Vikki Thompson
@vikkithompson.bsky.social
Climate scientist at the University of Edinburgh.
Researching weather and climate extremes.
Climate modelling, statistics, attribution.
Researching weather and climate extremes.
Climate modelling, statistics, attribution.
Reposted by Vikki Thompson
Two exciting postdoc positions available!
Historical windstorms - working with two insurance companies to explore UK wind risks: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
Extreme event storylines - working as part of a EU collaboration on event attribution: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
Historical windstorms - working with two insurance companies to explore UK wind risks: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
Extreme event storylines - working as part of a EU collaboration on event attribution: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
November 21, 2025 at 5:25 PM
Two exciting postdoc positions available!
Historical windstorms - working with two insurance companies to explore UK wind risks: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
Extreme event storylines - working as part of a EU collaboration on event attribution: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
Historical windstorms - working with two insurance companies to explore UK wind risks: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
Extreme event storylines - working as part of a EU collaboration on event attribution: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
Where have the greatest humid heat extremes been observed? Where is statistically likely to see unprecedented extremes? New study led by @regclimo.bsky.social investigates:
November 24, 2025 at 1:56 PM
Where have the greatest humid heat extremes been observed? Where is statistically likely to see unprecedented extremes? New study led by @regclimo.bsky.social investigates:
Can simple circulation analogues detect observed changes in extreme rainfall?
In many cases, no. Rainfall is too complex and circulation alone cannot predict it. 🧵1/2
🌧️ New paper 🌧️
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
In many cases, no. Rainfall is too complex and circulation alone cannot predict it. 🧵1/2
🌧️ New paper 🌧️
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
November 19, 2025 at 9:19 AM
Can simple circulation analogues detect observed changes in extreme rainfall?
In many cases, no. Rainfall is too complex and circulation alone cannot predict it. 🧵1/2
🌧️ New paper 🌧️
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
In many cases, no. Rainfall is too complex and circulation alone cannot predict it. 🧵1/2
🌧️ New paper 🌧️
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
Reposted by Vikki Thompson
We are very delighted to have @karinvdwiel.bsky.social and @regclimo.bsky.social as invited speakers in our #EGU26 session on NH11.2 Future Changes in Weather and Climate Hazards!
Consider to present your fantastic work with us!!
@nh.egu.eu
@pik-potsdam.bsky.social
Consider to present your fantastic work with us!!
@nh.egu.eu
@pik-potsdam.bsky.social
November 10, 2025 at 1:15 PM
We are very delighted to have @karinvdwiel.bsky.social and @regclimo.bsky.social as invited speakers in our #EGU26 session on NH11.2 Future Changes in Weather and Climate Hazards!
Consider to present your fantastic work with us!!
@nh.egu.eu
@pik-potsdam.bsky.social
Consider to present your fantastic work with us!!
@nh.egu.eu
@pik-potsdam.bsky.social
Looking for a #PhD in #ClimateExtremes?
We are advertising a project attributing causes of recent #droughts using counter-factual storylines.
Based in #Edinburgh, working with Andrew Schurer, me, @gabihegerl.bsky.social, & @edhawkins.org
tinyurl.com/5n7b52fr
We are advertising a project attributing causes of recent #droughts using counter-factual storylines.
Based in #Edinburgh, working with Andrew Schurer, me, @gabihegerl.bsky.social, & @edhawkins.org
tinyurl.com/5n7b52fr
November 6, 2025 at 1:38 PM
Looking for a #PhD in #ClimateExtremes?
We are advertising a project attributing causes of recent #droughts using counter-factual storylines.
Based in #Edinburgh, working with Andrew Schurer, me, @gabihegerl.bsky.social, & @edhawkins.org
tinyurl.com/5n7b52fr
We are advertising a project attributing causes of recent #droughts using counter-factual storylines.
Based in #Edinburgh, working with Andrew Schurer, me, @gabihegerl.bsky.social, & @edhawkins.org
tinyurl.com/5n7b52fr
☀️🌧️ Extreme weather events are increasing 🌀🌤
Our new paper discusses the range of extreme weather attribution methods available and how we should be combining them to improve confidence in our attribution statements
with co-authors: @marylouathanase.bsky.social & Shirin Ermis
doi.org/10.1002/wea....
Our new paper discusses the range of extreme weather attribution methods available and how we should be combining them to improve confidence in our attribution statements
with co-authors: @marylouathanase.bsky.social & Shirin Ermis
doi.org/10.1002/wea....
