Palmer Captain and Nkunku in for Dango to chase those sweet, sweet points. 99% chance Salah has a massive haul against a shaky Newcastle defence but I'd rather finish 2 million than play it safe for 1 million rank #fpl

GW25 Assistant Manager Points Potential 📊

No surprises that Liverpool lead in expected value.
However, an interesting choice is presented to managers yet again: safer floor or higher ceiling?

Based on 250k sims from @elevenify.com data

#DGW24

🌎 OR - 1.9m (🤦‍♂️)

Gordon ➡️ Mbeumo
Cunha ➡️ Ndiaye
Enzo ➡️ Dango
Moyes AM
Salah ©️

Apart from wishing I'd have held the Dango move and took the hit on team value, looking forward to AM rather than triple captain.

Good luck all!

#FPL #FPLCommunity

GW 24 - 26 #FPL UPDATED Assistant Manager Chip Predicted Points 📊

Final updated AM predicted points. This considers all available information (as of post-announcements 31st Jan) and is the best current estimate of predicted points.

Big thanks to @guymc.com for running simulations.

Can't seem to get out of the 1.5m to 2m #FPL rank. Fairly happy with the team, would have gone for Mateta for Cunha if I had the budget but not really sure where to take from other than go Trent to Konate which seems no upside.

While these two types of fixtures both achieve good AM scores on average, they have very different outcome distributions!

🦺 'Strong favourite' fixtures - lower ceiling but lower risk of a bust
🎆 'Competitive table bonus' fixtures - high ceiling but higher risk of a bust

I went back and calculated #FPL Assistant Manager points for every PL game over the last 8 seasons (and combined with pre-game market WDL odds)

These are the top 100 AM scores for games played in GW24-38 between 2016-7 and 2023-24 👇

And a few quick observations below 🧵

#FPL Assistant Manager Chip Value Guide 💰🍟

This is a quick mock-up image to get a rough guide to Assistant Manager 'value' using elevenify.com team ratings.

This **does not** include any potential for table bonus... so these are baselines to work from for idea generation.

Three people have managed Manchester United in matches since Manchester City last won a game.

Should have done Foden to Salah last week but ah well. For GW13, first hits of the season:

Haaland -> Pedro
Dibling -> Salah (👑 & -4)
Foden -> Saka (-8)

The Saka transfer might be a bit overkill but I want him long term and Saka seems far more likely to haul #FPL

Early #FPL transfer as I won't get chance tomorrow. Went tame with Greaves to Gabriel to improve that horrific defense. Initial plan of Foden to Salah but I think it is short term pain for long term gain.

Hoping to improve that 2.6m rank with a green arrow!

Anyone who would have gone different?

Seeing this @fplreview.com does make me feel better about the FPL decisions I've made this season 😂