ASD notes that a significant share of Europe’s defense procurement still comes from foreign suppliers, mainly the United States — creating potential risks for supply chain stability.

67% reporting. Still 50% of Nashville has not been reported. This is Dems candidate only chance.

22 points.

Votes reported so far are from red areas. This vote count isnt surprising, and the Dem candidate is performing much better in these areas than 2024 so far.

Source: Decision Desk

Lastly, here are county-level benchmarks for a close race in TN-07. If a candidate is clearly doing better than the benchmarks, they're winning.

A critical piece of the puzzle will be just how high turnout is in Nashville, the one very blue area of TN-07, vs the rest of the district. In early voting, Nashville was on the upper end of turnout vs. 2024 early voting, with mostly small red counties trailing behind.

While GOP outside groups have outspent Dem ones, Aftyn Behn (D) outraised Matt Van Epps (R) about $1 mil to $590k in the last pre-election fundraising period, so she has the upper hand on candidate spending.