Matteo Bonvini
bonv.bsky.social
Matteo Bonvini
@bonv.bsky.social
Assistant Professor in the Department of Statistics at Rutgers

He/him 🏳️‍🌈
It was great to chair a panel on Veridical Data Science (vdsbook.com) in Education at #JSM2025 with panelists Rebecca Barter, Bin Yu, Andrew Bray, Joshua Rosenberg, and Robin Gong! Consider integrating VDS in your next course! The textbook contains examples, code, and many exercises.
Veridical Data Science
vdsbook.com
August 8, 2025 at 12:16 PM
Reposted by Matteo Bonvini
Excited to present on Thursday @eurocim.bsky.social on new work with @idiaz.bsky.social on (smooth) trimming with longitudinal data!

"Longitudinal trimming and smooth trimming with flip and S-flip interventions"

Prelim draft: alecmcclean.github.io/files/LSTTEs...
April 8, 2025 at 3:34 PM
Reposted by Matteo Bonvini
Rebecca Farina, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla, Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen
Doubly Robust and Efficient Calibration of Prediction Sets for Censored Time-to-Event Outcomes
https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.04615
January 9, 2025 at 5:06 AM
Reposted by Matteo Bonvini
Happy to announce some new work with my student Kaitlyn Lee!

arxiv.org/abs/2501.04871

If you're not in the know, Riesz regression is a general tool to estimate things like propensity weights without actually having to know that they are propensity weights in the first place.
RieszBoost: Gradient Boosting for Riesz Regression
Answering causal questions often involves estimating linear functionals of conditional expectations, such as the average treatment effect or the effect of a longitudinal modified treatment policy. By ...
arxiv.org
January 10, 2025 at 10:55 PM
Reposted by Matteo Bonvini
My 2024 “highlights” (or what consumed my work year):

1. Double cross-fitting (arxiv.org/abs/2403.15175)
2. Calibrated sensitivity models (arxiv.org/abs/2405.08738)
3. Fair comparisons (arxiv.org/abs/2410.13522)

For #3, bsky.app/profile/alec....

Below: gory details for 1 and 2 (new to bsky)
1/9
New-ish paper alert! arxiv.org/abs/2410.13522
 
We tackle the challenge of comparing multiple treatments when some subjects have zero prob. of receiving certain treatments. Eg, provider profiling: comparing hospitals (the “treatments”) for patient outcomes. Positivity violations are everywhere.
Fair comparisons of causal parameters with many treatments and positivity violations
Comparing outcomes across treatments is essential in medicine and public policy. To do so, researchers typically estimate a set of parameters, possibly counterfactual, with each targeting a different ...
arxiv.org
December 28, 2024 at 11:28 AM
Reposted by Matteo Bonvini
I have a new working paper with Yi Zhang & Kosuke Imai on estimating generalizable heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs)! We account for distribution shifts in *both* individual covariates & treatment effect heterogeneity across different source sites. Details below--

arxiv.org/abs/2412.11136
Minimax Regret Estimation for Generalizing Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Multisite Data
To test scientific theories and develop individualized treatment rules, researchers often wish to learn heterogeneous treatment effects that can be consistently found across diverse populations and co...
arxiv.org
December 17, 2024 at 4:11 PM
Reposted by Matteo Bonvini
Thank you Alec for leading this project, I learned a lot! This paper has a very useful study of what contrasts are feasible in situations with many treatments and positivity violations, including necessary assumptions and efficient one-step estimators. Check it out!
New-ish paper alert! arxiv.org/abs/2410.13522
 
We tackle the challenge of comparing multiple treatments when some subjects have zero prob. of receiving certain treatments. Eg, provider profiling: comparing hospitals (the “treatments”) for patient outcomes. Positivity violations are everywhere.
Fair comparisons of causal parameters with many treatments and positivity violations
Comparing outcomes across treatments is essential in medicine and public policy. To do so, researchers typically estimate a set of parameters, possibly counterfactual, with each targeting a different ...
arxiv.org
December 13, 2024 at 11:53 PM
Reposted by Matteo Bonvini
New-ish paper alert! arxiv.org/abs/2410.13522
 
We tackle the challenge of comparing multiple treatments when some subjects have zero prob. of receiving certain treatments. Eg, provider profiling: comparing hospitals (the “treatments”) for patient outcomes. Positivity violations are everywhere.
Fair comparisons of causal parameters with many treatments and positivity violations
Comparing outcomes across treatments is essential in medicine and public policy. To do so, researchers typically estimate a set of parameters, possibly counterfactual, with each targeting a different ...
arxiv.org
December 13, 2024 at 11:17 PM
Reposted by Matteo Bonvini
New paper! arxiv.org/pdf/2411.14285

Led by amazing postdoc Alex Levis: www.awlevis.com/about/

We show causal effects of new "soft" interventions are less sensitive to unmeasured confounding

& study which effects are *least* sensitive to confounding -> makes new connections to optimal transport
November 22, 2024 at 4:39 AM
Reposted by Matteo Bonvini
Should we use structure-agnostic (arxiv.org/abs/2305.04116) or smooth (arxiv.org/pdf/1512.02174) models for causal inference?

Why not both?

Here we propose novel hybrid smooth+agnostic model, give minimax rates, & new optimal methods

arxiv.org/pdf/2405.08525

-> fast rates under weaker conditions
December 13, 2024 at 4:07 AM