AppMathDoc
@appmathdoc.bsky.social
Christian, Husband, Father, Grandfather, Applied Mathematician
The House GOP plan is even worse. No rural hospitals will survive it.
It is strictly a "save face" measure.
For example, AHPs sideline actuaries whose expertise is in reducing risk & volatility.
Result is a popularity game. Small business without friends goes under.
Like those in rural usa.
It is strictly a "save face" measure.
For example, AHPs sideline actuaries whose expertise is in reducing risk & volatility.
Result is a popularity game. Small business without friends goes under.
Like those in rural usa.
December 13, 2025 at 12:38 PM
The House GOP plan is even worse. No rural hospitals will survive it.
It is strictly a "save face" measure.
For example, AHPs sideline actuaries whose expertise is in reducing risk & volatility.
Result is a popularity game. Small business without friends goes under.
Like those in rural usa.
It is strictly a "save face" measure.
For example, AHPs sideline actuaries whose expertise is in reducing risk & volatility.
Result is a popularity game. Small business without friends goes under.
Like those in rural usa.
We don't have "accident liability savings accounts." No "home replacement savings accounts."
Healthcare is more volatile than either. A bad flu season can bankrupt a rural hospital in a county of HSAs.
Subsidies aren't propping up the ACA. It will survive.
Medicaid and rural usa will not.
1/2
Healthcare is more volatile than either. A bad flu season can bankrupt a rural hospital in a county of HSAs.
Subsidies aren't propping up the ACA. It will survive.
Medicaid and rural usa will not.
1/2
December 13, 2025 at 12:38 PM
We don't have "accident liability savings accounts." No "home replacement savings accounts."
Healthcare is more volatile than either. A bad flu season can bankrupt a rural hospital in a county of HSAs.
Subsidies aren't propping up the ACA. It will survive.
Medicaid and rural usa will not.
1/2
Healthcare is more volatile than either. A bad flu season can bankrupt a rural hospital in a county of HSAs.
Subsidies aren't propping up the ACA. It will survive.
Medicaid and rural usa will not.
1/2
We've never voted on originalism, and it is used quite arbitrarily.
Incumbents have way too much power.
Too many due process loopholes.
So much is broken.
Pardons power amendment does have advantage of being easy to understand. Always important.
And any amendment seems to reset SCOTUS!
Incumbents have way too much power.
Too many due process loopholes.
So much is broken.
Pardons power amendment does have advantage of being easy to understand. Always important.
And any amendment seems to reset SCOTUS!
December 13, 2025 at 3:21 AM
We've never voted on originalism, and it is used quite arbitrarily.
Incumbents have way too much power.
Too many due process loopholes.
So much is broken.
Pardons power amendment does have advantage of being easy to understand. Always important.
And any amendment seems to reset SCOTUS!
Incumbents have way too much power.
Too many due process loopholes.
So much is broken.
Pardons power amendment does have advantage of being easy to understand. Always important.
And any amendment seems to reset SCOTUS!
Impeachment has been neutered, so no check there.
But not sure pardons most pressing.
Giving POTUS unlimited power ALSO promotes SCOTUS over Congress. As if Articles 2 and 3 conspired to overthrow Article 1
What about term limits? Congress is so old a wet floor could take out half the gov?
1/2
But not sure pardons most pressing.
Giving POTUS unlimited power ALSO promotes SCOTUS over Congress. As if Articles 2 and 3 conspired to overthrow Article 1
What about term limits? Congress is so old a wet floor could take out half the gov?
1/2
December 13, 2025 at 3:21 AM
Impeachment has been neutered, so no check there.
But not sure pardons most pressing.
Giving POTUS unlimited power ALSO promotes SCOTUS over Congress. As if Articles 2 and 3 conspired to overthrow Article 1
What about term limits? Congress is so old a wet floor could take out half the gov?
1/2
But not sure pardons most pressing.
Giving POTUS unlimited power ALSO promotes SCOTUS over Congress. As if Articles 2 and 3 conspired to overthrow Article 1
What about term limits? Congress is so old a wet floor could take out half the gov?
1/2
We don't have auto accident liability savings accounts. No "home replacement savings accounts."
Healthcare is more volatile than either. A bad flu season can bankrupt a rural hospital in a county of HSAs.
Subsidies are not propping up the ACA. It will survive.
Medicaid and rural usa will not.
Healthcare is more volatile than either. A bad flu season can bankrupt a rural hospital in a county of HSAs.
Subsidies are not propping up the ACA. It will survive.
