Allison Crimmins
@acrimmins.bsky.social
7.6K followers 1.4K following 65 posts
Lady who climates. Executive Director for Industry Proving Ground at NOAA: Director of the Fifth National Climate Assessment. View my own. She/her.
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acrimmins.bsky.social
One year ago, the 5th National Climate Assessment was released!
Below is a thread highlighting resources in and around the assessment that you might find useful.
nca2023.globalchange.gov
An image of President Biden behind a podium announcing the release of the 5th National Climate Assessment. Arati Prabhakar,
Director of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, and Allison Crimmins, Director of the National Climate Assessment, are standing behind the President and smiling.
acrimmins.bsky.social
Also, personal life achievement unlocked- I cited @theonion.com in a scientific paper. :)
acrimmins.bsky.social
One more paper in this series- the introductory paper was published yesterday amid the shutdown. Innovations in the climate assessment development process discusses the value of scientific assessments and how to keep them evolving to meet evolving user needs.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Innovations in the climate assessment development process - Climatic Change
Climate assessments have long been key scientific inputs that inform the development of productive and impactful climate policy in the United States and around the world. This introduction sets the stage for the suite of papers in the Topical Collection “Advancements in U.S. Climate Assessments.” Inspired and informed by the release of the Fifth National Climate Assessment, the papers within this issue document lessons learned over the past 30+ years and leverage the perspectives of previous assessment authors and staff to aid those interested in developing their own climate assessments. This paper reviews the evolution of climate assessments and the factors that make for useful, usable, and used scientific products to support societal choices. Evolving user needs over the last 30+ years also reflect a shift in demand towards more localized or more context-specific climate data that integrates social science information, tools, and frameworks. To meet these needs, we highlight three areas of potential opportunity and challenge for future assessments: continued and strengthened conversations between assessment developers across geographic scale to share innovations and lessons learned in the development process; working with knowledge holders in under-represented areas of expertise to alter assessment governance and guidelines to better incorporate diverse perspectives; and seizing opportunities for using innovative communication and engagement mediums.
link.springer.com
Reposted by Allison Crimmins
agu.org
📢 Submissions are now open for the U.S. Climate Collection, a joint @theAGU + @ametsoc initiative.

This special collection will publish U.S.-focused climate assessment science that’s free to read, ensuring rigorous, accessible science informs decisions for years to come.

🔗 buff.ly/1tHUSLC
Reposted by Allison Crimmins
andrewdessler.com
Our comment on the DOE CWG report is done. It tips the scales at 439 pages, approx. 3x longer than the DOE report.
This is related to Brandolini's law: The amount of energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than that needed to produce it.

Example: refuting one sentence.
DOE CWG STATEMENT (second paragraph of section 2.1.1, page 3): “Piao et al. (2020) noted
that greening was even observable in the Arctic.”
COMMENT: This statement implies that the Arctic greening signal was caused by elevated CO2
,
however that is not the scientific consensus. Piao et al. (2020) attribute the greening trend in the
Arctic predominantly to growing season length driven by warmer temperatures (see also Y.
Zhang et al., 2022). Piao et al. (2020) also note that this positive impact of increasing
temperatures appears to have weakened over the past four decades, “suggesting a possible
saturation of future greening in response to warmer temperature” (see also comment on
greenness trends related to Section 2.1.1, first sentence of Page 4). It is also important to put
Arctic greening more broadly into the context of the carbon cycle and other impacts. While
above-ground plants may have displayed more leaf area over the past decades, rising
temperatures also thaw permafrost and drive accelerated decomposition in highly carbon rich
soils (Turetsky et al., 2020), a process which is expected to accelerate as climate continues to
warm (Miner et al., 2022). Thus even with Arctic greening, high latitude terrestrial systems may
become net carbon sources to the atmosphere, causing an amplifying feedback (Braghiere et
al., 2023). Other risks to the Arctic linked to higher CO2

levels and rising temperatures are not
mentioned in this report (Virkkala et al., 2025). The Arctic is warming at a rate of 2 to 3 times the
global average, leading to thawing of permanently frozen soils (permafrost), with downstream
impacts including loss of structural support for buildings and subsidence, threatening
communities, roads, runways, and other assets across Alaska (Manos et al., 2025; University of
Alaska Fairbanks Institute of Northern Engineering US Army Corps of Engineers Alaska District
& Laboratory, 2019).
acrimmins.bsky.social
Oh you’re taking public comments?
Clip from Buffy the Vampire Slayer showing Buffy saying “I’m the thing that monsters have nightmares about”
Reposted by Allison Crimmins
climatecentral.org
Today is #ShowYourStripes Day 🔵🔴

A single image. A century of data.
Every city, state, county -- the planet -- has an impact of climate change story — and the stripes show it.

