Charles Driver
@charlesdriver.bsky.social
1.1K followers 530 following 390 posts
Asst Prof UZH Psychology - quant methods, dynamic systems, human development, psychology. @CharlesDriverAU
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charlesdriver.bsky.social
G'day sky. I'm a quant. psychologist at Uni Zurich, interested in dynamic systems, thoughts here: cdriver.netlify.app/post/introto...
I maintain R packages ctsem (hierarchical continuous time dynamic systems) and bigIRT (IRT for 'big data'). #devpsy #AcademicSky #dataskyence #PsychSci
Dynamic Systems Modeling in Psychology | Charles Driver
What is a dynamic system? Why are they interesting? How do we take bits of the bumbling buzzing confusion around us and pack them into a statistical model of change to make nuanced predictions and tes...
cdriver.netlify.app
charlesdriver.bsky.social
Would be interesting to see perspectives on this by age. Benefiting from pre entshittification social media was really quite nice sometimes.
Reposted by Charles Driver
ondrejzika.bsky.social
🚨 PhD/Postdoc alert 👇

If you are interested in doing a PhD/Postdoc in computational psychiatry (starting Sept 2026), do get in touch by October 4th at [email protected] :)

Any inquiries are welcome. To apply, please attach your CV, half page motivation and half page research statements.
ondrejzika.bsky.social
🚨 I am over the moon 🌓 to announce that I am joining University College Dublin @ucddublin.bsky.social as an Assistant Professor this fall to start the Uncertain Mind (UMI) lab 💫

I am looking for PhD/Postdoc candidates to join (more below 👇 ). Please RT as the deadline is pretty soon 🙏
charlesdriver.bsky.social
Intervening centrally should be great if you can really intervene and hold it there. But is the view that symptom networks are like social networks (influence flows equally in both directions) still a thing? When I read this it mostly makes it clear how differently I think of a mental disorder.
charlesdriver.bsky.social
#4 Relations between depression and self esteem across 3 different time scales / datasets, with @peterhaehner.bsky.social et al. Besides the multiple time scales, extending VARish models to cross-effects that influence over different time scale is unusual I think.

psycnet.apa.org/record/2025-...
charlesdriver.bsky.social
#3 Examining links between and within social and cognitive development, and how these differ with behaviour problems. Some big moderated growth + fluctuations models. With @mkdeserno.bsky.social et al.

osf.io/preprints/ps...
charlesdriver.bsky.social
#2 "Personality functioning as generalized correlated changes in personality traits" -- basically a large factor model over time with some common factor nuance. With @chopwood.bsky.social et al.

osf.io/preprints/ps...
charlesdriver.bsky.social
Prepping for @dgps.bsky.social Methods, few recent papers pushing ctsem and dynamic models in interesting directions

#1 Developmental changes in twin cognitive correlation (ACE) across age, test instrument, zygosity, with @evangiangrande.bsky.social @ent3c.bsky.social et al

osf.io/preprints/ps...
charlesdriver.bsky.social
Pretty much everything nice requires some kind of compromise though. The tricky question is how much, when, etc. Independence is great but some vague social / institutional regularisation is not necessarily terrible either.
Reposted by Charles Driver
mc-stan.org
MC Stan is here! Follow for the latest Stan news, and tag if you want us to repost your posts about new papers, packages, courses, etc. about Stan
charlesdriver.bsky.social
Perhaps a touch dreamy? but interesting and hopeful thread...
shuhbillskee.bsky.social
On reflection, this is a really magical time to be on Bluesky. A quiet period before some important dynamics start to happen. I think things will start to change here because of things happening outside Bluesky and the things happening under Bluesky.
charlesdriver.bsky.social
Actually it was totally wrong because I forgot factor() aha. might look again tomorrow.
charlesdriver.bsky.social
p value of the treatment effect, for whatever it's worth given p value and random effects discussions...
charlesdriver.bsky.social
So if we had a site scale with a few million options, we could then treat it as a fixed effect / ignore it? For me the only justification I understand is the 'target of inference': estimating the specific effect of site / sex / colour etc? Then 'maybe' fixed effects. Otherwise partial/full pool.
charlesdriver.bsky.social
Why are they not a random sample? Why does that matter?
charlesdriver.bsky.social
Are you arguing they shouldn't pool across sites (ie use dummy site covariates) or they should ignore clustering? If the latter -- yeah people do seem very sensitive to very specific forms of clustering, but I don't really see the harm either...
Reposted by Charles Driver
brendannyhan.bsky.social
New job ad: Assistant Professor of Quantitative Social Science, Dartmouth College apply.interfolio.com/172357

Please share with your networks. I am the search chair and happy to answer questions!
charlesdriver.bsky.social
Thanks! Yes I fuzzily understood this but knowledge chiming in is great :)
charlesdriver.bsky.social
Ok. I can go home this evening.
charlesdriver.bsky.social
This is somehow a foreseeable problem with minimal working examples right? My actual document / problem is somewhat grander in scale ;)
charlesdriver.bsky.social
Were there long term experiments on smoking? Faxing my historical ethics board already. Yes, agree, smoking is a bit easier, but not easy still.
charlesdriver.bsky.social
I've tried lots of fvextra / spverbatim stuff, that solution only wraps the code chunk, the tricky part seems to be the R output. options(width=xx) succeeds in wrapping some output but not character strings (containing white spaces). And, hi back! :) :)
charlesdriver.bsky.social
The world would be a better place if we never figured out the whole smoking causes cancer thing eh?
charlesdriver.bsky.social
dear @quarto.org using friends, lost too much time on this already and I'm very stubborn please save me:

---
title: "wrap text"
format: pdf
---

```{r}
print("I just want this text to wrap to a new line I just want this text to wrap to a new line I just want this text to wrap to a new line ")
```