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Out of the rubble: The new Gulf response to Israeli aggression

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Reposted by Dr Cinzia Bianco

Umberto Profazio @profazio.bsky.social · 12d

'[...] it is highly unlikely that the #Gulf states will turn away from the #US, but their leaders will almost certainly resume the strategic hedging that characterised the end of Biden’s presidency.' @cinziabianco.bsky.social for @ecfr.eu ecfr.eu/article/out-...

The Israeli attacks on Doha, and America’s support of them, has caused Gulf leaders to majorly rethink their security. This could lead to a new Gulf-led security format…

Out of the rubble: The new Gulf response to Israeli aggression

Reposted by Dr Cinzia Bianco

ECFR @ecfr.eu · 13d

#UNGA80 🧵
1/ Today, Mahmoud Abbas virtually joins #UNGA80. On Sunday, Australia, Britain, Canada and Portugal recognized a Palestinian state. What can we expect from Germany?
🔗https://www.dw.com/en/germany-uk-france-say-gaza-humanitarian-crisis-must-end/live-73407430

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Reposted by Dr Cinzia Bianco

ECFR MENA @ecfrmena.bsky.social · 16d

✍️ Israel's strike on Doha is a sobering recalibration for Gulf rulers. If they once viewed US influence over Israel as stabilising, they now face the possibility that Netanyahu pursues a unilateral vision free from US constraints, writes @cinziabianco.bsky.social 👇 buff.ly/03Iba63

The Israeli attacks on Doha, and America’s support of them, has caused Gulf leaders to majorly rethink their security. This could lead to a new Gulf-led security format…

US, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt propose roadmap for Sudan peace

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Dr Cinzia Bianco @cinziabianco.bsky.social · 17d

There we go. IMHO this Sudan roadmap is the first concrete sign that MbZ’s visit to MbS in Riyadh was about a strategic reseat and renewed coordination: www.reuters.com/world/middle...

The United States, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt called on Friday for a three-month humanitarian truce in Sudan followed by a permanent ceasefire, the countries said in a joint statement.

www.reuters.com

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Reposted by Dr Cinzia Bianco

Julien Barnes-Dacey @jbdacey.bsky.social · 19d

Israel’s initial response to Oct 7 helped Gulf states by weakening Iran but it is now entrenching conflict, fragmenting Arab states & pulling Gulf states towards escalation, all of which also threatens Euro interests. @cinziabianco.bsky.social on post-Doha dynamics ecfr.eu/article/out-...

Out of the rubble: The new Gulf response to Israeli aggression

The Israeli attacks on Doha, and America’s support of them, has caused Gulf leaders to majorly rethink their security. This could lead to a new Gulf-led security format…

Out of the rubble: The new Gulf response to Israeli aggression

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Reposted by Dr Cinzia Bianco

ECFR @ecfr.eu · 19d

The Israeli attacks on Doha, and America’s support of them, has caused Gulf leaders to majorly rethink their security, writes @cinziabianco.bsky.social @ecfrmena.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4puZHx8

The Israeli attacks on Doha, and America’s support of them, has caused Gulf leaders to majorly rethink their security. This could lead to a new Gulf-led security format…

Out of the rubble: The new Gulf response to Israeli aggression

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Reposted by Dr Cinzia Bianco

ECFR MENA @ecfrmena.bsky.social · 19d

✍️ NEW @ecfr.eu commentary by @cinziabianco.bsky.social: The Israeli attacks on Doha, and America’s support of them, has caused #Gulf leaders to majorly rethink their security. This could lead to a new Gulf-led security format 👇 buff.ly/03Iba63

The Israeli attacks on Doha, and America’s support of them, has caused Gulf leaders to majorly rethink their security. This could lead to a new Gulf-led security format…

Out of the rubble: The new Gulf response to Israeli aggression

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Dr Cinzia Bianco @cinziabianco.bsky.social · 19d

The Israeli strike in Doha has forced a rethink of Gulf security and pushed leaders to deploy a new vision in response. What is this vision? How should we look at the whole picture? My analysis for @ecfrmena.bsky.social

ecfr.eu/article/out-...

The Israeli attacks on Doha, and America’s support of them, has caused Gulf leaders to majorly rethink their security. This could lead to a new Gulf-led security format…

Out of the rubble: The new Gulf response to Israeli aggression

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Reposted by Dr Cinzia Bianco

ECFR Rome @ecfrrome.bsky.social · 19d

Se prima i leader del Golfo consideravano l'influenza 🇺🇸 su Israele come un fattore di stabilità, ora devono affrontare la possibilità che Netanyahu persegua una visione unilaterale libera dai vincoli americani.
✍️ @cinziabianco.bsky.social x @ecfrmena.bsky.social

The Israeli attacks on Doha, and America’s support of them, has caused Gulf leaders to majorly rethink their security. This could lead to a new Gulf-led security format…

Out of the rubble: The new Gulf response to Israeli aggression

Reposted by Dr Cinzia Bianco

ECFR @ecfr.eu · 19d

This is a sobering recalibration for Gulf rulers. If they once viewed US influence over Israel as stabilising, they now face the possibility that Netanyahu pursues a unilateral vision free from American constraints, writes @cinziabianco.bsky.social @ecfrmena.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4puZHx8

The Israeli attacks on Doha, and America’s support of them, has caused Gulf leaders to majorly rethink their security. This could lead to a new Gulf-led security format…

bit.ly

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Reposted by Dr Cinzia Bianco

