Kevin Hague
@kevverage.bsky.social
1.9K followers 960 following 1.4K posts
Investor/chair of a couple of Scottish businesses; chair of constitutional think tank These Islands; keen analyst of Scotland’s economic data (particularly “GERS” #fml); occasional political commentator; runner, hill walker & dog lover - views own, obv
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kevverage.bsky.social
to be like any other normal European country, a fiscally autonomous Scotland would have to significantly increase taxes and/or severely cut public spending - this is the simple truth that much of the SNP’s rhetoric around GERS seems designed to obscure

www.these-islands.co.uk/publications...
Reposted by Kevin Hague
mjowen174.bsky.social
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kevverage.bsky.social
and for the record: i’m against those who try and persuade people to support breaking up the UK by deploying fallacious arguments and false grievances
kevverage.bsky.social
the renewables investments in Scotland that are supported by subsidies (contracts for difference) paid by GB bill payers as a function of the integrated GB energy market - those ones?
kevverage.bsky.social
and let’z not forget the Yes case was to assume £6.8 - 7.9bn a year of oil revenue for an indy Scotland … a figure that turned out to be massively over optimistic
kevverage.bsky.social
and breaking up the UK - forcing Scots to bear massive spending cuts and/or tax rises while also dismantling the GB energy market upon which the Scottish renewables industry depends - don’t forget that bit 👍
Reposted by Kevin Hague
theseislands.bsky.social
The most serious failure of the SNP’s latest independence paper is that it completely ducks the question of how an independent Scotland would get its public finances onto a sustainable footing.
kevverage.bsky.social
bonkers
danneidle.bsky.social
Big development on our July storyabout a dodgy tax relief claim by Dundee United and tax firm ZLX.

The club made a huge claim for R&D tax relief which said that 24% of the players' time, and 80% of the chef's time, was spent on "research and development".

Not credible.
Reposted by Kevin Hague
sundersays.bsky.social
I assume Jenrick will be asked to confirm if he has a similar position on burning Bibles in public - it may be offensive but it should not be illegal.

But would he really pretend he would attend the court case to show solidarity & support to a Bible burner too? He surely would not.
kevverage.bsky.social
i have muted the person you’re responding to and will now do the same to you (“Macnaughton”) - pointless interacting when you are so resolutely opposed to simple economic facts getting in the way of your heart’s desire to break up the UK

👋
kevverage.bsky.social
i am resolutely positive about the values of unity and solidarity and the importance of informed debate - you only perceive me as being negative because i vocally oppose those (like you, it seems) who resort to misrepresenting economic facts in their desire to promote the separatist cause
kevverage.bsky.social
i see we’re now at the “if you believe in accurate presentation of basic economic facts then you should leave Scotland” stage of joyous and civic nationalism 🫤
kevverage.bsky.social
and if you’re reduced to telling me i should leave Scotland because i believe in accurately representing economic data… well frankly maybe go away and have a wee word with yourself?
kevverage.bsky.social
with the best will in the world, i refer you back to the *actual numbers* - how can you seriously seek to create a grievance out of these simple and undisputed facts: average revenue/head generated while benefitting from far higher than average spending/head?
kevverage.bsky.social
i see you’re not interested in civilised debate - tbh when you’re arguing against your own Government’s National Statistics i suspect you know in your heart of hearts that you’re floundering

nothing wrong with wanting secession, but perhaps steer clear of lying about economic facts?

hey ho - bye
Reposted by Kevin Hague
sundersays.bsky.social
Scottish Social Attitudes report a dramatic dip in British identity in Scotland in 2024
kevverage.bsky.social
ps who do you think this “you” is that you’re referring to?
Reposted by Kevin Hague
kevverage.bsky.social
why don’t you engage with the actual numbers?

we generate close to average revenue per head but get £2,600 more spending per head — these are the Scottish Government’s own numbers - your insistent repetition of a false grievance doesn’t make it true
kevverage.bsky.social
also - just fyi - according to the Scottish Government’s own calculations Scotland was a small net fiscal contributor *to* the EU

I know facts can be uncomfortable at times, but you really should engage with them if you want to be persuasive
kevverage.bsky.social
why don’t you engage with the actual numbers?

we generate close to average revenue per head but get £2,600 more spending per head — these are the Scottish Government’s own numbers - your insistent repetition of a false grievance doesn’t make it true
kevverage.bsky.social
and as for being like any other nornal independent country: I’m on record as saying Scotland could be - you’d just have to persuade Scots to have far higher taxes or much lower public spending 🤷🏻‍♂️

www.these-islands.co.uk/publications...
kevverage.bsky.social
i notice you’ve decided not to try and defend your “gives us scraps back” false grievance, so i suppose that at least is progress of sorts
kevverage.bsky.social
if you see me suggesting Scotland can’t be independent, be sure to let me know
kevverage.bsky.social
that’s an irrelevant observation - the claim being made was that Scotland is short-changed when it comes to pooling and sharing tax revenues across the UK; that claim is patently, demonstrably and irrefutably false
kevverage.bsky.social
so you haven’t looked at the actual numbers?

according to Swinney’s own National Statistics, scotland contributes a similar to UK average revenue per head but benefits from £2,600 higher spending per head

“give us scraps back” you say?