Center for Political Studies
@umisrcps.bsky.social
The University of Michigan's Center for Political Studies (CPS) posts about social science research, politics, policy, and free data resources.
Reposted by Center for Political Studies
OPINION TODAY featured podcast —
Dealing with Selection Bias in Surveys, with Rod Little, @randridge.bsky.social and @bradytwest.bsky.social
(@aapor.bsky.social)
opiniontoday.substack.com/i/180586526/...
Dealing with Selection Bias in Surveys, with Rod Little, @randridge.bsky.social and @bradytwest.bsky.social
(@aapor.bsky.social)
opiniontoday.substack.com/i/180586526/...
December 3, 2025 at 10:07 PM
OPINION TODAY featured podcast —
Dealing with Selection Bias in Surveys, with Rod Little, @randridge.bsky.social and @bradytwest.bsky.social
(@aapor.bsky.social)
opiniontoday.substack.com/i/180586526/...
Dealing with Selection Bias in Surveys, with Rod Little, @randridge.bsky.social and @bradytwest.bsky.social
(@aapor.bsky.social)
opiniontoday.substack.com/i/180586526/...
Reposted by Center for Political Studies
Was on Civic Forum with @rorytruex.bsky.social talking about US democracy. We talked about political inequality & minority rule in the US, with a focus on my research on the states. But then talk about what's new in the more acute democracy crisis of 2025
www.youtube.com/watch?v=tbxC...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=tbxC...
Is American Democracy Failing at the State Level? | Jake Grumbach, UC Berkeley
YouTube video by The Civic Forum
www.youtube.com
December 5, 2025 at 1:13 AM
Was on Civic Forum with @rorytruex.bsky.social talking about US democracy. We talked about political inequality & minority rule in the US, with a focus on my research on the states. But then talk about what's new in the more acute democracy crisis of 2025
www.youtube.com/watch?v=tbxC...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=tbxC...
Reposted by Center for Political Studies
How do people form beliefs about complex topics?
Happy to report our Bayesian model of the psychology of Bayesian updating is out in @ispp-pops.bsky.social! (w/ Gabriel Li & Krosnick)
If you gloss over the Greek, it's a new model for how to assess the impacts of information on summary judgments.
Happy to report our Bayesian model of the psychology of Bayesian updating is out in @ispp-pops.bsky.social! (w/ Gabriel Li & Krosnick)
If you gloss over the Greek, it's a new model for how to assess the impacts of information on summary judgments.
A certainty‐weighted, belief‐based model of political attitudes: A Bayesian analysis of American public attitudes toward the affordable care act
This study proposes a novel, certainty-weighted account of the process by which political beliefs shape political attitudes. Building upon expectancy-value frameworks, this paper introduces belief ce...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
December 1, 2025 at 5:47 PM
How do people form beliefs about complex topics?
Happy to report our Bayesian model of the psychology of Bayesian updating is out in @ispp-pops.bsky.social! (w/ Gabriel Li & Krosnick)
If you gloss over the Greek, it's a new model for how to assess the impacts of information on summary judgments.
Happy to report our Bayesian model of the psychology of Bayesian updating is out in @ispp-pops.bsky.social! (w/ Gabriel Li & Krosnick)
If you gloss over the Greek, it's a new model for how to assess the impacts of information on summary judgments.
Here's the link! ➡️ cps.isr.umich.edu
December 1, 2025 at 8:41 PM
Here's the link! ➡️ cps.isr.umich.edu
🎊 The University of Michigan Center for Political Studies @umisrcps.bsky.social has a new website. Take a look and follow our independent, scientific research on politics and society. @umisr.bsky.social
December 1, 2025 at 6:01 PM
🎊 The University of Michigan Center for Political Studies @umisrcps.bsky.social has a new website. Take a look and follow our independent, scientific research on politics and society. @umisr.bsky.social
Reposted by Center for Political Studies
Thanks to all who have completed our user survey. But if you haven't, don't forget to take it. This feedback will inform our long-term planning. We really would like to hear from you!
bit.ly/43vgW8b
bit.ly/43vgW8b
November 20, 2025 at 9:30 PM
Thanks to all who have completed our user survey. But if you haven't, don't forget to take it. This feedback will inform our long-term planning. We really would like to hear from you!
bit.ly/43vgW8b
bit.ly/43vgW8b
Reposted by Center for Political Studies
👀 Don't miss this thread by 2025 @aaas.org inductee and @rcgd-isr.bsky.social affiliate David Dunning @daviddunning6.bsky.social, and his featured talk -- sharing what we believe to be wisdom.
