@bayesianer.bsky.social
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U.S. European Command:

The US Justice Department, US Homeland Security and the US Department of Defense today announced the seizure of the M/V Bella 1 for violations of U.S. sanctions.
January 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM
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Young Europeans will make Europe more united!

For them, a European Army is more attractive than national armies or even NATO.

That is what today’s politicians need to have in mind!

⬇️
www.politico.eu/article/unit...
January 6, 2026 at 6:03 PM
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Strategische Unabhängigkeit Europas:

1) Putin-Regime wird 2026 wirtschaftlich kollabieren, wenn Sanktionen erhalten und verschärft werden.

2) Trump-Regime und MAGA werden 2026 elektoral kollabieren.

Also: Durchhalten, Waffen liefern, Vermögen verwenden, Schattenflotte lahmlegen.
November 26, 2025 at 1:49 PM
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With the new Grok 4 Fast, the price/performance curve for AI shifted again. I updated my chart to reflect this change. I have to update it every couple weeks now.

I also think the GPQA Diamond benchmark is likely maxed out (the tests themselves have errors, making it impossible to get to 100%),
September 21, 2025 at 7:28 PM
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Here I react to the shameful encounter between American leaders and media and the Ukrainian president. No doubt there were more, but I saw five failures on our side: of hospitality, decency, democracy, strategy, and independence. Please watch and share.
snyder.substack.com/p/five-failu...
Five Failures in the Oval Office (video)
America hurt itself badly today.
snyder.substack.com
February 28, 2025 at 10:15 PM
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Your dignity honors the bravery of the Ukrainian people.

Be strong, be brave, be fearless.
You are never alone, dear President Zelenskyy.

We will continue working with you for a just and lasting peace.
February 28, 2025 at 9:06 PM
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I've also encountered a big issue with the consistency of definitions of disinformation and misinformation, which are used interchangeably, which has allowed bad actors to exploit the confusion for their own ends. I've been using the definitions as per Claire Wardle's work:
January 9, 2025 at 5:17 PM
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Now that Ukraine has become very active in the Kursk region, we would like everyone that hasn't found us on BlueSky, to be aware of the latest updates.

Therefore, we would like to ask you to share this post in order to reach as many people as possible. Let's aim for 75.000 followers 👍
January 5, 2025 at 11:49 AM