Medicaid and rural usa will not.
December 12, 2025 at 11:59 PM
We don't have auto accident liability savings accounts. No "home replacement savings accounts."
Healthcare is more volatile than either. A bad flu season can bankrupt a rural hospital in a county of HSAs.
Subsidies are not propping up the ACA. It will survive.
Medicaid and rural usa will not.
Healthcare is more volatile than either. A bad flu season can bankrupt a rural hospital in a county of HSAs.
Subsidies are not propping up the ACA. It will survive.
Medicaid and rural usa will not.
We don't have auto accident liability savings accounts. No "home replacement savings accounts."
Healthcare is more volatile than either. A bad flu season can bankrupt a rural hospital in a county of HSAs.
Subsidies are not propping up the ACA. It will survive.
Medicaid and rural usa will not.
Healthcare is more volatile than either. A bad flu season can bankrupt a rural hospital in a county of HSAs.
Subsidies are not propping up the ACA. It will survive.
Medicaid and rural usa will not.
December 12, 2025 at 11:38 PM
We don't have auto accident liability savings accounts. No "home replacement savings accounts."
Healthcare is more volatile than either. A bad flu season can bankrupt a rural hospital in a county of HSAs.
Subsidies are not propping up the ACA. It will survive.
Medicaid and rural usa will not.
Healthcare is more volatile than either. A bad flu season can bankrupt a rural hospital in a county of HSAs.
Subsidies are not propping up the ACA. It will survive.
Medicaid and rural usa will not.
Yes, they do!
But at least they don't have to buy the robe and hood that was official only if purchased from the grand dragon in Indiana, who got quite wealthy off of that 😀
But at least they don't have to buy the robe and hood that was official only if purchased from the grand dragon in Indiana, who got quite wealthy off of that 😀
December 12, 2025 at 9:35 PM
Yes, they do!
But at least they don't have to buy the robe and hood that was official only if purchased from the grand dragon in Indiana, who got quite wealthy off of that 😀
But at least they don't have to buy the robe and hood that was official only if purchased from the grand dragon in Indiana, who got quite wealthy off of that 😀
Just like Indiana in the 1920s.
The KKK had them terrified of an invasion of Mexicans and Italians.
But the only group that invaded was the KKK itself, and Indiana has been embarrassed by that ever since.
The KKK had them terrified of an invasion of Mexicans and Italians.
But the only group that invaded was the KKK itself, and Indiana has been embarrassed by that ever since.
December 12, 2025 at 9:24 PM
Just like Indiana in the 1920s.
The KKK had them terrified of an invasion of Mexicans and Italians.
But the only group that invaded was the KKK itself, and Indiana has been embarrassed by that ever since.
The KKK had them terrified of an invasion of Mexicans and Italians.
But the only group that invaded was the KKK itself, and Indiana has been embarrassed by that ever since.
We don't have auto accident liability savings accounts. No "home replacement savings accounts."
Healthcare is more volatile than either. A bad flu season can bankrupt a rural hospital in a county of HSAs.
Subsidies are not propping up the ACA. It will survive.
Medicaid and rural usa will not.
Healthcare is more volatile than either. A bad flu season can bankrupt a rural hospital in a county of HSAs.
Subsidies are not propping up the ACA. It will survive.
Medicaid and rural usa will not.
December 12, 2025 at 9:20 PM
We don't have auto accident liability savings accounts. No "home replacement savings accounts."
Healthcare is more volatile than either. A bad flu season can bankrupt a rural hospital in a county of HSAs.
Subsidies are not propping up the ACA. It will survive.
Medicaid and rural usa will not.
Healthcare is more volatile than either. A bad flu season can bankrupt a rural hospital in a county of HSAs.
Subsidies are not propping up the ACA. It will survive.
Medicaid and rural usa will not.
Last Spring I began warning that the BBB has deficits early with offsets late.
Technical term: Gross Fiscal Irresponsibility (GFI)
Proj2025 => BBB => Rural red pays for wealthy's tax cuts
Like rural usa buying a mansion with a credit card and then giving it away
A credit card issued by "bitcoin"
Technical term: Gross Fiscal Irresponsibility (GFI)
Proj2025 => BBB => Rural red pays for wealthy's tax cuts
Like rural usa buying a mansion with a credit card and then giving it away
A credit card issued by "bitcoin"
Seven Reasons Why the Big Beautiful Bill Targets Rural America
YouTube video by RintheOpen
youtu.be
December 12, 2025 at 3:16 PM
Last Spring I began warning that the BBB has deficits early with offsets late.