#LookToMichigan #PsychSky @umisr.bsky.social
#LookToMichigan #PsychSky @umisr.bsky.social
Last month I was honored, w/ 200 peers, to be inducted into the American Academy of Arts & Sciences. A surprise. Further, I was invited to give the featured talk at the closing session, followed by a conversation w/ Dr. Laurie Patton, the Academy’s president. 1/3
www.youtube.com/watch?v=0aLI...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=0aLI...
David Dunning Presentation and Conversation - 2025 Induction Weekend
YouTube video by American Academy of Arts & Sciences
www.youtube.com
November 20, 2025 at 1:10 PM
👀 Don't miss this thread by 2025 @aaas.org inductee and @rcgd-isr.bsky.social affiliate David Dunning @daviddunning6.bsky.social, and his featured talk -- sharing what we believe to be wisdom.
#LookToMichigan #PsychSky @umisr.bsky.social
#LookToMichigan #PsychSky @umisr.bsky.social
Reposted by Center for Political Studies
The Eric Schickler essay in Larry Bartel's symposium on "What Trump Has Taught Us About Political Science" is one of the most insightful pieces I've read in 2025.
US institutions turned out to be weak, and we have to rethink conventional wisdom.
open access: academic.oup.com/psq/advance-...
US institutions turned out to be weak, and we have to rethink conventional wisdom.
open access: academic.oup.com/psq/advance-...
November 19, 2025 at 8:08 PM
The Eric Schickler essay in Larry Bartel's symposium on "What Trump Has Taught Us About Political Science" is one of the most insightful pieces I've read in 2025.
US institutions turned out to be weak, and we have to rethink conventional wisdom.
open access: academic.oup.com/psq/advance-...
US institutions turned out to be weak, and we have to rethink conventional wisdom.
open access: academic.oup.com/psq/advance-...
Reposted by Center for Political Studies
@umfordschool.bsky.social and the Trotter Center are hosting CPS affiliates @maraceci.bsky.social and Jowei Chen Thursday for a teach-in panel, "Unpacking Election Policy: How is it Shaping Our Democracy?" Details and registration: myumi.ch/5kbbA
November 18, 2025 at 7:44 PM
@umfordschool.bsky.social and the Trotter Center are hosting CPS affiliates @maraceci.bsky.social and Jowei Chen Thursday for a teach-in panel, "Unpacking Election Policy: How is it Shaping Our Democracy?" Details and registration: myumi.ch/5kbbA
Using a dataset of nearly 65,000 school board meeting transcripts, @mirya.bsky.social and @simko.bsky.social investigate whether local officials use agenda control to stifle conflict; school board members increase use of tabling when debate arises. doi.org/10.1111/lsq....
Tabling Debate: How Local Officials Try to Use Agenda Control to Stifle Conflict
Public officials influence policymaking by deciding which items receive attention and action—and which do not. Accounts from national legislatures typically explain agenda control in terms of party l...
doi.org
November 18, 2025 at 10:57 PM
Using a dataset of nearly 65,000 school board meeting transcripts, @mirya.bsky.social and @simko.bsky.social investigate whether local officials use agenda control to stifle conflict; school board members increase use of tabling when debate arises. doi.org/10.1111/lsq....
@umfordschool.bsky.social and the Trotter Center are hosting CPS affiliates @maraceci.bsky.social and Jowei Chen Thursday for a teach-in panel, "Unpacking Election Policy: How is it Shaping Our Democracy?" Details and registration: myumi.ch/5kbbA
November 18, 2025 at 7:44 PM
@umfordschool.bsky.social and the Trotter Center are hosting CPS affiliates @maraceci.bsky.social and Jowei Chen Thursday for a teach-in panel, "Unpacking Election Policy: How is it Shaping Our Democracy?" Details and registration: myumi.ch/5kbbA
#LookToMichigan and the University of Michigan @umisrcps.bsky.social Center for Political Studies for leading work on democracy, civic, and global engagement. Repost & follow our research on *both* Bluesky and LinkedIn! @umisr.bsky.social
www.linkedin.com/company/1066...
www.linkedin.com/company/1066...
November 18, 2025 at 2:32 PM
#LookToMichigan and the University of Michigan @umisrcps.bsky.social Center for Political Studies for leading work on democracy, civic, and global engagement. Repost & follow our research on *both* Bluesky and LinkedIn! @umisr.bsky.social
www.linkedin.com/company/1066...
www.linkedin.com/company/1066...
Reposted by Center for Political Studies
ICYMI: Michigan helped reignite the research career of cancer survivor Suzanne Perkins @20thofmay.bsky.social, who planned her career around the insight that education plays a key role in recovery for children who have been maltreated. #LifeChangingEducation feature story:
myumi.ch/9pWk3
myumi.ch/9pWk3
November 18, 2025 at 1:48 PM
ICYMI: Michigan helped reignite the research career of cancer survivor Suzanne Perkins @20thofmay.bsky.social, who planned her career around the insight that education plays a key role in recovery for children who have been maltreated. #LifeChangingEducation feature story:
myumi.ch/9pWk3
myumi.ch/9pWk3
Reposted by Center for Political Studies
This seems like a great opportunity.
