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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Aug 29

the outcome of the 2024 election increased confidence in U.S. elections among Trump voters, but they still lagged behind Harris voters...newest @goodauth.bsky.social post with Caroline Soler goodauthority.org/news/many-tr...

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Aug 27

in a new @goodauth.bsky.social post with Caroline Soler, we use vote validated CES data to show that nonvoters preferred Trump over Harris for president but Dems over Reps in down ballot races goodauthority.org/news/trump-a...

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Aug 22

after 15 months, today is Caroline Soler's last day as the CES research associate. she has been a tremendous asset to the study and is going to be missed in so many ways. but she's on to bigger and better things with the Election Analytics team for the @nytimes.com!

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Reposted by Brian Schaffner

Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Aug 19

🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...

Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/

doi.org

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Aug 19

enic wants to cash out sooner rather than later?

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Reposted by Brian Schaffner

G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · Aug 19

fuck yeah, it's christmas day

Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Aug 19

🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...

Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/

doi.org

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Aug 19

the 2024 election was also a watershed moment among non-voters who, for the first time since we've been collecting data preferred the republican nominee over the democrat. this means increasing turnout would likely have made Trump's victory bigger.

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Aug 19

it is especially striking to see how non-religious the Democratic Party has become over the past two decades

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Aug 19

the trends when it comes to religion are especially notable. non-evangelical vote preferences have remained stable over time, but democrats continue to lose vote share among evangelicals, especially black and hispanic evangelicals

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Aug 19

we see significant shifts away from the democrats among both black and hispanic voters

for black voters, these shifts came particularly among born again christians and men

among Hispanic voters, the rightward shift was mostly isolated to those living in urban areas

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Aug 19

we have also released a report on the 2024 election that CES RA Caroline Soler took the lead on and did an amazing job with.

an overview of the report can be found on the CES blog here: sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...

the full report is here: tinyurl.com/ces24report

some highlights...

Trump built his support in 2024 by taking advantage of cracks in the Democratic Party’s coalition – Cooperative Election Study Blog

sites.tufts.edu

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Aug 19

🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...

Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/

doi.org

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Aug 1

in the newest post on the CES blog, Caroline Soler digs in to the question of what is the best approach for identifying Evangelicals in surveys sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...

When we talk about evangelicals, who are we actually talking about? – Cooperative Election Study Blog

sites.tufts.edu

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Jul 24

still time to sign up for a 2025 CES module if you're interested!

Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Apr 15

we have just released the call for those interested in purchasing a module for the 2025 CES see here: sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...

and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort): cesconference.byu.edu

Announcing the 2025 Cooperative Election Study – Cooperative Election Study Blog

sites.tufts.edu

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Reposted by Brian Schaffner

Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Apr 15

we have just released the call for those interested in purchasing a module for the 2025 CES see here: sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...

and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort): cesconference.byu.edu

Announcing the 2025 Cooperative Election Study – Cooperative Election Study Blog

sites.tufts.edu

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Jul 17

Lucy Morisse-Corsetti asked Americans what they think their government owes them...hint: it's quite a lot. Check out her new post on the @TuftsUniversity Public Opinion Lab blog! tufts-pol.medium.com/what-your-go...

What your government can do for you: Exploring Americans’ perceptions of government…

by Lucy Morisse-Corsetti

tufts-pol.medium.com

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Jul 15

in 2008, Conservative Jews voted similarly to Reform/Reconstructionist Jews but by 2024 there was more than a 20-point gap between those two groups

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Reposted by Brian Schaffner

Peter Levine @peterlevine.bsky.social · Jun 24

The word 'civility' has sometimes meant politeness and sometimes meant equality and political freedom.

With citations to Machiavelli, Wycliffe, Shakespeare, and others: peterlevine.ws?p=34156

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Jun 24

in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Jackson Wetherill explores the intersection of NIMBYism and partisanship when it comes to attitudes towards affordable housing tufts-pol.medium.com/its-not-just...

It’s not just NIMBYism: How partisanship shapes support for affordable housing

by Jackson Wetherill

tufts-pol.medium.com

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Reposted by Brian Schaffner

Drew Engelhardt @amengel.bsky.social · Jun 20

Panel!

Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Jun 20

this post uses newly released data from the 2020-2022-2024 CES panel survey, which includes interviews with ~6k Americans we interviewed (and re-interviewed) over the past three election cycles. download it and dig in! dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...

dataverse.harvard.edu

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Jun 20

this post uses newly released data from the 2020-2022-2024 CES panel survey, which includes interviews with ~6k Americans we interviewed (and re-interviewed) over the past three election cycles. download it and dig in! dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...

dataverse.harvard.edu

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Jun 20

it's not just that Hispanic voters shifted Republican since 2020, it's also the case that some of them no longer even identify as Hispanic! new @goodauth.bsky.social post from me and Caroline Soler
goodauthority.org/news/democra...

Democrats’ losses among Hispanic voters may be larger than they look.

Conservative Hispanic Americans are ditching their Hispanic identity, surveys show.

goodauthority.org

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Jun 19

in a new Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Caroline Soler analyzes data from April asking people how much eggs cost now and how much they will cost in the future. big partisan gaps in perceptions of current prices, even bigger for expectations of future prices
tufts-pol.medium.com/republicans-...

Republicans think eggs will be cheaper under Trump, Democrats disagree

by Caroline Soler

tufts-pol.medium.com

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Jun 18

it's been 10 years since the last @pewresearch.org Religious Landscape Study, but the release of a new study gave Caroline Soler a chance to see how the CES stacked up against this benchmark. overall, the surveys produce very similar portraits of religion in America!
sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...

Does the CES accurately reflect America’s religious landscape? – Cooperative Election Study Blog

sites.tufts.edu

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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · Jun 4

another Cooperative Election Study conference in the books! new mountain resort, same great vibes! we had a special time honoring Steve Ansolabehere who is stepping down from his leadership role, 20 years after founding this incredible innovative project that has done so much for the discipline.

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