan seeks 36% rate increase as wildfire risk and insurer exits surge. With $650B in exposure but just $1.5B cash on hand, the math no longer works. Homeowners face costly coverage, rising assessments, and a volatile market going forward. open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...
California's insurer of last resort seeks 36% rate hike
As authorities solve one mystery—who set the fire that devastated Pacific Palisades—another deepens: how to make the math work for home insurance in California
open.substack.com
Reposted by Susan Crawford
wirobooks.bsky.social
Join @scrawford.bsky.social at @politicsprose.bsky.social in DC today at 5 p.m. for a conversation with Jennifer Anne Moses (YOU'VE TOLD ME BEFORE, @uwiscpress.bsky.social)! It's our Spotlight Event! www.washingtonindependentreviewofbooks.com/features/jen... #booksky
Reposted by Susan Crawford
Reposted by Susan Crawford
drjeffmasters.bsky.social
Climate change is going to hit the economy: “Even though this [crisis] is more regional [than the Great Financial Crisis],” says Burt, “it’s still something that’s pretty terrible.” He wishes we could prepare. Otherwise, he says, we’ll see “disorderly results” similar to what happened in 2008-2011.”
scrawford.bsky.social
Climate risk hammering LA’s housing market: insurance is harder to get and more expensive, homes stuck on the market, price cuts happening. Insurers and the state’s FAIR Plan reel. Market repricing is underway. Investors and the Fed still looking the other way. open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...
What’s a house in LA really worth?
Southern California houses are sitting on the market. Part of the reason is physical climate change.
open.substack.com
scrawford.bsky.social
Climate risk hammering LA’s housing market: insurance is harder to get and more expensive, homes stuck on the market, price cuts happening. Insurers and the state’s FAIR Plan reel. Market repricing is underway. Investors and the Fed still looking the other way. open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...
What’s a house in LA really worth?
Southern California houses are sitting on the market. Part of the reason is physical climate change.
open.substack.com
scrawford.bsky.social
Investing in a beach house? You’re betting—just like traders in crypto perpetual futures. There are risks you can’t control, from price swings to back-to-back climate disasters. In 2025, it's closer to speculating than you might think. open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...
Investing in coastal real estate? Might as well bet on crypto futures.
Buying a beach house may sound safer than putting your money in the crypto perpetual futures market — whatever that is! But both are risky bets.
open.substack.com
Reposted by Susan Crawford
michaelwara.bsky.social
The wildfire version of this is playing out in Los Angeles as we speak. When you burn down 15,000 urban structures, you coat everything downwind (ie the rest of the city) - inside and out - in asbestos, lead and arsenic among other things.
scrawford.bsky.social
Toxic landfills and storm surges don’t mix: when hurricanes hit, they can unleash leachate, methane, and poisons into water and soil. But bond markets ignore the risks. Column today - open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...
What happens when major storms hit toxic dumps?
A leaking landfill can ooze toxins, contaminate groundwater, and spew methane gas. Are markets accounting for the growing risks?
open.substack.com
Reposted by Susan Crawford
onedishwasher.bsky.social
Good article! Like how you mentioned the SRS (my old stomping grounds), weather impacts can stir some things up decades after the event.
Just like the Mt. St. Helens dust this week
scrawford.bsky.social
Toxic landfills and storm surges don’t mix: when hurricanes hit, they can unleash leachate, methane, and poisons into water and soil. But bond markets ignore the risks. Column today - open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...
What happens when major storms hit toxic dumps?
A leaking landfill can ooze toxins, contaminate groundwater, and spew methane gas. Are markets accounting for the growing risks?
open.substack.com
Reposted by Susan Crawford
robmajteles.bsky.social
What will it take for investors to price climate risk?

“Betting on bonds, ignoring climate risk: mind-numbing that there's just so little attention on the credit side in terms of this [climate] risk in the municipal bond market” @scrawford.bsky.social

susanpcrawford.substack.com/p/betting-on...
Betting on bonds, ignoring climate risk
Municipal bonds might seem safer than the stock market. But if climate risk isn’t priced in, the bond market might be another bubble that could burst.
susanpcrawford.substack.com
scrawford.bsky.social
Right now, municipal bonds are booming, but few investors—or rating agencies—are facing up to long-term climate risk. With extreme weather rising and climate threats mounting, today’s muni bond mania could be tomorrow’s bubble. open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...
Betting on bonds, ignoring climate risk
Municipal bonds might seem safer than the stock market. But if climate risk isn’t priced in, the bond market might be another bubble that could burst.
open.substack.com
Reposted by Susan Crawford
robmajteles.bsky.social
Markets’ capital allocation functions distorted b/c we fail to demand impact risk pricing.

