captbullett
@captbullettp.bsky.social
Forecaster for Good Judgment Open, Metaculus, and Rand (RFI)
Pi Theta Kappa international Honor society from Santa Monica College
Pi Theta Kappa international Honor society from Santa Monica College
Pinned
captbullett
@captbullettp.bsky.social
· Jul 15
GitHub - captbullett65/MSCFT: Master SWARM Consensus Forecasting Template — structured methodology for forecast framing, analysis, and audit.
Master SWARM Consensus Forecasting Template — structured methodology for forecast framing, analysis, and audit. - captbullett65/MSCFT
github.com
🔷The MSCFT framework just hit over 1,000 GitHub views.
Built to bring structure to LLM forecasting and reduce cognitive bias in decision-making. New examples now live: medical node workflows and physics-based modeling chains.
GitHub: github.com/captbullett6...
OSF paper: osf.io/gbhu3
Built to bring structure to LLM forecasting and reduce cognitive bias in decision-making. New examples now live: medical node workflows and physics-based modeling chains.
GitHub: github.com/captbullett6...
OSF paper: osf.io/gbhu3
Articles of Impeachment against Hegseth
www.msn.com/en-us/news/p...
www.msn.com/en-us/news/p...
MSN
www.msn.com
December 5, 2025 at 5:11 AM
Articles of Impeachment against Hegseth
www.msn.com/en-us/news/p...
www.msn.com/en-us/news/p...
This navy veteran has no trouble calling him a lier to his face!
December 5, 2025 at 3:06 AM
This navy veteran has no trouble calling him a lier to his face!
Spouting BS 🤬
Of course Mike Johnson thinks there’s no gender division in the GOP
He has stated that his worldview is based on the Bible
You know, the book that tells women they should submit to their husbands
He has stated that his worldview is based on the Bible
You know, the book that tells women they should submit to their husbands
Johnson: There's no gender division here at all in our conference. It's a meritocracy. And we've got great women doing great things. I'm their biggest champion, and that's what the record shows
December 4, 2025 at 10:02 PM
Spouting BS 🤬
Reposted by captbullett
How goes it Marcie? I hope you are having a lovely day.
Happy Friday Eve, even if Hegseth insists it's Tuesday, no Wednesday...
May your worst mistake today be less obvious than Pete Hegseth's 'signal.'
Mind your Wile
Smile
Laugh
Love
Live
💙🤗❄️☃️🧣🧤✌️☮️
Happy Friday Eve, even if Hegseth insists it's Tuesday, no Wednesday...
May your worst mistake today be less obvious than Pete Hegseth's 'signal.'
Mind your Wile
Smile
Laugh
Love
Live
💙🤗❄️☃️🧣🧤✌️☮️
December 4, 2025 at 9:44 PM
How goes it Marcie? I hope you are having a lovely day.
Happy Friday Eve, even if Hegseth insists it's Tuesday, no Wednesday...
May your worst mistake today be less obvious than Pete Hegseth's 'signal.'
Mind your Wile
Smile
Laugh
Love
Live
💙🤗❄️☃️🧣🧤✌️☮️
Happy Friday Eve, even if Hegseth insists it's Tuesday, no Wednesday...
May your worst mistake today be less obvious than Pete Hegseth's 'signal.'
Mind your Wile
Smile
Laugh
Love
Live
💙🤗❄️☃️🧣🧤✌️☮️
#3) they would not let civilian vessels in the theater of operation. How do I know I was in the US Navy aboard the USS Blakely FF 1072 out of Charleston South Carolina 1977 to 1979 and did a Caribbean cruise for drug interdiction working with the Coast Guard during that cruise.
#2) A second strike indicates a breakdown in operational control, not a textbook interdiction. The justification being offered doesn’t align with how the Navy or Coast Guard actually conducts counter-drug missions.
December 4, 2025 at 2:30 PM
#3) they would not let civilian vessels in the theater of operation. How do I know I was in the US Navy aboard the USS Blakely FF 1072 out of Charleston South Carolina 1977 to 1979 and did a Caribbean cruise for drug interdiction working with the Coast Guard during that cruise.
In standard U.S. maritime operations, you don’t blow up a drug boat and then strike it again because other vessels show up. Normal procedure is simple: stop the vessel, board it, seize the narcotics, and take the crew into custody. See#2
December 4, 2025 at 2:25 PM
In standard U.S. maritime operations, you don’t blow up a drug boat and then strike it again because other vessels show up. Normal procedure is simple: stop the vessel, board it, seize the narcotics, and take the crew into custody. See#2
While he was pardoned please leave the Democratic Party you are untrustworthy.
December 4, 2025 at 1:47 PM
While he was pardoned please leave the Democratic Party you are untrustworthy.
