biorealism.bsky.social
@biorealism.bsky.social
If you look at the literature on this their argument was that some of the higher scoring samples weren't representative either (eg. 20% of kids not attending school). Schooling raises IQ scores. And the national IQs are not systematically lower than student achievement results so 🤷
November 30, 2025 at 1:18 AM
Yeah, although that is something Lynn himself acknowledged. Iodine deficiency particularly iirc.
November 29, 2025 at 1:56 AM
My point regarding GDP and health statistics is there are problems with that data from many countries too. Get better data. In terms of IQ itself it's one of the more robust measures in psychology. Lowered scores due to childhood lead exposure is a genuine concern. link.springer.com/article/10.1...
The effect of lead exposure on IQ test scores in children under 12 years: a systematic review and meta-analysis of case-control studies - Systematic Reviews
An inevitable exposure to the toxic heavy metal such as lead in our environmental can have irreversible effects on children’s mental performance.In this study, 3316 children in 8 case-control studies ...
link.springer.com
November 28, 2025 at 7:48 PM
Sear is wrong. The dataset maps pretty well to international test scores and World Bank Harmonized Learning Outcomes. Issues arise with many countries in relation to GDP and health statistics too. Those who compiled it were quite open that it reflects environmental factors such as poor nutrition.
November 28, 2025 at 4:05 AM
Reposted
This should be very close to the final version, after a few improvements over the last few days.
@SenTomCotton @RandPaul @USRightToKnow
medium.com/@gillesdema...
The ODNI’s “B Group” Meeting: Ralph Baric’s January 2020 Briefing
Exploring a key Intelligence Community advisory session on coronaviruses, and its relevance to COVID-19 Origins, based on declassified…
gillesdemaneuf.medium.com
November 12, 2025 at 6:45 PM
You see also some of the most cited papers like Pekar et al (2022) supporting multiple spillovers appear to have serious flaws and may need to be retracted. @mbweissman.bsky.social arxiv.org/abs/2510.01484
Bayesian Re-Analysis of the Phylogenetic Topology of Early SARS-CoV-2 Case Sequences
A much-cited 2022 paper by Pekar et al. claimed that Bayesian analysis of the molecular phylogeny of early SARS-CoV-2 cases indicated that it was more likely that two successful introductions to human...
arxiv.org
November 13, 2025 at 10:36 AM
Ultimately, as Jesse Bloom has explained, the early case data is hopelessly biased. If it began in Wuhan WIV's sampling history in Yunnan and Laos provides a potential link. The NIH terminated WIV's subaward for refusal to share records of their SrCoV research. academic.oup.com/mbe/article/...
Validate User
academic.oup.com
November 13, 2025 at 10:29 AM
Reposted
Wait- that's all stuff from Pekar 2022, the paper with enormous math errors that you just said was irrelevant. When those errors are fixed, its 2-spill probability becomes low, which undercuts its whole story. Tho P(other zoo stories) is unaffected by market-story errors.
November 3, 2025 at 11:30 PM
Reposted
By that token anything by anyone who cites anything by any of the 29 authors of Pekar et al. 2022 would have to be presumed false. Let's stick to the specific points. Here the only relevant one is whether leaving RE sites in eases making a series of partial new clones.
November 3, 2025 at 6:48 PM
Reposted
It was, in fact, a very good job by Brookings.
See michaelweissman.substack.com/p/an-inconve... for a (long) systematic summary of the evidence. For bite-size published refutations of the key zoonotic claims:
doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
academic.oup.com/ve/article/1...
Importance of quantifying the number of viral reads in metagenomic sequencing of environmental samples from the Huanan Seafood Market
Abstract. In March 2023, the Chinese CDC publicly released raw metagenomic sequencing data for environmental samples collected in early 2020 from the Huana
academic.oup.com
October 28, 2025 at 2:13 AM
It's icky although the implications are hardly any worse than those for AI (mass unemployment, potential extinction).
October 23, 2025 at 2:51 AM
Reposted
Bloom again on evidence of bias in the early sequences and why the root of the SARS-CoV-2 tree cannot be conclusively resolved with the current data.
academic.oup.com/mbe/article/...
October 22, 2025 at 9:38 AM
Reposted
Who is conflicted in this scenario? There are obviously significant limitations with early case data which George Gao acknowledged was biased towards the market. The multiple spillover theory rests on a flawed analysis at odds with the analyses of Bloom, Kumar and Lv et al.
arxiv.org/abs/2510.01484
Bayesian Re-Analysis of the Phylogenetic Topology of Early SARS-CoV-2 Case Sequences
A much-cited 2022 paper by Pekar et al. claimed that Bayesian analysis of the molecular phylogeny of early SARS-CoV-2 cases indicated that it was more likely that two successful introductions to human...
arxiv.org
October 22, 2025 at 9:34 AM
Reposted
Very interesting. “one of the greatest lessons of the last five years is that public health needs to step up its game in dealing with uncertainty.”
October 22, 2025 at 6:47 AM