No one better to help think big and rigorous than @ccavaille.bsky.social
No one better to help think big and rigorous than @ccavaille.bsky.social
Are you an ABD needing help with your project? Interested in immigration, autocratization, & religion? Want to spend 2 weeks thinking deeply about interdisciplinary work? This summer school is for you. I'll be one of the instructors helping your think big and rigorously :-) More info below! (1/2)
Toulouse Summer School in Quantitative Social Sciences
www.tse-fr.eu
November 17, 2025 at 10:30 AM
This seems like a great opportunity.
No one better to help think big and rigorous than @ccavaille.bsky.social
No one better to help think big and rigorous than @ccavaille.bsky.social
Reposted by Center for Political Studies
The American National Election Studies wants to hear from you. Take a short survey that will inform our future planning.
bit.ly/43vgW8b
bit.ly/43vgW8b
November 14, 2025 at 8:56 PM
The American National Election Studies wants to hear from you. Take a short survey that will inform our future planning.
bit.ly/43vgW8b
bit.ly/43vgW8b
The big Democratic wins of the 2025 elections will shift political dynamics and strategies in the coming year. For key takeaways, read our Q&A with UM political scientist Tyler Simko @simko.bsky.social, elections analyst for CBS.
cpsblog.isr.umich.edu?p=3516
cpsblog.isr.umich.edu?p=3516
Unexpected Margins: Analysis of the 2025 Elections
Expert Q&A with takeaways and predictions drawn from the 2025 elections with CBS elections analyst and University of Michigan political scientist Tyler Simko
cpsblog.isr.umich.edu
November 11, 2025 at 2:27 PM
The big Democratic wins of the 2025 elections will shift political dynamics and strategies in the coming year. For key takeaways, read our Q&A with UM political scientist Tyler Simko @simko.bsky.social, elections analyst for CBS.
cpsblog.isr.umich.edu?p=3516
cpsblog.isr.umich.edu?p=3516
👀 Out now in @voxdev.bsky.social! VoxDev senior eds. Cesi Cruz, @hlarreguy.bsky.social and @ernestotiburcio.bsky.social share a lit review on the causes and consequences of polarization. Read & download here: voxdev.org/voxdevlit/po...
Political Polarisation
Political polarisation has been rising sharply in both advanced and developing democracies, with implications for democratic accountability, institutional trust, and social cohesion. This VoxDevLit re...
voxdev.org
October 28, 2025 at 2:40 PM
👀 Out now in @voxdev.bsky.social! VoxDev senior eds. Cesi Cruz, @hlarreguy.bsky.social and @ernestotiburcio.bsky.social share a lit review on the causes and consequences of polarization. Read & download here: voxdev.org/voxdevlit/po...
Reposted by Center for Political Studies
#OpenAccess from our latest issue -
Gendered views on immigration policy stances? The case of Japan - https://cup.org/4hxDATi
"gender bias in voter evaluations may not be as severe as the literature expects..."
- Melanie Sayuri Sonntag, @strauszm.bsky.social & @ykshrt.bsky.social
Gendered views on immigration policy stances? The case of Japan - https://cup.org/4hxDATi
"gender bias in voter evaluations may not be as severe as the literature expects..."
- Melanie Sayuri Sonntag, @strauszm.bsky.social & @ykshrt.bsky.social
October 23, 2025 at 8:10 AM
#OpenAccess from our latest issue -
Gendered views on immigration policy stances? The case of Japan - https://cup.org/4hxDATi
"gender bias in voter evaluations may not be as severe as the literature expects..."
- Melanie Sayuri Sonntag, @strauszm.bsky.social & @ykshrt.bsky.social
Gendered views on immigration policy stances? The case of Japan - https://cup.org/4hxDATi
"gender bias in voter evaluations may not be as severe as the literature expects..."
- Melanie Sayuri Sonntag, @strauszm.bsky.social & @ykshrt.bsky.social
People find conspiracy content involving anti-establishment sentiment—distrust in institutions like the media or health care—regularly on TikTok and YouTube. CPS's @arielhasell.bsky.social and Sabina Tomkins on communication and democracy via @umichnews.bsky.social:
news.umich.edu/conspiracy-c...
news.umich.edu/conspiracy-c...