As a consumer why would you want a car that only gets 35.4 miles per gallon instead of the 50 miles per gallon and yet that's what the car manufacturers want you to spend more money at the gas pump instead of less money because it costs them more money but they're already profiting bigly BOYCOTT!
December 4, 2025 at 6:37 AM
As a consumer why would you want a car that only gets 35.4 miles per gallon instead of the 50 miles per gallon and yet that's what the car manufacturers want you to spend more money at the gas pump instead of less money because it costs them more money but they're already profiting bigly BOYCOTT!
What happens inside a command center during a military strike?
www.msn.com/en-us/news/w...
www.msn.com/en-us/news/w...
MSN
www.msn.com
December 4, 2025 at 6:25 AM
What happens inside a command center during a military strike?
www.msn.com/en-us/news/w...
www.msn.com/en-us/news/w...
So who's in charge of his Autopen?
December 4, 2025 at 5:54 AM
So who's in charge of his Autopen?
Reposted by captbullett
Your Christmas list…👇
You’re welcome. 😎✨
You’re welcome. 😎✨
December 4, 2025 at 5:11 AM
Your Christmas list…👇
You’re welcome. 😎✨
You’re welcome. 😎✨
Reposted by captbullett
⚡️Pope Francis left funds in his will to buy ambulances for Ukraine, nun says.
"He did tell me, in our meetings, that he would help me in some way, but I didn't imagine he would do it like this," Dominican nun Lucia Caram said.
"He did tell me, in our meetings, that he would help me in some way, but I didn't imagine he would do it like this," Dominican nun Lucia Caram said.
Pope Francis left funds in his will to buy ambulances for Ukraine, nun says
"He did tell me, in our meetings, that he would help me in some way, but I didn't imagine he would do it like this," Dominican nun Lucia Caram said.
kyivindependent.com
December 4, 2025 at 5:51 AM
⚡️Pope Francis left funds in his will to buy ambulances for Ukraine, nun says.
"He did tell me, in our meetings, that he would help me in some way, but I didn't imagine he would do it like this," Dominican nun Lucia Caram said.
"He did tell me, in our meetings, that he would help me in some way, but I didn't imagine he would do it like this," Dominican nun Lucia Caram said.
Reposted by captbullett
(WSJ) Remember the US Navy Admiral who retired from his job in the Caribbean a month or so ago? Well, turns out Hegseth let him go because of their disagreement. I am betting that the shelling of small ships in the Caribbean had lots to do with it. Time to buy POPCORN.
www.wsj.com/politics/nat...
www.wsj.com/politics/nat...
Exclusive | Hegseth Asked Top Admiral to Resign After Months of Discord
The relationship between the Pentagon chief and Adm. Alvin Holsey had been rocky since Trump’s inauguration.
www.wsj.com
December 4, 2025 at 2:40 AM
(WSJ) Remember the US Navy Admiral who retired from his job in the Caribbean a month or so ago? Well, turns out Hegseth let him go because of their disagreement. I am betting that the shelling of small ships in the Caribbean had lots to do with it. Time to buy POPCORN.
www.wsj.com/politics/nat...
www.wsj.com/politics/nat...
Reposted by captbullett
Yeah I wouldn't trust him as far as I could throw he really doesn't know what he's doing except for torpedoing the economy...
Bond investors warned of Hassett as potential Fed chair over rate-cut fears, FT reports reut.rs/3KEYjIE
Bond investors warned of Hassett as potential Fed chair over rate-cut fears, FT reports
Bond investors have expressed concerns to the U.S. Treasury that Kevin Hassett could aggressively cut interest rates to align with President Donald Trump's preferences, the Financial Times reported on Wednesday, citing several people familiar with the conversations.
reut.rs
December 4, 2025 at 12:38 AM
Yeah I wouldn't trust him as far as I could throw he really doesn't know what he's doing except for torpedoing the economy...
Reposted by captbullett
BREAKING-The IG report about Pete Hegseth’s Signal chat is out
And it’s damning
“The information Hegseth shared included the precise times..fighter pilots would attack their targets. If Houthi militants had learned those details in advance, they might have been able to shoot down American planes”
And it’s damning
“The information Hegseth shared included the precise times..fighter pilots would attack their targets. If Houthi militants had learned those details in advance, they might have been able to shoot down American planes”
December 3, 2025 at 7:25 PM
BREAKING-The IG report about Pete Hegseth’s Signal chat is out
And it’s damning
“The information Hegseth shared included the precise times..fighter pilots would attack their targets. If Houthi militants had learned those details in advance, they might have been able to shoot down American planes”
And it’s damning
“The information Hegseth shared included the precise times..fighter pilots would attack their targets. If Houthi militants had learned those details in advance, they might have been able to shoot down American planes”
Reposted by captbullett
