Celeste Irwin 🏳️‍⚧️
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celestefinally.bsky.social
Celeste Irwin 🏳️‍⚧️
@celestefinally.bsky.social
Pro-justice, anti-bully. Christian-ish, trying to follow love. Writer. Married. 2 kids. Survivor. She/her, trans/lesbian, polyamorous 🏳️‍⚧️🏳️‍🌈

Substack: https://www.celestefinally.com
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@Celestial-Navigation
But for trans people, including kids, in blue states? There are still strong reasons for hope. And we have to hold on to what hope we have, and let it drive us forward, even if we're not sure when we can win or what we can win or even if we can win.

But there is always hope.
a man and a woman are looking at each other with the words " there is always hope " on the bottom
ALT: a man and a woman are looking at each other with the words " there is always hope " on the bottom
media.tenor.com
January 13, 2026 at 9:41 PM
It *should* be better, across the country. We're going to lose on conversion therapy and trans girls/women in sports in June. And we lost Skrmetti. And for trans kids born in red states, to conservative families, it's a nightmare and I grieve that.
8/x
January 13, 2026 at 9:41 PM
Even in Newsom's California, I have a non-binary kid being respected in public school. Robust gender-affirming care is being covered by my Affordable Care Act insurance plan. I walk around in public, visibly trans, without being harassed or threatened.
7/x
January 13, 2026 at 9:41 PM
In the meantime, 20+ state AG's keep filing suits to protect trans people and doing the right things in their own states. At least half the country still fully supports trans people (and even a year or two ago that was 60%+; it'll bounce back once we're not the demonized group).
6/x
January 13, 2026 at 9:41 PM
I truly believe Trump only won in 2024 because Biden hung on so damn long. If he'd let a primary happen, or even given Harris more than 3.5 months, it's a very different campaign and not one where Harris effectiely froze with indecision for the last two months.
5/x
January 13, 2026 at 9:41 PM
The R's have no replacement cult leader for Trump. No one else has the reality distortion power that he does. They may try Vance but pretty much everyone else (Cruz, Rubio, DeSantis) have already proven that they are losers in a pres campaign.
4/x
January 13, 2026 at 9:41 PM
But taking either one ends Trump's ability to legislate anything. Yes, he'll try EO's, but those are both harder to enforce (many have gone down in the courts) and much easier to repeal (day-1 for a new president).

Then we pick a solid candidate who can win in 2028.
3/x
January 13, 2026 at 9:41 PM
It starts by winning either the house or senate this fall. Literally either one. House can impeach, but there's not much reason to. Winning the senate at *least* stops the bleeding in the judiciary, and also gives a higher baseline to build on in 2028.
2/x
January 13, 2026 at 9:41 PM
Right! This time last year, we were told by so many that there would never be free and fair elections in America again. All MAGA has done since then is lose at the ballot. And there's every reason to believe that will happen again this fall (and MAGA leaders sure seem to think it will).
1/x
January 13, 2026 at 9:41 PM
Yes - there are shenanigans going on in various voting rules (e.g. the new postmark date policy will make mail-in ballots more difficult). But I truly believe we can overcome that.

As for your personal decision - I'm so sorry, and support you in making a tough call.
2/2
January 13, 2026 at 9:27 PM
Please don't despair. MAGA just got crushed in the November elections and has been losing over and over basically since Nov 2024. Many R's are retiring rather than lose this November. MAGA is sure acting like this fall's elections matter, and I very much believe they do.
1/2
January 13, 2026 at 9:27 PM
Yes, this is a repost - the original had an ambigouous "it" which was referring to the piece, but could have been read as referring to the author, and I'd never want to do that to them!
3/end
January 13, 2026 at 9:22 PM
For my own thoughts on trans women in sports, and more of an analysis of the issues, see my 2023 post here:
2/3

www.celestefinally.com/p/the-sports...
The sports issue
Should trans women compete in women's sports?
www.celestefinally.com
January 13, 2026 at 9:22 PM
Wow, yeah, that’s such a bad take by Brynn 😭
January 11, 2026 at 12:34 AM
(in Hamilton cadence): "They won't teach you this in your classess, but *look it up!* donkeys used to be asses!"
December 4, 2025 at 8:33 PM
And Mochyn, happy to help if I can!
December 3, 2025 at 8:29 PM
Wow thanks, Ryan!
December 3, 2025 at 8:28 PM
ughhhhhhh. Well, I typically use Apple Maps anyways. Not that any big tech company is somehow ethical.
November 24, 2025 at 5:28 PM
Been off bluesky for a bit and just saw this and *YES* y'all are amazing! Love you all! 💜💜💜
November 24, 2025 at 5:27 PM
wait what did waze do?
November 18, 2025 at 7:20 PM