SlavaUkraini033
@slavaukraini033.bsky.social
Slava Ukraini! Defend Freedom!
How many house seats would democrats win in 2026 if the national environment looked like this (eg we shifted all seats 12-13 pts to the left in terms of margin)?
~280 but depends on redistricting. 290 seats on the 2024 lines.
218 seats needed to have a majority. GOP has 220 currently. Do the math.
~280 but depends on redistricting. 290 seats on the 2024 lines.
218 seats needed to have a majority. GOP has 220 currently. Do the math.
December 3, 2025 at 3:49 AM
How many house seats would democrats win in 2026 if the national environment looked like this (eg we shifted all seats 12-13 pts to the left in terms of margin)?
~280 but depends on redistricting. 290 seats on the 2024 lines.
218 seats needed to have a majority. GOP has 220 currently. Do the math.
~280 but depends on redistricting. 290 seats on the 2024 lines.
218 seats needed to have a majority. GOP has 220 currently. Do the math.
TN-07 Special Election Final Post: unbelievable results for the Dems tonight. Yes, we lost but with 67% reported, Dems only are losing by 6. That is a +16% gain in a strong red district.
Swing map comparing results from the 2024 Presidential margin to tonight's results.
This is excellent!
Swing map comparing results from the 2024 Presidential margin to tonight's results.
This is excellent!
December 3, 2025 at 2:59 AM
TN-07 Special Election Final Post: unbelievable results for the Dems tonight. Yes, we lost but with 67% reported, Dems only are losing by 6. That is a +16% gain in a strong red district.
Swing map comparing results from the 2024 Presidential margin to tonight's results.
This is excellent!
Swing map comparing results from the 2024 Presidential margin to tonight's results.
This is excellent!
Breaking
Republican Matt Van Epps has defeated Democrat Aftyn Behn in the Tennessee 7th Congressional District Special Election.
This is a 🔴 hold.
With that said, GOP is in big trouble next year.
Republican Matt Van Epps has defeated Democrat Aftyn Behn in the Tennessee 7th Congressional District Special Election.
This is a 🔴 hold.
With that said, GOP is in big trouble next year.
December 3, 2025 at 2:10 AM
Breaking
Republican Matt Van Epps has defeated Democrat Aftyn Behn in the Tennessee 7th Congressional District Special Election.
This is a 🔴 hold.
With that said, GOP is in big trouble next year.
Republican Matt Van Epps has defeated Democrat Aftyn Behn in the Tennessee 7th Congressional District Special Election.
This is a 🔴 hold.
With that said, GOP is in big trouble next year.
Regardless of who actually wins, this is a horrible night for Donald Trump and the Republican Party.
December 3, 2025 at 2:02 AM
Regardless of who actually wins, this is a horrible night for Donald Trump and the Republican Party.
TN-07 Update: GOP candidate takes a small lead again. There are still enough Dem friendly areas that Dem could win. It's going to be close
December 3, 2025 at 1:57 AM
TN-07 Update: GOP candidate takes a small lead again. There are still enough Dem friendly areas that Dem could win. It's going to be close
TN-07: 47% reporting. The vote being this close is crazy.
December 3, 2025 at 1:46 AM
TN-07: 47% reporting. The vote being this close is crazy.
TN-07: Dem candidate has taken the lead. Nashville vote results pouring in. Don't overreact. A lot of vote left
December 3, 2025 at 1:39 AM
TN-07: Dem candidate has taken the lead. Nashville vote results pouring in. Don't overreact. A lot of vote left
TN-07 Update: Dem candidate is showing really positive numbers. Seat is in play. Monitoring
December 3, 2025 at 1:36 AM
TN-07 Update: Dem candidate is showing really positive numbers. Seat is in play. Monitoring
TN-07 Update: Massive underperformance by Republican candidate in rural communities that have reported so far. Awaiting Nashville and the race will tighten.
December 3, 2025 at 1:31 AM
TN-07 Update: Massive underperformance by Republican candidate in rural communities that have reported so far. Awaiting Nashville and the race will tighten.
Don't overreact. Nashville votes have not been reported yet.
December 3, 2025 at 1:23 AM
Don't overreact. Nashville votes have not been reported yet.
