Ukraine War Brief Podcast
@ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
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Rob Gaudette on Twitter. Hosted by a Ukrainian and produced by an American with a PharmD. thepeoplesmedia.substack.com
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ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
If I use an estimated 6 trillion ruble deficit—instead of the “very optimistic” 3.8 trillion rubles currently under consideration—the gap is even more profound.
Reposted by Ukraine War Brief Podcast
randomminutia.bsky.social
Ah, the First Red Scare and backlash to the Russian Civil War crossbred with the classic Jim Crow racial resentment that exploded into the East St. Louis Race Riots of 1917 that carried into racial paranoia, prohibition, & the rise of the 2nd Ku Klux Klan that paraded down DC in full robes by 1925.
ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
The Trump Dump is here: Trump memecoin is down 81% today.
ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
The Russian budget is out of money for recruiting soldiers.
beefeaterfella.bsky.social
The Russians complained that payments to contract soldiers have been sharply reduced in the regions and that the resources of regional budgets have been exhausted
ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
Brent crude is now down almost 5% on the day! Say goodbye to the Russian budget and economy! At this price, I wonder if the EU will lower the price cap 😆
Reposted by Ukraine War Brief Podcast
marymcnamara.bsky.social
On CNBC,effectiveness of Ukraine taking out Russian oil infrastructure. Looming crisis for Russia.
ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
It’s down almost 4% today, over 4% for the week, and over 7% for the month.
ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
It’s not possible to get real time Urals prices. We use Brent as a proxy (subtract around $12-$13).
ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
Folks, Brent crude seems to be in free fall today. If it goes much lower and stays there, the Russian economy will really enter the death zone.
ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
It is not “crashing.” The MICEX was up 3% yesterday to 2638. Trading was not halted.
ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
Is 2026 the year we finally get rid of Putin, Orbán, and Netanyahu?
financialtimes.com
The prime minister, who has repeatedly been accused of prolonging the war with Hamas to appease his ultranationalist allies, risks undermining the support he has depended on to keep his government intact on.ft.com/42yCfoY
Benjamin Netanyahu. Text on image reads: Netanyahu gambles Israel’s far-right coalition on Gaza hostage deal
Reposted by Ukraine War Brief Podcast
militarynewsua.bsky.social
❗️Approximate route of 🇷🇺Russian missiles and drones that attacked 🇺🇦Ukraine at night: The Russian Federation attacked Ukrainian energy infrastructure.
ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
Seems like a capital offense to me
ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
This is a massive escalation because James is a sitting state official, and a Democrat.
ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
Brent crude now down to almost $65/barrel. Would be good to see it go below $60.
peark.es
*HAMAS NEGOTIATING CHIEF ANNOUNCES DEAL TO END WAR WITH ISRAEL
ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
I can’t believe this, but the EU might finally hand over Russian frozen assets to Ukraine!
politico.eu
Belgium has laid out its red lines for using Russian assets to fund a €140 billion reparations loan to Ukraine.

This includes an agreement by EU countries to share all current and future risks related to the plan for an amount exceeding €170 billion.
Belgium lays out red lines on €140B Ukraine loan
Belgian PM Bart De Wever has suggested that the Commission’s scheme to leverage Russian frozen assets effectively amounts to confiscation.
ow.ly
ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
🔥 The Lukoil-Korobkovsky gas processing plant in Kotovo, Volgograd, Russia, was attacked by Ukrainian drones or missiles last night.

There’s also a fire at the Yefimovka pumping station in Volgograd was also attacked, per FIRMS data.
ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
It would only be worth 2.5 trillion rubles (not much compared to the deficit), and would further wreck their economy. It would also cause discontent among the elites. 🍿
ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
“From September 30 to October 6, the CPI rose by 0.23%, annual inflation - 8.1% year-on-year.

Gasoline prices increased by 0.85%, since the beginning of the year - 10.15%.”
ukrainewarpod.bsky.social
Russian macroanalytic firm MMI had this to say about the weekly inflation numbers published from Rosstat:

“😱🔥‼️ FORGET ABOUT LOWERING THE RATE UNTIL SPRING”

“This is, as they say, ‘a crash... if we're lucky - a collapse.’”

t.me/russianmacro...