Post yours. Highlight the warming where you live.
Start the conversation.
acrimmins.bsky.social
Led by Allyza Lustig, this paper reviews methods of public engagement across national, regional, state, Tribal, and local assessments, providing lessons learned to ensure assessments meet evolving user needs and link knowledge development to societal responses.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Public engagement in climate assessment: lessons and opportunities - Climatic Change
Cyclical and sustained engagement throughout and beyond individual climate assessment cycles ensures that assessments (1) meet the user need of the moment; (2) reach the broadest possible decision-mak...
link.springer.com
acrimmins.bsky.social
Led by Keely Maxwell, this paper compares integration of social sciences in national and sub-national assessments, noting where non-traditional report structures open space for innovation and where emergent themes and other disciplines can improve future assessments
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
The social sciences in climate assessments in the United States - Climatic Change
This article looks at the inclusion of the social sciences in recent climate assessment reports from national and sub-national jurisdictions (state, territory, district) of the United States. It compa...
link.springer.com
acrimmins.bsky.social
All right! Two more papers released in our special issue series on advancements in climate assessments. The 9th paper is "The social sciences in climate assessments in the United States" and the 10th is "Public engagement in climate assessment: lessons and opportunities"
Reposted by Allison Crimmins
Reposted by Allison Crimmins
drkatemarvel.bsky.social
Working on the NCA5 was amazing. It was genuinely moving to be surrounded by so much dedication and sheer scientific and administrative *excellence*. I think we’ve forgotten how to believe in good things, but this was one of them.
dhsu.bsky.social
I was honored to work on the 5th National Climate Assessment in 2022-23. One of my most inspiring moments in climate was sitting in a hotel ballroom with hundreds of experts, scientists, and civil servants, all working to inform Americans about our possible futures. www.nytimes.com/2025/04/28/c...
National Climate Assessment Authors Are Dismissed by Trump Administration (Gift Article)
The Trump administration told researchers it was “releasing” them from their roles. It puts the future of the assessment, which is required by Congress, in doubt.
www.nytimes.com
acrimmins.bsky.social
In sadly ironic timing, the next paper in our series is "Projections of future climate for U.S. national assessments: past, present, future". This paper reviews the use of climate projections across NCAs and reflects on lessons learned to meet evolving user needs.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Projections of future climate for U.S. national assessments: past, present, future - Climatic Change
Climate assessments consolidate our understanding of possible future climate conditions as represented by climate projections, which are largely based on the output of global climate models. Over the ...
link.springer.com
acrimmins.bsky.social
Untrue, uninformed, harmful, and irresponsible
acrimmins.bsky.social
The next paper in this series is out! In "Reflections on preparing regional chapters for NCA5", an expert team of regional chapter authors provide reflections on the assessment process and identify some best practices for developing an effective regional chapter.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Reflections on preparing regional chapters for NCA5 - Climatic Change
Regional chapters in the National Climate Assessment (NCA) report provide a comprehensive synthesis of how climate change is impacting United States regions and are extensively used to support climate...
link.springer.com
acrimmins.bsky.social
Very excited to see the release of the 2nd Status of Tribes and Climate Change (STACC) Report! Congratulations to ITEP and all the authors, artists, and contributors for this massive undertaking and critical work!
www.nau.edu/staccreport
The cover of the report shows artwork called Sister Spirits by Kylie Wanatee, age 19, Rosebud Sioux Tribe. The artist's statement reads "This is a 24 x 36 gouache painting of the Three Sisters: the Corn, the
Bean, and the Squash. Indigenous Peoples throughout North America cultivate varieties of this trio because of their ability to thrive once planted together; this is known as companion planting. The top sister is the corn stalk, the bottom right sister is the squash, as her dress becomes the shade that keeps the soil moist, and the bottom left sister is the bean that grows hanging onto the corn stalk.”