TN-07 Special Election
Early votes have dropped in Decatur County.
Van Epps (R) is winning by 45.6 points. Dems improve by 20.1 points from these ballots in the 2024 US House election.
Early votes have dropped in Decatur County.
Van Epps (R) is winning by 45.6 points. Dems improve by 20.1 points from these ballots in the 2024 US House election.
December 3, 2025 at 1:21 AM
TN-07 Special Election
Early votes have dropped in Decatur County.
Van Epps (R) is winning by 45.6 points. Dems improve by 20.1 points from these ballots in the 2024 US House election.
Early votes have dropped in Decatur County.
Van Epps (R) is winning by 45.6 points. Dems improve by 20.1 points from these ballots in the 2024 US House election.
Polls are now closed in Tennessee for TN-07 special election. Monitoring ...
December 3, 2025 at 1:04 AM
Polls are now closed in Tennessee for TN-07 special election. Monitoring ...
Tennessee Special Election: Two hours until the polls close for TN-07 congressional special election.
Bottom line: The GOP is favored in TN-07, which President Trump carried by 22 points in 2024. However, it looks like it could be close & there's even an outside shot at a Democratic upset.
Bottom line: The GOP is favored in TN-07, which President Trump carried by 22 points in 2024. However, it looks like it could be close & there's even an outside shot at a Democratic upset.
December 2, 2025 at 10:59 PM
Tennessee Special Election: Two hours until the polls close for TN-07 congressional special election.
Bottom line: The GOP is favored in TN-07, which President Trump carried by 22 points in 2024. However, it looks like it could be close & there's even an outside shot at a Democratic upset.
Bottom line: The GOP is favored in TN-07, which President Trump carried by 22 points in 2024. However, it looks like it could be close & there's even an outside shot at a Democratic upset.
Another Zzz Moment: Trump caught sleeping again during his cabinet meeting today. Still recovering from his social media usage hangover from yesterday.
December 2, 2025 at 10:21 PM
Another Zzz Moment: Trump caught sleeping again during his cabinet meeting today. Still recovering from his social media usage hangover from yesterday.
❗️NATO has a “Plan B” in case the current peace efforts regarding Ukraine fail, – Radio Liberty reports, citing diplomats from Alliance member states.
December 2, 2025 at 8:32 PM
❗️NATO has a “Plan B” in case the current peace efforts regarding Ukraine fail, – Radio Liberty reports, citing diplomats from Alliance member states.
The Pentagon has halted its working-level contacts with Germany’s Defense Ministry, including communication related to Ukraine. The Atlantic reports this, citing German Lieutenant General Christian Freuding.
December 2, 2025 at 8:23 PM
The Pentagon has halted its working-level contacts with Germany’s Defense Ministry, including communication related to Ukraine. The Atlantic reports this, citing German Lieutenant General Christian Freuding.
Trump posted more than 160 times in four hours. So who’s got ADHD now? 😅
The 79yo president had an extremely active Monday. Posts on his social network appeared one after another. In fact, it even looked as if the system was automatically quote-posting his own messages, flooding the feed.
The 79yo president had an extremely active Monday. Posts on his social network appeared one after another. In fact, it even looked as if the system was automatically quote-posting his own messages, flooding the feed.
December 2, 2025 at 7:08 PM
Trump posted more than 160 times in four hours. So who’s got ADHD now? 😅
The 79yo president had an extremely active Monday. Posts on his social network appeared one after another. In fact, it even looked as if the system was automatically quote-posting his own messages, flooding the feed.
The 79yo president had an extremely active Monday. Posts on his social network appeared one after another. In fact, it even looked as if the system was automatically quote-posting his own messages, flooding the feed.
🇺🇲 Rubio is openly ignoring the NATO summit amid ongoing negotiations to end the war.
The U.S. Secretary of State has declined to participate in the annual meeting of NATO foreign ministers, which begins tomorrow in Brussels.
The U.S. Secretary of State has declined to participate in the annual meeting of NATO foreign ministers, which begins tomorrow in Brussels.
December 2, 2025 at 4:29 PM
🇺🇲 Rubio is openly ignoring the NATO summit amid ongoing negotiations to end the war.