Technical term: Gross Fiscal Irresponsibility (GFI)
Proj2025 => BBB => Rural red pays for wealthy's tax cuts
Like rural usa buying a mansion with a credit card and then giving it away
A credit card issued by "bitcoin"
Technical term: Gross Fiscal Irresponsibility (GFI)
Proj2025 => BBB => Rural red pays for wealthy's tax cuts
Like rural usa buying a mansion with a credit card and then giving it away
A credit card issued by "bitcoin"
Amen! The condescension and profanity was uncalled for.
We are their neighbors, not their judges.
We are their neighbors, not their judges.
December 12, 2025 at 2:31 AM
Amen! The condescension and profanity was uncalled for.
We are their neighbors, not their judges.
We are their neighbors, not their judges.
Bipartisan misconception: sunsetting of ACA subsidies will only hurt the 20M who use them.
Reality: many emp-based also
Example: Rural county. No large employer. Single provider ACA, emp-based.
No Subsidies. Adverse selection. Risk explodes, provider leaves, county health care collapses.
Reality: many emp-based also
Example: Rural county. No large employer. Single provider ACA, emp-based.
No Subsidies. Adverse selection. Risk explodes, provider leaves, county health care collapses.
December 11, 2025 at 9:36 PM
Bipartisan misconception: sunsetting of ACA subsidies will only hurt the 20M who use them.
Reality: many emp-based also
Example: Rural county. No large employer. Single provider ACA, emp-based.
No Subsidies. Adverse selection. Risk explodes, provider leaves, county health care collapses.
Reality: many emp-based also
Example: Rural county. No large employer. Single provider ACA, emp-based.
No Subsidies. Adverse selection. Risk explodes, provider leaves, county health care collapses.
Today's AI is based on AI that is more than 50 years old and still superior to today's AI for math/eng (see pic).
Not as revolutionary as many think. Integer linear solvers have used AI (heuristics) since the 50s to avoid NP.
LLMs are special b/c they speak our language.
But make too many errors
Not as revolutionary as many think. Integer linear solvers have used AI (heuristics) since the 50s to avoid NP.
LLMs are special b/c they speak our language.
But make too many errors
December 11, 2025 at 12:30 AM
Today's AI is based on AI that is more than 50 years old and still superior to today's AI for math/eng (see pic).
Not as revolutionary as many think. Integer linear solvers have used AI (heuristics) since the 50s to avoid NP.
LLMs are special b/c they speak our language.
But make too many errors
Not as revolutionary as many think. Integer linear solvers have used AI (heuristics) since the 50s to avoid NP.
LLMs are special b/c they speak our language.
But make too many errors
Reposted by AppMathDoc
I'm one of 'em. Going from $684/mo to $1,569. That's just for ME.
December 10, 2025 at 1:30 AM
I'm one of 'em. Going from $684/mo to $1,569. That's just for ME.
Sorry. Once on the internet, AI companies quickly find them, have humans solve them, and include in ongoing training.
All ai companies have hundreds of such employees.
Google"Alice in Wonderland" (AIW) problems.
Note: As soon as you as ask and get nonsense, the above kicks in.
Example pics
All ai companies have hundreds of such employees.
Google"Alice in Wonderland" (AIW) problems.
Note: As soon as you as ask and get nonsense, the above kicks in.
Example pics
December 10, 2025 at 9:39 PM
Sorry. Once on the internet, AI companies quickly find them, have humans solve them, and include in ongoing training.
All ai companies have hundreds of such employees.
Google"Alice in Wonderland" (AIW) problems.
Note: As soon as you as ask and get nonsense, the above kicks in.
Example pics
All ai companies have hundreds of such employees.
Google"Alice in Wonderland" (AIW) problems.
Note: As soon as you as ask and get nonsense, the above kicks in.
Example pics
Don't have a defensible answer.
My best guess - ideology.
1980s Russia - fantastic scientists easily our equals. Great engineers, comp scientists.
And a commitment to the 'Soviet' ("worker councils")
That ideology destroyed them.
Ideologies are expensive - conservatism, socialism, ...
IMHO
My best guess - ideology.
1980s Russia - fantastic scientists easily our equals. Great engineers, comp scientists.
And a commitment to the 'Soviet' ("worker councils")
That ideology destroyed them.
Ideologies are expensive - conservatism, socialism, ...
IMHO
December 10, 2025 at 6:23 PM
Don't have a defensible answer.
My best guess - ideology.
1980s Russia - fantastic scientists easily our equals. Great engineers, comp scientists.