ECFR MENA @ecfrmena.bsky.social · 26d

📰 @cinziabianco.bsky.social speaks to La Repubblica about Israel's strike on Qatar and its wider regional ramifications 👇 buff.ly/00rix70

Israele colpisce vertice di Hamas in Qatar, l’esperta: “È la fine di ogni negoziato sulla Striscia”

L’intervista a Cinzia Bianco, dell’European Council of foreign relations: “Pensavano di essere protetti dagli Usa, ma hanno capito che…

Analysis: Israel leaps over red lines in attack on Qatari capital Doha

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Dr Cinzia Bianco @cinziabianco.bsky.social · 28d

UAE leadership in Doha. This was not arranged yesterday. Like I said when MbZ visited MbS goal is to coordinate an Arab front vs Iranian weakness and Israeli recklessness, and it looks like the Emiratis took the lead in shaping a tripartite leadership (Saudi, UAE, Qatar) for such front.

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Reposted by Dr Cinzia Bianco

ECFR MENA @ecfrmena.bsky.social · 28d

📰 “The GCC response may be a realisation that US security guarantees are no longer as valuable as they have been thought to be for so long.” comments @cinziabianco.bsky.social on yesterday's Israeli strikes on Qatar for @aljazeera.com 👇 buff.ly/A35REvw

Attack on Hamas leaders in Qatari capital Doha shows Israel will keep escalating if global powers don’t stop it.

Analysis: Israel leaps over red lines in attack on Qatari capital Doha

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Reposted by Dr Cinzia Bianco

Herr Kryptocommunist 🟥 @kryptocommunist.bsky.social · 28d

We are no longer in a situation of red lines. Israel will keep on attacking whatever they deem appropriate, and it will be stopped, or not. The time frame within which this all plays out will be decades, I suspect.

Dr Cinzia Bianco @cinziabianco.bsky.social · 28d

“Hosting US bases and US military forces was an effective form of deterrence, [but that has] now evaporated, bothinf is off the table” I said to @AJEnglish: www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/202...

Attack on Hamas leaders in Qatari capital Doha shows Israel will keep escalating if global powers don’t stop it.

www.aljazeera.com

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Dr Cinzia Bianco @cinziabianco.bsky.social · 28d

“Hosting US bases and US military forces was an effective form of deterrence, [but that has] now evaporated, bothinf is off the table” I said to @AJEnglish: www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/202...

Analysis: Israel leaps over red lines in attack on Qatari capital Doha

Attack on Hamas leaders in Qatari capital Doha shows Israel will keep escalating if global powers don’t stop it.

www.aljazeera.com

Perché l’incontro MbS-MbZ è importante per il Golfo. Risponde Bianco - Formiche.net

Dr Cinzia Bianco @cinziabianco.bsky.social · 28d

If the Hamas delegation has indeed survived, it remains to be seen where they will go now. Unlikely to stay in Qatar. Dangerous to move them to Turkiye, because Turkiye would respond to a similar Israeli attack.

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Reposted by Dr Cinzia Bianco

Calvinboo Congress @emericanjezebel.bsky.social · 28d

“Why didn’t Palestinians try peaceful solutions with Israel?”

Dr Cinzia Bianco @cinziabianco.bsky.social · 28d

For a while now GCC folks have been extremely worried that Israeli behaviour was unhinged - but nobody thought they could be targeted. Here a pic of the building in Qatar where an Israeli drone tried to take out a Hamas delegation discussing a potential deal.

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Dr Cinzia Bianco @cinziabianco.bsky.social · 28d

Qatar has now been bombed by both Iran and Israel, while hosting a major US base. This has serious implications on the meaning - or lack thereof - of hosting US military as well as just how inconvenient it is to be a mediator in this day and age.

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Dr Cinzia Bianco @cinziabianco.bsky.social · 28d

It seems the US was also notified ahead of the attack. Which demonstrates perfectly how unreliable the US is right now, and regional actors know this well!

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Dr Cinzia Bianco @cinziabianco.bsky.social · 28d

I don’t know how much clearer it can be that Israel does not want ANY deal. Now Qatar will seriously think about the cost benefit of continuing their role, which has already been questioned. Plus, the pathway to normalization between GCC capitals and Israel is now closed.

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Dr Cinzia Bianco @cinziabianco.bsky.social · 28d

For a while now GCC folks have been extremely worried that Israeli behaviour was unhinged - but nobody thought they could be targeted. Here a pic of the building in Qatar where an Israeli drone tried to take out a Hamas delegation discussing a potential deal.

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Reposted by Dr Cinzia Bianco

ECFR MENA @ecfrmena.bsky.social · Sep 8

📰 For Formiche, @cinziabianco.bsky.social comments on the meeting between Mohammed bin Salman and Mohammed bin Zayed and the opportunity for regional/international leadership for the Gulf countries 👇 buff.ly/7M5R07P

c’è oggi un’opportunità di leadership regionale/internazionale per i Paesi del Golfo. Ma se ognuno tira dalla propria parte, questa opportunità non si concretizza. Meglio allora mettersi insieme per…

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Dr Cinzia Bianco @cinziabianco.bsky.social · Sep 3

This is major! After the bromance came to a halt and a LONG time not seeing each other, #UAE #MbZ visits #SaudiArabia with his brother and security czar Tahnoon bin Zayed. #MbS himself welcomes them. Key dossiers:
- Sudan de-escalation
- Syrian stability
- Israeli vs Iran
- Escalation in Yemen