Vilgot Huhn
@vilgothuhn.bsky.social
Confused PhD student in psychology at Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm. GAD, ICBT, mechanisms of change. Organizing the ReproducibiliTea JC at KI.
Website: https://vilgot-huhn.github.io/mywebsite/
Personal blog at unconfusion.substack.com
Website: https://vilgot-huhn.github.io/mywebsite/
Personal blog at unconfusion.substack.com
I would challenge anyone to find a post, on any platform, from four years ago with the sentiment: ” I wish the internet was full of realistic fake videos of things that would have been cool if they had happened for real”
November 26, 2025 at 3:53 PM
I would challenge anyone to find a post, on any platform, from four years ago with the sentiment: ” I wish the internet was full of realistic fake videos of things that would have been cool if they had happened for real”
Recent discussion on Lindley's paradox got me simulating again and it's kind of quirky how the mean p-value for a distribution of 50% power t-tests end up at a value with so similar probability density to the null distribution 🤷♂️
November 25, 2025 at 7:57 PM
Recent discussion on Lindley's paradox got me simulating again and it's kind of quirky how the mean p-value for a distribution of 50% power t-tests end up at a value with so similar probability density to the null distribution 🤷♂️
”Any regression that doesn’t immediately convince me based on eyeballing the scatterplot is actually fake” is such an annoying social media phenomenon.
November 25, 2025 at 5:59 PM
”Any regression that doesn’t immediately convince me based on eyeballing the scatterplot is actually fake” is such an annoying social media phenomenon.
Reposted by Vilgot Huhn
Tether, the gold whale. His portfolio HODL. Nvidia, when the bubble popped.
Tether, the gold whale on.ft.com/3JSo6gk
Tether, the gold whale
Gilty buy association
on.ft.com
November 25, 2025 at 2:17 PM
Tether, the gold whale. His portfolio HODL. Nvidia, when the bubble popped.
If a Table in a meta-analysis contains one outlier SMD = 50 (!) with a suspiciously small SD that also happens to correspond to an SE from the study they're citing, and their estimate is clearly affected by this, is that enough to e-mail the corresponding author? (please say yes, I already did)
November 23, 2025 at 12:57 PM
If a Table in a meta-analysis contains one outlier SMD = 50 (!) with a suspiciously small SD that also happens to correspond to an SE from the study they're citing, and their estimate is clearly affected by this, is that enough to e-mail the corresponding author? (please say yes, I already did)
My view of meta-analysis as an undergrad: Peak science. The real deal. "Beware the man of one study".
My view of meta-analysis now: what is this? what population are we making an inference about? what are we even doing here, man?
My view of meta-analysis now: what is this? what population are we making an inference about? what are we even doing here, man?
November 22, 2025 at 10:54 PM
My view of meta-analysis as an undergrad: Peak science. The real deal. "Beware the man of one study".
My view of meta-analysis now: what is this? what population are we making an inference about? what are we even doing here, man?
My view of meta-analysis now: what is this? what population are we making an inference about? what are we even doing here, man?
Reposted by Vilgot Huhn
Why is the Trump White House pushing Ukraine to accept a Russian plan that paves the way for another war?
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
Trump Has a Recipe for War and Corruption, Not Peace
Who would benefit from the White House’s 28-point proposal for Ukraine?
www.theatlantic.com
November 22, 2025 at 11:23 AM
Why is the Trump White House pushing Ukraine to accept a Russian plan that paves the way for another war?
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
The Frankenstein movie had such a strong start, but felt a bit underwhelming in the end. I think the problem was that Victor is simply too shitty all around, while the creature is too pure. I think it would have worked better if they both had more of a morally ambiguous nature.
November 17, 2025 at 7:42 PM
The Frankenstein movie had such a strong start, but felt a bit underwhelming in the end. I think the problem was that Victor is simply too shitty all around, while the creature is too pure. I think it would have worked better if they both had more of a morally ambiguous nature.
Reposted by Vilgot Huhn
Rereading A Guest in the House and I didn’t realize it had a such a sick inner cover!
November 16, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Rereading A Guest in the House and I didn’t realize it had a such a sick inner cover!
Hm. Imo this post brushes the text-mining issue under the rug a bit. The viral histogram doesn’t just communicate the existence of a problem, it also implies a magnitude of the problem. The plot is shared as being about publication bias, not reporting conversations that are ”still not a good thing”.
November 15, 2025 at 6:27 PM
Hm. Imo this post brushes the text-mining issue under the rug a bit. The viral histogram doesn’t just communicate the existence of a problem, it also implies a magnitude of the problem. The plot is shared as being about publication bias, not reporting conversations that are ”still not a good thing”.
"Nothing ever happens"-forecasting is has a good track record because of its low variance while "we're in the dumbest timeline"-forecasting fails because there are so many dumb timelines. Even so, paradoxically, we are in the dumbest timeline.
November 15, 2025 at 8:39 AM
"Nothing ever happens"-forecasting is has a good track record because of its low variance while "we're in the dumbest timeline"-forecasting fails because there are so many dumb timelines. Even so, paradoxically, we are in the dumbest timeline.
The latest Thomas Flight video put words on some stuff I feel about AI art quite well.
youtu.be/ZFitkz5VJvI?...
youtu.be/ZFitkz5VJvI?...
Why AI "Art" Feels So Wrong
YouTube video by Thomas Flight
youtu.be
November 12, 2025 at 9:29 PM
The latest Thomas Flight video put words on some stuff I feel about AI art quite well.
youtu.be/ZFitkz5VJvI?...
youtu.be/ZFitkz5VJvI?...
Reposted by Vilgot Huhn
Write the paper you want to see in the world.
