Sinem Adar
sinemadar.bsky.social
Sinem Adar
@sinemadar.bsky.social
Associate (CATS/SWPBerlin & CATS Network), Co-Head of the Autocratisation Thematic Group @SWP. Views personal. Writes in EN/TR
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I find the argument that the Imrali visit has given Ocalan political legitimacy to be misleading for three reasons. First, the regime's intent to confer the PKK's founder legitimacy was already put on the table when Bahceli called Ocalan to declare the PKK's dissolution at the Turkish parliament.
Reposted by Sinem Adar
Thread!
I find the argument that the Imrali visit has given Ocalan political legitimacy to be misleading for three reasons. First, the regime's intent to confer the PKK's founder legitimacy was already put on the table when Bahceli called Ocalan to declare the PKK's dissolution at the Turkish parliament.
November 26, 2025 at 4:06 PM
Reposted by Sinem Adar
I wanted to write about this, but Sinem has said it all (and said it well, too).

The Imrali affair is now over, and that's a good thing, because it was exhausting (a lot of noise for what was ultimately a very symbolic meeting...).
I find the argument that the Imrali visit has given Ocalan political legitimacy to be misleading for three reasons. First, the regime's intent to confer the PKK's founder legitimacy was already put on the table when Bahceli called Ocalan to declare the PKK's dissolution at the Turkish parliament.
November 26, 2025 at 1:31 PM
Reposted by Sinem Adar
Really interesting conversation!

Can't wait to read the book!
November 26, 2025 at 12:48 PM
Reposted by Sinem Adar
I find the argument that the Imrali visit has given Ocalan political legitimacy to be misleading for three reasons. First, the regime's intent to confer the PKK's founder legitimacy was already put on the table when Bahceli called Ocalan to declare the PKK's dissolution at the Turkish parliament.
November 26, 2025 at 7:53 AM
I find the argument that the Imrali visit has given Ocalan political legitimacy to be misleading for three reasons. First, the regime's intent to confer the PKK's founder legitimacy was already put on the table when Bahceli called Ocalan to declare the PKK's dissolution at the Turkish parliament.
November 26, 2025 at 7:53 AM
Reposted by Sinem Adar
First sign reads "We have been, we are, we will be"
international day against violence against women in istanbul
November 25, 2025 at 7:21 PM
Reposted by Sinem Adar
What are the government's priorities?

As I see it:

1. Secure DEM support for Constitutional changes.
2. Secure al Sharaa's rule in Syria.
3. Be able to declare victory to a domestic audience.
November 25, 2025 at 2:46 PM
Reposted by Sinem Adar
Mazloum Abdi's emphasis (in his most recent interview with Mezopotamya) on the need for him to visit Ocalan should, IMO, also be considered against this background.
At the end of the day, for Ankara, the whole process has been, since from the beginning, about the PKK and its affiliates laying down arms. I do not see much disagreement among regime actors on this broad point. Remember Bahceli calling Ocalan two months ago to make a call to the SDF.
From this point onwards, as the Imrali visit is also realized, I believe the fate of the rapprochement process with Ocalan is entirely dependent on what will happen with the SDF in Syria.
November 25, 2025 at 6:36 AM
Reposted by Sinem Adar
At the end of the day, for Ankara, the whole process has been, since from the beginning, about the PKK and its affiliates laying down arms. I do not see much disagreement among regime actors on this broad point. Remember Bahceli calling Ocalan two months ago to make a call to the SDF.
From this point onwards, as the Imrali visit is also realized, I believe the fate of the rapprochement process with Ocalan is entirely dependent on what will happen with the SDF in Syria.
November 25, 2025 at 6:31 AM
Reposted by Sinem Adar
From this point onwards, as the Imrali visit is also realized, I believe the fate of the rapprochement process with Ocalan is entirely dependent on what will happen with the SDF in Syria.
November 25, 2025 at 6:26 AM
Reposted by Sinem Adar
I largely agree with Sinem here.