The U.S. Secretary of State has declined to participate in the annual meeting of NATO foreign ministers, which begins tomorrow in Brussels.
The U.S. Secretary of State has declined to participate in the annual meeting of NATO foreign ministers, which begins tomorrow in Brussels.
Breaking: Ukrainian President Zelenskyy is addressing the Irish Parliament right now. Live stream link below 👇 👇
www.youtube.com/live/0XNPj9Q...
www.youtube.com/live/0XNPj9Q...
Volodymyr Zelenskyy addresses joint sitting of Irish parliament
YouTube video by Sky News
https://www.youtube.com/live/0XNPj9QXE2o?si=XxaeWxC1D_KD8q3n👇👇
December 2, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Breaking: Ukrainian President Zelenskyy is addressing the Irish Parliament right now. Live stream link below 👇 👇
www.youtube.com/live/0XNPj9Q...
www.youtube.com/live/0XNPj9Q...
Today: First Lady Melania Trump displayed her reduced Christmas decorations at the White House. The East Wing was torn down by her husband to build a ballroom, limiting the traditional space used to decorate. As usual, her decorations were very 'white' and bland, reflecting her personality.
December 2, 2025 at 3:35 AM
Today: First Lady Melania Trump displayed her reduced Christmas decorations at the White House. The East Wing was torn down by her husband to build a ballroom, limiting the traditional space used to decorate. As usual, her decorations were very 'white' and bland, reflecting her personality.
Reposted by SlavaUkraini033
@markhertling.bsky.social: “When you're talking about striking against someone who's wounded and clinging to debris…Deliberately targeting such a person isn't a tactical decision, it's a war crime by the Geneva Convention, the laws of land warfare, and the U.N. Charter.”
December 2, 2025 at 12:50 AM
@markhertling.bsky.social: “When you're talking about striking against someone who's wounded and clinging to debris…Deliberately targeting such a person isn't a tactical decision, it's a war crime by the Geneva Convention, the laws of land warfare, and the U.N. Charter.”
Russia and China have abandoned Venezuela ahead of a possible U.S. operation
At the peak of its confrontation with the United States, Venezuela has effectively lost the support of its main allies.
🧵🧵🧵
At the peak of its confrontation with the United States, Venezuela has effectively lost the support of its main allies.
🧵🧵🧵
December 2, 2025 at 1:10 AM
Russia and China have abandoned Venezuela ahead of a possible U.S. operation
At the peak of its confrontation with the United States, Venezuela has effectively lost the support of its main allies.
🧵🧵🧵
At the peak of its confrontation with the United States, Venezuela has effectively lost the support of its main allies.
🧵🧵🧵
Reposted by SlavaUkraini033
Junior is melting down tonight about the special election tomorrow in TN, which should be a cakewalk for Republicans. But it isn’t, thanks to his dad’s unpopularity.
December 1, 2025 at 11:23 PM
Junior is melting down tonight about the special election tomorrow in TN, which should be a cakewalk for Republicans. But it isn’t, thanks to his dad’s unpopularity.
Today: Luigi Mangione was in court for pretrial hearings about which evidence will be allowed in his upcoming trial in New York City.
Mangione is charged with murdering UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson.
Mangione is charged with murdering UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson.
December 1, 2025 at 11:35 PM
Today: Luigi Mangione was in court for pretrial hearings about which evidence will be allowed in his upcoming trial in New York City.
Mangione is charged with murdering UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson.
Mangione is charged with murdering UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson.
🚨Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District Special Election🚨
Election Day is tomorrow!
Republicans are defending this Trump +22 seat in an election that should be fairly easy, but Democrat Aftyn Behn is making national Republicans nervous.
Election Day is tomorrow!
Republicans are defending this Trump +22 seat in an election that should be fairly easy, but Democrat Aftyn Behn is making national Republicans nervous.
December 1, 2025 at 11:13 PM
🚨Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District Special Election🚨
Election Day is tomorrow!
Republicans are defending this Trump +22 seat in an election that should be fairly easy, but Democrat Aftyn Behn is making national Republicans nervous.
Election Day is tomorrow!
Republicans are defending this Trump +22 seat in an election that should be fairly easy, but Democrat Aftyn Behn is making national Republicans nervous.