Conspiracy content drives anti-establishment sentiment on TikTok, YouTube
People actively seeking conspiracy content involving anti-establishment sentiment—distrust in institutions like the media or health care—will find it regularly on TikTok and YouTube.
news.umich.edu
October 25, 2025 at 8:34 PM
People find conspiracy content involving anti-establishment sentiment—distrust in institutions like the media or health care—regularly on TikTok and YouTube. CPS's @arielhasell.bsky.social and Sabina Tomkins on communication and democracy via @umichnews.bsky.social:
news.umich.edu/conspiracy-c...
news.umich.edu/conspiracy-c...
People who like to take surveys can share characteristics that skew polls in important ways. Michael A. Bailey @georgetownuni.bsky.social spoke at the @umisrcps.bsky.social workshop yesterday on the problem of "non-ignorable nonresponse" and the potential for panel surveys to address it.
October 23, 2025 at 3:05 PM
People who like to take surveys can share characteristics that skew polls in important ways. Michael A. Bailey @georgetownuni.bsky.social spoke at the @umisrcps.bsky.social workshop yesterday on the problem of "non-ignorable nonresponse" and the potential for panel surveys to address it.
Reposted by Center for Political Studies
"We’re committed to making sure Detroiters’ voices drive the decisions that shape their city." For 10 years, the University of Michigan’s Detroit Metro Area Communities Study DMACS has been driving local research in the public interest. @umfordschool.bsky.social @bridgemi.com
myumi.ch/Qw5Ez
myumi.ch/Qw5Ez
DMACS marks 10 years of listening to Detroiters for shared impact | The University Record
myumi.ch
October 20, 2025 at 3:50 PM
"We’re committed to making sure Detroiters’ voices drive the decisions that shape their city." For 10 years, the University of Michigan’s Detroit Metro Area Communities Study DMACS has been driving local research in the public interest. @umfordschool.bsky.social @bridgemi.com
myumi.ch/Qw5Ez
myumi.ch/Qw5Ez
Congratulations to CPS research professor @christiandavenport.bsky.social, newly named the Charles Tilly Distinguished University Professor of Political Science! @umfordschool.bsky.social fordschool.umich.edu/news/2025/ch...
Christian Davenport named University of Michigan Distinguished University Professor
On October 16, 2025, the University of Michigan Regents approved the appointment of Christian Davenport as a Distinguished University Professor. This distinction is the University’s most prestigious p...
fordschool.umich.edu
October 17, 2025 at 5:53 PM
Congratulations to CPS research professor @christiandavenport.bsky.social, newly named the Charles Tilly Distinguished University Professor of Political Science! @umfordschool.bsky.social fordschool.umich.edu/news/2025/ch...
A new survey measures the nature, extent, and distribution of American stereotypes about Jewish, Muslim, and Black Americans. A research brief out from Mark Tessler, @acavari.bsky.social and @francy-lunadiaz.bsky.social shares some preliminary findings:
cpsblog.isr.umich.edu?p=3492
cpsblog.isr.umich.edu?p=3492
American Stereotypes about Jewish, Muslim, and Black Americans: Preliminary Evidence from a 2024 US Survey - Center for Political Studies (CPS) Blog
A new survey measures the nature, extent and distribution of Americans' stereotypes about Jewish, Muslim, and Black Americans
cpsblog.isr.umich.edu
October 13, 2025 at 7:14 PM
A new survey measures the nature, extent, and distribution of American stereotypes about Jewish, Muslim, and Black Americans. A research brief out from Mark Tessler, @acavari.bsky.social and @francy-lunadiaz.bsky.social shares some preliminary findings:
cpsblog.isr.umich.edu?p=3492
cpsblog.isr.umich.edu?p=3492
Reposted by Center for Political Studies
📢 New publication in Political Behavior With @acavari.bsky.social and @Liot_Shvarts 📢
Polarization and Partisan Bias in Citizens' Evaluations of Public Services
t.co/kJSR0VDzCq
@polbehavior.bsky.social
Polarization and Partisan Bias in Citizens' Evaluations of Public Services
t.co/kJSR0VDzCq
@polbehavior.bsky.social
September 3, 2025 at 10:09 AM
📢 New publication in Political Behavior With @acavari.bsky.social and @Liot_Shvarts 📢
Polarization and Partisan Bias in Citizens' Evaluations of Public Services
t.co/kJSR0VDzCq
@polbehavior.bsky.social
Polarization and Partisan Bias in Citizens' Evaluations of Public Services
t.co/kJSR0VDzCq
@polbehavior.bsky.social
🎊 Today is the day! Join us as this afternoon as we celebrate the career of CPS Research Professor James D. Morrow. cps.isr.umich.edu/events/james...
October 10, 2025 at 1:19 PM
🎊 Today is the day! Join us as this afternoon as we celebrate the career of CPS Research Professor James D. Morrow. cps.isr.umich.edu/events/james...