The need for multi‐method extreme event attribution
Over the past 20 years, extreme event attribution has developed rapidly, providing a wide range of methods to attribute weather events – from unconditioned probabilistic to strongly conditioned story...
rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
November 3, 2025 at 9:32 AM
☀️🌧️ Extreme weather events are increasing 🌀🌤
Our new paper discusses the range of extreme weather attribution methods available and how we should be combining them to improve confidence in our attribution statements
with co-authors: @marylouathanase.bsky.social & Shirin Ermis
doi.org/10.1002/wea....
Our new paper discusses the range of extreme weather attribution methods available and how we should be combining them to improve confidence in our attribution statements
with co-authors: @marylouathanase.bsky.social & Shirin Ermis
doi.org/10.1002/wea....
👻🎃 It's that time of year again, time to start thinking about #EGU26!
🔥🌧️🌀 Our session on Future Changes in Weather and Climate Hazards is now open for abstract submissions 🔥🌧️🌀
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU26/sessio...
@tamarahappe.bsky.social @yinglintian.bsky.social @kornhuber.bsky.social
🔥🌧️🌀 Our session on Future Changes in Weather and Climate Hazards is now open for abstract submissions 🔥🌧️🌀
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU26/sessio...
@tamarahappe.bsky.social @yinglintian.bsky.social @kornhuber.bsky.social
October 24, 2025 at 11:10 AM
👻🎃 It's that time of year again, time to start thinking about #EGU26!
🔥🌧️🌀 Our session on Future Changes in Weather and Climate Hazards is now open for abstract submissions 🔥🌧️🌀
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU26/sessio...
@tamarahappe.bsky.social @yinglintian.bsky.social @kornhuber.bsky.social
🔥🌧️🌀 Our session on Future Changes in Weather and Climate Hazards is now open for abstract submissions 🔥🌧️🌀
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU26/sessio...
@tamarahappe.bsky.social @yinglintian.bsky.social @kornhuber.bsky.social
Experiencing extreme heat first hand today in Cantabria, and the 5 year old is enjoying quizzing me on a topic I am happy to discuss in detail - but I'm not sure if these could be fire clouds on the horizon?
August 15, 2025 at 7:21 PM
Experiencing extreme heat first hand today in Cantabria, and the 5 year old is enjoying quizzing me on a topic I am happy to discuss in detail - but I'm not sure if these could be fire clouds on the horizon?
Reposted by Vikki Thompson
Europe's current climate could produce a 'mega heatwave', feat. more than a month of +40C temps & intense drought
Extra scary fact: The worst-case heatwaves occur predominantly after another extreme heatwave. In other words, rolling waves of deadly heat
www.newscientist.com/article/2491...
Extra scary fact: The worst-case heatwaves occur predominantly after another extreme heatwave. In other words, rolling waves of deadly heat
www.newscientist.com/article/2491...
Europe could face weeks of 40°C heat in current worst-case scenario
A perfect storm of conditions priming the atmosphere for extreme heat could result in devastating droughts and deadly temperatures lasting for weeks across Europe
www.newscientist.com
August 8, 2025 at 3:49 PM
Europe's current climate could produce a 'mega heatwave', feat. more than a month of +40C temps & intense drought
Extra scary fact: The worst-case heatwaves occur predominantly after another extreme heatwave. In other words, rolling waves of deadly heat
www.newscientist.com/article/2491...
Extra scary fact: The worst-case heatwaves occur predominantly after another extreme heatwave. In other words, rolling waves of deadly heat
www.newscientist.com/article/2491...
This week marks my last few days working at KNMI, after a fantastic few years exploring new methods with amazing colleagues and collaborators it's time for the next challenge. First, a holiday ☀️⛰️🚴♂️
August 5, 2025 at 7:33 AM
This week marks my last few days working at KNMI, after a fantastic few years exploring new methods with amazing colleagues and collaborators it's time for the next challenge. First, a holiday ☀️⛰️🚴♂️
Reposted by Vikki Thompson
Nieuw onderzoek laat zien dat de overstromingen in Limburg in 2021 nog veel ernstiger hadden kunnen zijn. Als het weer nét iets anders was verlopen, hadden de buien langer kunnen duren of op een andere plek kunnen vallen, met mogelijk grotere impact. 🔗 www.knmi.nl/over-het-knm...
July 8, 2025 at 9:31 AM
Nieuw onderzoek laat zien dat de overstromingen in Limburg in 2021 nog veel ernstiger hadden kunnen zijn. Als het weer nét iets anders was verlopen, hadden de buien langer kunnen duren of op een andere plek kunnen vallen, met mogelijk grotere impact. 🔗 www.knmi.nl/over-het-knm...
