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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 1d

1/ This is outrageous. John Swinney misled parliament by falsely claiming that more than half of taxpayers in Scotland pay less income tax than if they lived elsewhere in the UK. Scot Gov says this is perfectly fine because his remarks were based on SFC forecasts for 2025-26.

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 2d

The video which ran before John Swinney’s speech showed this wave energy converter as he claimed independence would reduce energy bills in Scotland. The cost of wave power is £360-£380/MWh - about 4.5x higher than the wholesale cost in bills today. His rhetoric is utterly false.

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 2d

Surely nobody could be dumb enough to claim “Scotland has 25% of Europe’s offshore wind potential” at this year’s SNP conference? Step forward Bill Kidd MSP, who makes the even more ludicrous claim that Scotland has 25% of *all* the renewables potential in Europe.

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 3d

How does John Swinney respond to a very fair question about the GERS figures? In the most facile way imaginable: “the UK has a deficit too, Liz Truss, Boris Johnson, blah blah blah…”

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 3d

Independence is not simply a one-way bet for Scottish households, Martin Geissler points out. And John Swinney has no answer, except arm-waving talk about other nations. Not credible and not serious. #BBCSundayShow

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 3d

Another mauling for John Swinney on his ludicrous currency proposals. This time, all he can do is accuse Martin Geissler of being overly gloomy, and suggest that Scotland’s renewables will somehow come to the rescue. Desperate and embarrassing stuff.

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 5d

Pressed by Peter Smith for answers on his independence paper’s currency proposals, John Swinney simply doesn’t have them. All he can do is retreat to his comfort zone of magical thinking on child poverty.

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These Islands @theseislands.bsky.social · 5d

Full article: on.ft.com/3J7f5iR

SNP seeks to exploit unionist rift with fresh independence pitch

John Swinney to set out plans for second referendum at party conference as Reform splits Scottish pro-union vote

on.ft.com

These Islands @theseislands.bsky.social · 5d

The most serious failure of the SNP’s latest independence paper is that it completely ducks the question of how an independent Scotland would get its public finances onto a sustainable footing.

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 6d

1/ Assuming John Swinney hasn’t had enough of experts, he might want to reflect on what they have had to say about the currency and fiscal proposals (or lack thereof) in his latest independence paper. @t0nyyates.bsky.social was unimpressed.

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 6d

The ferries debacle and the future of Ferguson Marine have been massive stories in Scotland. So you’d think the First Minister might remember when he last visited the yard. You’d be wrong.

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 12d

1/ John Swinney has not only misled parliament. His government has also broken repeated budget commitments, made firstly by him as acting Cabinet Secretary for Finance, and subsequently (twice) by Shona Robison.

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 12d

1/ Update. The data cited below strongly suggested that John Swinney misled parliament yesterday, but it wasn’t quite definitive. Because all taxpayers in Scotland benefit from the 19% starter rate, the tipping point at which taxpayers paid more in 2023-24 was about £2k above…

Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 13d

1/ According to the latest Scottish Income Tax Outturn Statistics, intermediate + higher + top rate taxpayers were 57% of all taxpayers in Scotland in 2023-24.

These bands all pay tax at rates higher than the rUK equivalents.

Source: www.gov.uk/government/s...

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 14d

1/ Shona Robison tells the Finance & Public Administration Committee she hasn’t yet raised a particular issue with the Chief Secretary to the Treasury, at which point a civil servant pushes over a laptop to remind Robison that she has in fact reached an agreement on the issue.

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 14d

1/ Shona Robison gave evidence yesterday to the Finance & Public Administration Committee, and did not know what the government’s target for reducing civil service headcount is. The convener of the committee had to tell the Cabinet Secretary what her own target is. 🤯

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 16d

Does the Scottish Government have any information which substantiates the First Minister's claim that energy bills would be cheaper in an independent Scotland?

Of course not. None that it’s prepared to share, anyway. Apparently it’s “material in the course of completion”.

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These Islands @theseislands.bsky.social · Sep 7

Using the latest GERS figures, @kevverage.bsky.social compares Scotland’s fiscal position with independent EU countries and argues that a fiscally autonomous Scotland would need to dramatically reduce investment in public services.

GERS 2025: Full Fiscal Autonomy?

Kevin Hague uses the latest GERS figures to compare Scotland’s fiscal position with independent EU countries and argues that a fiscally autonomous Scotland would need to dramatically reduce investment...

www.these-islands.co.uk

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · Aug 28

1/ John Swinney used yesterday’s Ofgem price cap news to once again claim that independence is the solution to high energy bills in Scotland.

Coincidentally, Dorenell Windfarm Ltd published its accounts yesterday, and those accounts expose the vacuity of Swinney’s rhetoric.🧵

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · Aug 27

John Swinney is not telling the truth.

Wholesale costs are actually down vs the prior period, but bills are up because of “network and policy costs” - costs disproportionately *caused* by Scotland.

Independence would *increase* Scottish household’s exposure to these costs.

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · Aug 25

This is why Scot Gov opposed zonal pricing. It would have jeopardised many renewables projects.

But zonal pricing would have been a very mild form of independence for the electricity market in Scotland. Actual independence would kill the Scottish renewables pipeline stone dead.

Developer CWP Energy said the project could now proceed to financial close following last month's decision by the current UK government to drop plans for "zonal electricity pricing". Had that policy gone ahead, it would have disincentivised the development of wind farms and other renewable energy projects across Scotland.

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · Aug 25

John Swinney’s rhetoric vs reality. The wholesale cost of electricity in the current Ofgem price cap is £85/MWh.

Every renewable technology in which Scotland excels costs more than that. Some, like floating offshore wind (ScotWind is mostly floating) and tidal, cost *way* more.

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Kevin Hague @kevverage.bsky.social · Aug 21

this is wrong in so many ways - buckle in for a quick thread

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Richard Murphy @richardjmurphy.bsky.social · Aug 13

It's GERS Day in Scotland www.thenational.scot/politics/253...

Expert debunks everything you've been told about Scotland's 'deficit'

It's GERS day: The day in Scotland when the Government Expenditure and Revenue Statement for Scotland is published by the Scottish Government ...

www.thenational.scot

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These Islands @theseislands.bsky.social · Aug 20

Defence spending in GERS. @kevverage.bsky.social explains how the Scottish Government is pushing a dishonest narrative.

Defence Spending in GERS: Anatomy of a Myth

The Scottish Government’s Finance Secretary’s latest attempt to spin the GERS figures is both incorrect and misleading.

www.these-islands.co.uk

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Kevin Hague @kevverage.bsky.social · Aug 13

OK so this Scottish Government statement [quoting finance secretary Shona Robison] is completely nuts - c75% of defence spending is on personnel and she’s completely ignoring spending in Scotland relating to the c.14,000 (7.3% of UK total) regular forces and MOD civilian personnel based here!

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · Aug 11

Have only skim read what looked like the most relevant pages, and this would appear to be it for the frank reflections on the fiscal consequences of independence. Facile stuff. (Neither Andrew Wilson nor the Growth Commission are mentioned in the index, which is frankly absurd.)

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