From the PKK's perspective, the main concerns are (a) Ocalan's continued imprisonment and (b) salvaging what they can of the SDF in Syria.
From this point onwards, as the Imrali visit is also realized, I believe the fate of the rapprochement process with Ocalan is entirely dependent on what will happen with the SDF in Syria.
November 25, 2025 at 2:46 PM
Mazloum Abdi's emphasis (in his most recent interview with Mezopotamya) on the need for him to visit Ocalan should, IMO, also be considered against this background.
At the end of the day, for Ankara, the whole process has been, since from the beginning, about the PKK and its affiliates laying down arms. I do not see much disagreement among regime actors on this broad point. Remember Bahceli calling Ocalan two months ago to make a call to the SDF.
From this point onwards, as the Imrali visit is also realized, I believe the fate of the rapprochement process with Ocalan is entirely dependent on what will happen with the SDF in Syria.
November 25, 2025 at 6:36 AM
At the end of the day, for Ankara, the whole process has been, since from the beginning, about the PKK and its affiliates laying down arms. I do not see much disagreement among regime actors on this broad point. Remember Bahceli calling Ocalan two months ago to make a call to the SDF.
From this point onwards, as the Imrali visit is also realized, I believe the fate of the rapprochement process with Ocalan is entirely dependent on what will happen with the SDF in Syria.
November 25, 2025 at 6:31 AM
From this point onwards, as the Imrali visit is also realized, I believe the fate of the rapprochement process with Ocalan is entirely dependent on what will happen with the SDF in Syria.
November 25, 2025 at 6:26 AM
Reposted by Sinem Adar
If the parliamentary commission was initially formed to broaden elite support for the rapprochement process with Öcalan&to distribute responsibility, the fact that the group visiting Imrali includes only AKP,MHP&DEM, which are already involved in the process, is not a favorable image for Ankara.
November 24, 2025 at 8:55 AM
If the parliamentary commission was initially formed to broaden elite support for the rapprochement process with Öcalan&to distribute responsibility, the fact that the group visiting Imrali includes only AKP,MHP&DEM, which are already involved in the process, is not a favorable image for Ankara.
November 24, 2025 at 8:55 AM
CHP members on the DEM's reactions to the former's decision not to join the Imrali visit: "there are expectations regarding the government appointed trustees or compliance with the decisions of the Constitutional Court and the European Court of Human Rights concerning political prisoners.
November 23, 2025 at 7:48 AM
"The current peace process represents a high-risk gamble to remake Turkey. If successful, it would consolidate Islamist and nationalist elites, both Turkish and Kurdish, under the banner of Turkish supremacy and a carefully managed pluralism.
November 23, 2025 at 7:43 AM
Reposted by Sinem Adar
Sadece maddesel olanla propagandayı birbirinden ayırabilmek için değil; 2024 Ekim'inden beri vuku bulan, görünürde birbirine zıt ama bir o kadar da uyumlu olaylar silsilesini, sahnenin büyüsünden ve gürültüsünden arınarak anlayabilmek için de..
November 22, 2025 at 10:32 AM
Reposted by Sinem Adar
2025 Türkiye'sinde, 'klasik CHP tavrı' ne demek, partinin Imralı kararının analizi için ne kadar elverişli bir çıkış noktası, üzerine kafa yorulması gereken sorular. Hele ki, dün açıklanan parti programını da düşününce.
November 22, 2025 at 10:32 AM
Reposted by Sinem Adar
A look at the four crossings btw Gov't/SDF areas (three of them currently closed), Central Asian SNA faction Turan Tugayi's roots in jihadist faction al-Tawhid wa'l-Jihad, an excerpt on the founding of Qamishli during the French Mandate

akmckeever.substack.com/p/weekend-no...
Weekend notes
Gov't/SDF crossings, a Turan Tugayı update, the founding of al-Qamishli
akmckeever.substack.com
November 22, 2025 at 9:40 AM
Reposted by Sinem Adar
On the other hand, the announcement today of the CHP's new party program, which includes a rights-based approach to resolving Turkey's decades-long Kurdish issue, may help dashing expectations that the current rapprochement with Öcalan will put Turkey back on the path to democratization.
November 21, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Reposted by Sinem Adar
It is still too early to discuss the possible consequences of the CHP's decision not to participate in the Imrali visit. On the one hand, it might be a critical turning point in distancing the CHP and DEM from one another.
November 21, 2025 at 5:26 PM
2025 Türkiye'sinde, 'klasik CHP tavrı' ne demek, partinin Imralı kararının analizi için ne kadar elverişli bir çıkış noktası, üzerine kafa yorulması gereken sorular. Hele ki, dün açıklanan parti programını da düşününce.
November 22, 2025 at 10:32 AM
It is still too early to discuss the possible consequences of the CHP's decision not to participate in the Imrali visit. On the one hand, it might be a critical turning point in distancing the CHP and DEM from one another.
November 21, 2025 at 5:26 PM