Author | Lightnews

Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · 6d

They probably need to send at least some capital with Tua when they trade him at this point

Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · 9d

Like, just compare MLB statcast to what we're working with for the NFL. What's the downside to making reliable info public?

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Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · 9d

Yeah, I feel like the issue with the "democratization of sports data" is that making an LLM that people interact with to have it spit out a number/table is just giving the public access to your database with both extra steps and obfuscation.

Like, cool ig

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Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · 12d

How does it help the other team? It doesn't meaningfully change the Cincy title odds. To the extent that they may win, like, 6 games instead of 5, that just hurts Cincy's draft capital in an otherwise lost year.

Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · 19d

Barely outdueling Mac Jones used to be a bad thing

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Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · 19d

I just spend every week forcing myself to remember the Lions, Rams, and Jags games

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Reposted by Steven Kelly

Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 20d

Thus far in Week 5, there's only been one CB-WR matchup that occurred at least 15 times and resulted in 0 receiving yards:

Isaiah Rodgers vs. Jerry Jeudy.

17 matchups, two targets, zero receptions, per NFL Next Gen Stats.

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Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · 22d

👀👀👀👀

Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · 22d

Is there a current dead thing or no?

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Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · 23d

But I need that excuse

Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · 24d

Well, I don't know why anyone would do this to themselves, but I can't hurt me more than the Vikings already do.

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Reposted by Steven Kelly

Micah McCurdy @hockeyviz.com · 25d

Kirill Kaprizov (8x17m extension with Minnesota) is a very good hockey player.

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Reposted by Steven Kelly

Arif Hasan, but NFL🔨⚒️🛠️ @arif.bsky.social · Sep 23

pre-snap penalties have to be the easiest area of improvement for MIN, right. It's primarily on offense and offensive pre-snap penalties occurred under both QBs (quite a bit) so it's not as easy as saying one is better but like fix this and you fix a lot, fast (h/t @statbutler.com )

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Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · Sep 21

Carson Wentz, and the general Vikings O, doing the perfect amount to keep my JJM hopes alive and potentially win a game or two in the meantime

Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · Sep 18

In spite of the watermark, the data isn't available via nflfastr, right? Just a blend of ngs and pff?

Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · Sep 17

Yeah, I'm also at least a little skeptical of the positive correlation between the axes. You'd like to be able to delineate blame between the line play, the QB, and the system. This just tells me there's a problem in MN, which I learned the hard way Sunday Night

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Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · Sep 15

Adding to Arif's explanation.

EPA - Expected points Added
CPOE - Completion percentage over expectation

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Reposted by Steven Kelly

Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · Sep 12

An antisemite shot two kids in Colorado, at least one of whom is Jewish.

The White House “fighting antisemitism” doesn’t care, because the shooter was a student radicalized online into far right beliefs, which the regime is cool with, rather than a student verbally criticizing Israeli govt policy.

‘Radicalized’ Evergreen High School shooter appeared to hold antisemitic, violent views in online accounts

Social media accounts that appear to be connected to the 16-year-old shooter are littered with references to mass shootings and antisemitic views, The Denver Post found.

www.denverpost.com

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Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · Sep 10

The Rs are going to wait for focus groups of swing voters to determine how many concentration camps to build?

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Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · Sep 10

If you consider J6 an act of political violence, the "normies" (read as low info voters, or swing voters, or whoever) elected the chief instigator of political violence over the last, like, 50 years to be POTUS. What are we talking about here?

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Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · Sep 10

Idk man, the idea that the autocrats and their cronies are just waiting for liberals to slip up as an excuse to do fascism is pretty far fetched.

In the prerogative/normative state model, the prerog. state can be arbitrary. It's sorta the whole point. Failure to engage with that is silly imo

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Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · Sep 9

Legitimately 5 years ago that throw might kill DJ Moore

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Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · Sep 5

Week one of the NFL is always just nuts man. My stuff really didn't like Dallas in this game (I mean, they were below average in EPA/play on offense even when Dak was playing last season, so...). Color me pretty shocked

Contour plot for our pre-game sims for the Philly/Dallas game, week 1 2025.

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Reposted by Steven Kelly

JP Acosta @acosta32jp.bsky.social · Sep 5

George Pickens watching all this fighting and not getting involved

a man in a green suit is standing in front of a brick wall

ALT: a man in a green suit is standing in front of a brick wall

media.tenor.com

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Steven Kelly @stevinok.bsky.social · Sep 3

Deleted my X account, is the deal here that there's not a ton of signal in how the games end up one score games?

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