November 11, 2025 at 2:17 PM
Write the paper you want to see in the world.
how is it even possible that outlooks search function is this bad can I please just get emails that contain the matching string in chronological order you’re a trillion dollar company ?
November 11, 2025 at 10:41 AM
how is it even possible that outlooks search function is this bad can I please just get emails that contain the matching string in chronological order you’re a trillion dollar company ?
Reposted by Vilgot Huhn
Glad to see Elsevier is investing in important things like suggesting readers that AI reads the articles for them. Nothing screams quality like claiming reading their articles is wasted time
November 6, 2025 at 10:15 AM
Glad to see Elsevier is investing in important things like suggesting readers that AI reads the articles for them. Nothing screams quality like claiming reading their articles is wasted time
Reposted by Vilgot Huhn
I think this is kind of neat and I don't think anyone else has noticed it (I've looked and I can't find anyone who has) osf.io/preprints/so...
Maybe I should back off "justification" language, but it's at least a remarkable coincidence. I still think someone else *must* have noticed it...
Maybe I should back off "justification" language, but it's at least a remarkable coincidence. I still think someone else *must* have noticed it...
October 24, 2025 at 12:23 PM
I think this is kind of neat and I don't think anyone else has noticed it (I've looked and I can't find anyone who has) osf.io/preprints/so...
Maybe I should back off "justification" language, but it's at least a remarkable coincidence. I still think someone else *must* have noticed it...
Maybe I should back off "justification" language, but it's at least a remarkable coincidence. I still think someone else *must* have noticed it...
@lakens.bsky.social pointed out on twitter that these text-mining studies (on mostly abstracts) are biased to overestimate the problem because exact test-statistics are more often reported for significant tests while non-significant tests are just described in words.
Look at the distribution of z-values from medical research!
November 5, 2025 at 1:28 PM
@lakens.bsky.social pointed out on twitter that these text-mining studies (on mostly abstracts) are biased to overestimate the problem because exact test-statistics are more often reported for significant tests while non-significant tests are just described in words.
As an undergraduate I was taught Popper’s criticism of psychoanalysis, summarized as ”psychoanalysis makes no falsifiable predictions”, but in hindsight I think that was more a critique of how Freudians themselves responded to counterexamples. Surely the theories makes (some) predictions?
November 3, 2025 at 6:48 AM
As an undergraduate I was taught Popper’s criticism of psychoanalysis, summarized as ”psychoanalysis makes no falsifiable predictions”, but in hindsight I think that was more a critique of how Freudians themselves responded to counterexamples. Surely the theories makes (some) predictions?
There’s a fuzzy line between being smart and insider trading and thus it should be made illegal.
November 1, 2025 at 5:44 PM
There’s a fuzzy line between being smart and insider trading and thus it should be made illegal.
I try to not US politics post too much (unless it unless it relates to science) but I find this development very interesting and worrying. I hope these negative polarization doom spirals only happen in two-party systems.
This is the sound of candidates losing the struggle against the crushing weight of partisan gravity.
This is nationalization and polarization and presidentialization swallowing everything else.
This is the dangerous collapse of dimensionality, in one chart
leedrutman.substack.com/p/the-modera...
This is nationalization and polarization and presidentialization swallowing everything else.
This is the dangerous collapse of dimensionality, in one chart
leedrutman.substack.com/p/the-modera...
October 30, 2025 at 2:58 PM
I try to not US politics post too much (unless it unless it relates to science) but I find this development very interesting and worrying. I hope these negative polarization doom spirals only happen in two-party systems.
I’ve taken up @wiringthebrain.bsky.social book ”Free Agents: How evolution gave us free will” again and am becoming increasingly convinced Sapolsky (at best) only skimmed the book before their debate.
October 30, 2025 at 11:22 AM
I’ve taken up @wiringthebrain.bsky.social book ”Free Agents: How evolution gave us free will” again and am becoming increasingly convinced Sapolsky (at best) only skimmed the book before their debate.
Admitting that you’re stupid can be like a superpower in a lot of academia tbh. Not stupid as in ”I am incapable of ever understanding” but just don’t pretend you understand out of embarrassment.
October 30, 2025 at 11:13 AM
Admitting that you’re stupid can be like a superpower in a lot of academia tbh. Not stupid as in ”I am incapable of ever understanding” but just don’t pretend you understand out of embarrassment.
It could turn out ”intelligence” is more like doing a specific type of action accurately, and much how a perfectly accurate dart-throwing robot isn’t that much more dangerous than a very accurate dart-throwing robot, ”superintelligence” just doesn’t do that much.
October 30, 2025 at 8:59 AM
It could turn out ”intelligence” is more like doing a specific type of action accurately, and much how a perfectly accurate dart-throwing robot isn’t that much more dangerous than a very accurate dart-throwing robot, ”superintelligence” just doesn’t do that much.
asteriskmag.com/issues/12-bo...
Thought this quote summarized the tensions and contradictions around psychiatric diagnoses in an illuminating way. Good nuanced article. I have my own unstructured thoughts on the subject (as do most clinicians, I think).
Thought this quote summarized the tensions and contradictions around psychiatric diagnoses in an illuminating way. Good nuanced article. I have my own unstructured thoughts on the subject (as do most clinicians, I think).
October 28, 2025 at 6:51 PM
asteriskmag.com/issues/12-bo...
Thought this quote summarized the tensions and contradictions around psychiatric diagnoses in an illuminating way. Good nuanced article. I have my own unstructured thoughts on the subject (as do most clinicians, I think).
Thought this quote summarized the tensions and contradictions around psychiatric diagnoses in an illuminating way. Good nuanced article. I have my own unstructured thoughts on the subject (as do most clinicians, I think).