Sinem Adar
@sinemadar.bsky.social
3K followers 410 following 1.2K posts
Associate (CATS/SWPBerlin & CATS Network), Co-Head of the Autocratisation Thematic Group @SWP. Views personal. Writes in EN/TR
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Reposted by Sinem Adar
nicholasdanfort.bsky.social
Bitterly ironic that after years of anti-imperial posturing, Erdogan is now boasting about securing Hamas's signoff on an international mandate for Palestine.
sinemadar.bsky.social
I don't know how large or small the role Turkey played in these negotiations. What strikes me, however, is the open reference by the US and in the international press to Ankara as one of the mediators. This is a stark contrast to two years ago.
Reposted by Sinem Adar
sinemadar.bsky.social
I find it interesting that despite its earlier unsuccessful attempts at mediation between Israel and Hamas, Ankara now appears to be on the main stage. Not much has changed in the last two years, in terms of Turkey's leverage over Hamas or its credibility in the eyes of Israel.
sinemadar.bsky.social
Agree with your more nuanced description. I see the first two mainly in the context of the US-Turkey relations under Trump, the strikes on Iran and Qatar in the context of weakened Hamas and Israel's regional isolation (can also read as changing threat perceptions).
sinemadar.bsky.social
To put it differently: the conditions that frame the space for manoeuvre have changed.
sinemadar.bsky.social
If anything, the latter has deteriorated even further. What is different now, however, compared to two years ago, is that Hamas is weaker, Israel is within the region isolated, and Ankara and Washington seem to be on a different modus operandi.
sinemadar.bsky.social
I find it interesting that despite its earlier unsuccessful attempts at mediation between Israel and Hamas, Ankara now appears to be on the main stage. Not much has changed in the last two years, in terms of Turkey's leverage over Hamas or its credibility in the eyes of Israel.
sinemadar.bsky.social
But the ruling bloc is kind of the state, is not it?
Reposted by Sinem Adar
sinemadar.bsky.social
Demirtas was the first to challenge the power ambitions at the ballot box.
sinemadar.bsky.social
Demirtas was the first to challenge the power ambitions at the ballot box.
Reposted by Sinem Adar
nateschenkkan.bsky.social
Yeah this is my drum that I bang but I have to keep saying it: counter-TNR policies that leave out migration policy are ignoring the elephant in the room, which is that most TNR entails host state cooperation, and “harder” migration systems make cooperation more likely
Reposted by Sinem Adar
heissenstat.bsky.social
The rise of the "prison industrial complex" in Turkey is quite remarkable. This graph brings us to 2018, but the trend has continued to this day.
sinemadar.bsky.social
The frequency of corporate raids in Turkey in the last couple of months is quite mind-boggling.
Reposted by Sinem Adar
heissenstat.bsky.social
I didn't see this thread when Sinem first posted it.

It is well worth a read.
sinemadar.bsky.social
Some thoughts on the most recent assault on the CHP:

1) As the regime's loyalty test with the CHP fails to achieve the desired outcomes, the CHP leadership is exposed to accelerated and aggrevated forms of domination test.
Reposted by Sinem Adar
sinemadar.bsky.social
The last couple of days seems to have lent further support to this 👇
sinemadar.bsky.social
6) Thirdly, there is also the question of allies and partners. Except for the support from the socialist parties, some DEM members and a few political actors in their invidividual capacity, the CHP seems to be alone.
sinemadar.bsky.social
The last couple of days seems to have lent further support to this 👇
sinemadar.bsky.social
6) Thirdly, there is also the question of allies and partners. Except for the support from the socialist parties, some DEM members and a few political actors in their invidividual capacity, the CHP seems to be alone.
Reposted by Sinem Adar
sinemadar.bsky.social
The photo show of yesterday as the new legislative year takes off is a manifestation.
sinemadar.bsky.social
The parliament and the multi-party political landscape in Turkey keep the idea and promise of the ballot box alive, whereby the style of politics has already shifted onto the terrain of elite-bargain.
Reposted by Sinem Adar
heissenstat.bsky.social
This is a great insight, and one that did not occur to me.

@sinemadar.bsky.social is definitely somebody to read and follow for understanding Turkish politics and policy
cplaisant.bsky.social
""With these defections, the AKP is also trying to give the impression that the party is still popular, since these mayors are leaving the CHP to join it. But the AKP's popularity has been steadily declining since 2015," @sinemadar.bsky.social told AFP"
www.rfi.fr/en/internati...
'Defect or be jailed': Turkey opposition mayors face new threat
Turkish opposition leaders say the government has found a new way to silence dissent: pressuring its mayors and local officials to defect to the ruling party.
www.rfi.fr