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I agree. The capex cycle remains strong. Semi sales should surge in 2026. So should semi stocks.
Recent weakness in this complex looks like an opportunity to me.
I agree. The capex cycle remains strong. Semi sales should surge in 2026. So should semi stocks.
Recent weakness in this complex looks like an opportunity to me.
I'll add I expect a million Optimus robots in the wild by then, too.
This isn't an EV story. It's an AI story.
I'll add I expect a million Optimus robots in the wild by then, too.
This isn't an EV story. It's an AI story.
Wouldn't be surprised if it becomes much bigger and a political hot topic going into the 2026 midterms.
That blowback could force a reduction in Big Tech capex and end the datacenter portion of this boom.
Monitor carefully.
Wouldn't be surprised if it becomes much bigger and a political hot topic going into the 2026 midterms.
That blowback could force a reduction in Big Tech capex and end the datacenter portion of this boom.
Monitor carefully.
- US Composite PMI Output Index: 53.0 (6-month low)
- US Services PMI Business Activity Index: 52.9 (6-month low)
- US Manufacturing Output Index: 53.0 (3-month low)
- US Manufacturing PMI: 51.8 (5-month low)
- US Composite PMI Output Index: 53.0 (6-month low)
- US Services PMI Business Activity Index: 52.9 (6-month low)
- US Manufacturing Output Index: 53.0 (3-month low)
- US Manufacturing PMI: 51.8 (5-month low)
- Job growth is collapsing. October jobs -105,000 / November +64,000 / 6-month average +17,000 which (ex Covid) is lowest in 15 years and consistent with recessions.
- Job growth is collapsing. October jobs -105,000 / November +64,000 / 6-month average +17,000 which (ex Covid) is lowest in 15 years and consistent with recessions.
I think this about describes 70% of the working people I know and almost 100% of the people I know that are NOT working in or around AI.
I think this about describes 70% of the working people I know and almost 100% of the people I know that are NOT working in or around AI.
The AI Boom rolls on, even amidst choppy price action in AI stocks.
The AI Boom rolls on, even amidst choppy price action in AI stocks.
I'm a little worried about it, too.
#BA #GM #META #AMZN #UPS #VZ and more have all announced jobs cuts in the several thousands over the past few months. The late 2025 corporate layoff wave has been sizable.
This one is an AI winner that impressively weathered the recent AI stock crash.
Worth noting.
This one is an AI winner that impressively weathered the recent AI stock crash.
Worth noting.
Powell didn't sound super hawkish last week, but he didn't sound super dovish, either. And today's December Empire State Manufacturing Survey makes a case for sounding super dovish.
Powell didn't sound super hawkish last week, but he didn't sound super dovish, either. And today's December Empire State Manufacturing Survey makes a case for sounding super dovish.
It ain’t 1913 anymore. Tariffs, unfortunately, can’t pay for our government in 2025.
It ain’t 1913 anymore. Tariffs, unfortunately, can’t pay for our government in 2025.