Climate Action Tracker
climateactiontracker.org
Climate Action Tracker
@climateactiontracker.org
We're an independent scientific project tracking government climate action, measuring it against the Paris Agreement aim of "holding warming well below 2°C, and pursuing efforts to limit warming to 1.5°C."
2035 TARGET: #SouthAfrica ’s 2035 NDC continues declining emissions trend and is below 2030 range — but ambition hasn’t increased. The 2035 target is less 1.5°C-aligned than the 2030 NDC. Coal phase-out delays and slow progress in buildings, transport & industry remain key gaps.

🔗 bit.ly/490Nrgt
December 19, 2025 at 10:38 AM
Norway's #EV sales are at 100% new passenger cars; its intl climate finance is at relatively high levels.
But this major producer of oil & gas hasn't committed to phase out fossil fuels. Emissions frm oil/gas exports 10x higher than domestic, not covered by climate targets.
bit.ly/CAT_NOR_poli...
December 18, 2025 at 8:07 AM
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: #Norway combines strong climate policies at home with a fossil fuel export model that shifts much of its climate impact abroad: its new 2035 NDC is 1.5°C aligned – domestically, but the country still relies heavily on oil & gas.
CAT rating: "Almost sufficient"
bit.ly/CAT_NOR
December 18, 2025 at 8:07 AM
2035 TARGET ANALYSIS: #Chile's new 2035 climate target is not 1.5˚C aligned according to its fair share, and the gap between its target and 1.5˚C pathways has grown compared to 2030. The 2035 emissions level would require additional action to meet.
bit.ly/CAT_CHI_2035
December 17, 2025 at 8:23 PM
Indonesia backloads >70% of renewables beyond 2030 & frontloads 13 GW of fossil capacity by 2029. An 8% GDP growth target risks high-carbon lock-in w/out robust safeguards, increasing reliance on the FOLU Net Sink 2030, now under pressure fm food estate & bioenergy expansion
bit.ly/CAT_IDN_poli...
December 17, 2025 at 7:23 AM
Indonesia’s 2035 #NDC fails to raise ambition.
The unconditional target sees emissions rise for decades, peaking only in 2050. Current policies already overachieve target.
The conditional targets rely on steep post-2035 reductions that are unlikely without credible policies.
bit.ly/CAT_IDN_2035
December 17, 2025 at 7:23 AM
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: One year into the new administration, progress on #Indonesia's low-carbon transition remains limited.

Coal still dominates power & industry, while commodity-driven deforestation continue to drive land use emissions.

Our "Critically insufficient" rating remains.
bit.ly/CAT_IDN
December 17, 2025 at 7:23 AM
While action has stalled over the past four years, if governments carried out their promises made at COP28 in just three areas:
➡️ tripling renewables,
➡️ doubling efficiency and
➡️ cutting methane by 2030,
they could bring that projected warming down to 1.6˚C.
🔗 bit.ly/4oxTpLA
December 12, 2025 at 12:56 PM
Ten years ago today, governments finalised the Paris Agreement, cementing in the 1.5˚C warming limit as a guardrail, a survial line for many countries.
Thanks to the #ParisAgreement, they have reduced projected 2100 warming by 1˚C, down to 2.6˚C from the 3-4˚C we were projecting in 2015.
December 12, 2025 at 12:56 PM
➡️ The #EU would need to see a steep acceleration in renewable energy, which would double the share of renewables in electricity generation.
An increase in economy-wide electrification rate would drive huge energy savings.