Excellent ex @scrawford.bsky.social: credit scores, not physical risk, drive insurance. But, higher credit scores subsidized to live in disaster risk areas. Why?

susanpcrawford.substack.com/p/how-insura...
How insurance pricing obscures the real cost of climate change
Credit scores, not disaster risk, play a major role in home insurance prices — muting what could be an important market signal of physical risk
susanpcrawford.substack.com
Reposted by Susan Crawford
iceclimate.bsky.social
“…researchers say the cost of natural disaster risk…is passed on disproportionately by insurance companies to people with lower credit scores.”
scrawford.bsky.social
Most U.S. home insurance rates aren’t driven by climate risk but mainly by credit scores. Crucial price signals about danger are getting lost, while lower-credit (often lower-income) Americans pay the most as risks climb. Needed: pricing transparency from insurers. open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...
How insurance pricing obscures the real cost of climate change
Credit scores, not disaster risk, play a major role in home insurance prices — muting what could be an important market signal of physical risk
open.substack.com
Reposted by Susan Crawford
susankayequinn.bsky.social
Every time I see Pritzker pop up, he's doing nerdy/cool things to help people: in this case, home insurance rates, which are quickly escalating due to #climatechange and ofc punishing the disadvantaged the most.

great piece by @scrawford.bsky.social
susanpcrawford.substack.com/p/how-insura...
** Gov. Pritzker doesn't want Illinois policyholders to be subsidizing Florida beachfront homeowners. In his July letter, he wrote "As states across the country face even more extreme weather than we do, we need to make sure Illinois homeowners are not paying for losses that companies experience in other states." Remember this moment. Much more of this is ahead.
scrawford.bsky.social
Most U.S. home insurance rates aren’t driven by climate risk but mainly by credit scores. Crucial price signals about danger are getting lost, while lower-credit (often lower-income) Americans pay the most as risks climb. Needed: pricing transparency from insurers. open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...
How insurance pricing obscures the real cost of climate change
Credit scores, not disaster risk, play a major role in home insurance prices — muting what could be an important market signal of physical risk
open.substack.com
Reposted by Susan Crawford
jswatz.bsky.social
“For decades, industries facing regulation have employed the same playbook: hire contrarian experts, selectively cite favorable research, ignore contrary evidence, and claim that mainstream science is too uncertain to justify action.”

www.theclimatebrink.com/p/the-mercha...
The merchants of doubt are back
But this time, it's the U.S. government pushing doubt
www.theclimatebrink.com
Reposted by Susan Crawford
climateeconomics.bsky.social
"These are both global catastrophic risks that will affect the lives and well-being of many, "causing suffering to at least one billion people or a total loss of 10% of global gross domestic product" as Johan Rockstrom, director of the PIK, said at the beginning of July"...
scrawford.bsky.social
Wall Street’s AI bubble gets headlines, but there's important news about accelerating warming. New studies about abrupt Antarctic melting and a looming collapse of Atlantic ocean currents—flooding, disruption, and suffering for millions are closer than we think. open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...
The risk that really matters isn't on Wall Street
The market fell on news suggesting the AI bubble could be about to burst. If only people paid as much attention to news about climate risks.
open.substack.com
scrawford.bsky.social
Wall Street’s AI bubble gets headlines, but there's important news about accelerating warming. New studies about abrupt Antarctic melting and a looming collapse of Atlantic ocean currents—flooding, disruption, and suffering for millions are closer than we think. open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...
The risk that really matters isn't on Wall Street
The market fell on news suggesting the AI bubble could be about to burst. If only people paid as much attention to news about climate risks.
open.substack.com
Reposted by Susan Crawford
carnegieendowment.org
🧵As Americans grow more vulnerable to extreme weather and natural disasters, the country’s infrastructure will have to adapt. In two new Carnegie papers, @scrawford.bsky.social explains what’s at stake and charts a path forward.
Reposted by Susan Crawford
drjeffmasters.bsky.social
While the new DOE assessment is known by climate-savvy people to be full of BS, it “will be used by developers and local officials along the coast to tamp down any forward-looking planning aimed at aligning land use rules and investments in infrastructure with the physical risks we face.”
scrawford.bsky.social
The new DOE report tries to downplay rising sea levels, but independent analyses and NOAA data show that sea level rise is not only happening, it’s picking up speed along the U.S. East Coast. Ignoring this will have consequences for U.S. financial stability. open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...
Sea levels are rising. A new DOE report downplays the threat.
As I mark my 100th column, the government’s latest climate report misleads and denies. Investors may be the ones to demand change.
open.substack.com
Reposted by Susan Crawford
zacklabe.com
"Under discussion are plans to hold a public debate about climate science, write a line-by-line rebuttal of the National Climate Assessment and ready a counterattack against climate scientists critical of last month’s Energy Department report." 🤪
Trump team readies more attacks on mainstream climate science
The plans include a public debate on global warming. Scientists say that falsely implies the major tenets of climate research are unsettled.
www.eenews.net