And a commitment to the 'Soviet' ("worker councils")
That ideology destroyed them.
Ideologies are expensive - conservatism, socialism, ...
IMHO
My best guess - ideology.
1980s Russia - fantastic scientists easily our equals. Great engineers, comp scientists.
And a commitment to the 'Soviet' ("worker councils")
That ideology destroyed them.
Ideologies are expensive - conservatism, socialism, ...
IMHO
The ACA was a big step. For example, having a baby (6mo pre to 6mo post) was $28K out of pocket in 2010 in 2025 dollars. In 2015, was down to $5K due to ACA.
Doubled during Trump 1. Doubled again under Biden.
Is $26K in 2025. Predicted to be $31.5K in 2026.
Why? Medicaid failure - not ACA
Doubled during Trump 1. Doubled again under Biden.
Is $26K in 2025. Predicted to be $31.5K in 2026.
Why? Medicaid failure - not ACA
December 10, 2025 at 5:18 PM
The ACA was a big step. For example, having a baby (6mo pre to 6mo post) was $28K out of pocket in 2010 in 2025 dollars. In 2015, was down to $5K due to ACA.
Doubled during Trump 1. Doubled again under Biden.
Is $26K in 2025. Predicted to be $31.5K in 2026.
Why? Medicaid failure - not ACA
Doubled during Trump 1. Doubled again under Biden.
Is $26K in 2025. Predicted to be $31.5K in 2026.
Why? Medicaid failure - not ACA
And they are all different - built for their respective countries.
Canada = single-payer primarily for doctors/hospitals (decentralized by province), while Norway uses a blended tax system for broader coverage, including meds with co-pays.
Australia with issues sim to USA has mixed public/private.
Canada = single-payer primarily for doctors/hospitals (decentralized by province), while Norway uses a blended tax system for broader coverage, including meds with co-pays.
Australia with issues sim to USA has mixed public/private.
December 10, 2025 at 4:29 PM
And they are all different - built for their respective countries.
Canada = single-payer primarily for doctors/hospitals (decentralized by province), while Norway uses a blended tax system for broader coverage, including meds with co-pays.
Australia with issues sim to USA has mixed public/private.
Canada = single-payer primarily for doctors/hospitals (decentralized by province), while Norway uses a blended tax system for broader coverage, including meds with co-pays.
Australia with issues sim to USA has mixed public/private.
Single provider ACA & emp-based. No subsidies. GOP too slow.
Risk explodes, provider leaves, county health care collapses.
2. Mother gets pregnant. Baby after BBB > $31.5K for -6 to 6 mnths (avg). Health savings used up b4 buying ins.
Abortion rate explodes. Child poverty explodes.
Many more!
Risk explodes, provider leaves, county health care collapses.
2. Mother gets pregnant. Baby after BBB > $31.5K for -6 to 6 mnths (avg). Health savings used up b4 buying ins.
Abortion rate explodes. Child poverty explodes.
Many more!
December 10, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Single provider ACA & emp-based. No subsidies. GOP too slow.
Risk explodes, provider leaves, county health care collapses.
2. Mother gets pregnant. Baby after BBB > $31.5K for -6 to 6 mnths (avg). Health savings used up b4 buying ins.
Abortion rate explodes. Child poverty explodes.
Many more!
Risk explodes, provider leaves, county health care collapses.
2. Mother gets pregnant. Baby after BBB > $31.5K for -6 to 6 mnths (avg). Health savings used up b4 buying ins.
Abortion rate explodes. Child poverty explodes.
Many more!
The GOP plan is not a solution - very "rough around the edges."
I think once they had a chance to see what their plan overlooks, they would drop it all together.
Catastrophic "Adverse selection"
Some "Canonical examples". All from analysis of hard data.
1: Rural county, no large employer
1/2
I think once they had a chance to see what their plan overlooks, they would drop it all together.
Catastrophic "Adverse selection"
Some "Canonical examples". All from analysis of hard data.
1: Rural county, no large employer
1/2
December 10, 2025 at 3:23 PM
The GOP plan is not a solution - very "rough around the edges."
I think once they had a chance to see what their plan overlooks, they would drop it all together.
Catastrophic "Adverse selection"
Some "Canonical examples". All from analysis of hard data.
1: Rural county, no large employer
1/2
I think once they had a chance to see what their plan overlooks, they would drop it all together.
Catastrophic "Adverse selection"
Some "Canonical examples". All from analysis of hard data.
1: Rural county, no large employer
1/2