Starting to map the 2025 federal election in Manitoba. First up is Winnipeg South Centre.

A dominant performance by Ben Carr, even beating his father's performance in 2015. The NDP collapsed while the Conservatives held.

#mbpoli #cdnpoli

@canadianpolling.bsky.social Might we expect an updated MP name game at some-point. I need a way to test my knowledge 🥺

Leader Net Favourables:

Carney: +15%
Poilievre: -21%
Singh: -25%

Angus Reid / March 16, 2025 / n=4009 / Online

Hope I look as cool as Chrétien when I’m 91

You can really see the ONDP’s seat efficiency at play in the seat by seat results.

Some crazy stats:

- % of ridings where the candidate got under 20% of the vote : OLP-23%, ONDP-69%.

- % of >40% ridings where the candidate won : OLP-45%, ONDP-96% (only Sault Ste. Marie missing for the NDP)

Ok Ontario election people. Using a *very* rough estimation, this is the % of vote needed by each 2nd place party in the mail in ballots to flip a currently uncalled seat. The (+x) refers to the difference in the needed in the mail vote and the vote counted so far. #onpoli

Not only is this the highest liberal number in quite some time ; It is the best poll for the liberals, in terms of popular vote, since BEFORE the 2021 election. 👀

Merci... Mais non, merci.

lactualite.com/politique/ce...

As someone who cares very deeply about the future of the Liberal Party of Canada, Trudeau needs to step aside.

True, there’s no guaranty things will improve. But staying on the current course is guarantied disaster.

(Note that it’s nothing personal against him, politics just sucks sometimes)

Sign to help reverse the provincial government’s reduction of requirements for teacher certification (they removed ALL subject-area requirements).

chng.it/QRGKHJ9R9F

Thanks for noticing.

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