📣 New paper:
💧💧💧 In July 2021 record breaking rainfall hit western Europe, we use ensemble boosting to explore different plausible storylines. These show it could have rained for longer, or over a larger area, or in a different place. Are we prepared?
doi.org/10.1038/s432...
💧💧💧 In July 2021 record breaking rainfall hit western Europe, we use ensemble boosting to explore different plausible storylines. These show it could have rained for longer, or over a larger area, or in a different place. Are we prepared?
doi.org/10.1038/s432...
July 8, 2025 at 10:06 AM
📣 New paper:
💧💧💧 In July 2021 record breaking rainfall hit western Europe, we use ensemble boosting to explore different plausible storylines. These show it could have rained for longer, or over a larger area, or in a different place. Are we prepared?
doi.org/10.1038/s432...
💧💧💧 In July 2021 record breaking rainfall hit western Europe, we use ensemble boosting to explore different plausible storylines. These show it could have rained for longer, or over a larger area, or in a different place. Are we prepared?
doi.org/10.1038/s432...
Last night, for the second night running, temperatures didn't drop below 20°C in Utrecht 🇳🇱.
🥵🌃🌡️
Due to human activity the chances of such heat are increasing, taking us ever closer to the story told in: www.unseenheat.com
@stichtingcas.bsky.social @timokelder.bsky.social
🥵🌃🌡️
Due to human activity the chances of such heat are increasing, taking us ever closer to the story told in: www.unseenheat.com
@stichtingcas.bsky.social @timokelder.bsky.social
www.unseenheat.com
July 2, 2025 at 6:43 AM
Last night, for the second night running, temperatures didn't drop below 20°C in Utrecht 🇳🇱.
🥵🌃🌡️
Due to human activity the chances of such heat are increasing, taking us ever closer to the story told in: www.unseenheat.com
@stichtingcas.bsky.social @timokelder.bsky.social
🥵🌃🌡️
Due to human activity the chances of such heat are increasing, taking us ever closer to the story told in: www.unseenheat.com
@stichtingcas.bsky.social @timokelder.bsky.social
🌡️☀️ It is hot in Europe this week – but how much hotter would it be in the future? Using a weather model we can simulate tomorrow’s weather in a warmer climate. Tomorrow Paris is forecast to reach 37°C, in a world 1.5°C warmer the same weather patterns could lead to temperatures over 40°C.
June 30, 2025 at 1:14 PM
🌡️☀️ It is hot in Europe this week – but how much hotter would it be in the future? Using a weather model we can simulate tomorrow’s weather in a warmer climate. Tomorrow Paris is forecast to reach 37°C, in a world 1.5°C warmer the same weather patterns could lead to temperatures over 40°C.
#ShowYourStripes day on a #parkrun day made it easy to pick out a shirt.
Climate change impacts sports. Extreme heat, happening increasingly often, forces events to adjust or cancel with little notice. Climate change impacts everyone.
Climate change impacts sports. Extreme heat, happening increasingly often, forces events to adjust or cancel with little notice. Climate change impacts everyone.
June 21, 2025 at 8:31 AM
#ShowYourStripes day on a #parkrun day made it easy to pick out a shirt.
Climate change impacts sports. Extreme heat, happening increasingly often, forces events to adjust or cancel with little notice. Climate change impacts everyone.
Climate change impacts sports. Extreme heat, happening increasingly often, forces events to adjust or cancel with little notice. Climate change impacts everyone.
🌧️🌍💧 Our new paper, led by Geert Lenderink, shows recent European extreme rainfall events have localised climate change responses beyond the expected Clausius-Clapeyron rate – potentially enhancing flash floods in a warmer climate.
Read it here: doi.org/10.1016/j.wa... @hayleyjfowler.bsky.social
Read it here: doi.org/10.1016/j.wa... @hayleyjfowler.bsky.social
Redirecting
doi.org
June 10, 2025 at 7:59 AM
🌧️🌍💧 Our new paper, led by Geert Lenderink, shows recent European extreme rainfall events have localised climate change responses beyond the expected Clausius-Clapeyron rate – potentially enhancing flash floods in a warmer climate.
Read it here: doi.org/10.1016/j.wa... @hayleyjfowler.bsky.social
Read it here: doi.org/10.1016/j.wa... @hayleyjfowler.bsky.social
After a fantastic set of oral presentations the posters sessions in hall X3 now, perfect way to end your #EGU25!
Happening now in 1.31/32 🟩 @egu.eu our session on
‘Future changes in Weather and Climate Hazards around the World’
co-convened with @raedhamed.bsky.social @vikkithompson.bsky.social @tamarahappe.bsky.social @eunicelo.bsky.social
@iiasa.ac.at
Also join us at the posters at X3 🟪 at 16:15.