🔗 Explore our country factsheets: climateactiontracker.org/publications...
November 21, 2025 at 3:16 PM
To give a flavour of our G20 country factsheets in the report:

➡️ #China alone delivering on the global energy and methane goals could reduce emissions by 44% below current policies by 2035, esp by expanding renewables, and increasing electrification.
November 21, 2025 at 3:16 PM
If individual G20 countries were to implement the COP28 goals, they would deliver total emissions reductions of around 11 GtCO2e by 2030 and 14 GtCO2e by 2035, compared to current policy projections.
November 21, 2025 at 3:16 PM
This weekend the #G20 meets in Johannesburg: Our new report shows if governments, by 2030 (and beyond) act on three COP28 Energy & Methane goals, it will make a big difference to end of century warming.
But the heavy lifting needs to come from the G20.
🔗 climateactiontracker.org/publications...
November 21, 2025 at 3:16 PM
The current warming rate is set to accelerate by 2030 then only slowly decline.
Halving the warming rate by 2040 wld bring significant benefits for #adaptation planning; address the adaptation gap.
The more we can slow this warming rate, the better for vulnerable communities the world over.
November 19, 2025 at 1:21 PM
Now we need to see them implement these agreed goals to address #climate change.
➡️ there must be finance especially for poorer countries
➡️ And if they also worked to end deforestation the result would be even bigger.
November 19, 2025 at 1:21 PM
REPORT: If governments were to implement the promises they made in 2023, to triple renewables, double energy efficiency, reduce methane by 2030 & beyond, they could
✅ significantly cut projected warming - by 0.9˚C
✅ cut warming rate by a third by 2035 and halve it by 2040
🔗 bit.ly/CAT_COP30_GST
November 19, 2025 at 1:21 PM
The EU’s new 2035 target is far from 1.5°C aligned, our analysis shows.

To align with 1.5°C, the EU would need net reductions of at least:
• 77% below 1990 by 2035
• 90–95% by 2040
achieved domestically.

🔗 climateactiontracker.org/countries/eu...
November 14, 2025 at 3:19 PM
The longer we wait, the larger the "targets gap": from 2030 to 2035, the gap between climate targets and the pathways to 1.5°C is projected to grow up to two billion tonnes, up from 26-29 GtCO2e in 2030, to 26-31 GtCO2e by 2035.
November 13, 2025 at 10:01 AM
The Paris Agreement works! In 2015, our current policies pathway led to 3.6°C of warming by 2100. 10 years later this has dropped by around 1°C. This framework has rewritten the rules of global climate action - sparking investment, innovation, & reforms that would simply not have happened without it
November 13, 2025 at 10:01 AM
Almost none of the 40 governments we analyse have updated their 2030 target, which is critical to keep warming levels below 1.5°C
... nor have they set out the kind of action in their new 2035 targets that would change the warming outlook.
November 13, 2025 at 10:01 AM
CAT Global Update 2025 🚨 Ten years after the #ParisAgreement we see little to no measurable progress in warming projections - for the fourth consecutive year.
The 2035 #NDCs have made no difference to our warming outlook.
🔗 bit.ly/CAT_Global_2...
November 13, 2025 at 10:01 AM
Soon we’ll release our Global Temperature Update with our latest warming projections. Stay tuned and join our press conference!

🗓️ 13 Nov
⏰ 9 am Belém time
📌 Press conference room 2 at #COP30 or online

All details here 🔗 climateactiontracker.org/blog/press-c...
November 12, 2025 at 6:01 PM
While it has governance and social issues to deal with, Colombia's implementation gap is largely shaped by constraints beyond its borders, especially pressures on sovereign debt & a global financial architecture that discourages rapid decarbonisation in developing countries.
➡️ bit.ly/CAT_COL_poli...
November 10, 2025 at 4:54 PM
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: #Colombia is a Latin American standout on #climate: ambitious commitments, a surge in solar PV expansion, record-high sales of electric vehicles, and a sharp decline in deforestation in recent years. But its implementation still lags far behind its ambition.
🔗 bit.ly/CAT_COL
November 10, 2025 at 4:54 PM
President Boric intends bringing fwd the coal phase-out date to 2035 or earlier, but contingent on considerable improvements in renewable energy integration & grid infrastructure.
#Chile has retired an impressive >1.2 GW of coal capacity fm 11 plants since 2019.
More details 🔗 bit.ly/CAT_CHI_poli...
November 10, 2025 at 11:33 AM