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Chris Hanretty

@chanret.bsky.social

9K followers 1.3K following 2.7K posts

I teach politics at a university in the UK. I'm interested in electoral systems, public opinion, and the politics of non-majoritarian institutions like courts and regulators. ORCID: 0000-0002-8932-9405

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Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 57m

Think it's Florence (Alabama) for me

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 1h

The booking website doesn't support Firefox, so god knows how it's going to support Selenium and friends...

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 1h

Know where I can find elephants to cross the Alps with?

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 1h

No one speak to me today, I am trying to book travel through my university approved travel provider.

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Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 1h

(This impression based on Charles Piller's Doctored some time ago)

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 2h

This is particularly interesting since I thought the beta-amyloid hypothesis was on a shoogly peg, in part because of faked data

Prof Sam Illingworth @samillingworth.com · 6h

🧠 Alzheimer’s reversed in mice

A new study found that injecting nanoparticles can 'remind' the blood–brain barrier to function properly again, restoring normal brain activity in mice. Human trials could follow within years.

🔗 www.nature.com/articles/s41...

#SciComm #Alzheimers 🧪

Rapid amyloid-β clearance and cognitive recovery through multivalent modulation of blood–brain barrier transport - Signal Transduction and Targeted Therapy

Signal Transduction and Targeted Therapy - Rapid amyloid-β clearance and cognitive recovery through multivalent modulation of blood–brain barrier transport

www.nature.com

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Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 17h

I disagree. It's possible that there's a representation / accountability trade-off, but 1/3rd votes => 2/3rds of the seats is world-leading (and not in a good way) chrishanretty.co.uk/posts/single...

chris hanretty - The single party majority limbo

chris hanretty’s site

chrishanretty.co.uk

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 17h

TRS is less majoritarian than FPTP, but it sounds like your real objection is too parliaments with lots of parties. You can reduce the chances of that happening with majoritarian systems, but it's not a guarantee, especially in larger parliaments

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Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 17h

But... France doesn't have PR! The two round system is a majoritarian system.

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 17h

Coalition bargaining in France right now is weird because no one wants the Pyrhhic victory of governing until the next presidential elections. But that seems to be quite an unusual set of circumstances.

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 18h

Aren't you ignoring the constraint that comes from coalition formation?

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 21h

Yeah, I certainly don't want to endorse sticking my head in the sand

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Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 22h

This you?

a man 's hands are reaching out towards a keyboard with pmittf.com in the lower right corner

ALT: a man 's hands are reaching out towards a keyboard with pmittf.com in the lower right corner

media.tenor.com

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Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 22h

Conjecture: any title of the form "The effects of X on Y" can be replaced with a better title of the form "X makes Y go [up|down]"

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 22h

As I've said before: what is good for me as a social scientist is bad for me as a citizen.

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Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 22h

I gave a talk about the effects of voter ID this morning at a sixth form college. Thanks to @iandunt.bsky.social they'd read about my research on the towns fund

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Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 1d

This seems like a bold call from John if it's unqualified -- so I'm interpolating "if overall levels of support remain the same"

Mark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 1d

Psephologist Sir John Curtice told a Demos-sponsored event at the Conservative Party conference fringe that the Lib Dems “will almost undoubtedly win more seats” than the Tories at the next GE.

“The LD vote is now more geographically concentrated than your vote.”

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Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 1d

I was thinking what the RCT design is. It's probably quite expensive. I don't think there's a natural experiment here or anywhere unless there are some very racist planning regulations restricting the opening of restaurants serving non-indigenous food.

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Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 1d

This is week ten of my course now sorted

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 1d

Country/region is a numeric variable which has Scotland as being six times greater than Northern England. Whilst I agree with the sentiment, the fact that a lecturer in quantitative methods has just dumped this variable in a regression without thinking... smdh

Table 2. Effects of Ethnic Food Enjoyment on Anti-Immigrant Attitudes & Policy Support.
Variable Perceived cultural & economic threat of immigrants (M1) Pro-Afro-Caribbean immigrant attitudes (M2) Pro-European immigrant attitudes (M3) Pro-Asian immigrant attitudes (M4) Voter support for anti-immigration politicians (M5)
Country/region −0.02 (0.12) 0.01 (0.01) 0.04 (0.01) 0.03 (0.01) −0.03 (0.01)
Settlement type 0.01 (0.02) 0.05 (0.02) −0.02 (0.03) 0.02 (0.02) 0.01 (0.03)
Education −0.12 (0.01)*** 0.15 (0.00)*** 0.17 (0.01)*** 0.13 (0.01)*** −0.07 (0.01)*
Age 0.14 (0.00) −0.03 (0.03) −0.02 (0.00) −0.03 (0.00) 0.11 (0.00)***
Gender −0.07 (0.03)** 0.04 (0.03) 0.03 (0.04) −0.00 (0.03) 0.02 (0.04)
Political orientation 0.22 (0.03)*** −0.19 (0.02)*** −0.22 (0.03)*** −0.15 (0.05)*** 0.29 (0.04)***
Perceived neighbourhood diversity −0.00 (0.02) 0.02 (0.02) 0.01 (0.02) 0.05 (0.02) 0.02 (0.02)
Right-wing newspaper consumption 0.13 (0.02)*** −0.05 (0.02) −0.10 (0.02)*** −0.08 (0.02)* 0.17 (0.03)***
Right-wing party 0.07 (0.05)* −0.07 (0.05)* −0.03 (0.05) −0.07 (0.05) 0.15 (0.06)
Employment status −0.04 (0.02) 0.02 (0.02) 0.02 (0.02) 0.02 (0.02) 0.00 (0.02)
Number of non-White friends −0.09 (0.01)** 0.11 (0.01)*** 0.11 (0.01)*** 0.11 (0.01)*** −0.07 (0.01)**
Ethnic food enjoyment −0.10 (0.00)*** 0.12 (0.00)*** 0.11 (0.00)*** 0.14 (0.00)*** −0.07 (0.00)**
Total R2 (Adjusted) .20*** .15*** .18*** .14*** .29***
N 1,025 1,025 1,025 1,025 1,025

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Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 1d

Lots of redundant variables in the data, numeric codes (1=rural; 2 = suburban; 3 = urban) included as though continuous... Yep, checks out!

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Reposted by Chris Hanretty

Alan Beattie @alanbeattie.bsky.social · 1d

Henceforth the red robes will only be worn as an away kit when the Canadian Supreme Court is playing the US one.

Pwnallthethings @pwnallthethings.bsky.social · 1d

Tragic news from Canada where the Canadian Supreme Court has gone from the official dress on the left to the one on the right

Canadian Supreme court. Everyone is dressed in bright red wooly gowns, with a beige trim. It looks sort of like a Santa robe

The Canadian Supreme court. Everyone is dressed in black gowns with a bright white kravat, and two thin red vertical lines on the side of the robe

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Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 1d

I would say good luck, but when portions are already well through the publication process, I don't think you'll need it!

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Reposted by Chris Hanretty

Toby Nangle @tobyn.bsky.social · 2d

The last paper published by the PBoC was in 2023.

It was the only paper they published in 2023.

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Reposted by Chris Hanretty

James Ball @jamesrball.com · 2d

*gasp*

“Everyone thought we’d come in and there were going to be these huge costs we could cut away but there just aren’t,” said a third senior Reform cabinet member in Kent.

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