‘Future changes in Weather and Climate Hazards around the World’
co-convened with @raedhamed.bsky.social @vikkithompson.bsky.social @tamarahappe.bsky.social @eunicelo.bsky.social
@iiasa.ac.at
Also join us at the posters at X3 🟪 at 16:15.
May 2, 2025 at 2:18 PM
After a fantastic set of oral presentations the posters sessions in hall X3 now, perfect way to end your #EGU25!
Coming up soon at #EGU25, come along to chat about event attribution at lunchtime in room 2.43
If you are attending #EGU25 and interested in the attribution of #climate extremes: consider joining our networking session on Friday noon!
We will exchange on existing methods, their strengths, and how to compare them:
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...
W/ @vikkithompson.bsky.social
We will exchange on existing methods, their strengths, and how to compare them:
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...
W/ @vikkithompson.bsky.social
May 2, 2025 at 9:19 AM
Coming up soon at #EGU25, come along to chat about event attribution at lunchtime in room 2.43
Today we present an online tool for identifying circulation analogues, now available on Climate Explorer. I'll be at my #EGU25 poster, at X5.171, from 1615 (or after 1800 with my small assistant).
climexp.knmi.nl/analoguesfor...
climexp.knmi.nl/analoguesfor...
May 1, 2025 at 12:20 PM
Today we present an online tool for identifying circulation analogues, now available on Climate Explorer. I'll be at my #EGU25 poster, at X5.171, from 1615 (or after 1800 with my small assistant).
climexp.knmi.nl/analoguesfor...
climexp.knmi.nl/analoguesfor...
At #EGU25 this morning, hear me talk about ensemble boosting of extreme rainfall using only the thousand most common English words - PICO spot 3 at 11.08
May 1, 2025 at 7:35 AM
At #EGU25 this morning, hear me talk about ensemble boosting of extreme rainfall using only the thousand most common English words - PICO spot 3 at 11.08
I'm at #EGU25 this week, and today at 1400 I'll be discussing the western European July 2021 extreme rain in this session:
#EGU25 is about to start!
If you're there, check out our session on High-impact Climate Extremes on Tuesday, room 🟨 F1
🧪: meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...
With many exciting talks, including the CL Division Outstanding ECS Award Lecture by
@kornhuber.bsky.social
If you're there, check out our session on High-impact Climate Extremes on Tuesday, room 🟨 F1
🧪: meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...
With many exciting talks, including the CL Division Outstanding ECS Award Lecture by
@kornhuber.bsky.social
April 29, 2025 at 6:33 AM
I'm at #EGU25 this week, and today at 1400 I'll be discussing the western European July 2021 extreme rain in this session:
Reposted by Vikki Thompson
If you are attending #EGU25 and interested in the attribution of #climate extremes: consider joining our networking session on Friday noon!
We will exchange on existing methods, their strengths, and how to compare them:
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...
W/ @vikkithompson.bsky.social
We will exchange on existing methods, their strengths, and how to compare them:
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...
W/ @vikkithompson.bsky.social
April 27, 2025 at 8:06 AM
If you are attending #EGU25 and interested in the attribution of #climate extremes: consider joining our networking session on Friday noon!
We will exchange on existing methods, their strengths, and how to compare them:
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...
W/ @vikkithompson.bsky.social
We will exchange on existing methods, their strengths, and how to compare them:
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...
W/ @vikkithompson.bsky.social
Are you interested in extreme event attribution and attending #EGU25? Come along to our networking session to discuss the strengths and challenges of different methods.
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...
@marylouathanase.bsky.social
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...
@marylouathanase.bsky.social
April 17, 2025 at 8:04 AM
Are you interested in extreme event attribution and attending #EGU25? Come along to our networking session to discuss the strengths and challenges of different methods.
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...
@marylouathanase.bsky.social
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...
@marylouathanase.bsky.social
Super excited to be presenting our ensemble boosting work, 'Imagine rain falling in a different place', in this session:
April 4, 2025 at 12:05 PM
Super excited to be presenting our ensemble boosting work, 'Imagine rain falling in a different place', in this session:
Once again, I am taking my daughter to #EGU25. She has been busy making extreme weather posters 'just like mama'. Any other (ideally english/dutch speaking) ~5 yr olds booked into the childcare, who might fancy some lunchtime picnics?
April 4, 2025 at 8:35 AM
Once again, I am taking my daughter to #EGU25. She has been busy making extreme weather posters 'just like mama'. Any other (ideally english/dutch speaking) ~5 yr olds booked into the childcare, who might fancy some lunchtime picnics?